Staggered Exponential PullbacksIndicator Description: Staggered Exponential Pullbacks (Final)
Core Concept
This indicator is designed to dynamically track and visualize price pullbacks from a recent high. It serves as an intelligent alert system and a tool for visualizing potential support levels that follow a predefined, non-linear logic.
Instead of a fixed percentage interval, the indicator calculates the levels based on a fixed, exponentially increasing sequence of percentages. The distance between the levels increases as the price falls further. This models a strategy where larger price movements are tolerated as a pullback deepens before the next signal level is reached. The basis for this calculation is always the highest close of the last x candles.
Key Features
This indicator goes far beyond a simple calculation, offering a range of intelligent features for professional use:
Cascading, Fixed Levels: The levels are based on a fixed sequence of percentage distances (3.0%, 3.6%, 4.3%, etc.), where each new level is calculated from the previous level.
Persistent Support Levels ("Floors"): Once an alert level is breached, it transforms into a fixed support line ("floor"). This line will never move down, even if the market high subsequently drops.
Automatic Upward Adjustment: Established floors are automatically pulled upwards when the market shows new strength and makes higher highs. A once-reached -3% floor will therefore rise with the market.
Intelligent, Self-Cleaning Reset Logic: The indicator recognizes when a pullback sequence has ended and a new one has begun. "Ghost lines" from old, irrelevant price movements are automatically removed from the chart to ensure maximum clarity.
Cascade-Proof Alerts: Even during extremely fast sell-offs that break through multiple levels in a single candle, the indicator correctly captures every single level breach.
Customizable Visualization: All key parameters, such as the lookback period and the colors of the lines, can be easily adjusted in the settings.
Visual Elements on the Chart
The Orange Line (Highest Close): This is the reference line. It always shows the highest closing price within the defined lookback period and has a step-line shape.
The 'Floor' Lines (Default: Yellow): These are solid lines that indicate which percentage levels have already been breached in the current sequence. They function as established support levels.
The 'Next Due' Line (Default: Purple): This is a step-line that displays the next expected alert level. It moves dynamically with the calculation. As soon as the price crosses this line, an alert is triggered, and it transforms into a yellow "Floor" line.
Settings (Inputs)
Number of Candles (Lookback): Defines how many past candles are used to determine the highest closing price.
Displayed Alert Levels (Max 10): Determines the maximum number of levels the indicator will calculate and display.
Color of Floors: Allows you to freely choose the color for the solid, established support lines.
Color of Next Due Line: Allows you to freely choose the color for the next, untriggered alert line.
Setting Up Alerts (Important!)
Since the indicator uses dynamic alert messages, the alert must be set up as follows:
Add the indicator to the chart.
Click the clock icon ("Alert") in the top toolbar.
In the "Condition" field, select the name of this indicator: Staggered Exponential Pullbacks.
In the second dropdown menu, you must select the option "Any alert() function call".
Message: The message box can be left empty. The indicator automatically generates a detailed message (e.g., "Price Alert: Level 2 (3.6%) reached!").
Click "Create".
You only need one single alert to cover all 10 levels.
Important Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice
This indicator is purely a technical analysis tool for visualizing price movements. The displayed lines and triggered alerts do not constitute buy or sell recommendations and are not a form of financial or investment advice. They serve for informational and analytical purposes only.
Trading decisions based on the information from this indicator are made solely at your own risk and responsibility. The author and developer of this script assume no liability for any trading losses. Always conduct your own comprehensive analysis and, if necessary, consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Análisis de tendencia
ARMA(Autoregressive Moving Average) Model -DeepALGO-📊 ARMA Model Indicator
This script is a custom indicator based on the ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average) model, one of the fundamental and widely used models in time series analysis.
While ARMA is typically employed in statistical software, this implementation makes it accessible directly on TradingView, allowing traders to visualize and apply the dynamics of ARMA in financial markets with ease.
🧩 What is the ARMA Model?
The ARMA model explains time series data by combining two components: Autoregression (AR) and Moving Average (MA).
AR (Autoregression) component
Captures the dependence of current values on past values, modeling the inherent autocorrelation of the series.
MA (Moving Average) component
Incorporates past forecast errors (residuals), smoothing out randomness and noise while improving predictive capability.
By combining these two aspects, ARMA models can capture both the underlying structure of the data and the random fluctuations, providing a more robust description of price behavior than simple averages alone.
⚙️ Design of This Script
In classical statistics, ARMA coefficients are estimated using the ACF (Autocorrelation Function) and PACF (Partial Autocorrelation Function). However, this process is often too complex for trading environments.
This script simplifies the approach:
The coefficients theta (θ) and epsilon (ε) are fixed, automatically derived from the chosen AR and MA periods.
This eliminates the need for statistical estimation, making the indicator easy to apply with simple parameter adjustments.
The goal is not academic rigor, but practical usability for traders.
🔧 Configurable Parameters
AR Period (p): Order of the autoregressive part.
MA Period (q): Order of the moving average part. Shorter periods yield faster responsiveness, while longer periods produce smoother outputs.
Offset: Shifts the line forward or backward for easier comparison.
Smoothing Period: Additional smoothing to reduce noise.
Source: Choose from Close, HL2, HLC3, High, or Low.
🎯 Advantages Compared to Traditional Moving Averages
Commonly used moving averages such as SMA (Simple Moving Average) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) are intuitive but have limitations:
SMA applies equal weights to past data, which makes it slow to respond to new price changes.
EMA emphasizes recent data, providing faster response but often introducing more noise and reducing smoothness.
The ARMA-based approach provides two key advantages:
Balance of Responsiveness and Smoothness
AR terms capture autocorrelation while MA terms correct residuals, resulting in a smoother line that still reacts more quickly than SMA or EMA.
Flexible Adaptation
By adjusting the MA period (q), traders can fine-tune how closely the model follows price fluctuations—ranging from rapid short-term responses to stable long-term trend recognition.
📈 Practical Use Cases
The ARMA indicator can be applied in several practical ways:
Trend Direction Estimation
The slope and position of the ARMA line can provide a straightforward read of bullish or bearish market conditions.
Trend Reversal Identification
Changes in the ARMA line’s direction may signal early signs of a reversal, often with faster reaction compared to traditional moving averages.
Confirmation with Other Indicators
Combine ARMA with oscillators such as RSI or MACD to improve the reliability of signals.
Combination with Heikin-Ashi
Heikin-Ashi candles smooth out price action and highlight trend changes. When used together with ARMA, they can significantly enhance reversal detection. For example, if Heikin-Ashi indicates a potential reversal and the ARMA line simultaneously changes direction, the confluence provides a stronger and more reliable trading signal.
⚠️ Important Notes
Risk of Overfitting
Excessive optimization of AR or MA periods may lead to overfitting, where the indicator fits historical data well but fails to generalize to future market conditions. Keep parameter choices simple and consistent.
Weakness in Sideways Markets
ARMA works best in trending environments. In range-bound conditions, signals may become noisy or less reliable. Consider combining it with range-detection tools or volume analysis.
Not a Standalone System
This indicator should not be used in isolation for trading decisions. It is best employed as part of a broader analysis framework, combining multiple indicators and fundamental insights.
💡 Summary
This script brings the theoretical foundation of ARMA into a practical, chart-based tool for traders.
It is particularly valuable for those who find SMA too lagging or EMA too noisy, offering a more nuanced balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
By capturing both autocorrelation and residual structure, ARMA provides a deeper view of market dynamics.
Combined with tools such as Heikin-Ashi or oscillators, it can significantly enhance trend reversal detection and strategy reliability.
Global Sessions with Trend & Liquidity Features:
-Session ranges with customizable lines & colors
-Opening range markers and optional background shading
-Automatic trend detection per session (Bullish / Bearish / Neutral)
-Indicators when highs/lows are broken
-Clean visual design with toggles for minimal or detailed display
This Pine Script code is designed to help traders visualize and analyze different market sessions. It's a tool that displays the trading hours for the Asian, London, and New York sessions right on the chart.
