Equity CurveAn equity curve is a graphical representation of the change in the value of a trading account over a time period. The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment.
This indicator takes traders daily account values as a comma separated list, and creates an equity curve and simple moving average of the equity curve. This serves as a mirror reflecting the outcome of past actions and decisions, guiding traders in fine-tuning their strategies, managing risk more effectively, and ultimately striving towards a consistently profitable trading journey.
New equity values should be added to the end of the current list. A space or no space after the comma has no effect.
Importance of the Equity Curve
Strategy Evaluation: The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness over time. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment.
Risk Management: Monitoring the equity curve helps traders to see the impact of their risk management practices. Sudden drops in equity could highlight instances of excessive risk-taking or inadequate stop-loss settings.
Performance Benchmarks: Comparing the equity curve against benchmarks or desired performance goals allows traders to assess if they are meeting, exceeding, or falling short of their trading objectives.
Psychology: Trading is as much about psychology as it is about strategy. A visual representation of one's equity curve helps maintain discipline, encouraging adherence to a trading plan during downturns and preventing overconfidence during upswings.
Having this data visually allows traders to see which category of trader they fall into.
Unprofitable
Boom or Bust
Profitable
Statistical Data
The indicator not only plots the equity curve and moving average, but includes the option to display the highest value reached by the equity curve, the percentage difference from the peak, and performance over selected periods (All Time, YTD, QTD, MTD, WTD).
Historical Analysis
The Equity Curve Indicator is not just a tool for real-time monitoring of trading performance; it also serves as a powerful instrument for conducting historical analysis. By analyzing the equity curve in conjunction with historical market conditions, traders can identify patterns or triggers that resulted in significant gains or losses.
For example, the chart below shows the equity curve overlaid on periods of net new highs / lows. The equity curve experienced declines while the market was showing net new lows or choppy periods (represented by a red or white background), while most of the equity gains were made while net new highs were present (green background).
This retrospective analysis helps in understanding how different market conditions impact trading strategies and performance.
Trading the Equity Curve
All trading strategies produce an equity curve that has winning and losing periods. In the example above, the trader could introduce a simple rule to lighten up on long positions or move to cash during periods of net new lows.
Another simple rule could be introduced to stop trading if the equity curve falls below the moving average, until favorable market conditions return again.
This indicator is intended to be used on the daily timeframe.
Gestión de carteras
Danger Signals from The Trading MindwheelThe " Danger Signals " indicator, a collaborative creation from the minds at Amphibian Trading and MARA Wealth, serves as your vigilant lookout in the volatile world of stock trading. Drawing from the wisdom encapsulated in "The Trading Mindwheel" and the successful methodologies of legends like William O'Neil and Mark Minervini, this tool is engineered to safeguard your trading journey.
Core Features:
Real-Time Alerts: Identify critical danger signals as they emerge in the market. Whether it's a single day of heightened risk or a pattern forming, stay informed with specific danger signals and a tally of signals for comprehensive decision-making support. The indicator looks for over 30 different signals ranging from simple closing ranges to more complex signals like blow off action.
Tailored Insights with Portfolio Heat Integration: Pair with the "Portfolio Heat" indicator to customize danger signals based on your current positions, entry points, and stops. This personalized approach ensures that the insights are directly relevant to your trading strategy. Certain signals can have different meanings based on where your trade is at in its lifecycle. Blow off action at the beginning of a trend can be viewed as strength, while after an extended run could signal an opportunity to lock in profits.
Forward-Looking Analysis: Leverage the 'Potential Danger Signals' feature to assess future risks. Enter hypothetical price levels to understand potential market reactions before they unfold, enabling proactive trade management.
The indicator offers two different modes of 'Potential Danger Signals', Worst Case or Immediate. Worst Case allows the user to input any price and see what signals would fire based on price reaching that level, while the Immediate mode looks for potential Danger Signals that could happen on the next bar.
This is achieved by adding and subtracting the average daily range to the current bars close while also forecasting the next values of moving averages, vwaps, risk multiples and the relative strength line to see if a Danger Signal would trigger.
User Customization: Flexibility is at your fingertips with toggle options for each danger signal. Tailor the indicator to match your unique trading style and risk tolerance. No two traders are the same, that is why each signal is able to be turned on or off to match your trading personality.
Versatile Application: Ideal for growth stock traders, momentum swing traders, and adherents of the CANSLIM methodology. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, this tool aligns with strategies influenced by trading giants.
Validation and Utility:
Inspired by the trade management principles of Michael Lamothe, the " Danger Signals " indicator is more than just a tool; it's a reflection of tested strategies that highlight the importance of risk management. Through rigorous validation, including the insights from "The Trading Mindwheel," this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with an informed, strategic approach.
Whether you're contemplating a new position or evaluating an existing one, the " Danger Signals " indicator is designed to provide the clarity needed to avoid potential pitfalls and capitalize on opportunities with confidence. Embrace a smarter way to trade, where awareness and preparation open the door to success.
Let's dive into each of the components of this indicator.
Volume: Volume refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period. It is a measure of the total trading activity and liquidity, indicating the overall interest in a stock or market.
Price Action: the analysis of historical prices to inform trading decisions, without the use of technical indicators. It focuses on the movement of prices to identify patterns, trends, and potential reversal points in the market.
Relative Strength Line: The RS line is a popular tool used to compare the performance of a stock, typically calculated as the ratio of the stock's price to a benchmark index's price. It helps identify outperformers and underperformers relative to the market or a specific sector. The RS value is calculated by dividing the close price of the chosen stock by the close price of the comparative symbol (SPX by default).
Average True Range (ATR): ATR is a market volatility indicator used to show the average range prices swing over a specified period. It is calculated by taking the moving average of the true ranges of a stock for a specific period. The true range for a period is the greatest of the following three values:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close.
The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close.
Average Daily Range (ADR): ADR is a measure used in trading to capture the average range between the high and low prices of an asset over a specified number of past trading days. Unlike the Average True Range (ATR), which accounts for gaps in the price from one day to the next, the Average Daily Range focuses solely on the trading range within each day and averages it out.
Anchored VWAP: AVWAP gives the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, starting from a specific anchor point. This provides traders with a dynamic average price considering both price and volume from a specific start point, offering insights into the market's direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Moving Averages: Moving Averages smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period of time. It helps traders identify trends by flattening out the fluctuations in price data.
Stochastic: A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The theory behind the stochastic oscillator is that in a market trending upwards, prices will tend to close near their high, and in a market trending downwards, prices close near their low.
