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Trading Plan for Wednesday, March 27th, 2024

CME_MINI:ESM2024   E-mini S&P 500 Futures (Jun 2024)
Trading Plan for Wednesday, March 27th, 2024

Market Sentiment: Cautious

Weekly Volatility Risk: High

Supports to Watch:

Immediate Supports: 5266 (major), 5258, 5247 (major), 5242, 5233-36 (major), 5221, 5213, 5206-10 (major), 5198, 5188-91 (major), 5181, 5172, 5167-69 (major), 5162, 5153-55 (major), 5146, 5137, 5126 (major), 5119 (major), 5109

Resistances to Monitor:

Key Resistances: 5274 (major), 5281, 5286-88 (major), 5293, 5299 (major), 5305 (major), 5311, 5315, 5318-20 (major), 5328, 5336-38 (major), 5345 (major), 5354, 5365 (major), 5372, 5380 (major), 5392, 5399 (major), 5408 (major), 5416 (major), 5425, 5432, 5440-44 (major), 5448, 5457 (major)

Trading Strategy:

Support & Resistance: Watch for potential bounces on support levels 5266, 5247 (triangle backtest), or a deeper pullback to 5242. For shorts, look higher towards 5286-88 or the 5299 zone after a strong move up.

Long Opportunities: Consider longs only on strong reactions to support levels, ideally with confirmed failed breakdowns for added safety.

Short Opportunities: If considering shorts, strong moves up followed by signs of weakness near resistance zones could be potential areas.

Focus on Reactions: Be adaptable – volatility can create opportunities and traps with equal measure.

Bull Case

Support Holds: As long as supports like 5266, then particularly the triangle backtest at 5247 hold, bulls maintain short-term control.

Breakout potential: A decisive breakout above the flag pattern's resistance around the 5300 zone could lead to a surge towards 5318-20 and potentially new highs.

Bear Case

Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5266 followed by continued selling could trigger a move downwards. Look for potential shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces with extremely tight stops due to FOMC volatility. .

News: Top Stories for March 27th, 2024

Regulatory Response to Bank Runs: Federal Reserve and regulatory officials prepare to announce new rules designed to prevent future bank crises, addressing lessons learned from last year's turmoil.

Economic Outlook: Recent CPI data, comments from industry leaders and analysts provide insights into inflation trends, monetary policy expectations, and the global economic outlook.

Market Performance and Expectations: A cautious outlook for 2024 due to various factors including geopolitical risks and monetary headwinds.

Corporate News: Updates on legal settlements, management changes, and stock market debuts affecting companies like Visa, Mastercard, Boeing, and Truth Social.

Legal Issues in Crypto: U.S. prosecutors file criminal charges against KuCoin exchange and its founders.

Currency and Interest Rates: Tracking movements in the Japanese Yen and potential actions by the Swedish Riksbank.

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