Imminent BTC short based on a confluence of resistance

27 jul 2018

BTC has proven to respect the 200 MA on the 1D chart and 50 MA on the 1W chart. We are coming up on both.
In addition to this, there is a lot of horisontal resistance in the $8700-$9000 area.

I think we might see a bit further upside to the $8330-$8525 range, but after that we are going down to the lower band of the 50 MA to test new lows.

Buy-in: $8330-$8525

Target 1: $5011
Target 2: $4611

27 jul 2018

Nota

In regards to the target which is based on the lower band of the 50 MA, I use 1.25 standard deviations.

1 ago 2018

Nota

Things are pretty much playing out as expected. Missed the buy-in mark by $27.5, but overall sentiment is the same. Bearish until we visit the lower end of the 50MA 1W containment-zone, which I expect to be 5k-ish.

19 nov 2018

Nota

We are now coming up on the 50 MA 1W containment-zone, which is currently at $4982, as predicted. If we don't bounce we could be headed for the 200MA 1W. However, layering in buys at this level is reasonable. If you believe BTC has a future that is.