While each of these components offer unique insights into market behavior, providing sell signals under specific conditions, the power of combining these different signals lies in their ability to confirm each other's signals. This in turn reduces false positives and provides a more reliable basis for trading decisions
These signals can be recognized at any time, however the indicators power is in it's ability to take into account where a trade is in terms of your entry price and stop.
If a trade just started, it hasn’t earned much leeway. Kind of like a new employee that shows up late on the first day of work. It’s less forgivable than say the person who has been there for a while, has done well, is on time, and then one day comes in late.
Contextual Sensitivity:
For instance, a high volume sell-off coupled with a bearish price action pattern significantly strengthens the sell signal. When the price closes below an Anchored VWAP or a critical moving average in this context, it reaffirms the bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is likely to continue downwards.
By considering the relative strength line (RS) alongside volume and price action, the indicator can differentiate between a normal retracement in a strong uptrend and a when a stock starts to become a laggard.
The integration of ATR and ADR provides a dynamic framework that adjusts to the market's volatility. A sudden increase in ATR or a character change detected through comparing short-term and long-term ADR can alert traders to emerging trends or reversals.
The "Danger Signals" indicator exemplifies the power of integrating diverse technical indicators to create a more sophisticated, responsive, and adaptable trading tool. This approach not only amplifies the individual strengths of each indicator but also mitigates their weaknesses.
Portfolio Heat Indicator can be found by clicking on the image below
Danger Signals Included
Price Closes Near Low - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Weekly Low - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Daily Low on Heavy Volume - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Price Closes Near Weekly Low on Heavy Volume - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Weeks
Price Closes Below Moving Average - Price Closes Below One of 5 Selected Moving Averages
Price Closes Below Swing Low - Price Closes Below Most Recent Swing Low
Price Closes Below 1.5 ATR - Price Closes Below Trailing ATR Stop Based on Highest High of Last 10 Days
Price Closes Below AVWAP - Price Closes Below Selected Anchored VWAP (Anchors include: High of base, Low of base, Highest volume of base, Custom date)
Price Shows Aggressive Selling - Current Bars High is Greater Than Previous Day's High and Closes Near the Lows on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Outside Reversal Bar - Price Makes a New High and Closes Near the Lows, Lower Than the Previous Bar's Low
Price Shows Signs of Stalling - Heavy Volume with a Close of Less than 1%
3 Consecutive Days of Lower Lows - 3 Days of Lower Lows
Close Lower than 3 Previous Lows - Close is Less than 3 Previous Lows
Character Change - ADR of Last Shorter Length is Larger than ADR of Longer Length
Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic - Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic
Fast & Slow Stochastic Curved Down - Both Stochastic Lines Close Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
Lower Lows & Lower Highs Intraday - Lower High and Lower Low on 30 Minute Timeframe
Moving Average Crossunder - Selected MA Crosses Below Other Selected MA
RS Starts Curving Down - Relative Strength Line Closes Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
RS Turns Negative Short Term - RS Closes Below RS of 7 Days Ago
RS Underperforms Price - Relative Strength Line Not at Highs, While Price Is
Moving Average Begins to Flatten Out - First Day MA Doesn't Close Higher
Price Moves Higher on Lighter Volume - Price Makes a New High on Light Volume and 15 Day Average Volume is Less than 50 Day Average
Price Hits % Target - Price Moves Set % Higher from Entry Price
Price Hits R Multiple - Price hits (Entry - Stop Multiplied by Setting) and Added to Entry
Price Hits Overhead Resistance - Price Crosses a Swing High from a Monthly Timeframe Chart from at Least 1 Year Ago
Price Hits Fib Level - Price Crosses a Fib Extension Drawn From Base High to Low
Price Hits a Psychological Level - Price Crosses a Multiple of 0 or 5
Heavy Volume After Significant Move - Above Average and Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days 35 Bars or More from Breakout
Moving Averages Begin to Slope Downward - Moving Averages Fall for 2 Consecutive Days
Blow Off Action - Highest Volume, Largest Spread, Multiple Gaps in a Row 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Late Buying Frenzy - ANTS 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Exhaustion Gap - Gap Up 5% or Higher with Price 125% or More Above 200sma
STIC bullish and bearish hunter with FVGSmart Trading and Investment Companion (STIC) is a sophisticated tool designed to identify and visualize inducement, market structure, market trends, track liquidity, and project and forecast price action for all applicable assets. it has been tested to work on all timeframes and has been traded on stock, forex, and crypto assets.
This script is an upgraded version of previous STIC indicator, which you can use in addition to it or separately as you deem fit
Traders/ investor that are familiar with market structure, inducement, candlestick psychology, trend-following indicatorsand Fair Value Gap FVG will find it easy to adopt this trading and investment companion. As stated below, this is how it works.
Features and how to use
1st of all, after adding the indicator to yoursuperchart, you want to endusre to set your to so as to enable you see the text labeling clearly. to do that, after adding the indicator to your chart, right click it on the list, you will se the Visual order option.
Special Extreme Alert!
By analyzing the trends and dimensions, we are able to predict market extremes conditions, especially in pump and dump scenarios. (the bullish or bearish P/D extreme alerts).
Market flip arrow
The arrows trigger to indicate when the market flips to bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions. note that this arrow is just a market flip confirmation and it it triggered by market trends, it does not come one time and sometimes later after market trigger conditions had been met.
circled in white.
Buy or sell potential {The tiny yelow(sell) and blue(buy) triangle}
By analyzing market extreme conditions, market sentiment, and liquidity, the buy/sell potential alert trigger is able to determine the state of the market, This can and should be used in combination with the market flip line (MFL) [the yellow line from , market flip trigger (MFT) (purple line), and market support/resistance line (MSR)(blue line) .
Market flip Line (Blue line) (MFL): the MFL is useful to also understand the market phase; a candle close above the MFL is bullish, while a candle close Below, the MFL is bearish. You are, however, expected to experience market retests and rejections coupled with support and resistance to follow through with the predicted direction. Patience is a valuable virtue in trading.
Extended sell or buy hunt (Red and Green Triangle)
this is real-time triangles indicator just like every other indicator on theis chart that indicates the market direction labeled with buy and sell. Note that the market-extended extreme can occur multiple times in the same direction. Hence, we'll advise having multiple trade entries.
The flip support line
Market Flip Trigger Line (MFTL) (Magenta): When the market crosses and closes below or above the Market Flip Trigger Line, you should wait for a confirmation. a confirmation is usually a retest or rejection of the line. A candle close and reject indicates the market as flip direction and it is going for a correction or major reversal. it is applicable on all timeframe.
