Consolidation Breakout [Indian Market Timing]OK let's get started ,
A Day Trading (Intraday) Consolidation Breakout Indication Strategy that explains time condition for Indian Markets .
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is ,
1) Price crosses above upper band , indicated by a color change (green) is the Long condition .
2) Price crosses below lower band , indicated by a color change (red) is the Short condition .
3) ATR is used for trailing after entry
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm.
The time_condition specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 2:57pm.
All open trades get closed at 2:57pm , because some brokers dont allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm.
NSE:NIFTY1!
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 114 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
LENGTH , MULT (factor) and ATR can be changed for better backtest results.
The strategy applied to NIFTY (3 min Time-Frame and contract size 5) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 8 months with a Profit Factor of 2.2 , avg Trade of 6000Rs profit and Sharpe Ratio : 0.67
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
NSE:NIFTY1!
Save it favorites.
Apply it to your charts Now !!
Thank me later ;)
Strategy
X48 - Strategy | MA Type Cross + TPSL | Future&Spot | V.2Thank You For Open Source Code, This Strategy Ref. By 1.Simple Strategy Like MA Crossover For Long/Short or Spot Trade, 2. CDC Action Zone V.2 for BarPaint
This Strategy Mixing With MA Crossover Strategy and BarPaint By CDC Action Zone and TP/SL by Varbara
### How To Use Strategy : Setting EMA/SMA Crossover EMA/SMA, Any Value If You Want
For Long Position : Cross Up
For Short Position : Cross Down
Can Use With Spot Trade : Cross Up = Buy, Cross Down = Sell
TP/SL When Your OrderSize Change From any % Of Your TP/SL Value
### In Strategy Setting
Intitial Capital = Ex. 200
Order Size = Should Be Money Management Not Use 100% of Capital Ex. 10% of Capital (200$) = Order Size 20$
StopLoss and Take Profit = If You Run Trend TF 4H+ or 1D+ You Can Change TP% = 1,000% for nonlimit and Stop Loss 5 - 20% from your order size
Ex. Stoploss 15% = OrderSize / 100 x %SL = 20$/100 x 15% = 3$ Loss from order size 20$ (if you not set stop loss.)
Base Currency = (Your Currency) # Ex. USD
Commission = (Your Trading Fee) # Ex. Future Fee Can Check At Binance Fee Rate > www.binance.com > Choose Your Fee Type, Ex. USD M Future (Regular User) = 0.02 (Maker), 0.04 (Taker)
Commission Symbol Type = % # (Ref. By Binance Fee Rate)
### Notice ####
Default Setting It's Realistic From Normal Life Ex. Capital 200$ / Ordersize 20$ (10%)/ Commission 0.1% (Buy+Sell) / Slippage = 2 / TP = 1000% (nonlimit) / SL = 15%/OrderSize
Low Risk But High Return, Good Luck
### Bot Auto Trade by X4815162342 ###
if you wanna try my bot auto trade X48-3in1-bot : Contact My Line ID : x4815x
Full Command Alert For This Strategy If You Wanna See It's
'{"ex":"'+markettype+'","side": "'+longcommand+'", "amount": "@{{strategy.order.contracts}}", "symbol": "{{ticker}}", "passphrase": "'+passphrase+'","leverage":"'+str.tostring(leveragex)+'"}'
'{"ex":"'+markettype+'","side": "'+shortcommand+'", "amount": "@{{strategy.order.contracts}}", "symbol": "{{ticker}}", "passphrase": "'+passphrase+'","leverage":"'+str.tostring(leveragex)+'"}'
But Easy Than Full Command Just Use Thisssssss !! Strategy Be Manage Auto Long and Short or TPSL Position
You Don't Do Anything Just Use This Message to Alerts Message
{{strategy.order.alert_message}}
### If you don't use bot but just looking for strategy test ####
Just Pass Bot Setting Function It's Nothing Effect For Strategy !!!!!!
Let's Enjoy With Your Strategy BackTest 😁
Remember Beware Max drawdown%. I'm Recommend Lower Than 10% It's Very Good.
MACD ULTRA with ALERTS - by OVARIDE WORK IN PROGRESS!
Coded by OVARIDE (littlegreenfish)
Made to be used with Dark Theme. Made to be used with Heikin Ashi bars (You can enable Real Price from chart settings). Test and use at your own risk. Not recommended for NEW/ INEXPERIENCED TRADERS using this for short-timeframe scalping. Bot integration is possible for high timeframes using the built-in alerts as a trigger via webhooks
Features
This is a reworked MACD code with added buffs for traders wanting more information from this basic indicator.
What this indicator does -
1. Plots a traditional MACD indicator with full input control from within the settings. All colors and values are editable , as you would expect from the standalone indicator.
2. Adds shape to the chart when MACD crosses over Signal line, while both MACD and Signal lines are below the ZERO line.
3. Adds shape to the chart when MACD crosses over ZERO line.
4. Highlights trend direction. Purple = Up Trend Likely , Yellow = Up Trend may end (use caution) , Red = Strong Down Trend Begins.
5. Ability to set alerts for -
a) When MACD crosses Signal Line.
b) When MACD crosses Zero line.
c) When an Up Trend is likely to begin.
d) When an Up Trend is slowing and may end.
e) When a Strong Down Trend begins.
Considerations -
1. Traders may use this indicator in conjunction with an existing strategy to confirm entries and exits. Traders may also use this indicator as a standalone indicator to assist with entries and exits.
2. Possible Long entries -
a) When MACD crosses Signal line while blow the Zero Line
b) When MACD crosses Zero
c) When Up Trend is Likely to begin and the background is highlighted in purple.
3. Possible stop-loss / exits (Omitted MACD crossing below Signal line and MACD crossing below Zero line)
a) When Up Trend Is slowing and the background is highlighted Yellow
b) When a Strong Down trend begins and the background is highlighted in Red. All open long position trades should be ended here.
4. The trend algorithm is hard-coded. Changing the MACD and Signal values from within the settings WILL NOT change the result of when and how the trend directions are highlighted.
5. Trend highlights are ONLY A GUIDE . You can still take entry positions in non-highlighted, yellow or red regions if your overall technical analysis tells you to.
UPDATE NOTES (IF ANY) WILL BE PUBLISHED BELOW
Monthly Returns of a Strategy in a ChartIt's a simple example of how you can present your strategy's monthly performance in a chart.
You maybe know that there is no support of these kind of charts in TradingView so this chart is actually a table object under the hood.