The main purpose is to show when these key markets are open and to highlight their price ranges. It also includes features to track the trend within each session and to identify "liquidity sweeps" or moments when the price breaks the high or low of a previous session.
In simple terms, it helps a trader see what the market is doing and where the price is likely to go, all based on the major global trading times. It's especially useful for day traders who want to align their strategies with the activity of specific markets.
P.S. Apologies to users not in the EST timezone! This version is hardcoded to Eastern Standard Time, and I'm not currently sure how to automatically adjust it for different timezones. But you can adjust manually and click the dropdown menu to Save As Default.
VWAP Price ChannelVWAP Price Channel cuts the crust off of a traditional price channel (Donchian Channel) by anchoring VWAPs at the highs and lows. By doing this, the flat levels, characteristic of traditional Donchian Channels, are no more!
Author's Note: This indicator is formed with no inherent use, and serves solely as a thought experiment.
> Concept
I would be hesitant to call this a "predictive" indicator, however the behavior of it would suggest it could be considered at least partially predictive
Essentially, the Anchored VWAPs creates something from otherwise nothing.
While the DC upper or lower values are staying flat, the VWAPs improvise based on price and volume to project a level that may be a better representation of where future highs or lows may settle.
Visually, this looks like we have cut off the corners of the Donchian Channel.
Note: Notice how we are calculating values before the corners are realized.
> Implementation
While this is only a concept indicator, The specific application I've gone with for this, is a sort of supertrend-ish display (A Trend Flipping Trailing Stop Loss).
The script uses basic logic to create a trend direction, and then displays the Anchored VWAPs as a form of trailing stop loss.
While "In Trend", the script fills in the area between the VWAP and Price in the direction of trend.
When new highs or lows are made while in trend, the opposite VWAP will start to generate at the new highs or lows. These happen on every new high or low, so they are not indicating the trend shift, but could be interpreted as breakout levels for the current trend direction in order for continuation.
Note: All values are drawn live, but when using higher timeframes, there is a natural calculation discrepancy when using live data vs. historical.
> Technicals
In this script, I'm simply detecting new highs or lows from the DC and using those as the anchor frequency on the built-in VWAP function.
So each time a new high or low is made based on DC, the VWAP function re-anchors to the high or low of the candle.
Past that, I have implemented some logic in order to account for a common occurrence I faced during development.
Frequently, the price would outpace the anchored VWAP, so we would end up with the VWAP being further from price than the actual DC upper or lower.
Due to this, what I have ended up with was a third value which, rather than switching between raw VWAP values and DC values, it adjusts the value based on the change in the VWAP value.
This can be simply thought of as a "Start + Change" type of setup.
By doing this, I can use the change values from the actual anchored VWAP, and under normal conditions, this will also be the true VWAP value.
However, situationally, I am able to update the start value which we're applying the VWAP change to.
In other words, when these situations happen, the VWAP change is added to the new (closer to price) DC value.
The specific trend logic being used is nothing fancy at all, we are simply checking if a new high or low is created and setting the trend in that direction.
This is in line with some traditional DC Strategies.
To those who made it here,
Just remember:
The chart may be ugly, but it's the fastest analysis of the data you can get.
Nicer displays often come at the hidden cost of latency.
You have to shoot your shot to make it.
Choose 2: Fast, Clean, Useful
Enjoy!
SMC - Institutional Confidence Oscillator [PhenLabs]📊 Institutional Confidence Oscillator
Version: PineScript™v6
📌 Description
The Institutional Confidence Oscillator (ICO) revolutionizes market analysis by automatically detecting and evaluating institutional activity at key support and resistance levels using our own in-house detection system. This sophisticated indicator combines volume analysis, volatility measurements, and mathematical confidence algorithms to provide real-time readings of institutional sentiment and zone strength.
Using our advanced thin liquidity detection, the ICO identifies high-volume, narrow-range bars that signal institutional zone formation, then tracks how these zones perform under market pressure. The result is a dual-wave confidence oscillator that shows traders when institutions are actively defending price levels versus when they’re abandoning positions.
The indicator transforms complex institutional behavior patterns into clear, actionable confidence percentiles, helping traders align with smart money movements and avoid common retail trading pitfalls.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Automated thin liquidity zone detection using volume threshold multipliers and zone size filtering
Dual-sided confidence tracking for both support and resistance levels simultaneously
Sigmoid function processing for enhanced mathematical accuracy in confidence calculations
Real-time institutional defense pattern analysis through complete test cycles
Advanced visual smoothing options with multiple algorithmic methods (EMA, SMA, WMA, ALMA)
Integrated momentum indicators and gradient visualization for enhanced signal clarity
🔧 Core Components
Volume Threshold System: Analyzes volume ratios against baseline averages to identify institutional activity spikes
Zone Detection Algorithm: Automatically identifies thin liquidity zones based on customizable volume and size parameters
Confidence Lifecycle Engine: Tracks institutional defense patterns through complete observation windows
Mathematical Processing Core: Uses sigmoid functions to convert raw market data into normalized confidence percentiles
Visual Enhancement Suite: Provides multiple smoothing methods and customizable display options for optimal chart interpretation
🔥 Key Features
Auto-Detection Technology: Automatically scans for institutional zones without manual intervention, saving analysis time
Dual Confidence Tracking: Simultaneously monitors both support and resistance institutional activity for comprehensive market view
Smart Zone Validation: Evaluates zone strength through volume analysis, adverse excursion measurement, and defense success rates
Customizable Parameters: Extensive input options for volume thresholds, observation windows, and visual preferences
Real-Time Updates: Continuously processes market data to provide current institutional confidence readings
Enhanced Visualization: Features gradient fills, momentum indicators, and information panels for clear signal interpretation
🎨 Visualization
Dual Oscillator Lines: Support confidence (cyan) and resistance confidence (red) plotted as percentage values 0-100%
Gradient Fill Areas: Color-coded regions showing confidence dominance and strength levels
Reference Grid Lines: Horizontal markers at 25%, 50%, and 75% levels for easy interpretation
Information Panel: Real-time display of current confidence percentiles with color-coded dominance indicators
Momentum Indicators: Rate of change visualization for confidence trends
Background Highlights: Extreme confidence level alerts when readings exceed 80%
📖 Usage Guidelines
Auto-Detection Settings
Use Auto-Detection
Default: true
Description: Enables automatic thin liquidity zone identification based on volume and size criteria
Volume Threshold Multiplier
Default: 6.0, Range: 1.0+
Description: Controls sensitivity of volume spike detection for zone identification, higher values require more significant volume increases
Volume MA Length
Default: 15, Range: 1+
Description: Period for volume moving average baseline calculation, affects volume spike sensitivity
Max Zone Height %
Default: 0.5%, Range: 0.05%+
Description: Filters out wide price bars, keeping only thin liquidity zones as percentage of current price
Confidence Logic Settings
Test Observation Window
Default: 20 bars, Range: 2+
Description: Number of bars to monitor zone tests for confidence calculation, longer windows provide more stable readings
Clean Break Threshold
Default: 1.5 ATR, Range: 0.1+
Description: ATR multiple required for zone invalidation, higher values make zones more persistent
Visual Settings
Smoothing Method
Default: EMA, Options: SMA/EMA/WMA/ALMA
Description: Algorithm for signal smoothing, EMA responds faster while SMA provides more stability
Smoothing Length
Default: 5, Range: 1-50
Description: Period for smoothing calculation, higher values create smoother lines with more lag
✅ Best Use Cases
Trending market analysis where institutional zones provide reliable support/resistance levels
Breakout confirmation by validating zone strength before position entry
Divergence analysis when confidence shifts between support and resistance levels
Risk management through identification of high-confidence institutional backing
Market structure analysis for understanding institutional sentiment changes
⚠️ Limitations
Performs best in liquid markets with clear institutional participation
May produce false signals during low-volume or holiday trading periods
Requires sufficient price history for accurate confidence calculations
Confidence readings can fluctuate rapidly during high-impact news events
Manual fallback zones may not reflect actual institutional activity
💡 What Makes This Unique
Automated Detection: First Pine Script indicator to automatically identify thin liquidity zones using sophisticated volume analysis
Dual-Sided Analysis: Simultaneously tracks institutional confidence for both support and resistance levels
Mathematical Precision: Uses sigmoid functions for enhanced accuracy in confidence percentage calculations
Real-Time Processing: Continuously evaluates institutional defense patterns as market conditions change
Visual Innovation: Advanced smoothing options and gradient visualization for superior chart clarity
🔬 How It Works
1. Zone Identification Process:
Scans for high-volume bars that exceed the volume threshold multiplier
Filters bars by maximum zone height percentage to identify thin liquidity conditions
Stores qualified zones with proximity threshold filtering for relevance
2. Confidence Calculation Process:
Monitors price interaction with identified zones during observation windows
Measures volume ratios and adverse excursions during zone tests
Applies sigmoid function processing to normalize raw data into confidence percentiles
3. Real-Time Analysis Process:
Continuously updates confidence readings as new market data becomes available
Tracks institutional defense success rates and zone validation patterns
Provides visual and numerical feedback through the oscillator display
💡 Note:
The ICO works best when combined with traditional technical analysis and proper risk management. Higher confidence readings indicate stronger institutional backing but should be confirmed with price action and volume analysis. Consider using multiple timeframes for comprehensive market structure understanding.