As mentioned earlier, if you understand market structure and sentiment, using the uFVG, iFVG, upLQTY, downLQTY and BOS will be easy. however, this is how it works, you may need tohave and expanded readbout market structure for additional knowledge.
upLQTY (Bullish liquidity inducement)
The indicator appear at the close and confirmation on the 3rd candle and it is extended to only appear on 200 bars applicable on all timeframes.
This is a bullish sentiment and liquidty inducement order block that occurs, leading to the break of trend structure and change of character. Meaning the market sentiment as change which is backed up by liquidity in that region, which mostly gets filled, especially on lower timeframes before the price action continues. If price revese breaks and hold above this region, it invalidates the order block. This will always appear when there is a confirmed change of character CHoCH to the bullish side.
downLQTY (Bearish liquidity inducement) The indicator appear at the close and confirmation on the 3rd candle and it is extended to only appear on 200 bars applicable on all timeframes. It is and inverse of the upLQTY.
like order block, these are supply and demand zones that has the potential to change the direction of a trade. This is a bearish order block that occurs, leading to the break of structure and change of character. Meaning there is bearish liquidity yet to be accounted for in the region, which mostly gets filled, especially on lower timeframes before the price action continues. If broken, it invalidates the order block. This will always appear when there is a confirmed change of character from CHoCH to the bearish side.
Fair Value Gap
From general knowledge, FVG also know as Fair value gaps are inbalnace created by a 3 candlestick pattern where the top of the bottom candles doesn't cross the bottom of the top candle. like order block, these are supply and demand zones that has the potential to change the direction of a trade. This mostly indicate the presense of big plays in the market. for STIC indicator, FVG are labeled as listed below;
UFVG, also FVGup, {Colour green box} = bullish imbalance fair value gap
IFVG, aka FVGdown, {Red box} = bearish imbalance fair value gap
OIFVG, {Yellow box, no label} = other imbalances fair value gab
You should not that FG has upper, lower and middle band, any of the this area can be induced and filled by price.
Alert Conditions!
Buy alert conditions
- Any bullish buy alert
- Bullish hunt
- Re-entry Buy
- Sharp Market Sell rejection
- Buy potential
- upLQTY
Long position Exit conditions
- ExtremeB
- Profit
- Sell hunt
The Entry, exit and trail profit alert trigger should be used as position exit conditions either for a Long (Buy) or Short (Sell) situation and should be set as OPB (Once Per Bar). Using it as entry for exit or vice versa as shown not to be very profitable. hence the need to combine with other order entry alerts like the Any bullish or Bearish alerts
Sell alert conditions ( NOTE: All Sell alert are not yet included in this current version as this is targeted towards bullrun.)
- Sell potential
- Sell triangle (Sell hunt)
- downLQTY
and any trail profit alert, this alert put into consideration all the conditions required to trail profit.
Risk management advice
Patience and a good risk management strategy are required to be profitable trader using this tool. You need to ensure not to overleverage, and you should have multiple entries in case the buy coditions/alert shows again below the previous buy alert before a sell condition/alert occurs.
Forex lot size calculation🔶What it is ?
Forex lot size calculation is an indicator to help traders to manage trading account better and avoid emotion when you're changing account from small to bigger capital.
This indicator calculates lot size to entry by calculation risk in percent that you're planing for a position and your account balance also.
Our purpose is, keep your mind always "Empty" during trading even you're managing 100k$, 200k$ and more, espeically when you're changing from small account to bigger account.
The diffirence here is only Lot size you will input, we don't need to focus on how many money in dollors will we lost after a position. Each position, that's 1%, 2% balance , just like that. From that point, we can control emotion better and trade more effectively.
🔶 Who can use it ?
1. All traders who are using NCI, ICT , MACD system and other systems...
2. All traders who are trading on any timeframe
3. All traders who are trading on Forex market
4. All traders who are new or experienced traders
5. All traders who are swing or scalping traders
🔶 The purpose of indicator
1. Calculate lot size for all forex pairs exactly to trade on other platform like MT4/5, Ctrader and even Tradingview.
2. Exchange from risk by percent of account to lot size
3. Helping you to manage trading accounts easier
4. Always "Empty your mind" during Trading
🔶 How will indicator appear on chart
After you added it on chart, indicator will appear as table at your bottom right of chart. You can change it to Top-center as above chart by setting that I will guide you right on below.
In general, you can see three data :
1. Acc size $: That's your account balance you already input
2. %Risk : Here is risk by percent that you're planing to trade
3. LOT SIZE : Here is value after calcuation to help you can know how many lot size to entry.
Indicator will show you as three colors also :
GREEN : You're taking risk at a safe level that's less than 1%your account. You normally can trade better and manage trade easier with risk like that.
WHITE : You're taking risk at a normal level that's from 1 - 2% your account. You should becareful during taking this risk because it is only for experience traders.
RED : You're taking risk at a dangerous level that's greater than 2% your account.
This type of risk is only for top trader who can earn profit from mange consistency for a long time. Plus, with this type of risk, you will be rejected by prop firm companies easier because of gambling rules.
🔶 INPUT value
There're 2 groups for trader to input and use this indicator :
1. Trading input :
You need to input data to calcuate lot size here
- Your account balance : here is your initial account balance that you deposit
- Acc risk % : Here is risk by percent you're planing for each position.
- Stop loss by pips : Here is stop loss by pips for your position.
Explanation about stoploss by pips in Forex
Please help to refer to my chart above, that's a buying position in Tradingview. Tradingview measured all needed data in pips for you.
For example : My buying position on have chart having stop loss value is 15.3 pips.
I just need to input stoploss here as 15.3.
2. Display setting
Here is the place we will set the text size and location of table.
- Font size : The size of texts in this indicator. You can choose from tiny to Huge size
- Location : The position of indicator on chart. You can put it from bottom to top and left to right as your favorite
🔶 How to use indicator
After setting indicator, you need to input all data to Trading input group :
1. Your account balance
2. Acc risk %
3. Stop loss by pips
And then click to OK.
Indicator will calculate and give out LOT SIZE for you to entry.
It will remember your account balance and risk %, so you just need to input stop loss for your diffirence trades.
As chart above, I input my initial account as 200k$ and I normally take 1% risk for each position.
I want to buy at green box on chart above with SL is around 15.3 pips on AUDUSD.
Indicator helped to calculate lot size as 13.07 lot to trade.
I hope this indicator help you to trade and manage account better.