Table visual appearance is customizable, you can change:
Location
Bar Width / High
Colors
Thanks to @MUQWISHI for hard work, for helping me coding it.
It's not about the strategy itself but the way you display returns on your chart. So pls don't critique my choice of the strategy and its performance 🙂
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
Strength Volatility Killer - The Quant ScienceStrength Volatility Killer - The Quant Science™ is based on a special version of RSI (Relative Strength Index), created with the simple average and standard deviation.
DESCRIPTION
The algorithm analyses the market and opens positions following three different volatility entry conditions. Each entry has a specific and personal exit condition. The user can setting trailing stop loss from user interface.
USER INTERFACE SETTING
Configures the algorithm from the user interface.
AUTO TRADING COMPLIANT
With the user interface, the trader can easily set up this algorithm for automatic trading.
BACKTESTING INCLUDED
The trader can adjust the backtesting period of the strategy before putting it live. Analyze large periods such as years or months or focus on short-term periods.
NO LIMIT TIMEFRAME
This algorithm can be used on all timeframes.
GENERAL FEATURES
Multi-strategy: the algorithm can apply long strategy or short strategy.
Built-in alerts: the algorithm contains alerts that can be customized from the user interface.
Integrated indicator: indicator is included.
Backtesting included: quickly automatic backtesting of the strategy.
Auto-trading compliant: functions for auto trading are included.
ABOUT BACKTESTING
Backtesting refers to the period 13 June 2022 - today, ticker: AVAX/USDT, timeframe 5 minutes.
Initial capital: $1000.00
Commission per trade: 0.03%
1 minute crypto strategy (MTF ZigZag)Please read the following explanation and notes before using this strategy.
This strategy is based on pyramiding. It uses two trend indicators(zigzag) in two different timeframes. One can be used to identify trend in higher timeframe and the other can be used to identify trend in smaller time frame. You can change them according to your preference. The default timeframes are set the same so the strategy only opens the trades according to one timeframe (20min). You can change the timeframe of the trend indicators to any timeframe in the settings but first you should add that timeframe to your chart timeframe so you can see that timeframe in the settings.
The first timeframe is for lower timeframe trend identification and the second timeframe is for higher timeframe identification in the settings.
IMPORTANT NOTES:
1. This strategy works best with low cap high volatile Cryptos. It is riskier on big cap cryptos in long term since it takes longer for them to recover from a big drop.
2. This strategy works in any timeframe. The lower the TF the higher profit.
3. This strategy is LONG only (spot).
4. It is very important to run a deep backtest (for example 1 year) and change the settings accordingly on the cryptos you want to trade to see how it performs in longterm.
5. The default pyramiding value is 30 and 3.33% of the portfolio (100/30=3.33%) is used for each trade. It means the strategy opens maximum 30 trades before the TP is hit. If you change the pyramiding you should also change order size as well in order for the strategy to show the exact calculation (your portfolio amount percentage/pyramiding value=ordersize percentage). If you increase pyramiding value the strategy performs safer in long term.
6. The default TP is 1% and the default SL is 80%. You can change the settings according to the backtest on the coins you want to trade. But it is better not to increase the TP.
7. The indicators don't repaint.
8. Please make sure to backtest and fully understand the way this strategy works before using it.
Dollar cost averaging trading system (DCA)As investors, we often face the dilemma of willing high stock prices when we sell, but not when we buy. There are times when this dilemma causes investors to wait for a dip in prices, thereby potentially missing out on a continual rise. This is how investors get lured away from the markets and become tangled in the slippery slope of market timing, which is not advisable to a long-term investment strategy.
Skyrex developed a complex trading system based on dollar-cost averaging in Quick Fingers Luc's interpretation. It is a combinations of strategies which allows to systematically accumulate assets by investing scaled amounts of money at defined market cycle global support levels. Dollar-cost averaging can reduce the overall impact of price volatility and lower the average cost per asset thus even during market slumps only a small bounce is required to reach take profit.
The strategy script monitors a chart price action and identifies bases as they form. When bases are reached the script provides entry actions. During price action development an asset value can go lower and in this way the script will perform safety entries at each subsequent accumulation levels. When weighted average entry price reaches target profit the script will perform a take profit action.
Bases are identified as pivot lows in a fractal pattern and validated by an adjustable decrease/rise percentage to ensure significancy of identified bases. To qualify a pivot low, the indicator will perform the following validation:
Validate the price rate of change on drops and bounces is above a given threshold amount.
Validate the volume at the low pivot point is above the volume moving average (using a given length).
Validate the volume amount is a given factor of magnitude above is above the volume moving average.
Validate the potential new base is not too close to the previous range by using a given price percent difference threshold amount.
A fractal pattern is a recurring pattern on a price chart that can predict reversals among larger, more chaotic price movements.
These basic fractals are composed of five or more bars. The rules for identifying fractals are as follows:
A bearish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on each side.
A bullish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on each side.
Basic dollar-cost averaging approach is enhances by implementation of adjustable accumulation levels in order to provide opportunity of setting them at defined global support levels and Martingale volume coefficient to increase averaging effect. According to Quick Fingers Luc's principles trading principles we added volume validation of a base because it allows to confirm that the market is resistant to further price decrease.
The strategy supports traditional and cryptocurrency spot, futures, options and marginal trading exchanges. It works accurately with BTC, USD, USDT, ETH and BNB quote currencies. Best to use with 1H timeframe charts and limit orders. The strategy can be and should be configured for each particular asset according to its global support and resistance levels and price action cycles. You can modify levels and risk management settings to receive better performance
Advantages of this script:
Strategy has high net profit of 255% at backtests
Backtests show high accuracy around 75%
Low Drawdowns of around 14% at backtests
Strategy is sustainable to market slumps and can be used for long-term trading
The strategy provides a large number of entries which is good for diversification
Can be applied to any market and quote currency
Easy to configure user interface settings
How to use?
1. Apply strategy to a trading pair your are interested in using 1H timeframe chart
2. Configure the strategy: change layer values, order size multiple and take profit/stop loss values according to current market cycle stage
3. Set up a TradingView alert to trigger when strategy conditions are met
4. Strategy will send alerts when to enter and when to exit positions which can be applied to your portfolio using external trading platforms
5. Update settings once market conditions are changed using backtests on a monthly period
Triple RSI strategyThis strategy is commonly used both in forex and stock markets for reversal trading. when the rsi line reaches and crosses simultaneously at 3 rsi setups i.e at 7, 14, and 21, a signal is generated.
