A probability cone is an indicator that forecasts a statistical distribution from a set point in time into the future.
Forecast a Standard or Laplace distribution.
Change the how many bars the cones will lookback and sample in their calculations.
Set how many bars to forecast the cones.
Let the cones follow price from a set number of bars back.
Based on historical data (rather than theory), calculates the probability of a price level being "touched" within a given time frame. A "touch" means that price exceeded that level at some point. The parameters are:
- level: the "level" to be touched. it can be a number of points, percentage points, or standard deviations away from the mark price. a positive...
A brand new Moving Average , calculated using Momentum, Acceleration and Probability (Psychological Effect).
Momentum adjusted Moving Average(MaMA) is an indicator that measures Price Action by taking into consideration not only Price movements but also its Momentum, Acceleration and Probability. MaMA, provides faster responses comparing to the regular Moving...
The Omega Ratio is a risk-return performance measure of an investment asset, portfolio, or strategy. It is defined as the probability-weighted ratio, of gains versus losses for some threshold return target . The ratio is an alternative for the widely used Sharpe ratio and is based on information the Sharpe ratio discards.
As we have mentioned...
Cumulative distribution function (tScore and zScore)
This script provides the calculation of the cumulative distribution function (i.e., probability). The measure allows you to calculate the chances of a value of interest being above or below a hypothesized value over the measurement period—nothing fancy here, just good old statistics and mathematics. The closer...
CAUTION : Not suitable for strategy, open to development.
If can we separate the stagnant market from other markets, can we be so much more accurate?
This project was written to research it. It is just the tiny part of the begining.
And this is a very necessary but very small side function in the main function. Lets start :
Hi users, I had this idea in my mind...
This is an open source and updated version of my previous "Confidence Interval" script. This script provides you with the expected range over a given time period in the future and the skew of that range. For example, if you wanted to know the expected 1 standard deviation range of MSFT over the next 20 days, this will tell you that. Additionally, this script will...
erf(value) Complementary error function
value : float, value to test.
ierf_mcgiles(value) Computes the inverse error function using the Mc Giles method, sacrifices accuracy for speed.
value : float, -1.0 >= _value >= 1.0 range, value to test.
Probability Distribution Histogram
During data exploration it is often useful to plot the distribution of the data one is exploring. This indicator plots the distribution of data between different bins.
Essentially, what we do is we look at the min and max of the entire data set to determine its range. When we have the range of the data, we decide how many...
First of all the biggest thanks to @tista and @KivancOzbilgic for publishing their open source public indicators Bayesian BBSMA + nQQE Oscillator. And a mighty round of applause for @MarkBench for once again being my superhero pinescript guy that puts these awesome combination Ideas and ES stradegies in my head together. Now let me go ahead and explain what we...
Deriving the indicator:
PAI is an indicator I created that tells you the probability of current price moving a specified ATR distance over a specified number of periods into the future. It takes into account 4 variables: the ATR & the standard deviation of price, and the 2 parameters: ATR distance and # bars (time).
The formula is very complex so I will not be...
Pattern Recognition Probabilities (PRP) is a REALLY smart indicator. It uses the correlation coefficient formula to determine if the current set of bars resembles that of past patterns. It counts the number of times the current pattern has occurred in the past and looks at how it performed historically to determine the probability of an up move, down move,...
The script is inspired by user NickbarComb, I suggested checking out his Price Convergence script.
Basically, this script plots a table containing the probability of the current candle closing either higher or lower based on user-define past period.
Hope that it will be helpful.
It's my birthday today! Just turned 20, so I decided to make another indicator. There's not very many indicators on TV that calculate pure probability. Many indicators on TV have the word "Probability" in their titles but they don't actually calculate probability...I call them "false titles". This indicator aims to change that. This is the indicator that every...
The script draws a moving average which responds to trend changes extraordinary fast!
It's calculated using Momentum, Acceleration and Probability (Psychological Effect) by interfering the Golden Ratio!
I got the idea thanks to Tradingview user DGT (dgtrd) and his/her excellent descriptions.
The indicator is simplified for users and the default settings work...
Fisher dönüşümün farklı türlerini en çok kullanılan indikartörlerle yeniden sentezlenmesi sonucu ve farklı ema kesimlerine olasılık dağılım yoğunluğu eklenerek içinde bulunan piyasanın trend gücünü görseleştirme amaçlanmıştır.Çalışma tamamen eğitim amaçlı olup, farklı indikatörlerin bir arada kullanımını göstermek için hazırlanmıştır.Kesinlikle yatırım tavsiyesi...