Simple Position SizerSimple Position Sizer is designed to calculate optimal position sizes based on a defined risk percentage and stop-loss level. It offers two modes for determining position size: using the current close price or a specified entry price. The script provides key trade details such as entry price, stop-loss level, quantity to trade, total cost, and risk amount in monetary terms, alongside visual indications of these parameters through colored lines and labels on the chart. Users can customize account size, risk per trade percentage, and entry and stop-loss levels directly within the settings.
Usage Scenario:
A trader looking to enter a position would first decide whether the entry is based on the current closing price or a predetermined level. After setting the stop-loss level and specifying the risk per trade as a percentage of the account size, the script calculates the number of shares or contracts to purchase. It also computes the total cost of the position and displays the potential loss if the stop-loss is triggered, allowing the trader to understand the risk involved before entering the trade.
Visual Indicators:
Green indicators suggest a long setup where the entry level is above the stop-loss, indicating bullish entry.
Red indicators signal a short setup where the entry level is below the stop-loss, reflecting bearish entry
Blue lines represent the entry level when specified by the trader, providing a visual cue for planned entries.
Mental Health Monitoring🔶What it is ?
NCI_Mental Health is a reminder to help traders to manage psychology during analyzation.
This indicator calculates and displays your analyzation time and give you alert about your current mental status to continue analyzing or close chart to avoid being manipulated my market.
Our purpose is, keep your mind always "Empty" during analyzation. Counting opening chart will help you to control analyzation time and empty your mind better.
🔶 Who can use it ?
1. All traders who are using NCI, ICT , MACD system and other systems...
2. All traders who are trading on any timeframe
3. All traders who are trading on any market like stock, crypto, forex, gold, indices...
4. All traders who are new or experienced traders
5. All traders who are swing or scalping traders
🔶 The purpose of indicator
This indicator will give you alert and information about your mental health to know :
1. When you need to stop analyzation
2. When you can continue analyzing chart without any worries
3. Choosing your best emotion period to analyze to give out the best decision
4. Always "Empty your mind" during analyzation
🔶 How will indicator appear on chart
After you added it on chart, indicator will appear at your top right corner of chart. You can change it to Top-center as above chart by setting that I will guide you right on below.
In general, you can see two data :
1. Analyzation time : That's period that you used to analyze now by seconds and minutes
2. Metal status : Your mental status during analyzation
We will have 3 status as :
Good- You're on a very good status to start analyzing. This infomation will be shown as green color. We can remember color better than words so I added more color.
Normal - Your brain are on a normal status that you still continue analyzing.
This infomation will be shown as white color.
MANIPULATED - Your brain is very TIRED and you must close chart to take a rest.
This infomation will be shown as red color.
🔶 How to use indicator
You should focus on Metal status mostly with below guidance :
1. Good: You're on a nice status to give out the best decision. Normally, you should analyze a chart less than 3 minutes as default to always stay on the best status during analyzation.
2. Normal : It is better to prepare to take a rest. You can continue analyzing without any worries.
3. MANIPULATED : You will be manipulated by market easily to give out the wrong decisions.
You need to close chart now.
🔶 INPUT value
1. Minute : Analyzation time as minute value
2. Second : Analyzation time as second value
3. Your Alert message: A message to remind yourself if analyzation time is ended.
4. Font size : The size of texts in this indicator. You can choose from tiny to Huge size
5. Location : The position of indicator on chart. You can put it from bottom to top and left to right as your favorite.
🔶 Setting ALERT
If you prefer to receive a remind from Indicator than checking Mental status on indicator table
You can set alert by Tradingview with below steps :
1. Click to Alert on top middle of chart (tool bar)
2. At Condition, choose NCI mental health
3. Click to Create
Indicator will send you alert if your analyzation time now is over your Input value.
You should close chart and stop analyzation to avoid giving wrongly decision.
Warm regards,
Jayce
Prepare Targets, Stop Loss, Position Size and calculate PnL You are watching the price action of your favorite coin. Then the price changes quickly and you know you could start a good trade now.
But how much should you buy, where should you set your Target for Profit Taking and your Stop Loss? How much money do you want to risk, how much money would you win if the trade is succesfull?
This indicator helps you to set up your trade in a quick way, no need to do some calculations by hand.
How does it work?
Just enter the prices where you want to take Profit and where your Stopp Loss should be.
Enter the number of coins and wether you buy or sell/go long or short.
These targets are then shown in the chart, move them around to see if your stopp loss is positioned well. See directly what your profit or loss would be.
See some Screenshots with more explanations for what is possible and how to set up everything.
General Overview:
How to set up the Trade:
Formatting and Extras:
Let me know if you like it!
Temporal Value Tracker: Inception-to-Present Inflation Lens!What we're looking at here is a chart that does more than just display the price of gold. It offers us a time-traveling perspective on value. The blue line, that's our nominal price—it's the straightforward market price of gold over time. But it's the red line that takes us on a deeper journey. This line adjusts the nominal price for inflation, showing us the real purchasing power of gold.
Now, when we talk about 'real value,' we're not just philosophizing. We're anchoring our prices to a point in time when the journey began—let's say when gold trading started on the markets, or any inception point we choose. By 'shadowing' certain years—say, from the 1970s when the gold standard was abandoned—we can adjust this chart to reflect what the inflation-adjusted price means since that key moment in history.
By doing so, we're effectively isolating our view to start from that pivotal year, giving us insight into how gold, or indeed any asset, has held up against the backdrop of economic changes, policy shifts, and the inevitable rise in the cost of living. If you're analyzing a stock index like the S&P 500, you might begin your inflation-adjusted view from the index's inception date, which allows you to measure the true growth of the market basket from the moment it started.
This adjustment isn't just academic. It influences how we perceive value and growth. Consider a period where the nominal price skyrockets. We might toast to our brilliance in investment! But if the inflation-adjusted line lags, what we're seeing is nominal growth without real gains. On the other hand, if our red line outpaces the blue even during stagnant market periods, we're witnessing real growth—our asset is outperforming the eroding effects of inflation.
Every asset class can be evaluated this way. Stocks, bonds, real estate—they all have their historical narratives, and inflation adjustment tells us if these stories are tales of genuine growth or illusions masked by inflation.
So, as informed traders and investors, we need to keep our eyes on this inflation-adjusted line. It's our measure against the silent thief that is inflation. It ensures we're not just keeping up with the Joneses of the market, but actually outpacing them, building real wealth over time
[S1B] Leverage Take-Profit-LinesShort Description:
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator assists traders in setting take-profit and stop-loss levels based on leverage, entry price, and risk percentage. It draws horizontal lines representing various take-profit levels and the stop-loss level on the chart, aiding traders in visually identifying potential exit points and managing risk.
