Apple Inc

AAPL At a Critical Decision Zone! Breakout or Pullback Coming?

49
Weekly timeframe
AAPL has been grinding steadily higher for months, forming a clean bullish structure with higher lows and higher highs. Buyers have full control on the weekly chart.
But now price is pushing directly into a long-term ascending trendline that has rejected multiple times in the past. Every time AAPL reached this area, momentum slowed and sellers stepped in.
This is late-stage in the weekly move, not the beginning.
If buyers can break and close above this trendline, we could see a strong expansion move. If not, this is the perfect spot for a weekly pullback.

Daily timeframe
imagen
The daily still shows bullish continuation with multiple BOS confirmations on the way up. However, price is now inside a supply zone where the last selloff started.
You can already see hesitation candles forming, smaller bodies, and wicks on top. That usually signals exhaustion.
If daily closes weak here, a retracement back toward 270–268 makes sense. If buyers hold above 275 and push out of this supply zone, continuation toward 280+ opens up.

1 Hour timeframe
imagen
Very interesting behavior here.
We saw:
* liquidity sweep above recent highs
* a quick rejection
* price stalling under short-term resistance
This is often the “fake first push” before the market decides direction.
For bulls, we need a clean reclaim and hold above 276.
For bears, losing 273 opens the door for 270–268 retest.
Right now, momentum is slowing.

GEX View
imagen
GEX levels support this zone as a decision point:
* heavy CALL walls around 280
* strong PUT support around 270–268
* highest positive GEX slightly above current price
That means market makers have incentive to pin AAPL between these levels until direction becomes clear.
A breakout above the 280 GEX wall could trigger momentum.
A breakdown toward 270 would be absorbed by PUT support first.

My thoughts
Trend is still bullish overall, but location is risky for new longs. This is where smart money takes profit or waits for confirmation.
If buyers fail to break this weekly trendline soon, we could see a pullback. If they break it, AAPL has room to run fast because there's very little resistance above.
This week should decide the next bigger move.

Key levels
Bullish above:
276
280
Targets:
282.5
285
Bearish below:
273
270
Targets:
268
265

Conclusion
AAPL is sitting at a major decision zone across all timeframes. Trend favors bulls, but the location suggests caution. Watch 276 and 273 — whichever breaks first likely sets the next move.

Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.

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