This strategy works best in 1-hour timeframe. It provides over 60 to 80 percent accuracy in 1-hour timeframe.
In the stock market, this strategy provides an excellent entry point, if one is seeking small profits.
One can expect to make around 10 to 50 pips in the forex market easily. However, I advise seeking support from price action from the lower timeframe in the forex market.
I hope you like it.
Follow for more strategies and scripts like this.
Fast v Slow Moving Averages Strategy (Variable) [divonn1994]This is a simple moving average based strategy that takes 2 moving averages, a Fast and a Slow one, plots them both, and then decides to enter a 'long' position or exit it based on whether the two lines have crossed each other. It goes 'long when the Fast Moving Average crosses above the Slow Moving Average. This could indicate upwards momentum in prices in the future. It then exits the position when the the Fast Moving Average crosses back below. This could indicate downwards momentum in prices in the future. This is only speculative, though, but sometimes it can be a very good indicator/strategy to predict future action.
I've tried some strategy settings and I found different promising strategies. Here are a few:
BTCUSD ( BitStamp ) 1 Day Timeframe : EMA, Fast length 25 bars, Slow length 62 bars => 28,792x net profit (default)
BTCUSD ( BitStamp ) 1 Day Timeframe : VWMA, Fast length 21 bars, Slow length 60 bars => 15,603x net profit
BTCUSD ( BitStamp ) 1 Day Timeframe : SMA, Fast length 18 bars, Slow length 51 bars => 19,507x net profit
BTCUSD ( BitStamp ) 1 Day Timeframe : RMA, Fast length 20 bars, Slow length 52 bars => 5,729x net profit
BTCUSD ( BitStamp ) 1 Day Timeframe : WMA, Fast length 29 bars, Slow length 60 bars => 19,869x net profit
Features:
-You can choose your preferred moving average: SMA , EMA , WMA , RMA & VWMA .
-You can change the length average for each moving average
-I made the background color Green when you're currently in a long position and Red when not. I made it so you can see when you'd be actively in a trade or not. The Red and Green background colors can be toggled on/off in order to see other indicators more clearly overlayed in the chart, or if you prefer a cleaner look on your charts.
-I also have a plot of the Fast moving average and Slow moving average together. The Opening moving average is Purple, the Closing moving average is White. White on top is a sign of a potential upswing and purple on top is a sign of a potential downswing. I've made this also able to be toggled on/off.
Let me know if you think I should change anything with my script, I'm always open to constructive criticism so feel free to comment below :)
VXD Cloud Edition for Python-Binance-bots.VXD Cloud Edition for Python-Binance-bots.
to overcome sideways market conditions this cloud configured for low timeframe.
every TA is same as VXD Cloud Edition but custom alert message for bots.
Risk:Reward Calculation
Risk of Ruin Setting can now selected between Fixed $ or %
if Buy your Stoploss will be Swing low
if Sell your Stoploss will be Swing high and can be setting at Pivot Setting
then Auto Position Sizing and TP line will be calculated form there and will show in Orange color line (Draw Position Box is available)
Tailing SL when price greater than RR=1
Alert Setting
{{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Python-Bot
github.com
There are 2 mode : one-way mode and hedge mode is different script in my Github profile.
read README.MD and there's video tutorial in thai language.
Pls study app.py and it's script before deploy for your own safty and your own risk, I'm NOT responsible for your loss.
Close v Open Moving Averages Strategy (Variable) [divonn1994]This is a simple moving average based strategy that works well with a few different coin pairings. It takes the moving average 'opening' price and plots it, then takes the moving average 'closing' price and plots it, and then decides to enter a 'long' position or exit it based on whether the two lines have crossed each other. The reasoning is that it 'enters' a position when the average closing price is increasing. This could indicate upwards momentum in prices in the future. It then exits the position when the average closing price is decreasing. This could indicate downwards momentum in prices in the future. This is only speculative, though, but sometimes it can be a very good indicator/strategy to predict future action.
What I've found is that there are a lot of coins that respond very well when the appropriate combination of: 1) type of moving average is chosen (EMA, SMA, RMA, WMA or VWMA) & 2) number of previous bars averaged (typically 10 - 250 bars) are chosen.
Depending on the coin.. each combination of MA and Number of Bars averaged can have completely different levels of success.
Example of Usage:
An example would be that the VWMA works well for BTCUSD (BitStamp), but it has different successfulness based on the time frame. For the 12 hour bar timeframe, with the 66 bar average with the VWMA I found the most success. The next best successful combo I've found is for the 1 Day bar timeframe with the 35 bar average with the VWMA.. They both have a moving average that records about a month, but each have a different successfulness. Below are a few pair combos I think are noticeable because of the net profit, but there are also have a lot of potential coins with different combos:
It's interesting to see the strategy tester change as you change the settings. The below pairs are just some of the most interesting examples I've found, but there might be other combos I haven't even tried on different coin pairs..
Some strategy settings:
BTCUSD (BitStamp) 12 Hr Timeframe : 66 bars, VWMA=> 10,387x net profit
BTCUSD (BitStamp) 1 Day Timeframe : 35 bars, VWMA=> 7,805x net profit
BNBUSD (Binance) 12 Hr Timeframe : 27 bars, VWMA => 15,484x net profit
ETHUSD (BitStamp) 16 Hr Timeframe : 60 bars, SMA => 5,498x net profit
XRPUSD (BitStamp) 16 Hr Timeframe : 33 bars, SMA => 10,178x net profit
I only chose these coin/combos because of their insane net profit factors. There are far more coins with lower net profits but more reliable trade histories.
Also, usually when I want to see which of these strategies might work for a coin pairing I will check between the different Moving Average types, for example the EMA or the SMA, then I also check between the moving average lengths (the number of bars calculated) to see which is most profitable over time.
Features:
-You can choose your preferred moving average: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA & VWMA.
-You can also adjust the previous number of calculated bars for each moving average.
-I made the background color Green when you're currently in a long position and Red when not. I made it so you can see when you'd be actively in a trade or not. The Red and Green background colors can be toggled on/off in order to see other indicators more clearly overlayed in the chart, or if you prefer a cleaner look on your charts.
-I also have a plot of the Open moving average and Close moving average together. The Opening moving average is Purple, the Closing moving average is White. White on top is a sign of a potential upswing and purple on top is a sign of a potential downswing. I've made this also able to be toggled on/off.
Please, comment interesting pairs below that you've found for everyone :) thank you!