Detailed Description:
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual representation of take-profit and stop-loss levels tailored to their leverage, entry price, and risk preferences.
Key Features:
Customizable Parameters: Traders can adjust parameters such as leverage, entry price, risk percentage, and whether to extend lines to suit their trading strategy.
Take-Profit Levels: The indicator calculates and draws horizontal lines representing different take-profit levels based on the specified percentage of leverage-adjusted entry price.
Stop-Loss Level: It calculates and displays the stop-loss level based on the specified risk percentage and leverage, helping traders manage risk effectively.
Visual Representation: The indicator visually highlights take-profit and stop-loss levels on the chart, facilitating quick decision-making for traders.
Usage Guide:
Setting Parameters: Adjust the input parameters including leverage, entry price, risk percentage, and other settings according to your trading strategy.
Interpreting Lines: Horizontal lines are drawn on the chart representing take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4) and the stop-loss level. These lines indicate potential exit points and risk management levels.
As an example the TP1 can be used to sell 10% of position size, TP2 20%, TP3 20% and TP4 20-40%.
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator empowers traders with valuable insights into setting profit targets and managing risk effectively, contributing to more informed trading decisions.
Historical Correlation [LuxAlgo]The Historical Correlation tool aims to provide the historical correlation coefficients of up to 10 pairs of user-defined tickers starting from a user-defined point in time.
Users can choose to display the historical values as lines or the most recent correlation values as a heat map.
🔶 USAGE
This tool provides historical correlation coefficients, the correlation coefficient between two assets highlight their linear relationship and is always within the range (-1, 1).
It is a simple and easy to use statistical tool, with the following interpretation:
Positive correlation (values close to +1.0): the two assets move in sync, they rise and fall at the same time.
Negative correlation (values close to -1.0): the two assets move in opposite directions: when one goes up, the other goes down and vice versa.
No correlation (values close to 0): the two assets move independently.
The user must confirm the selection of the anchor point in order for the tool to be executed; this can be done directly on the chart by clicking on any bar, or via the date field in the settings panel.
For the parameter Anchor period , the user can choose between the following values NONE, HOURLY, DAILY, WEEKLY, MONTHLY, QUARTERLY and YEARLY. If NONE is selected, there will be no resetting of the calculations, otherwise the calculations will start from the first bar of the new period.
There is a wide range of trading strategies that make use of correlation coefficients between assets, some examples are:
Pair Trading: Traders may wish to take advantage of divergences in the price movements of highly positively correlated assets; even highly positively correlated assets do not always move in the same direction; when assets with a correlation close to +1.0 diverge in their behavior, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy one and sell the other in the expectation that the assets will return to the likely same price behavior.
Sector rotation: Traders may want to favor some sectors that are expected to perform in the next cycle, tracking the correlation between different sectors and between the sector and the overall market.
Diversification: Traders can aim to have a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated assets. From a risk management perspective, it is useful to know the correlation between the assets in your portfolio, if you hold equal positions in positively correlated assets, your risk is tilted in the same direction, so if the assets move against you, your risk is doubled. You can avoid this increased risk by choosing uncorrelated assets so that they move independently.
Hedging: Traders may want to hedge positions with correlated assets, from a hedging perspective, if you are long an asset, you can hedge going long a negative correlated asset or going short a positive correlated asset.
Traders generally need to develop awareness, a key point is to be aware of the relationships between the assets we hold or trade, the historical correlation is an invaluable tool in our arsenal which allows us to make better informed decisions.
On this chart we have an example of historical correlations for several futures markets.
We can clearly see how positively correlated the Nasdaq100 and Dow30 are with the SP500 over the whole period, or how the correlation between the Euro and the SP500 falls from almost +85% to almost -4% since 2021.
As we can see, correlations, like everything else in the market, are not static and vary over time depending on many factors, from macro to technical and everything in between.
🔹 Heatmap
The chart above shows the tool with the default settings and the Drawing Mode set to 'HEATMAP'.
We can see the current correlation between the assets, in this case the FX pairs.
The highest positive correlation is +90% (+0.90) between EURUSD and GBPUSD.
The highest negative correlation is -78% (-0.78) between EURUSD and USDJPY.
The pair with no correlation is AUDUSD and EURCAD with 1% (0.01)
On the above chart we can see the current correlations for the futures markets.
Currently, the assets that are less correlated to the SP500 are NaturalGas and the Euro, the more positive correlations are Nasdaq100 and Dow20, and the more negative correlations are the Yen, Treasury Bonds and 10-Year Notes.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Anchor Period
This chart shows the standard FX correlations with the Anchor Period set to `MONTHLY`.
We can clearly see how the calculations restart with the new month, in this case we can clearly see the differences between the correlations from month to month.
Let us look at the correlation coefficient between GBPUSD and USDJPY
In January, their correlation started at close to -100%, rose to close to +50%, only to fall to close to 0% and remain there for the second half of the month.
In February it was -90% in the first few days of the month and is now around -57%.
And between AUDUSD and EURCAD
Last month their correlation was negative for most of the month, reaching -70% and ending around -14%.
This month their correlation has never gone below +21% and at the time of writing is close to +53%.
🔶 SETTINGS
Anchor point: Starting point from which the tool is executed
Anchor period: At the beginning of each new period, the tool will reset the calculations
Pairs from 1 to 10: For each pair of tickers, you can: enable/disable the pair, select the color and specify the two tickers from which you wish to obtain the correlation
🔹 Style
Drawing Mode: Output style, `LINES` will show the historical correlations as lines, `HEATMAP` will show the current correlations with a color gradient from green for correlations near 1 to red for correlations near -1.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
Power OutageThe Power Outage indicator serves as the antithesis to the Power Trend, highlighting periods of extreme weakness or downtrends. Drawing inspiration from the Power Trend, the Power Outage framework was conceived by reversing the logic to highlight periods where being in cash or net short could be beneficial.
What Initiates a Power Outage?
The high is below the 21-day EMA for at least 10 consecutive days.
The 21-day EMA is below the 50-day SMA for a minimum of five days.
The 50-day SMA is on a downward trajectory.
The closing price is lower than the previous day's close.
A Power Outage can be a caution sign for traders to tighten up risk management and encourage defensive strategies or the consideration of short positions. Not only does this indicator clearly identify a Power Outage by a shaded background or shape plotted on the chart, but it also records metrics for each previous Power Outage.
