Should be a good week for the Russell 2000

IWM, a fund that tracks the small cap Russell 2000 index, has been trading in a range for the last few months. When the large caps broke out above their all-time highs, the Russell held back and stayed range-bound. Today, however, the fund broke out above the top of that range at 161.11. Assuming that it confirms the breakout by closing the day above that price, we should see IWM continue to move higher and perhaps test its August high at 173.39.

Large caps in my opinion have gotten ahead of themselves and look very expensive right now, so the opportunity in the market would seem to be in small caps. Check out this chart showing their current relatively inexpensive valuation compared to the S&P 500:


Small caps tend to outperform in a low interest rate environment, so in the next 6 months I expect IWM to climb back up to .58-.60 per share vs. the S&P from its current level of .52.