Analyzing the monthly Ichimoku chart of the Nasdaq 100 index reveals potential insights that align with Michael Burry's expectations. Upon closer examination, the lagging indicator is situated within the price movement itself, hinting at possible future price action. A careful observation indicates the likelihood of a pullback until the kijun-san level, considering that the tenkan-san is positioned below the kijun-san. Moreover, the price's current positioning above the kijun-san is notable.
The cloud formation, characterized by its flat nature, holds significance. It suggests that the price might eventually breach the cloud, marking a pivotal point. This breach could trigger a series of events, potentially leading to panic selling. This chain of events might culminate in a retreat to a previously established strong support level, near the 5000 mark.
Taking a broader perspective, it seems plausible that Mr. Burry envisions the Nasdaq 100 index descending towards this level. This anticipation could be fueled by the absence of significant price corrections since the initiation of the bullish rally post-March 2009. Notably, the current price trend exhibits characteristics of potential change; despite the price resting above the cloud, both the cloud and the individual tenkan-san and kijun-san lines remain flat. Additionally, a red candle formation following a sequence of five consecutive green candles on the monthly chart suggests a shift in momentum.
In essence, considering these Ichimoku signals, there seems to be alignment with the notion that the Nasdaq 100 index might undergo a substantial correction, possibly drawing it closer to the support level at around 5000. This analysis underscores the complexity of the current market dynamics and the potential for shifts in sentiment and price direction.