I will post more pairs with my favorite settings as well. I'll also be considering the quality of the trades.. for example: net profit, total trades, percent profitable, profit factor, trade window and max drawdown.
*if anyone can figure out how to change the date range, I woul really appreciate the help. It confuses me -_- *
Inside Bar SetupScript Details
- This script plots Inside Bar for given day in selected time-frame (applicable only for Timeframes < Day)
- Basis plotted inside bar, relevant targets are marked on the chart
- Targets can be customised from script settings. Example, if range of mother candle is 10 points, then T1 is 10 * x above/below mother candle and T2 is 10 * y above/below mother candle. This x & y are configured via script settings
How to use this script ?
- This script works well on 10-15 mins timeframe for stocks, 15/30 mins timeframe for nifty index and 30/60 mins time frame for bank nifty index
- If mother candle high is broken, take long trade with SL of mother candle low and if low is broken, take short trade with SL of mother candle high
Remember:
1. Above logic is to be combined with support/resistances i.e. price action. This script is an add-on to price action analysis giving you more conviction.
2. If range of mother candle is very high, it is recommended to avoid the trade.
3. Basis inside bar formed on higher time frame, take trade on basis of lower time frame i.e if inside bar is formed on 60 mins, take trade on the basis of 10-15 mins time frame
Example:
1. As seen in the chart, Nifty is near it's resistance and we are seeing Inside Bar being formed, In such scenario, even if High of Mother Candle is broken, we should be more interested to short as we are near resistance and probability of getting our targets in long side is less.
2. So, if I see breakdown of mother candle i.e. price going below low of mother candle, we will short with SL of high of mother candle.
3. As seen in the chart, both the targets are achieved.
Additional Info:
1. Targets on Long/Short Side can be configured via settings. For indices 1 times/1.5 times the range works well.
2. This script plots targets basis the first inside bar formed in the day for selected time frame.
3. Inside bars formed through out the day are coloured separately but lines are plotted only on the basis of 1st formed inside bar as this strategy works well for the first formed inside bar)
4. Don't forget to check volume in case of breakout/breakdown.
Note:
1. Mother Candle - First Candle of Inside Bar
2. Child Candle - Candle formed inside Mother Candle (Second Candle of Inside Bar)
Happy Trading :)
DCA Average Arbitrage - The Quant ScienceDCA Average Arbitrage - The Quant Science™ is a quantitative algorithm based on a DCA model that uses averaging to create a statistical arbitrage system.
DESCRIPTION
The algorithm can be set long or short.
1. Long algorithm: opens long positions with 100% of the capital every time the price deviates negatively for a certain percentage distance from the average.
2. Short algorithm: opens short positions with 100% of capital every time the price deviates positively for a certain percentage distance from the average.
The closing of positions depends on the parameters activated by the user. The user can set the closing on the reverse condition and/or add functions such as stop loss, take profit and closing after a certain bar period.
USER INTERFACE SETTING
The user chooses the long or short direction and sets the parameters for average as length, source and percent distance.
AUTO TRADING COMPLIANT
With the user interface, the trader can easily set up this algorithm for automatic trading. Automating it is very simple, activate the alert functions and enter the links generated by your broker.
BACKTESTING INCLUDED
With the user interface, the trader can adjust the backtesting period of the strategy before putting it live. You can analyze large periods such as years or months or focus on short-term periods.
NO LIMIT TIMEFRAME
This algorithm can be used on all timeframes and is ideal for lower timeframes.
GENERAL FEATURES
Multi-strategy: the algorithm can apply either the long strategy or the short strategy.
Built-in alerts: the algorithm contains alerts that can be customized from the user interface.
Integrated indicator: the quantity indicator is included.
Backtesting included: automatic backtesting of the strategy is generated based on the values set.
Auto-trading compliant: functions for auto trading are included.
ABOUT THE BACKTEST
Backtesting refers to the period 1 January 2022 - today, ticker: ICP/USDT, timeframe 5 minutes.
Initial capital: $1000.00
Commission per trade: 0.03%
TriexDev - SuperBuySellTrendMinimal but powerful.
Have been using this for myself, so thought it would be nice to share publicly. Of course no script is correct 100% of the time, but this is one of if not the best in my basic tools.
Two indicators will appear, the default ATR multipliers are already set for what I believe to be perfect for this particular (double indicator) strategy.
If you want to break it yourself (I couldn't find anything that tested more accurately myself), you can do so in the settings.
Basic rundown:
A single Buy/Sell indicator in the dim colour; may be setting a direction change, or just healthy movement.
When the brighter Buy/Sell indicator appears; it often means that a change in direction (uptrend or downtrend) is confirmed.
You can see here, there was a (brighter) green indicator which flipped down then up into a (brighter) red sell indicator which set the downtrend. Once you understand the basics of how it works - it can become a very useful tool in your trading arsenal.
Typically I will use this and other indicators to confirm likeliness of a direction change prior to the brighter/confirmation one appearing - but just going by the 2nd(brighter) indicators, have found it to be surprisingly accurate.
Tends to work well on virtually all timeframes, but personally prefer to use it on 5min,15min,1hr, 4hr, daily, weekly. Will still work for shorter/other timeframes, but may be more accurate on mid ones.
Statistical Correlation Algorithm - The Quant ScienceStatistical Correlation Algorithm - The Quant Science™ is a quantitative trading algorithm.
ALGORITHM DESCRIPTION
This algorithm analyses the correlation ratios between two assets. The main asset (on the chart), and the secondary asset (set by the user). Then apply the long or short trading strategy.
The algorithm divides trading work into three parts:
1. Correlation analysis
2. Long or short entry
3. Closing trades
Inside the strategy: the algorithm analyses the percentage change yields from a previous session, of the secondary asset. If the variation meets the set condition then it will open a long or short position, on the primary asset. The open position is closed after 'x' number of sessions. Stop loss and take profit can be added to the trade exit parameters.
Logic: analyses the correlation between two assets and looks for a statistical advantage within the correlation.
INDICATOR DESCRIPTION
The algorithm includes a quantitative indicator. This indicator is used for correlation analysis and offers a quick reading of the quantitative data. The blue area shows the correlation ratio values. The yellow histograms show the percentage change in the yields of the main asset. Purple histograms show the percentage change in secondary asset yields.
GENERAL FEATURES
Multi time-frame: the user can set any time-frame for the secondary asset.
Multi asset: the user analyses the conditions on a second asset.
Multi-strategy: the algorithm can apply either the long strategy or the short strategy.
