PHLX Housing Sector Index (HGX): The Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) Housing Sector Index (HGX) tracks housing development companies working directly in the U.S. construction market.
Multiple companies in the building and prefabrication of residential homes, mortgage insurers, and suppliers of building materials make up the index. 📈
Historically, if home prices are rising, builders commit more construction contracts, resulting in increased revenue for home builders and a spike in their portion of the index. 🔥
Yesterday a so-called 'real estate investor' wrote me, that instead of doing the calculations, he is seeing in the rearview mirror what happened in the past month (Playing Shell game), he wrote me something: 'I can perceive.... like this no more than you have a lot to talk about and little real investor...'. 🥱
The data shows that for Q3-Q4 2024, THE REAL ESTATE BUBBLE WILL BURST. 🦈
In 2023 the massive layoffs will begin, the stock market crashes will continue, collapsing the fundamental pillars of the US, the stock market and real estate, I hope you enjoy your ego and arrogance, I will laugh a lot as always.
Any time is not a good time to buy an asset or real estate, much less in recession, with low GDP and massive layoffs, it is bought when it hits bottom, not before, on the other hand, investing in real estate is a sensitive issue and must be analyzed in depth , real estate does not have 'STOP LOSS', when crash starts, there is oversupply, therefore, they drop much more in price, generally a large percentage of its invested value is lost and something else, for an asset to be profitable this It must exponentiate its value, it seems that nobody knows how to measure what real inflation is, which has two digits and is not at all what the American government argues, real estate is not about to 'buy cheap & sell higth' as many idiots thinks, is about to buy in the rigth time. 🦈
We expect a -300% in total fall in real estate, enjoy be a bettor, house always win, it's more big than 2008. 🤭
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Mortgage Rates (USMR), have exited their bearish channel, preparing for a massive bull run.
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US Housing Starts (USHST), US housing cooldown is a bearish red flag for markets.
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USCPMI, has entered a bearish channel, symptoms of an ugly recession, with a target Q2-Q3 2023. 💥
What is the Purchasing Managers' Index?
The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is an index of the prevailing direction of economic trends in the manufacturing and service sectors. It consists of a diffusion index that summarizes whether market conditions, as viewed by purchasing managers, are expanding, staying the same, or contracting. The purpose of the PMI is to provide information about current and future business conditions to company decision makers, analysts, and investors.
What is the Purchasing Managers' Index?
The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is an index of the prevailing direction of economic trends in the manufacturing and service sectors. It consists of a diffusion index that summarizes whether market conditions, as viewed by purchasing managers, are expanding, staying the same, or contracting. The purpose of the PMI is to provide information about current and future business conditions to company decision makers, analysts, and investors.
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US Core Inflation Rate (USCIR), points to levels in 70's for Q4, 2024.
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Headlines:
May 16, 2022: Ray Dalio's Bridgewater sold Tesla, bought GameStop, AMC stock in Q1.
May 27, 2022: Ray Dalio: Don't Keep Your Money in a Savings Account.
Jun 23, 2022: Bridgewater Doubles Short Wagers in Europe to $10.5 Billion.
Aug 12, 2022: Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Drops Alibaba, JD.com But Bulks Up On This Chinese Tech Stock.
May 16, 2022: Ray Dalio's Bridgewater sold Tesla, bought GameStop, AMC stock in Q1.
May 27, 2022: Ray Dalio: Don't Keep Your Money in a Savings Account.
Jun 23, 2022: Bridgewater Doubles Short Wagers in Europe to $10.5 Billion.
Aug 12, 2022: Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Drops Alibaba, JD.com But Bulks Up On This Chinese Tech Stock.
Comentarios:
Headlines:
May 3, 2022: 'Bubble stocks popped' but it's still not safe to buy them, says Ray Dalio, founder of world's biggest hedge fund.
May 24, 2022: Ray Dalio says ‘cash is still trash’...but stocks are trashier.
Jun 8, 2022: Why Ray Dalio's Bridgewater is betting against U.S., European corporate bonds.
May 3, 2022: 'Bubble stocks popped' but it's still not safe to buy them, says Ray Dalio, founder of world's biggest hedge fund.
May 24, 2022: Ray Dalio says ‘cash is still trash’...but stocks are trashier.
Jun 8, 2022: Why Ray Dalio's Bridgewater is betting against U.S., European corporate bonds.
Comentarios:
Headlines:
FBI warrant for search of Trump home may involve suspected violations of Espionage Act, former chief of DOJ national security says.
Sorry, the American dream has just begun to crumble, it's the bad thing about dreams and media propaganda, when you wake up you fall out of bed and hit yourself with the cold hard concrete of reality. 🤯
More math and less bullshit next time, if there is ever a next time, a civil war is just around the corner. 🤭
FBI warrant for search of Trump home may involve suspected violations of Espionage Act, former chief of DOJ national security says.
Sorry, the American dream has just begun to crumble, it's the bad thing about dreams and media propaganda, when you wake up you fall out of bed and hit yourself with the cold hard concrete of reality. 🤯
More math and less bullshit next time, if there is ever a next time, a civil war is just around the corner. 🤭
Jul 29, 2022: Housing Market Predictions 2022: When Will Prices Drop ?
Aug 9, 2022: Federal Reserve Governor Supports More 75bps Rate Hikes.
Aug 10, 2022: Fed governors still talking tough on inflation.
Aug 10, 2022: Central Banks Hike Interest Rates In Sync To Tame Inflation Pressures.
Aug 10, 2022: Buying a House During a Recession: Good Idea or Bad Idea ?