What happened in the past does not have to happen in the future. but I have a lot of reasons to think that btc is at the bottom. I think that it will rise up to 25000 levels without making new bottoms and giving a buying opportunity, similar to the past. This does not mean that a big rally is starting. I just think the market is too pessimistic right now. if btc makes a new low i will give up on this idea.