Today, Bitcoin triggered my Capitulation Scout signal with a massive volume spike — one of the strongest we’ve seen in recent days/weeks.
This type of extreme volume on down days has historically marked exhaustion selling and often coincides with at least a short-term/local low.
For context:
Ethereum triggered the exact same Capitulation Scout signal back in April 2025, and what followed was an impressive multi-week recovery rally.

Important disclaimer:
We are now in a different cycle phase compared to April (further along in the 4 year cycle), so the macro setup isn’t identical. Still, these capitulation spikes have a solid track record of producing strong bounces, even if they sometimes only deliver temporary relief rallies.
Watching closely for follow-through in the coming hours/days. A decisive break and hold above recent swing highs would greatly improve the odds of a larger rebound.
This type of extreme volume on down days has historically marked exhaustion selling and often coincides with at least a short-term/local low.
For context:
Ethereum triggered the exact same Capitulation Scout signal back in April 2025, and what followed was an impressive multi-week recovery rally.
Important disclaimer:
We are now in a different cycle phase compared to April (further along in the 4 year cycle), so the macro setup isn’t identical. Still, these capitulation spikes have a solid track record of producing strong bounces, even if they sometimes only deliver temporary relief rallies.
Watching closely for follow-through in the coming hours/days. A decisive break and hold above recent swing highs would greatly improve the odds of a larger rebound.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Exención de responsabilidad
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
