Gold is neutral on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 55.793, MACD = 4.760, ADX = 31.119) as it reached today the bottom HL trendline of the short term Channel Up. So far it is reacting with a bounce and that is a buy signal, aiming at the R1 level (TP = 2,002), as every rise sequence inside the Channel has been around +1.90%.

Today's Low was supported on the 0.5 Fibonacci level also, so if it breaks, the bullish trend will be invalidated and we will sell, aiming at the 4H MA200 (TP = 1,950). Despite the presence of support levels such as the 4H MA50 and S1, in that case we expect the decline to be stronger, a very likely scenario indeed since the 4H RSI displays a Bearish Divergence, similar to the Bullish one that gave the buy signal on November 13th.

See how our prior idea has worked:

XAUUSD: Bullish Divergence on 4H.


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