Trend detection for stocksThis Pine Script indicator combines exponential moving averages (EMA) with the Average Directional Index (ADX) to identify clear upward and downward trends. The chart colors the background according to the trend and optionally displays buy and sell signals as well as alerts.
Functionality in detail:
The Fast EMA (Standard 21) reacts quickly to price changes.
The Slow EMA (Standard 55) smooths the trend more.
If the Fast EMA is above the Slow EMA and the ADX is above the defined threshold, the background turns green – indicating a clear upward trend.
Conversely, a red background signals a dominant downward trend.
Buy and sell arrows appear at the EMA crossover as soon as the ADX confirms that a trend is intact.
Smart Money Trades Pro [BOSWaves]Smart Money Trades Pro – Advanced Market Structure & Liquidity Visualizer
Overview
Smart Money Trades Pro is a comprehensive trading tool designed for traders seeking an in-depth understanding of market structure, liquidity dynamics, and institutional flow. The indicator systematically identifies key market turning points, including break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHoCH) events, and overlays these with adaptive visualizations to highlight high-probability trade setups. By integrating ATR-based risk zones, progressive take-profit levels, and real-time trade analytics, Smart Money Trades Pro transforms complex price action into an interpretable framework suitable for multiple trading styles, including scalping, intraday, and swing trading.
Unlike traditional static indicators, Smart Money Trades Pro adapts continuously to market conditions. It evaluates swing highs and lows over a configurable lookback period, then determines structural breaks using customizable confirmation methods (candle body or wick). The resulting signals are augmented with dynamic entry, stop-loss, and target levels, allowing traders to analyze potential trade opportunities with both precision and context. The indicator’s design ensures that each visual element—trend-colored candles, signal markers, and risk/reward boxes—reflects real-time market conditions, offering an actionable interpretation of institutional activity.
How It Works
The indicator’s foundation is built upon market structure analysis. By calculating pivot highs and lows over a specified period, Smart Money Trades Pro identifies potential points of liquidity accumulation and exhaustion. When price breaks a pivot high or low, the indicator evaluates whether this constitutes a BOS or a CHoCH, signaling trend continuation or reversal. These events are marked on the chart with distinct visual cues, allowing traders to quickly discern shifts in market sentiment without manually analyzing historical price action.
Once a structural break is confirmed, the indicator automatically determines entry levels, stop-loss placements, and progressive take-profit zones (TP1, TP2, TP3). These calculations are based on ATR-derived volatility, ensuring that targets scale with current market conditions. Risk and reward zones are plotted as shaded boxes, providing a clear visual representation of potential profit relative to risk for each trade setup. This system allows traders to maintain discipline and consistency, with dynamic trade management baked directly into the visualization.
Trend direction is further reinforced by color-coded candles, which reflect the prevailing market bias. Bullish trends are represented by one color, bearish trends by another, and neutral conditions are displayed in muted tones. This continuous visual feedback simplifies the process of trend assessment and helps confirm the validity of trade setups alongside BOS and CHoCH markers.
Signals and Breakouts
Smart Money Trades Pro includes structured visual signals to indicate actionable price movements:
Bullish Break Signals – Triangular markers below the candle appear when a swing high is broken, suggesting potential long opportunities.
Bearish Break Signals – Triangular markers above the candle appear when a swing low is broken, indicating potential short setups.
Change of Character (CHoCH) – Special markers highlight trend reversals, showing where momentum shifts from bullish to bearish or vice versa.
These markers are strategically spaced to prevent overlap and remain clear during high-volatility periods. Traders can use them in combination with trend-colored candles, risk/reward zones, and ATR-based targets to assess the strength and reliability of each setup. The integrated table provides live trade information, including entry price, stop-loss level, take-profit levels, risk/reward ratio, and trade direction, ensuring that trade decisions are informed and data-driven.
Interpretation
Trend Analysis : The indicator’s trend coloring, combined with BOS and CHoCH detection, provides an immediate view of market direction. Rising structures indicate bullish momentum, while falling structures signal bearish momentum. CHoCH markers highlight potential trend reversals or significant liquidity sweeps.
Volatility and Risk Assessment : ATR-based calculations determine stop-loss distances and target levels, giving a quantitative measure of risk relative to market volatility. Wide ATR readings indicate periods of high price fluctuation, whereas narrow readings suggest consolidation and reduced risk exposure.
Market Structure Insights : By monitoring swing highs and lows alongside break confirmations, traders can identify where institutional players are likely active. Areas with multiple structural breaks or overlapping targets can indicate liquidity hotspots, potential reversal zones, or areas of market congestion.
Trade Management : The built-in trade zones allow traders to visualize entry, risk, and reward simultaneously. Progressive targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) reflect incremental profit-taking strategies, while dynamic stop-loss levels help preserve capital during adverse moves.
Strategy Integration
Smart Money Trades Pro supports a range of trading approaches:
Trend Following : Enter trades in the direction of confirmed BOS while using CHoCH markers and trend-colored candles to validate momentum.
Pullback Entries : Use failed breakout retests or minor reversals toward broken structure levels for lower-risk entries.
Mean Reversion : In consolidated zones with narrow ATR and repeated BOS/CHoCH activity, anticipate reversals or short-term corrective moves.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation : Overlay signals on higher or lower timeframes to filter noise and improve trade accuracy.
Stop-loss levels should be placed just beyond the opposing structural point, while take-profit targets can be scaled using the ATR-based zones. Progressive targets allow for partial exits or scaling out of trades while maintaining exposure to larger moves.
Advanced Techniques
Traders seeking greater precision can combine Smart Money Trades Pro with volume, momentum, or volatility indicators to validate signals. Observing sequences of BOS and CHoCH markers across multiple timeframes provides insight into liquidity accumulation and depletion trends. Tracking the expansion or contraction of ATR-based zones helps anticipate shifts in volatility, enabling better timing for entries and exits.
Customizing the structure period and confirmation type allows the indicator to adapt to different asset classes and timeframes. Shorter periods increase sensitivity to smaller swings, while longer periods filter noise and emphasize higher-probability structural breaks. By integrating these features, the indicator offers a robust statistical framework for disciplined, data-driven trading decisions.