The number of Power Outages that have occurred, their average length, and average depth (from the first day's close when the Power Outage activates to the low of the Power Outage) are all displayed to help assess the condition of the current Power Outage.
What Ends a Power Outage?
A Power Outage ends when the 21-day EMA crosses above the 50-day SMA, or when the price closes 10% above the recent low and above the 50-day SMA.
This indicator is designed to be viewed on a daily time frame.
Index investingThe Index Investing indicator simplifies decision-making for adding to Index ETF's Long-term investments. By utilizing a percentage discount methodology, it highlights potential opportunities to enhance portfolios. This straightforward tool aids in identifying favorable moments to invest based on calculated price discounts from selected reference points, making the process more systematic and less subjective.
🔶 SETTINGS
Reference Price: Choose between 'All-Time-High' or 'Start of the Year' as the basis for calculating discount levels. This allows for flexibility in strategy depending on market conditions or investment philosophy.
Discount 1 %, Discount 2 %, Discount 3 %: These inputs define the percentage below the reference price at which buy signals are generated. They represent strategic entry points at discounted prices.
🔶 Default Parameters
The default parameters of 4.13%, 8.26%, and 12.39% for the discount levels are chosen based on the average 5-year return of the NSE:NIFTY Index, which stands at approximately 12.39%. By dividing this return into three parts, we obtain a structured approach to capturing potential upside at varying levels of market retracement, providing a logical basis for the selected default values.
Users have the flexibility to modify these parameters, tailoring the indicator to fit their unique approach and market outlook.
🔶 How Levels Are Calculated
Discount levels are calculated using the formula: Discount Price = Reference Price * (1 - Discount %) . This succinct approach establishes specific entry points below the chosen reference, such as an all-time high or the year's start price.
🔶 How Are the Buy Labels Generated
Buy signals are generated when the market price(Low of the candle) crosses under any of the defined discount levels. Each level has a corresponding buy label ('Buy 1', 'Buy 2', 'Buy 3'), which is activated upon the price crossing below the specified discount level and is only reset at the beginning of a new year or upon reaching a new reference high, ensuring signals are not repetitive for the same price level.
🔶 Other Features
Alerts: The indicator provides alerts for each buy signal, notifying potential entry points at their defined discount levels. The alert triggers only once per candle.
Year Marker: A vertical line with an accompanying label marks the start of each trading year on the chart. This feature aids in visualizing the temporal context of buy signals and reference price adjustments.
Position Size CalculatorThe provided Pine Script is a custom indicator titled "Position Size Calculator" designed to assist traders in calculating the appropriate size of a trading position based on predefined risk parameters. This script is intended to be overlaid on a trading chart, as indicated by `overlay=true`, allowing traders to visualize and adjust their risk and position size directly within the context of their trading strategy.
What It Does:
The core functionality of this script revolves around calculating the position size a trader should take based on three input parameters:
**Risk in USD (`Risk`)**: This represents the amount of money the trader is willing to risk on a single trade.
**Entry Price (`EntryPrice`)**: The price at which the trader plans to enter the market.
**Stop Loss (`StopLoss`)**: The price at which the trader plans to exit the market should the trade move against them, effectively limiting their loss.
The script calculates the position size using a function named `calculatePositionSize`, which performs the following steps:
It first calculates the `expectedLoss` by taking 90% (`0.9`) of the input risk. This implies that the script factors in a safety margin, assuming traders are willing to risk up to 90% of their stated risk amount per trade.
It then calculates the position size based on the distance between the Entry Price and the Stop Loss. This calculation adjusts based on whether the Entry Price is higher or lower than the Stop Loss, ensuring that the position size fits the risk profile regardless of trade direction.
The function returns several values: `risk`, `entryPrice`, `stopLoss`, `expectedLoss`, and `size`, which are then plotted on the chart.
How It Does It:
**Expected Loss Calculation**: By reducing the risk by 10% before calculating position size, the script provides a buffer to account for slippage or to ensure the trader does not fully utilize their risk budget on a single trade.
**Position Size Calculation**: The script calculates position size by dividing the adjusted risk (`expectedLoss`) by the price difference between the Entry Price and Stop Loss. This gives a quantitative measure of how many units of the asset can be bought or sold while staying within the risk parameters.
What Traders Can Use It For:
Traders can use this Position Size Calculator for several purposes:
- **Risk Management**: By determining the appropriate position size, traders can ensure that they do not overexpose themselves to market risk on a single trade.
- **Trade Planning**: Before entering a trade, the script allows traders to visualize their risk, entry, and exit points, helping them to make more informed decisions.
- **Consistency**: Using a standardized method for calculating position size helps traders maintain consistency in their trading approach, a key aspect of successful trading strategies.
- **Efficiency**: Automating the calculation of position size saves time and reduces the likelihood of manual calculation errors.
Overall, this Pine Script indicator is a practical tool for traders looking to implement strict risk management rules within their trading strategies, ensuring that each trade is sized appropriately according to their risk tolerance and market conditions.
ABC System [KFB Qaunt]ABC System
The ABC System provides insights into asset performance relative to a benchmark, incorporating metrics such as Alpha, Beta, and Correlation.
Functionality:
The script calculates
Alpha: Indicates an asset's risk-adjusted return compared to a benchmark.
Beta: Measures an asset's volatility compared to a benchmark.
Correlation: Determines the relationship between an asset and a benchmark.
Coloring & Criteria
Based on these metrics and criteria, the script generates signals indicating potential trading opportunities.
Input Setup
Inside the indicators settings you can configure parameters such as the
Benchmark Symbol
Risk-Free Rate
Lengths for Alpha, Beta & Correlation
Visualization Options
Criteria for Beta & Correlation.
The information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors
DCA StrategyIntroducing the DCA Strategy, a powerful tool for identifying long entry and exit opportunities in uptrending assets like cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold. This strategy leverages the Heikin Ashi candlestick pattern and the RSI indicator to navigate potential price swings.
Core Functionality:
Buy Signal : A buy signal is generated when a bullish (green) Heikin Ashi candle appears after a bearish (red) one, indicating a potential reversal in a downtrend. Additionally, the RSI must be below a user-defined threshold (default: 85) to prevent buying overbought assets.
Sell Signal : The strategy exits the trade when the RSI surpasses the user-defined exit level (default: 85), suggesting the asset might be overbought.
Backtesting Flexibility : Users can customize the backtesting period by specifying the start and end years.