Built-in alerts: the algorithm contains alerts that can be customized from the user interface.
Integrated indicator: the quantity indicator is included.
Backtesting included: automatic backtesting of the strategy is generated based on the values set.
Auto-trading compliant: functions for auto trading are included.
USER INTERFACE SETTINGS
Through the intuitive user interface, you can manage all the parameters of this algorithm without any programming experience. The user interface is extremely descriptive and contains all the information needed to understand the logic of the algorithm and to configure it correctly.
1. Date range: through this function you can adjust the analysis and working period of the algorithm.
2. Asset: through this function you can adjust the secondary asset and its time-frame. You can enter any type of asset, even indices and economic indicators.
3. Asset details: this function is used to adjust the percentage change to be analyzed on the secondary asset. The analysis and input conditions are also chosen.
4. Active long or short strategy: this function is used to set the type of strategy to be used, long or short.
5. Setting algo trading alert: with this function, users can manage alerts for their web-hook.
6. Exit&Money management: with this function the user can adjust the exit periods of each trade and activate or deactivate any stop losses and take profits.
7. Data Value Analysis: this function is used to adjust the parameters for the quantity indicator.
VIDYA Trend StrategyOne of the most common messages I get is people reaching out asking for quantitative strategies that trade cryptocurrency. This has compelled me to write this script and article, to help provide a quantitative/technical perspective on why I believe most strategies people write for crypto fail catastrophically, and how one might build measures within their strategies that help reduce the risk of that happening. For those that don't trade crypto, know that these approaches are applicable to any market.
I will start off by qualifying up that I mainly trade stocks and ETFs, and I believe that if you trade crypto, you should only be playing with money you are okay with losing. Most published crypto strategies I have seen "work" when the market is going up, and fail catastrophically when it is not. There are far more people trying to sell you a strategy than there are people providing 5-10+ year backtest results on their strategies, with slippage and commissions included, showing how they generated alpha and beat buy/hold. I understand that this community has some really talented people that can create some really awesome things, but I am saying that the vast majority of what you find on the internet will not be strategies that create alpha over the long term.
So, why do so many of these strategies fail?
There is an assumption many people make that cryptocurrency will act just like stocks and ETFs, and it does not. ETF returns have more of a Gaussian probability distribution. Because of this, ETFs have a short term mean reverting behavior that can be capitalized on consistently. Many technical indicators are built to take advantage of this on the equities market. Many people apply them to crypto. Many of those people are drawn down 60-70% right now while there are mean reversion strategies up YTD on equities, even though the equities market is down. Crypto has many more "tail events" that occur 3-4+ standard deviations from the mean.
There is a correlation in many equities and ETF markets for how long an asset continues to do well when it is currently doing well. This is known as momentum, and that correlation and time-horizon is different for different assets. Many technical indicators are built based on this behavior, and then people apply them to cryptocurrency with little risk management assuming they behave the same and and on the same time horizon, without pulling in the statistics to verify if that is actually the case. They do not.
People do not take into account the brokerage commissions and slippage. Brokerage commissions are particularly high with cryptocurrency. The irony here isn't lost to me. When you factor in trading costs, it blows up most short-term trading strategies that might otherwise look profitable.
There is an assumption that it will "always come back" and that you "HODL" through the crash and "buy more." This is why Three Arrows Capital, a $10 billion dollar crypto hedge fund is now in bankruptcy, and no one can find the owners. This is also why many that trade crypto are drawn down 60-70% right now. There are bad risk practices in place, like thinking the martingale gambling strategy is the same as dollar cost averaging while also using those terms interchangeably. They are not the same. The 1st will blow up your trade account, and the 2nd will reduce timing risk. Many people are systematically blowing up their trade accounts/strategies by using martingale and calling it dollar cost averaging. The more risk you are exposing yourself too, the more important your risk management strategy is.
There is an odd assumption some have that you can buy anything and win with technical/quantitative analysis. Technical analysis does not tell you what you should buy, it just tells you when. If you are running a strategy that is going long on an asset that lost 80% of its value in the last year, then your strategy is probably down. That same strategy might be up on a different asset. One might consider a different methodology on choosing assets to trade.
Lastly, most strategies are over-fit, or curve-fit. The more complicated and more parameters/settings you have in your model, the more likely it is just fit to historical data and will not perform similar in live trading. This is one of the reasons why I like simple models with few parameters. They are less likely to be over-fit to historical data. If the strategy only works with 1 set of parameters, and there isn't a range of parameters around it that create alpha, then your strategy is over-fit and is probably not suitable for live trading.
So, what can I do about all of this!?
I created the VIDYA Trend Strategy to provide an example of how one might create a basic model with a basic risk management strategy that might generate long term alpha on a volatile asset, like cryptocurrency. This is one (of many) risk management strategies that can reduce the volatility of your returns when trading any asset. I chose the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA) for this example because it's calculation filters out some market noise by taking into account the volatility of the underlying asset. I chose a trend following strategy because regressions are capturing behaviors that are not just specific to the equities market.
The more volatile an asset, the more you have to back-off the short term price movement to effectively trend-follow it. Otherwise, you are constantly buying into short term trends that don't represent the trend of the asset, then they reverse and loose money. This is why I am applying a trend following strategy to a 4 hour chart and not a 4 minute chart. It is also important to note that following these long term trends on a volatile asset exposes you to additional risk. So, how might one mitigate some of that risk?
One of the ways of reducing timing risk is scaling into a trade. This is different from "doubling down" or "trippling down." It is really a basic application of dollar cost averaging to reduce timing risk, although DCA would typically happen over a longer time period. If it is really a trend you are following, it will probably still be a trend tomorrow. Trend following strategies have lower win rates because the beginning of a trend often reverses. The more volatile the asset, the more likely that is to happen. However, we can reduce risk of buying into a reversal by slowly scaling into the trend with a small % of equity per trade.
Our example "VIDYA Trend Strategy" executes this by looking at a medium-term, volatility adjusted trend on a 4 hour chart. The script scales into it with 4% of the account equity every 4-hours that the trend is still up. This means you become fully invested after 25 trades/bars. It also means that early in the trade, when you might be more likely to experience a reversal, most of your account equity is not invested and those losses are much smaller. The script sells 100% of the position when it detects a trend reversal. The slower you scale into a trade, the less volatile your equity curve will be. This model also includes slippage and commissions that you can adjust under the "settings" menu.
This fundamental concept of reducing timing risk by scaling into a trade can be applied to any market.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
LudovicaLudovica is a trend following strategy that works on intraday timeframes (15 minutes).