Inputs and Customization
Structure Detection Period : Defines the lookback window for pivot high and low calculation.
Break Confirmation : Choose whether to confirm breaks using candle body or wick.
Display CHoCH : Toggle visibility of change-of-character markers.
Color Trend Bars : Enable color-coding of candles based on market structure direction.
Show Info Table : Display trade dashboard showing entry, stop-loss, take-profits, risk/reward, and bias.
Table Position : Choose from top-left, top-right, bottom-left, or bottom-right placement.
Color Customization : Configure bullish, bearish, neutral, risk, reward, and text colors for enhanced visual clarity.
Why Use Smart Money Trades Pro
Smart Money Trades Pro transforms complex market behavior into an actionable visual framework. By combining market structure analysis, liquidity tracking, ATR-based risk/reward mapping, and a dynamic trade dashboard, it provides a multidimensional view of the market. Traders can focus on execution, interpret trends, and evaluate overextensions or reversals without relying on guesswork. The indicator is suitable for scalping, intraday, and swing strategies, offering a comprehensive system for understanding and trading alongside institutional participants.
Liquidity Sweep Breakout - LSBLiquidity Sweep Breakout - LSB
A professional session-based breakout system designed for OANDA:USDJPY and other JPY pairs.
Not guesswork, but precision - built on detailed observation of institutional moves to capture clear trade direction daily.
Master the Market’s Daily Bank Flow.
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Strategy Detail:
I discovered this strategy after carefully studying how Japanese banks influence the forex market during their daily settlement period. Banks are some of the biggest players in the financial world, and when they adjust or settle their accounts in the morning, it often creates a push in the market. From years of observation, I noticed a consistent pattern, once banks finish their settlements, the market usually continues moving in the same direction that was formed right after those actions. This daily banking flow often sets the tone for the entire trading session, especially for JPY pairs like USDJPY.
To capture this move, I built the indicator so that it follows the bank-driven trend with clear rules for entries, stop-loss (SL), and take-profit (TP). The system is designed with professional risk management in mind. By default, it assumes a $10,000 account size, risks only 1% of that balance per trade, and targets a 1:1.5 reward-to-risk ratio. This means for every $100 risked, the potential profit is $150. Such controlled risk makes the system safer and more sustainable for long-term traders. At the same time, users are not limited to this setup, they can adjust the account balance in the settings, and the indicator will automatically recalculate the lot size and risk levels based on their own capital. This ensures the strategy works for small accounts and larger accounts alike.
🌍 Why It Works
Fundamentally driven: Based on **daily Japanese banking settlement flows**.
Session-specific precision: Targets the exact window when USDJPY liquidity reshapes.
Risk-managed: Always calculates lot size based on account and risk preferences.
Automatable: With webhook + MT5 EA, it can be fully hands-free.
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✅ Recommended
Pair: USDJPY (best observed behavior).
Timeframe: 3-Minute chart.
Platform: TradingView Premium (for webhooks).
Execution: MT5 via EA.
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🔎 Strategy Concept
The Tokyo Magic Breakout (TMB) is built on years of session observation and the unique daily rhythm of the Japanese banking system.
Every morning between 5:50 AM – 6:10 AM PKT (09:50 – 10:10 JST), Japanese banks perform daily reconciliation and settlement. This often sets the tone for the USDJPY direction of the day.
This strategy isolates that critical moment of liquidity adjustment and waits for a clean breakout confirmation. Instead of chasing noise, it executes only when price action is aligned with the Tokyo market’s hidden flows.
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🕒 Timing Logic
Session Start: 5:00 AM PKT (Tokyo market open range).
Magic Candle: The 5:54 AM PKT candle is marked as the reference “breakout selector.”
Checkpoints: First confirmation at 6:30 AM PKT, then every 15 minutes until 8:30 AM PKT.
* If price stays inside the magic range → wait.
* If a breakout happens but the candle wick touches the range → wait for the next checkpoint.
* If by 8:30 AM PKT no clean breakout occurs → the day is marked as No Trade Day (NTD).
👉 Recommended timeframe: 3-Minute chart (3M) for precise signals.
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📈 Trade Execution
Entry: Clean break above/below the magic candle’s range.
Stop-Loss: Opposite side of the Tokyo session high/low.
Take-Profit: Calculated by Reward\:Risk ratio (default 1.5:1).
Lot Size: Auto-calculated based on your risk model:
* Fixed Dollar
* % of Equity
* Conservative (minimum of both).
Visuals include:
✅ Entry/SL/TP lines
✅ Shaded risk (red) and reward (green) zones
✅ Trade labels (Buy/Sell with lot size & levels)
✅ TP/SL hit markers
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🔔 Alerts & Automation (AutoTMB)
This strategy is fully automation-ready with EA + MT5:
1. Enable alerts in TMB settings.
2. Insert your PineConnector License Key.
3. Configure your risk management preferences.
4. Create a TradingView alert → in the message box simply type:
Pine Script®
{{alert_message}}
and set the EA webhook.
Now, every breakout trade (with exact entry, SL, TP, and lot size) is sent instantly.
👉 On your MT5:
* Install the EA.
* Use the same license key.
* Run it on a VPS or local MT5 terminal.
You now have a hands-free trading system: AutoTMB.
Moving Average Adaptive RSI [BackQuant]Moving Average Adaptive RSI
What this is
A momentum oscillator that reshapes classic RSI into a zero-centered column plot and makes it adaptive. It builds RSI from two parts:
• A sensitivity window that scans several recent bars to capture the strongest up and down impulses.
• A selectable moving average that smooths those impulses before computing RSI.
The output ranges roughly from −100 to +100 with 0 as the midline, with optional extra smoothing and built-in divergence detection.
How it works
Impulse extraction
• For each bar the script inspects the last rsi_sen bars and collects upward and downward price changes versus the current price.
• It keeps the maximum upward change and maximum downward change from that window, emphasizing true bursts over single-bar noise.
MA-based averaging
• The up and down impulse series are averaged with your chosen MA over rsi_len bars.
• Supported MA types: SMA, EMA, DEMA, WMA, HMA, SMMA (RMA), TEMA.
Zero-centered RSI transform
• RS = UpMA ÷ DownMA, then mapped to a symmetric scale: 100 − 200 ÷ (1 + RS) .
• Above 0 implies positive momentum bias. Below 0 implies negative momentum bias.
Optional extra smoothing
• A second smoothing pass can be applied to the final oscillator using smoothing_len and smooth_type . Toggle with “Use Extra Smoothing”.
Visual encoding
• The oscillator is drawn as columns around the zero line with a gradient that intensifies toward extremes.
• Static bands mark 80 to 100 and −80 to −100 for extreme conditions.
Key inputs and what they change
• Price Source : input series for momentum.
• Calculation Period (rsi_len) : primary averaging window on up and down components. Higher = smoother, slower.
• Sensitivity (rsi_sen) : how many recent bars are scanned to find max impulses. Higher = more responsive to bursts.
• Calculation Type (ma_type) : MA family that shapes the core behavior. HMA or DEMA is faster, SMA or SMMA is slower.
• Smoothing Type and Length : optional second pass to calm noise on the final output.
• UI toggles : show or hide the oscillator, candle painting, and extreme bands.
Reading the oscillator
• Midline cross up (0) : momentum bias turning positive.
• Midline cross down (0) : momentum bias turning negative.
• Positive territory :
– 0 to 40: constructive but not stretched.
– 40 to 80: strong momentum, continuation more likely.
– Above 80: extreme risk of mean reversion grows.
• Negative territory : mirror the same levels for the downside.
Divergence detection
The script plots four divergence types using pivot highs and lows on both price and the oscillator. Lookbacks are set by lbL and lbR .
• Regular bullish : price lower low, oscillator higher low. Possible downside exhaustion.