Key Advantages:
Trend-Following: Designed specifically for uptrending assets, aiming to capture profitable price movements.
Dynamic RSI Integration: The RSI indicator helps refine entry signals by avoiding overbought situations.
User-Defined Parameters: Allows customization of exit thresholds and backtesting periods to suit individual trading preferences.
Commission and Slippage: The script factors in realistic commission fees (0.1%) and slippage (2%) for a more accurate backtesting experience.
Beats Buy-and-Hold: Backtesting suggests this strategy outperforms a simple buy-and-hold approach in uptrending markets.
Overall, the DCA Strategy offers a valuable approach for traders seeking to capitalize on long opportunities in trending markets with the help of Heikin Ashi candles and RSI confirmation.
Risk Management Chart█ OVERVIEW
Risk Management Chart allows you to calculate and visualize equity and risk depend on your risk-reward statistics which you can set at the settings.
This script generates random trades and variants of each trade based on your settings of win/loss percent and shows it on the chart as different polyline and also shows thick line which is average of all trades.
It allows you to visualize and possible to analyze probability of your risk management. Be using different settings you can adjust and change your risk management for better profit in future.
It uses compound interest for each trade.
Each variant of trade is shown as a polyline with color from gradient depended on it last profit.
Also I made blurred lines for better visualization with function :
poly(_arr, _col, _t, _tr) =>
for t = 1 to _t
polyline.new(_arr, false, false, xloc.bar_index, color.new(_col, 0 + t * _tr), line_width = t)
█ HOW TO USE
Just add it to the cart and expand the window.
█ SETTINGS
Start Equity $ - Amount of money to start with (your equity for trades)
Win Probability % - Percent of your win / loss trades
Risk/Reward Ratio - How many profit you will get for each risk(depends on risk per trade %)
Number of Trades - How many trades will be generated for each variant of random trading
Number of variants(lines) - How many variants will be generated for each trade
Risk per Trade % -risk % of current equity for each trade
If you have any ask it at comments.
Hope it will be useful.
Show PositionBasic script that represents your position on the chart as a line along with your position size, price, change in price, and P&L.
Weighted Index with Rebalance
Build any index/portfolio based on weighted asset allocation.
Rebalance happens on each new candle for chart timeframe.
Any currency can be used to price the index : price it in your local currency, or in BTC to see alts performance (all added assets should be denominated in the same currency).
Inputs:
Start Index Behavior
Wait For Newest: Index will start once all assets with non-null weights have had their first candle.
Start With Available: Index will start once one asset has had its first candle (see Newer Assets Weight Behavior).
Newer Assets Weight Behavior
Neutral: Weight of assets which did not have their first candle yet will remain unallocated.
Allocated to active assets: Weight of assets which did not have their first candle yet will be used by active assets.
Index Name
Name of the index, to be displayed on chart.
Asset divisor
Asset to divide the value of all assets. For example:
- to price in your local currency an index made of foreign assets
- to price altcoins in BTC value
Possible features TDL (depending on requests):
add invested value param, and current amount of each asset display
add option to have the index at 100 on a specific date (ie retrieve the index value of this date before execution)
add rebalance period param (higher timeframes, if request lowers too)
add option for bar plotting instead of lines (requires lowers tf to build bars)
Optimal Buy Day (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Optimal Buy Day (Zeiierman) indicator identifies optimal buying days based on historical price data, starting from a user-defined year. It simulates investing a fixed initial capital and making regular monthly contributions. The unique aspect of this indicator involves comparing systematic investment on specific days of the month against a randomized buying day each month, aiming to analyze which method might yield more shares or a better average price over time. By visualizing the potential outcomes of systematic versus randomized buying, traders can better understand the impact of market timing and how regular investments might accumulate over time.
These statistics are pivotal for traders and investors using the script to analyze historical performance and strategize future investments. By understanding which days offered more shares for their money or lower average prices, investors can tailor their buying strategies to potentially enhance returns.
█ Key Statistics
⚪ Shares
Definition: Represents the total number of shares acquired on a particular day of the month across the entire simulation period.
How It Works: The script calculates how many shares can be bought each day, given the available capital or monthly contribution. This calculation takes into account the day's opening price and accumulates the total shares bought on that day over the simulation period.
Interpretation: A higher number of shares indicates that the day consistently offered better buying opportunities, allowing the investor to acquire more shares for the same amount of money. This metric is crucial for understanding which days historically provided more value.
⚪ AVG Price
Definition: The average price paid per share on a particular day of the month, averaged over the simulation period.
How It Works: Each time shares are bought, the script calculates the average price per share, factoring in the new shares purchased at the current price. This average evolves over time as more shares are bought at varying prices.
Interpretation: The average price gives insight into the cost efficiency of buying shares on specific days. A lower average price suggests that buying on that day has historically led to better pricing, making it a potentially more attractive investment strategy.
⚪ Buys
Definition: The total number of transactions or buys executed on a particular day of the month throughout the simulation.
How It Works: This metric increments each time shares are bought on a specific day, providing a count of all buying actions taken.
Interpretation: The number of buys indicates the frequency of investment opportunities. A higher count could mean more consistent opportunities for investment, but it's important to consider this in conjunction with the average price and the total shares acquired to assess overall strategy effectiveness.
⚪ Most Shares
Definition: Identifies the day of the month on which the highest number of shares were bought, highlighting the specific day and the total shares acquired.
How It Works: After simulating purchases across all days of the month, the script identifies which day resulted in the highest total number of shares bought.
Interpretation: This metric points out the most opportune day for volume buying. It suggests that historically, this day provided conditions that allowed for maximizing the quantity of shares purchased, potentially due to lower prices or other factors.
⚪ Best Price
Definition: Highlights the day of the month that offered the lowest average price per share, indicating both the day and the price.
How It Works: The script calculates the average price per share for each day and identifies the day with the lowest average.
Interpretation: This metric is key for investors looking to minimize costs. The best price day suggests that historically, buying on this day led to acquiring shares at a more favorable average price, potentially maximizing long-term investment returns.
⚪ Randomized Shares
Definition: This metric represents the total number of shares acquired on a randomly selected day of the month, simulated across the entire period.
How It Works: At the beginning of each month within the simulation, the script selects a random day when the market is open and calculates how many shares can be purchased with the available capital or monthly contribution at that day's opening price. This process is repeated each month, and the total number of shares acquired through these random purchases is tallied.