The stop loss is decided based on the last price movement, take profits are projected through a Fibonacci extension. Two different extensions are calculated, based on a filter that affects the last price movement it is chosen which one to use for take profits.
Money management is fixed fractional: regardless of the distance between entry point and stop loss, the risk on capital for each trade is decided by the user in the strategy inputs. Take profits from 1 to 4 plan to exit with 15% of the initial size, TPs from 5 to 8 plan to exit with 10% of initial size.
There is a trailing stop system to reduce the drawdown of the strategy (note that stop loss moves as the trade develops).
Take profits are limit orders, stops (loss or trailing) occur at candlestick close (set alerts on the strategy).
Optimized strategies selectable from input panel:
-ETHUSDTPERP 15 min
-CRVUSDTPERP 15 min v1
-CRVUSDTPERP 15 min v2
-SNXUSDTPERP 15 min
Other pairs in development and soon available.
This strategy is in beta stage.
Breakout Probability (Expo)█ Overview
Breakout Probability is a valuable indicator that calculates the probability of a new high or low and displays it as a level with its percentage. The probability of a new high and low is backtested, and the results are shown in a table— a simple way to understand the next candle's likelihood of a new high or low. In addition, the indicator displays an additional four levels above and under the candle with the probability of hitting these levels.
The indicator helps traders to understand the likelihood of the next candle's direction, which can be used to set your trading bias.
█ Calculations
The algorithm calculates all the green and red candles separately depending on whether the previous candle was red or green and assigns scores if one or more lines were reached. The algorithm then calculates how many candles reached those levels in history and displays it as a percentage value on each line.
█ Example
In this example, the previous candlestick was green; we can see that a new high has been hit 72.82% of the time and the low only 28.29%. In this case, a new high was made.
█ Settings
Percentage Step
The space between the levels can be adjusted with a percentage step. 1% means that each level is located 1% above/under the previous one.
Disable 0.00% values
If a level got a 0% likelihood of being hit, the level is not displayed as default. Enable the option if you want to see all levels regardless of their values.
Number of Lines
Set the number of levels you want to display.
Show Statistic Panel
Enable this option if you want to display the backtest statistics for that a new high or low is made. (Only if the first levels have been reached or not)
█ Any Alert function call
An alert is sent on candle open, and you can select what should be included in the alert. You can enable the following options:
Ticker ID
Bias
Probability percentage
The first level high and low price
█ How to use
This indicator is a perfect tool for anyone that wants to understand the probability of a breakout and the likelihood that set levels are hit.
The indicator can be used for setting a stop loss based on where the price is most likely not to reach.
The indicator can help traders to set their bias based on probability. For example, look at the daily or a higher timeframe to get your trading bias, then go to a lower timeframe and look for setups in that direction.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Trend trader + STC [CHFIF] - CV This script is my first strategy script coupling the Trend trader (indicator developed by Andrew Abraham in the Trading the Trend article of TASC September 1998.) and Schaff Trend Cycle . The STC indicator is widely used to identify trends and their directions. It is sometimes used by traders to predict trend reversals as well. Based on the movement of the Schaff Trend Cycle , buy or sell signals are generated, which are then used by traders to initiate either long or short positions.
Around I built a user interface to help you in creating a customized strategy to your need.
My idea behind doing this was to make customizable parameters and back testing easier than manually with a lot of flexibility and options. More possibility we have, more solutions we find right? So I started this script few weeks ago to be my first script (second in reality, but first to be published.)
Strategy it self is made out of 2 simple step:
1→ STC gives a Buy/Sell signal.
2→Price is closing above the TT (Buy) or below (Sell) and the signal is the same as given by the STC .
To complete your strategy in order to reach the best result, I added few options:
→ Money management: Define the type of risk you want to take (entry risk will always risk the same percentage of your portfolio disregarding the size of the SL, Fix amount of money, fix amount of the capital (portfolio). NOTE: Margin is not coded yet, target is to show liquidation price. Please keep an eye on the releases to know when it is released.
→ Stop loss and Take profit management: Define the type of target you want to use (ATR, fixed percentage, pivots points) and even customise different take profit level or activate the trailing. Each type of target is customizable via the menu
→ Moving average: You can also complete the strategy using different moving average. To draw it tick the box on the left, to use it in the calculation of the result, tick the box "Price>MA" in front of the needed EMA . You can select different type of MA ( SMA , EMA , DEMA , TEMA , RMA, HMA , WMA , VWAP , VWMA , etc...)
→ RSI: 4 possible approach to use the RSI to complement the strategy:
• OB/OS => short position will be taken only if RSI goes under the lower limit. Long if the RSI goes above the limit. Ticking confirmation will wait to cross back the limit to validate the condition
• Rev OB/OS => Short will be taken if RSI is below lower limit and stays below. Long will be taken if RSI is above upper limit and stays above.
• MA dominance => RSI has to be above MA for long, below for short. Confirmation box ticked requires 2 bars with the RSI on a side to validate signal.
• MA Dominance + limit => It is a combination of the requirement of the provious option and also Rev. OB/OS
→ Volume confirmation => This will consider the volume MA for entry confirmation. The volume will have to be above the MA define by the value entered in the field.
→ Waddah Attar explosion indicator can also be used as a filter for entries in this way:
• Explosion line > dead zone to validate entries
• Trend > dead zone to validate entry
• Both > dead zone is a compound of both rules above to get entry confirmation
→ ADX can also be used as a filter. I added 2 Threshold in order to have a minimum level of acceptance for valid entry but also a maximum level.
When your strategy is setup, you can setup alerts and I would recommend to setup the date range before doing the alerts. Why? Simply because the script do not cover pyramiding and will give a signal only if a trade is not ongoing.
In setting up the sessions at which you would want to trade, no signal within those range can be missed. You can setup 2 sessions, the days and also the global range of backtesting.
Strategy BackTest Display Statistics - TraderHalaiThis script was born out of my quest to be able to display strategy back test statistics on charts to allow for easier backtesting on devices that do not natively support backtest engine (such as mobile phones, when I am backtesting from away from my computer). There are already a few good ones on TradingView, but most / many are too complicated for my needs.
Found an excellent display backtest engine by 'The Art of Trading'. This script is a snippet of his hard work, with some very minor tweaks and changes. Much respect to the original author.