• Hidden bullish : price higher low, oscillator lower low. Bias to trend continuation up.
• Regular bearish : price higher high, oscillator lower high. Possible upside exhaustion.
• Hidden bearish : price lower high, oscillator higher high. Bias to trend continuation down.
Labels: ℝ for regular, ℍ for hidden. Green for bullish, red for bearish.
Candle coloring
• Optional bar painting: green when the oscillator is above 0, red when below 0. This is for visual scanning only.
Strengths
• Adaptive sensitivity via a rolling impulse window that responds to genuine bursts.
• Configurable MA core so you can match responsiveness to the instrument.
• Zero-centered scale for simple regime reads with 0 as a clear bias line.
• Built-in regular and hidden divergence mapping.
• Flexible across symbols and timeframes once tuned.
Limitations and cautions
• Trends can remain extended. Treat extremes as context rather than automatic reversal signals.
• Divergence quality depends on pivot lookbacks. Short lookbacks give more signals with more noise. Long lookbacks reduce noise but add lag.
• Double smoothing can delay zero-line transitions. Balance smoothness and timeliness.
Practical usage ideas
• Regime filter : only take long setups from your separate method when the oscillator is above 0, shorts when below 0.
• Pullback confirmation : in uptrends, look for dips that hold above 0 or turn up from 0 to 40. Reverse for downtrends.
• Divergence as a heads-up : wait for a zero-line cross or a price trigger before acting on divergence.
• Sensitivity tuning : start with rsi_sen 2 to 5 on faster timeframes, increase slightly on slower charts.
Alerts
• MA-A RSI Long : oscillator crosses above 0.
• MA-A RSI Short : oscillator crosses below 0.
Use these as bias or timing aids, not standalone trade commands.
Settings quick reference
• Calculation : Price Source, Calculation Type, Calculation Period, Sensitivity.
• Smoothing : Smoothing Type, Smoothing Length, Use Extra Smoothing.
• UI : Show Oscillator, Paint Candles, Show Static High and Low Levels.
• Divergences : Pivot Lookback Left and Right, Div Signal Length, Show Detected Divergences.
Final thoughts
This tool reframes RSI by extracting strong short-term impulses and averaging them with a moving-average model of your choice, then presenting a zero-centered output for clear regime reads. Pair it with your structure, risk and execution process, and tune sensitivity and smoothing to the market you trade.
Market Imbalance Tracker (Inefficient Candle + FVG)# 📊 Overview
This indicator combines two imbalance concepts:
• **Squared Up Points (SUP)** – midpoints of large, "inefficient" candles that often attract price back.
• **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)** – 3-candle gaps created by strong impulse moves that often get "filled."
Use them separately or together. Confluence between a SUP line and an FVG boundary/midpoint is high-value.
---
# ⚡ Quick Start (2 minutes)
1. **Add to chart** → keep defaults (Percentile method, 80th percentile, 100-bar lookback).
2. **Watch** for dashed SUP lines to print after large candles.
3. **Toggle Show FVG** → see green/red boxes where gaps exist.
4. **Turn on alerts** → New SUP created, SUP touched, New FVG.
5. **Trade the reaction** → look for confluence (SUP + FVG + S/R), then manage risk.
---
# 🛠 Features
## 🔹 Squared Up Points (SUP)
• **Purpose:** Midpoint of a large candle → potential support/resistance magnet.
• **Detection:** Choose *Percentile* (adaptive) or *ATR Multiple* (absolute).
• **Validation:** Only plots if the preceding candle does not touch the midpoint (with tolerance).
• **Lifecycle:** Line auto-extends into the future; it's removed when touched or aged out.
• **Visual:** Horizontal dashed line (color/width configurable; style fixed to dashed if not exposed).
## 🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
• **Purpose:** 3-candle gaps from an impulse; price often revisits to "fill."
• **Detection:** Requires a strong directional candle (Marubozu threshold) creating a gap.
• **Types:**
- **Bullish FVG (Green):** Gap below; expectation is downward fill.
- **Bearish FVG (Red):** Gap above; expectation is upward fill.
• **Close Rules (if implemented):**
- *Full Fill:* Gap closes when the opposite boundary is tagged.
- *Midpoint Fill:* Gap closes when its midpoint is tagged.
• **Visual:** Colored boxes; optional split-coloring to emphasize the midpoint.
> **Note:** If a listed FVG option isn't visible in Inputs, you're on a lighter build; use the available switches.
---
# ⚙️ Settings
## SUP Settings
• **Candle Size Method:** Percentile (top X% of recent ranges) or ATR Multiple.
• **Candle Size Percentile:** e.g., 80 → top 20% largest candles.
• **ATR Multiple & Period:** e.g., 1.5 × ATR(14).
• **Percentile Lookback:** Bars used to compute percentile.
• **Lookback Period:** How long SUP lines remain eligible before auto-cleanup.
• **Touch Tolerance (%):** Buffer based on the inefficient candle's range (0% = exact touch).
## Line Appearance
• **Line Color / Width:** Customizable.
• **Style:** Dashed (fixed unless you expose a style input).
## FVG Settings (if present in your build)
• **Show FVG:** On/Off.
• **Close Method:** Full Fill or Midpoint.
• **Marubozu Wick Tolerance:** Max wick % of the impulse bar.
• **Use Split Coloring:** Two-tone box halves around midpoint.
• **Colors:** Bullish/Bearish, and upper/lower halves (if split).
• **Max FVG Age:** Auto-remove older gaps.
---
# 📈 How to Use
## Trading Applications
• **SUP Lines:** Expect reaction on first touch; use as S/R or profit-taking magnets.
• **FVG Fills:** Price frequently tags the midpoint/boundary before continuing.
• **Confluence:** SUP at an FVG midpoint/boundary + higher-timeframe S/R = higher quality.
• **Bias:** Clusters of unfilled FVGs can hint at path of least resistance.
## Best Practices
• **Timeframe:** HTFs for swing levels, LTFs for execution.
• **Volume:** High volume at level = stronger signal.
• **Context:** Trade with broader trend or at least avoid counter-trend without confirmation.
• **Risk:** Always pre-define invalidation; structures fail in chop.
---
# 🔔 Alerts
• **New SUP Created** – When a qualifying inefficient candle prints a SUP midpoint.
• **SUP Touched/Invalidated** – When price touches within tolerance.
• **New FVG Detected** – When a valid gap forms per your rules.
> **Tip:** Set alerts *Once Per Bar Close* on HTFs; *Once* on LTFs to avoid noise.
---
# 🧑💻 Technical Notes
• **Percentile vs ATR:** Percentile adapts to volatility; ATR gives consistency for backtesting.
• **FVG Direction Logic:** Gap above price = bearish (expect up-fill); below = bullish (expect down-fill).
• **Performance:** Limits on lines/boxes and auto-aging keep things snappy.
---
# ⚠️ Limitations
• Imbalances are **context tools**, not signals by themselves.
• Works best with trend or clear impulses; expect noise in narrow ranges.
• Lower-timeframe gaps can be plentiful and lower quality.
---
# 📌 Version & Requirements
• **Pine Script v6**
• Heavy drawings may require **TradingView Pro** or higher (object limits).
---
*For best results, combine with your existing trading strategy and proper risk management.*
Multi HTF High/Low LevelsThis indicator plots the previous high and low from up to four user-defined higher timeframes (HTF), providing crucial levels of support and resistance. It's designed to be both powerful and clean, giving you a clear view of the market structure from multiple perspectives without cluttering your chart.
Key Features:
Four Customizable Timeframes: Configure up to four distinct higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, Daily, Weekly) to see the levels that matter most to your trading style.
Automatic Visibility: The indicator is smart. It automatically hides levels from any timeframe that is lower than your current chart's timeframe. For example, if you're viewing a Daily chart, the 4-hour levels won't be shown.
