Swimcito

XBT/USD Moving Average Breakthrough for Reverse Candlestick

BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin

Moving Average is White Bar


Hello, if we go back to 2017/11/13 and see the moving average, we can see that it is the first time since bullish breakthrough, since maximum record we see the candle stick are moving in a reverse position. Since 2018/01/15 we see prices going below moving average.

I think this is the first major signal of bearish market and prices falling to the Supports at 8000 and 5800. The 10k Support i think is a fake support as i saw order books and just seemed to be triggered by scalpers or orders placed beforehand.

If the BTC Price go below 10k i want you guys to check for 8000 S1, and 6000 as S2, should it continue moving downwards i want you to check the 3700 S3 area. However this escenario can only happen in the most extreme of circunstances...

Scenario 1: Price does not go below 10k, and BTC price recovers up, if this is the case, 12.8k R1 would be a nice indication of bullish pressure being too great. ... Somewhat Likely

Scenario 2: Price goes below 10k, next support level is 8k. This is an excellent time to buy.... Very Likely

Scenario 3: Price goes all the way up to 6k, this i think is an extremely strong support, anything below this could indicate a huge market correction.... Somewhat Unlikely

Scenario 4: Price stays all the way to 3700 area. Extremely Unlikely

Scenario 5: Below 3700, Start panicking (lol) or wait to buy in the 1200 area... Extremely Unlikely

P.D. This would be a short strategy, i label it neutral, because shorting on BTC is a bit suicidal...

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