Interpretation: Randomized shares offer a comparison point to systematic buying strategies. By comparing the total shares acquired through random selection against those bought on the best or worst days, investors can gauge the impact of timing and market fluctuations on their investment strategy. A higher total in randomized shares might indicate that over the long term, the specific days chosen for investment might matter less than consistent market participation. Conversely, if systematic strategies yield significantly more shares, it suggests that timing could indeed play a crucial role in maximizing investment returns.
⚪ Randomized Price
Definition: The average price paid per share for the shares acquired on the randomly selected days throughout the simulation period.
How It Works: Each time shares are bought on a randomly chosen day, the script calculates the average price paid for all shares bought through this randomized strategy. This average price is updated as the simulation progresses, reflecting the cost efficiency of random buying decisions.
Interpretation: The randomized price metric helps investors understand the cost implications of a non-systematic, random investment approach. Comparing this average price to those achieved through more deliberate, systematic strategies can reveal whether consistent investment timing strategies outperform random investment actions in terms of cost efficiency. A lower randomized price suggests that random buying might not necessarily result in higher costs, while a higher average price indicates that systematic strategies might provide better control over investment costs.
█ How to Use
Traders can use this tool to analyze historical data and simulate different investment strategies. By inputting their initial capital, regular contribution amount, and start year, they can visually assess which days might have been more advantageous for buying, based on historical price actions. This can inform future investment decisions, especially for those employing dollar-cost averaging strategies or looking to optimize entry points.
█ Settings
StartYear: This setting allows the user to specify the starting year for the investment simulation. Changing this value will either extend or shorten the period over which the simulation is run. If a user increases the value, the simulation begins later and covers a shorter historical period; decreasing the value starts the simulation earlier, encompassing a longer time frame.
Capital: Determines the initial amount of capital with which the simulation begins. Increasing this value simulates starting with more capital, which can affect the number of shares that can be initially bought. Decreasing this value simulates starting with less capital.
Contribution: Sets the monthly financial contribution added to the investment within the simulation. A higher contribution increases the investment each month and could lead to more shares being purchased over time. Lowering the contribution decreases the monthly investment amount.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
US Yield Curve ComparisonIn finance, the yield curve is a graph which depicts how the yields on debt instruments – such as bonds – vary as a function of their years remaining to maturity. The graph's horizontal or x-axis is a time line of months and years remaining to maturity, with the shortest maturity on the left and progressively longer time periods on the right. The vertical or y-axis depicts the annualized yield to maturity.
To see changes of a definded timeframe, use this indicator to compare the current US yield curve with one in the past.
Trend Boss 5000Indicator: Trend Boss 5000
Disclaimer: The Trend Boss 5000 is a technical analysis tool designed for informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice, and users should exercise due diligence and seek professional financial advice before making any trading or investment decisions.
The Trend Boss 5000 is a sophisticated multi-asset trend analysis tool designed to provide traders with a comprehensive overview of market trends. It simultaneously evaluates up to nine different assets, allowing users to make informed decisions across a diverse range of financial instruments.
Asset Selection:
Users can choose from a selection of assets, including cryptocurrency pairs and traditional financial instruments. The assets are individually analyzed to generate a holistic view of the market.
Weighted Trend Score:
The Trend Boss 5000 employs a weighted scoring system, allowing users to assign different importance to key metrics. The user-defined weights for Slope, Trend Strength, and Standard Deviation are adjustable, providing flexibility to cater to specific trading strategies.
User-Defined Metric Settings:
* Lookback Period: Users can customize the historical data lookback period, influencing the sensitivity of the analysis.
* Standard Deviation Multiplier: The multiplier for standard deviation helps in identifying outliers and gauging market volatility.
* Trend Strength Thresholds: Users can set thresholds for strong and moderate trend strength, enabling the identification of varying degrees of trend intensity.
* Trend Direction Thresholds: Thresholds for upward and downward trends facilitate the detection of directional market movements.
* Trend Reversal Thresholds: High and low thresholds for trend reversal likelihood offer insights into potential market reversals.
Trend Score Calculation:
The Trend Score is calculated by normalizing and weighting three crucial metrics: Slope, Trend Strength, and Standard Deviation. This comprehensive approach ensures a balanced and nuanced evaluation of each asset's trend, allowing for a more informed decision-making process.
Table Display:
The indicator presents a user-friendly table summarizing key metrics for each selected asset:
* Estimated Price Level: Provides an estimate based on linear regression analysis.
* Standard Deviation: Measures the extent of price variability.
* Trend Direction: Indicates whether the trend is upward, downward, or sideways.
* Trend Strength: Quantifies the intensity of the identified trend.
* Trend Reversal Likelihood: Assesses the probability of a trend reversal.
* Trend Score: The aggregated score reflecting the overall trend analysis.
Note: Empty cells signify instances where data is not available for calculation, ensuring transparency in the analysis.
Disclaimer: The Trend Boss 5000 is a tool for technical analysis and does not guarantee profit or protection against losses. Users should be aware of the risks associated with trading and invest only what they can afford to lose.
Rate of Change MachineRate of Change Machine
Author: RWCS_LTD
Disclaimer: This script is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Introduction:
The Rate of Change Machine is a script designed to assist traders in analyzing multiple cryptocurrency trading pairs simultaneously. This comprehensive indicator offers a holistic view of the rate of change and related metrics, aiding traders in making informed decisions.
Asset Selection:
The script enables users to select up to nine different cryptocurrency trading pairs for in-depth analysis.
Volume Calculation:
Volume plays a crucial role in the analysis, with customizable parameters for volume weighting and length.
Relative Strength Calculation:
Relative Strength is determined through two Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) with user-defined lengths.
Timeframe Weightings:
Different timeframes (1D, AVG 3D, AVG 5D, AVG 7D, AVG 14D, AVG 30D) are assigned weightings to calculate a comprehensive trend score.
Weighted Average and Individual Rate of Change (RoC) Calculation:
The getWeightedAvgAndIndividualROC function calculates the RoC for each selected trading pair based on the given timeframes and weights.
Table Setup:
A table is created to display the results for each trading pair, including relative strength, volume trend, RoC for different timeframes, and a weighted trend score.
Table Formatting:
The table is formatted with different colors indicating positive or negative values for easier interpretation.
Table Position and Size:
Users can customize the position and size of the table on the chart.
Data Retrieval:
The script retrieves the calculated values for each trading pair using the request.security function.
Output:
The final output is a table on the chart, showing relevant information for the selected trading pairs, aiding traders in making informed decisions based on the rate of change and other factors. This indicator provides a comprehensive view of the rate of change and related metrics for multiple trading pairs, assisting traders in identifying potential trends and making informed trading decisions.