Clean On-Chart Lines: The high and low for each timeframe are displayed as clean, extended horizontal lines, but only for the duration of the current higher-timeframe period. This keeps your historical chart clean while still showing the most relevant current levels.
Persistent Price Scale Labels: For easy reference, the price of each high and low is always visible on the price scale and in the data window. This is achieved with an invisible plot, giving you the accessibility of a plot without the visual noise.
How to Use:
Go into the indicator settings.
Under each "Timeframe" group, check the "Show" box to enable that specific timeframe.
Select your desired timeframe from the dropdown menu.
The indicator will automatically calculate and display the previous high and low for each enabled timeframe.
[RS] Dual Murrey 4/8 (MTF) Inspired on multi-timeframe Murrey’s Math Lines Channel.
Using the 4/8 , 2 times with different fractal multipliers to follow the trend
SExI - Super Exhaustion Indicator [Da_Prof]As we know, the RSI can remain at "overbought" or "oversold" levels for long periods of time while the price continues in that direction. The SExI (Super Exhaustion Indicator) is an indicator designed to help detect exhaustion of strong moves.
The SExI is a combination of the RSI and "upper" Aroon. For the indicator to trigger, the RSI has to be above or below a top/bottom trigger line when the Aroon has had a set number of drives up or down correspondingly. An Aroon top drive is defined as the Aroon hitting 100% on the current candle when the previous candle was below 100%. An Aroon bottom drive is defined as the Aroon hitting 0% on the current candle when the previous candle was above 0%. Consecutive top or bottom drives are counted and exhaustion triggers when these drives hit a setpoint (default is 5 drives = the Aroon exhaustion trigger). When Aroon exhaustion is triggered and the RSI is correspondingly above/below a trigger line, the overall indicator signals exhaustion. There are two lines for bottoms and tops, one each for a "normal" trigger and and an "extreme" trigger.
The Aroon drives are visualized at the top and bottom of the indicator. The RSI is plotted as a line that crosses top and bottom trigger lines. There are extreme trigger values for both the bottom and top exhaustion triggers.
--Da_Prof
Divergences v2.4 [LTB][SPTG]Open-source credit & license
Original author: LonesomeTheBlue.
This fork by: sirpipthegreat — with attribution to the original work.
License: Open-source, published under the MPL-2.0 (same license header in the code).
I am publishing this open-source in accordance with TradingView’s Open-source reuse rules.
What’s new:
- Fixes & stability (addresses “historical offset beyond buffer” errors)
- Capped and validated all historical indexing with guarded lookbacks (e.g., min(…, 200) style limits) to prevent referencing data beyond the buffer on shorter histories/thin symbols.
- Refactored highest/lowest bars scans to obey the cap and avoid cumulative overflows on long sessions.
- Added per-bar counters with safety clamps to ensure it never exceeds available history.
- Ensured HTF switching doesn’t create invalid offsets when the higher timeframe compresses history.
Modernization & user control:
- Pine v6 upgrade and re-organization of logic for clarity/performance.
- More predictable tops/bottoms detection.
What it does:
- Detects regular (trend-reversal) and optional hidden (trend-continuation) divergences between price swing tops/bottoms and the selected oscillator(s).
- Computes candidate pivots with a light HTF alignment to reduce micro-noise; validates divergence when oscillator and price move in opposite directions across those pivots.
- Plots colored lines/labels on price to highlight bearish (regular & hidden) and bullish (regular & hidden) patterns.
How to use:
- Choose the oscillator set you trust (start with RSI + MACD).
- Consider confluence (S/R, volume, trend filters). This tool only identifies conditions
JL - Market HeatmapThis indicator plots a static table on your chart that displays any tickers you want and their % change on the day so far.
It updates in real time, changes color as it updates, and has several custom functions available for you:
1. Plot up to 12 tickers of your choice
2. Choose a layout with 1-4 rows
3. Display % Change or Not
4. Choose your font size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large)
5. Up/Down Cell Colors (% change dependent)
6. Up/Down Text Colors (high contrast to your color choices)
The purpose of the indicator is to quickly measure a broad basket of market instruments to paint a more context-rich perspective of the chart you are looking at.
I hope this indicator can help you (and me) accomplish this task in a simple, clean, and seamless manner.
Thanks and enjoy - Jack
CM Indicator About Indicator:-
1) This is best Indicator for trend identification.
2) This is based on 42 EMA with Upper Band and Lower bands for trend identification.
3) This should be used for Line Bar chart only.
4) Line bar chart should be used at 1 hour for 15 line breaks.
How to Use:-
1) To go with trend is best use of this indicator.
2) This is for stocks and options not for index. Indicator used for Stocks at one hour and options for 10-15 minutes line break.
3) There will be 5% profitability defined for each entry, 3 entries with profit are best posible in same continuous trend 4 and 5th entry is in riskier zone in continuous trend.
4) Loss will only happen if there is trend reversal.
5) Loss could only be one trade of profit out of three profitable trades.
6) Back tested on 200 stocks and 100 options.
OMN Heikin Ashi Candle Direction Reversal AlertThis is a indicator to let you know once Heikin Ashi candle has changed direction compared to the candle before it. Set an alert on the indicator to get an audible alert.
Justin's Bitcoin Power Law PredictorJustin's MSTR Powerlaw Price Predictor is a Pine Script v6 indicator for TradingView that adapts Giovanni Santostasi’s Bitcoin power law model to forecast MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock prices. Using the formula Price = A * (daysSinceGenesis)^B, it calculates fair, upper, and floor prices with constants A_fair = 1.16e-17, A_floor = 0.42e-17, and B = 5.82, starting from Bitcoin’s genesis (January 3, 2009). The script plots these prices, displays values in a table.
Source: www.ccn.com
Justin's MSTR Powerlaw Price PredictorJustin's MSTR Powerlaw Price Predictor is a Pine Script v6 indicator for TradingView that adapts Giovanni Santostasi’s Bitcoin power law model to forecast MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock prices. The price prediction is based on the the formula published in this article:
www.ccn.com
BTC CME Gap – detector & single signals# BTC CME Gap — Detector & Single Signals (Pine v5)
**What it does**
This indicator finds the **weekend gap** on **CME Bitcoin futures** and turns it into a clean, tradable object:
* Draws a **gap zone** (Friday close ↔ Monday open) as a right-extending box.
* Fires **one-time signals** per gap:
* **ENTER** – first touch of the gap zone by price.
* **FILL** – gap is considered filled when price tags **Friday’s close**.
It works on any BTC chart (spot or futures). The gap itself is calculated from **CME\:BTC1!** daily data.
---
## How it works
1. Pulls **daily** `open`/`close` from `CME:BTC1!` (`request.security`, no lookahead).
2. On **Monday**, compares Monday **open** with previous **Friday close**:
* If different → a **gap** exists.
3. Defines the zone:
* `gapTop = max(MonOpen, FriClose)`
* `gapBot = min(MonOpen, FriClose)`
4. Renders a box + boundary lines, **extending right** until price action resolves it.
5. Signals:
* **ENTER**: the first bar that **enters** the gap zone.
* **FILL**: first bar that **touches Friday close** (gap completion).
6. Each new Monday gap **replaces** the previous box and signals.
---
## Inputs
* **CME symbol** (default `CME:BTC1!`)
* **Gap timeframe** (default `D`)
* **Colors** for the box and edges
---
## Plot & Signals
* **Box** = visual gap zone (transparent fill, outlined).
* **ENTER** = triangle up below bar.
* **FILL** = triangle down above bar.
* Optional label prints **Top / Bottom / Fill** levels.
---
## Notes on behavior
* Uses `barmerge.lookahead_off` and daily aggregation, so the gap definition **does not repaint** once Monday’s daily bar is confirmed.
* Signals are **single-shot** per gap (no clutter).