Full credit to the original author of this script. It can be found here: www.tradingview.com
I decided to modify the script by simplifying it down and make it easier to integrate into existing strategies, using simple copy and paste, by relying on existing tradingview strategy backtester inputs. I have also added 3 additional performance metrics:
- Max Run Up
- Average Win per trade
- Average Loss per trade
As this is a work in progress, I will look to add in more performance metrics in future, as I further develop this script.
Feel free to use this display panel in your scripts and strategies.
Thanks and enjoy :)
Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on Chart - TraderHalai BACKTESTSmoothed Heikin Ashi Trend on chart - Backtest
This is a backtest of the Smoothed Heikin Ashi Trend indicator, which computes the reverse candle close price required to flip a Heikin Ashi trend from red to green and vice versa. The original indicator can be found in the scripts section of my profile.
This particular back test uses this indicator with a Trend following paradigm with a percentage-based stop loss.
Note, that backtesting performance is not always indicative of future performance, but it does provide some basis for further development and walk-forward / live testing.
Testing was performed on Bitcoin , as this is a primary target market for me to use this kind of strategy.
Sample Backtesting results as of 10th June 2022:
Backtesting parameters:
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 1% below entry
Short stop: 1% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1046
Gross Return: 249.27 %
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 28.01 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.019
Average Loss: 0.33 %
Average Win: 1.69 %
Average Time for Loss: 1 day
Average Time for Win: 5.33 days
1 Day:
Number of Trades: 429
Gross Return: 458.4 %
CAGR Return: 15.76 %
Max Drawdown: 6.37 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 2.804
Average Loss: 0.8 %
Average Win: 7.2 %
Average Time for Loss: 3 days
Average Time for Win: 16 days
5 Day:
Number of Trades: 69
Gross Return: 1614.9 %
CAGR Return: 26.7 %
Max Drawdown: 5.7 %
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 10.451
Average Loss: 3.64 %
Average Win: 81.17 %
Average Time for Loss: 15 days
Average Time for Win: 85 days
Analysis:
The strategy is typical amongst trend following strategies with a less regular win rate, but where profits are more significant than losses. Most of the losses are in sideways, low volatility markets. This strategy performs better on higher timeframes, where it shows a positive expectancy of the strategy.
The average win was positively impacted by Bitcoin’s earlier smaller market cap, as the percentage wins earlier were higher.
Overall the strategy shows potential for further development and may be suitable for walk-forward testing and out of sample analysis to be considered for a demo trading account.
Note in an actual trading setup, you may wish to use this with volatility filters, combined with support resistance zones for a better setup.
As always, this post/indicator/strategy is not financial advice, and please do your due diligence before trading this live.
Original indicator links:
On chart version -
Oscillator version -
Update - 27/06/2022
Unfortunately, It appears that the original script had been taken down due to auto-moderation because of concerns with no slippage / commission. I have since adjusted the backtest, and re-uploaded to include the following to address these concerns, and show that I am genuinely trying to give back to the community and not mislead anyone:
1) Include commission of 0.1% - to match Binance's maker fees prior to moving to a fee-less model.
2) Include slippage of 10 ticks (This is a realistic slippage figure from searching online for most crypto exchanges)
3) Adjust account balance to 10,000 - since most of us are not millionaires.
The rest of the backtesting parameters are comparable to previous results:
Backtesting parameters:
Initial capital: 10000 dollars
Position size: 10% of equity
Long stop: 2% below entry
Short stop: 2% above entry
Repainting: Off
Smoothing: SMA
Period: 10
Slippage: 10 ticks
Commission: 0.1%
This script still remains to shows viability / profitablity on higher term timeframes (with slightly higher drawdown), and I have included the backtest report below to document my findings:
8 Hour:
Number of Trades: 1082
Gross Return: 233.02%
CAGR Return: 14.04 %
Max Drawdown: 7.9 %
Win percentage: 25.6%
Profit Factor (Expectancy): 1.627
Average Loss: 0.46 %
Average Win: 2.18 %
Average Time for Loss: 1.33 day
Average Time for Win: 7.33 days
Once again, please do your own research and due dillegence before trading this live. This post is for education and information purposes only, and should not be taken as financial advice.
STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones BT [Loxx]STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones BT is the backtest strategy for "STD-Filterd, R-squared Adaptive T3 w/ Dynamic Zones " seen below:
Included:
This backtest uses a special implementation of ATR and ATR smoothing called "True Range Double" which is a range calculation that accounts for volatility skew.
You can set the backtest to 1-2 take profits with stop-loss
Signals can't exit on the same candle as the entry, this is coded in a way for 1-candle delay post entry
This should be coupled with the INDICATOR version linked above for the alerts and signals. Strategies won't paint the signal "L" or "S" until the entry actually happens, but indicators allow this, which is repainting on current candle, but this is an FYI if you want to get serious with Pinescript algorithmic botting
You can restrict the backtest by dates
It is advised that you understand what Heikin-Ashi candles do to strategies, the default settings for this backtest is NON Heikin-Ashi candles but you have the ability to change that in the source selection
This is a mathematically heavy, heavy-lifting strategy with multi-layered adaptivity. Make sure you do your own research so you understand what is happening here. This can be used as its own trading system without any other oscillators, moving average baselines, or volatility/momentum confirmation indicators.
What is the T3 moving average?
Better Moving Averages Tim Tillson
November 1, 1998
Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
Introduction
"Digital filtering includes the process of smoothing, predicting, differentiating, integrating, separation of signals, and removal of noise from a signal. Thus many people who do such things are actually using digital filters without realizing that they are; being unacquainted with the theory, they neither understand what they have done nor the possibilities of what they might have done."
This quote from R. W. Hamming applies to the vast majority of indicators in technical analysis . Moving averages, be they simple, weighted, or exponential, are lowpass filters; low frequency components in the signal pass through with little attenuation, while high frequencies are severely reduced.
"Oscillator" type indicators (such as MACD , Momentum, Relative Strength Index ) are another type of digital filter called a differentiator.
Tushar Chande has observed that many popular oscillators are highly correlated, which is sensible because they are trying to measure the rate of change of the underlying time series, i.e., are trying to be the first and second derivatives we all learned about in Calculus.
We use moving averages (lowpass filters) in technical analysis to remove the random noise from a time series, to discern the underlying trend or to determine prices at which we will take action. A perfect moving average would have two attributes:
It would be smooth, not sensitive to random noise in the underlying time series. Another way of saying this is that its derivative would not spuriously alternate between positive and negative values.
It would not lag behind the time series it is computed from. Lag, of course, produces late buy or sell signals that kill profits.
