Natural Gas - Weak bearish w/ bullish anticipation by Mid Nov

I am counting on a price surge for natural gas as winter is coming (not a Game of Thrones reference I swear). To think the demand for gas to heat up homes during colder season is not a far off assumption. It is October and probability is natural gas would surge up by mid-November, the soonest. Right now, I am still bearish due to technical chart reasons. There are levels I marked (mentally) that if price have established itself trading above it, then I will be more than happy to shift my bias.