* Works on any chart timeframe; the gap logic always references **CME daily**.
---
## Practical use
* Track obvious **“magnets”** for mean-reversion, stop-runs, or liquidity grabs.
* Combine with your higher-timeframe bias (e.g., **1D trend filter**) and execution on **4H/1H**.
* Typical outcomes: quick Monday fill, staged fill after partial rejection, or delayed fill during later consolidation.
---
## Customization ideas
* Add `alertcondition(enterSignal, …)` / `alertcondition(fillSignal, …)` for automation.
* Gate trades with trend filters (EMA/SMA, Kernel regression, ADX) or session tools (VWAP/POC).
* Persist multiple historical gap boxes if you want to track **unfilled** gaps.
---
**Credits**: Built for BTC CME weekend gaps; minimal, publication-ready visualization with single-event signals to keep charts clean.
Price Heat Meter [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
Price Heat Meter visualizes where price sits inside its recent range and turns that into an intuitive “temperature” read. Using rolling extremes, candles fade from ❄️ aqua (cold) near the lower bound to 🔥 red (hot) near the upper bound. The tool also trails recent extreme levels, tags unusually persistent extremes with a % “heat” label, and shows a bottom gauge (0–100%) with a live arrow so you can read market heat at a glance.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Rolling Heat Map (0–100%):
The script measures where the close sits between the current Lowest Low and Highest High over the chosen Length (default 50).
Candles use a two-stage gradient: aqua → yellow (0–50%), then yellow → red (50–100%). This makes “how stretched are we?” instantly visible.
Dynamic Extremes with Time Decay:
When a new rolling High or Low is set, the script starts a faint horizontal trail at that price. Each bar that passes without a new extreme increases a counter; the line’s color gradually fades over time and fully disappears after ~100 bars, keeping the chart clean.
Persistent-Extreme Tags (Reversal Hints):
If an extreme persists for 40 bars (i.e., price hasn’t reclaimed or surpassed it), the tool stamps the original extreme pivot with its recorded Heat% at the moment the extreme formed.
• Upper extremes print a red % label (possible exhaustion/resistance context).
• Lower extremes print an aqua % label (possible exhaustion/support context).
Bottom Heat Gauge (0–100% Scale):
A compact, gradient bar renders at the bottom center showing the current Heat% with an arrow/label. ❄️ anchors the left (0%), 🔥 anchors the right (100%). The arrow adopts the same candle heat color for consistency.
Minimal Inputs, Clear Theme:
• Length (lookback window for H/L)
• Heat Color set (Cold / Mid / Hot)
The defaults give a balanced, legible gradient on most assets/timeframes.
Signal Hygiene by Design:
The meter doesn’t “call” reversals. Instead, it contextualizes price within its range and highlights the aging of extremes. That keeps it robust across regimes and assets, and ideal as a confluence layer with your existing triggers.
⯁ HOW IT WORKS (UNDER THE HOOD)
Range Model:
H = Highest(High, Length), L = Lowest(Low, Length). Heat% = 100 × (Close − L) / (H − L).
Extreme Tracking & Fade:
When High == H , we record/update the current upper extreme; same for Low == L on the lower side. If the extreme doesn’t change on the next bar, a counter increments and the plotted line’s opacity shifts along a 0→100 fade scale (visual decay).
40-Bar Persistence Labels:
On the bar after the extreme forms, the code stores the bar_index and the contemporaneous Heat% . If the extreme survives 40 bars, it places a % label at the original pivot price and index—flagging levels that were meaningfully “tested by time.”
Unified Color Logic:
Both candles and the gauge use the same two-stage gradient (Cold→Mid, then Mid→Hot), so your eye reads “heat” consistently across all elements.
⯁ USAGE
Treat >80% as “hot” and <20% as “cold” context; combine with your trigger (e.g., structure, OB, div, breakouts) instead of acting on heat alone.
Watch persistent extreme labels (40-bar marks) as reference zones for reaction or liquidity grabs.
Use the fading extreme lines as a memory map of where price last stretched—levels that slowly matter less as they decay.
Tighten Length for intraday sensitivity or increase it for swing stability.
⯁ WHY IT’S UNIQUE
Rather than another oscillator, Price Heat Meter translates simple market geometry (rolling extremes) into a readable temperature layer with time-aware extremes and a synchronized gauge . You get a continuously updated sense of stretch, persistence, and potential reversal context—without clutter or overfitting.
Pasrsifal.RegressionTrendStateSummary
The Parsifal.Regression.Trend.State Indicator analyzes the leading coefficients of linear and quadratic regressions of price (against time). It also considers their first- and second-order changes. These features are aggregated into a Trend-State background, shown as a gradient color. In addition, the indicator generates fast and slow signals that can be used as potential entry- or exit triggers.
This tool is designed for advanced trend-following strategies, leveraging information from multiple trendline features.
Background
Trendlines provide insight into the state of a trend or the “trendiness” of a price process. While moving averages or pivot-based lines can serve as envelopes and breakout levels, they are often too lagging for swing traders, who need tools that adapt more closely to price swings, ideally using trendlines, around which the price process swings continuously.
Regression lines address this by cutting directly through the data, making them a natural anchor for observing how price winds around a central trendline within a chosen lookback period.
Regression Trendlines
• Linear Regression:
o Minimizes distance to all closing values over the lookback period.
o The slope represents the short-term linear trend.
o The change of slope indicates trend acceleration or deceleration.
o Linear regression lags during phases of rapid market shifts.
• Quadratic Regression:
o Fits a second-degree polynomial to minimize deviation from closing prices.
o The convexity term (leading coefficient) reflects curvature:
Positive convexity → accelerating uptrend or fading downtrend.
Negative convexity → accelerating downtrend or fading uptrend.
o The change of convexity detects early shifts in momentum and often reacts faster than slope features.
Features Extracted
The indicator evaluates six features:
• Linear features: slope, first derivative of slope, second derivative of slope.
• Quadratic features: convexity term, first derivative of the convexity term, second derivative of the convexity term.
• Linear features: capture broad, background trend behavior.
• Quadratic features: detect deviations, accelerations, and smaller-scale dynamics.
Quadratic terms generally react first to market changes, while linear terms provide stability and context.
Dynamics of Market Moves as seen by linear and quadratic regressions
• At the start of a rapid move:
The change of convexity reacts first, capturing the shift in dynamics before other features. The convexity term then follows, while linear slope features lag further behind. Because convexity measures deviation from linearity, it reflects accelerating momentum more effectively than slope.
• At the end of a rapid move:
Again, the change of convexity responds first to fading momentum, signaling the transition from above-linear to below-linear dynamics. Even while a strong trend persists, the change of convexity may flip sign early, offering a warning of weakening strength. The convexity term itself adjusts more slowly but may still turn before the price process does. Linear features lag the most, typically only flipping after price has already reversed, thereby smoothing out the rapid, more sensitive reactions of quadratic terms.
________________________________________
Parsifal Regression.Trend.State Method
1. Feature Mapping:
Each feature is mapped to a range between -1 and 1, preserving zero-crossings (critical for sign interpretation).
2. Aggregation:
A heuristic linear combination*) produces a background information value, visualized as a gradient color scale:
o Deep green → strong positive trend.
o Deep red → strong negative trend.
o Yellow → neutral or transitional states.
3. Signals:
o Fast signal (oscillator): ranges from -1 to 1, reflecting short-term trend state.
o Slow signal (smoothed): moving average of the fast signal.
o Their interactions (crossovers, zero-crossings) provide actionable trading triggers.
How to Use
The Trend-State background gradient provides intuitive visual feedback on the aggregated regression features (slope, convexity, and their changes). Because these features reflect not only current trend strength but also their acceleration or deceleration, the color transitions help anticipate evolving market states:
• Solid Green: All features near their highs. Indicates a strong, accelerating uptrend. May also reflect explosive or hyperbolic upside moves (including gaps).