The only way one can compute a perfect moving average is to have knowledge of the future, and if we had that, we would buy one lottery ticket a week rather than trade!
Having said this, we can still improve on the conventional simple, weighted, or exponential moving averages. Here's how:
Two Interesting Moving Averages
We will examine two benchmark moving averages based on Linear Regression analysis.
In both cases, a Linear Regression line of length n is fitted to price data.
I call the first moving average ILRS, which stands for Integral of Linear Regression Slope. One simply integrates the slope of a linear regression line as it is successively fitted in a moving window of length n across the data, with the constant of integration being a simple moving average of the first n points. Put another way, the derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. Note that ILRS is not the same as a SMA ( simple moving average ) of length n, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
We can measure the lag of moving averages with respect to a linear trend by computing how they behave when the input is a line with unit slope. Both SMA (n) and ILRS(n) have lag of n/2, but ILRS is much smoother than SMA .
Our second benchmark moving average is well known, called EPMA or End Point Moving Average. It is the endpoint of the linear regression line of length n as it is fitted across the data. EPMA hugs the data more closely than a simple or exponential moving average of the same length. The price we pay for this is that it is much noisier (less smooth) than ILRS, and it also has the annoying property that it overshoots the data when linear trends are present.
However, EPMA has a lag of 0 with respect to linear input! This makes sense because a linear regression line will fit linear input perfectly, and the endpoint of the LR line will be on the input line.
These two moving averages frame the tradeoffs that we are facing. On one extreme we have ILRS, which is very smooth and has considerable phase lag. EPMA has 0 phase lag, but is too noisy and overshoots. We would like to construct a better moving average which is as smooth as ILRS, but runs closer to where EPMA lies, without the overshoot.
A easy way to attempt this is to split the difference, i.e. use (ILRS(n)+EPMA(n))/2. This will give us a moving average (call it IE /2) which runs in between the two, has phase lag of n/4 but still inherits considerable noise from EPMA. IE /2 is inspirational, however. Can we build something that is comparable, but smoother? Figure 1 shows ILRS, EPMA, and IE /2.
Filter Techniques
Any thoughtful student of filter theory (or resolute experimenter) will have noticed that you can improve the smoothness of a filter by running it through itself multiple times, at the cost of increasing phase lag.
There is a complementary technique (called twicing by J.W. Tukey) which can be used to improve phase lag. If L stands for the operation of running data through a low pass filter, then twicing can be described by:
L' = L(time series) + L(time series - L(time series))
That is, we add a moving average of the difference between the input and the moving average to the moving average. This is algebraically equivalent to:
2L-L(L)
This is the Double Exponential Moving Average or DEMA , popularized by Patrick Mulloy in TASAC (January/February 1994).
In our taxonomy, DEMA has some phase lag (although it exponentially approaches 0) and is somewhat noisy, comparable to IE /2 indicator.
We will use these two techniques to construct our better moving average, after we explore the first one a little more closely.
Fixing Overshoot
An n-day EMA has smoothing constant alpha=2/(n+1) and a lag of (n-1)/2.
Thus EMA (3) has lag 1, and EMA (11) has lag 5. Figure 2 shows that, if I am willing to incur 5 days of lag, I get a smoother moving average if I run EMA (3) through itself 5 times than if I just take EMA (11) once.
This suggests that if EPMA and DEMA have 0 or low lag, why not run fast versions (eg DEMA (3)) through themselves many times to achieve a smooth result? The problem is that multiple runs though these filters increase their tendency to overshoot the data, giving an unusable result. This is because the amplitude response of DEMA and EPMA is greater than 1 at certain frequencies, giving a gain of much greater than 1 at these frequencies when run though themselves multiple times. Figure 3 shows DEMA (7) and EPMA(7) run through themselves 3 times. DEMA^3 has serious overshoot, and EPMA^3 is terrible.
The solution to the overshoot problem is to recall what we are doing with twicing:
DEMA (n) = EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))
The second term is adding, in effect, a smooth version of the derivative to the EMA to achieve DEMA . The derivative term determines how hot the moving average's response to linear trends will be. We need to simply turn down the volume to achieve our basic building block:
EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))*.7;
This is algebraically the same as:
EMA (n)*1.7-EMA( EMA (n))*.7;
I have chosen .7 as my volume factor, but the general formula (which I call "Generalized Dema") is:
GD (n,v) = EMA (n)*(1+v)-EMA( EMA (n))*v,
Where v ranges between 0 and 1. When v=0, GD is just an EMA , and when v=1, GD is DEMA . In between, GD is a cooler DEMA . By using a value for v less than 1 (I like .7), we cure the multiple DEMA overshoot problem, at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay. Now we can run GD through itself multiple times to define a new, smoother moving average T3 that does not overshoot the data:
T3(n) = GD ( GD ( GD (n)))
In filter theory parlance, T3 is a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter. Kalman filters are ones which use the error (in this case (time series - EMA (n)) to correct themselves. In Technical Analysis , these are called Adaptive Moving Averages; they track the time series more aggressively when it is making large moves.
What is R-squared Adaptive?
One tool available in forecasting the trendiness of the breakout is the coefficient of determination ( R-squared ), a statistical measurement.
The R-squared indicates linear strength between the security's price (the Y - axis) and time (the X - axis). The R-squared is the percentage of squared error that the linear regression can eliminate if it were used as the predictor instead of the mean value. If the R-squared were 0.99, then the linear regression would eliminate 99% of the error for prediction versus predicting closing prices using a simple moving average .
R-squared is used here to derive a T3 factor used to modify price before passing price through a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included:
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Ultimate Hyper Scalper Strategy [PrismBot] [Lite]💎 Prism Core Initial Release
ver 3.4.r379
This strategy is built on on a modified and reworked older version of the Waddah Attar Explosion strategy. It contains several confluence indicators such as Triple EMAs, volume, consolidation, ADX, and Bull Bear Power.
The Waddah Attar Indicator strategy is based on the following conditions:
LONG
trend is up
explosion line is greater than the dead zone line or a set threshold
SHORT
trend is down
explosion line is greater than the dead zone line or a set threshold
While this is a very simple strategy on the surface, the WAE indicator is great for finding strong trending markets and as it can be considered high frequency, can be paired with other confluence such as the ADX indicator to find high volatility movements.
This strategy also contains a myriad of custom order features, such as controlling the type of position sizes you open with Risk %, volatility, ATR based stops, and much more.
If you have any questions about this strategy or its features, you can ask in the comments below, or DM me here on Tradingview.