• Fading Solid Green: A recently strong uptrend is losing momentum. Price may shift into a slower uptrend, consolidation, or even a reversal.
• Fading Green → Yellow: Often appears as a dirty yellow or a rapidly mixing pattern of green and red. Signals that the uptrend is weakening toward neutrality or beginning to turn negative.
• Yellow → Deepening Red: Two possible scenarios:
o Coming from a strong uptrend → suggests a sharp fade, though the trend may still technically be up.
o Coming from a weaker uptrend or sideways market → suggests the start of an accelerating downtrend.
• Solid Red: All features near their lows. Indicates a strong, accelerating downtrend. May also reflect crash-type conditions or downside gaps.
• Fading Solid Red: A recently strong downtrend is losing strength. Market may move into a slower decline, consolidation, or early reversal upward.
• Fading Red → Yellow : The downtrend is weakening toward neutral, with potential for a bullish shift.
• Yellow → Increasing Green: Two possible scenarios:
o Coming from a strong downtrend, it reflects a sharp fade of bearish momentum, though the market may still technically be trending down.
o Coming from a weaker downtrend or sideways movement, it suggests the start of an accelerating uptrend.
Note: Market evolution does not always follow this neat “color cycle.” It may jump between states, skip stages, or reverse abruptly depending on market conditions. This makes the background coloring particularly valuable as a contextual map of current and evolving price dynamics.
Signal Crossovers:
Although the fast signal is very similar (but not identical) to the background coloring, it provides a numerical representation indicating a bullish interpretation for rising values and bearish for falling.
o High-confidence entries:
Fast signal rising from < -0.7 and crossing above the slow signal → potential long entry.
Fast signal falling from > +0.7 and crossing below the slow signal → potential short entry.
o Low-confidence entries:
Crossovers near zero may still provide a valid trigger but may be noisy and should be confirmed with other signals.
o Zero-crossings:
Indicate broader state changes, useful for conservative positioning or option strategies. For confirmation of a Fast signal 0-crossing, wait for the Slow signal to cross as well.
________________________________________
*) Note on Aggregation
While the indicator currently uses a heuristic linear combination of features, alternatives such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) could provide a more formal aggregation. However, while in the absence of matrix algebra, the required eigenvalue decomposition can be approximated, its computational expense does not justify the marginal higher insight in this case. The current heuristic approach offers a practical balance of clarity, speed, and accuracy.
Polynomial Regression HeatmapPolynomial Regression Heatmap – Advanced Trend & Volatility Visualizer
Overview
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap is a sophisticated trading tool designed for traders who require a clear and precise understanding of market trends and volatility. By applying a second-degree polynomial regression to price data, the indicator generates a smooth trend curve, augmented with adaptive volatility bands and a dynamic heatmap. This framework allows users to instantly recognize trend direction, potential reversals, and areas of market strength or weakness, translating complex price action into a visually intuitive map.
Unlike static trend indicators, the Polynomial Regression Heatmap adapts to changing market conditions. Its visual design—including color-coded candles, regression bands, optional polynomial channels, and breakout markers—ensures that price behavior is easy to interpret. This makes it suitable for scalping, swing trading, and longer-term strategies across multiple asset classes.
How It Works
The core of the indicator relies on fitting a second-degree polynomial to a defined lookback period of price data. This regression curve captures the non-linear nature of market movements, revealing the true trajectory of price beyond the distortions of noise or short-term volatility.
Adaptive upper and lower bands are constructed using ATR-based scaling, surrounding the regression line to reflect periods of high and low volatility. When price moves toward or beyond these bands, it signals areas of potential overextension or support/resistance.
The heatmap colors each candle based on its relative position within the bands. Green shades indicate proximity to the upper band, red shades indicate proximity to the lower band, and neutral tones represent mid-range positioning. This continuous gradient visualization provides immediate feedback on trend strength, market balance, and potential turning points.
Optional polynomial channels can be overlaid around the regression curve. These three-line channels are based on regression residuals and a fixed width multiplier, offering additional reference points for analyzing price deviations, trend continuation, and reversion zones.
Signals and Breakouts
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap includes statistical pivot-based signals to highlight actionable price movements:
Buy Signals – A triangular marker appears below the candle when a pivot low occurs below the lower regression band.
Sell Signals – A triangular marker appears above the candle when a pivot high occurs above the upper regression band.
These markers identify significant deviations from the regression curve while accounting for volatility, providing high-quality visual cues for potential entry points.
The indicator ensures clarity by spacing markers vertically using ATR-based calculations, preventing overlap during periods of high volatility. Users can rely on these signals in combination with heatmap intensity and regression slope for contextual confirmation.
Interpretation
Trend Analysis :
The slope of the polynomial regression line represents trend direction. A rising curve indicates bullish bias, a falling curve indicates bearish bias, and a flat curve indicates consolidation.
Steeper slopes suggest stronger momentum, while gradual slopes indicate more moderate trend conditions.
Volatility Assessment :
Band width provides an instant visual measure of market volatility. Narrow bands correspond to low volatility and potential consolidation, whereas wide bands indicate higher volatility and significant price swings.
Heatmap Coloring :
Candle colors visually represent price position within the bands. This allows traders to quickly identify zones of bullish or bearish pressure without performing complex calculations.
Channel Analysis (Optional) :
The polynomial channel defines zones for evaluating potential overextensions or retracements. Price interacting with these lines may suggest areas where mean-reversion or trend continuation is likely.
Breakout Signals :
Buy and Sell markers highlight pivot points relative to the regression and volatility bands. These are statistical signals, not arbitrary triggers, and should be interpreted in context with trend slope, band width, and heatmap intensity.
Strategy Integration
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap supports multiple trading approaches:
Trend Following – Enter trades in the direction of the regression slope while using the heatmap for momentum confirmation.
Pullback Entries – Use breakouts or deviations from the regression bands as low-risk entry points during trend continuation.
Mean Reversion – Price reaching outer channel boundaries can indicate potential reversal or retracement opportunities.
Multi-Timeframe Alignment – Overlay on higher and lower timeframes to filter noise and improve entry timing.
Stop-loss levels can be set just beyond the opposing regression band, while take-profit targets can be informed by the distance between the bands or the curvature of the polynomial line.
Advanced Techniques
For traders seeking greater precision:
Combine the Polynomial Regression Heatmap with volume, momentum, or volatility indicators to validate signals.
Observe the width and slope of the regression bands over time to anticipate expanding or contracting volatility.
Track sequences of breakout signals in conjunction with heatmap intensity for systematic trade management.
Adjusting regression length allows customization for different assets or timeframes, balancing responsiveness and smoothing. The combination of polynomial curve, adaptive bands, heatmap, and optional channels provides a comprehensive statistical framework for informed decision-making.
Inputs and Customization
Regression Length – Determines the number of bars used for polynomial fitting. Shorter lengths increase responsiveness; longer lengths improve smoothing.
Show Bands – Toggle visibility of the ATR-based regression bands.
Show Channel – Enable or disable the polynomial channel overlay.
Color Settings – Customize bullish, bearish, neutral, and accent colors for clarity and visual preference.
All other internal parameters are fixed to ensure consistent statistical behavior and minimize potential misconfiguration.
Why Use Polynomial Regression Heatmap
The Polynomial Regression Heatmap transforms complex price action into a clear, actionable visual framework. By combining non-linear trend mapping, adaptive volatility bands, heatmap visualization, and breakout signals, it provides a multi-dimensional perspective that is both quantitative and intuitive.
This indicator allows traders to focus on execution, interpret market structure at a glance, and evaluate trend strength, overextensions, and potential reversals in real time. Its design is compatible with scalping, swing trading, and long-term strategies, providing a robust tool for disciplined, data-driven trading.
