Ensemble Alerts█ OVERVIEW
This indicator creates highly customizable alert conditions and messages by combining several technical conditions into groups , which users can specify directly from the "Settings/Inputs" tab. It offers a flexible framework for building and testing complex alert conditions without requiring code modifications for each adjustment.
█ CONCEPTS
Ensemble analysis
Ensemble analysis is a form of data analysis that combines several "weaker" models to produce a potentially more robust model. In a trading context, one of the most prevalent forms of ensemble analysis is the aggregation (grouping) of several indicators to derive market insights and reinforce trading decisions. With this analysis, traders typically inspect multiple indicators, signaling trade actions when specific conditions or groups of conditions align.
Simplifying ensemble creation
Combining indicators into one or more ensembles can be challenging, especially for users without programming knowledge. It usually involves writing custom scripts to aggregate the indicators and trigger trading alerts based on the confluence of specific conditions. Making such scripts customizable via inputs poses an additional challenge, as it often involves complicated input menus and conditional logic.
This indicator addresses these challenges by providing a simple, flexible input menu where users can easily define alert criteria by listing groups of conditions from various technical indicators in simple text boxes . With this script, you can create complex alert conditions intuitively from the "Settings/Inputs" tab without ever writing or modifying a single line of code. This framework makes advanced alert setups more accessible to non-coders. Additionally, it can help Pine programmers save time and effort when testing various condition combinations.
█ FEATURES
Configurable alert direction
The "Direction" dropdown at the top of the "Settings/Inputs" tab specifies the allowed direction for the alert conditions. There are four possible options:
• Up only : The indicator only evaluates upward conditions.
• Down only : The indicator only evaluates downward conditions.
• Up and down (default): The indicator evaluates upward and downward conditions, creating alert triggers for both.
• Alternating : The indicator prevents alert triggers for consecutive conditions in the same direction. An upward condition must be the first occurrence after a downward condition to trigger an alert, and vice versa for downward conditions.
Flexible condition groups
This script features six text inputs where users can define distinct condition groups (ensembles) for their alerts. An alert trigger occurs if all the conditions in at least one group occur.
Each input accepts a comma-separated list of numbers with optional spaces (e.g., "1, 4, 8"). Each listed number, from 1 to 35, corresponds to a specific individual condition. Below are the conditions that the numbers represent:
1 — RSI above/below threshold
2 — RSI below/above threshold
3 — Stoch above/below threshold
4 — Stoch below/above threshold
5 — Stoch K over/under D
6 — Stoch K under/over D
7 — AO above/below threshold
8 — AO below/above threshold
9 — AO rising/falling
10 — AO falling/rising
11 — Supertrend up/down
12 — Supertrend down/up
13 — Close above/below MA
14 — Close below/above MA
15 — Close above/below open
16 — Close below/above open
17 — Close increase/decrease
18 — Close decrease/increase
19 — Close near Donchian top/bottom (Close > (Mid + HH) / 2)
20 — Close near Donchian bottom/top (Close < (Mid + LL) / 2)
21 — New Donchian high/low
22 — New Donchian low/high
23 — Rising volume
24 — Falling volume
25 — Volume above average (Volume > SMA(Volume, 20))
26 — Volume below average (Volume < SMA(Volume, 20))
27 — High body to range ratio (Abs(Close - Open) / (High - Low) > 0.5)
28 — Low body to range ratio (Abs(Close - Open) / (High - Low) < 0.5)
29 — High relative volatility (ATR(7) > ATR(40))
30 — Low relative volatility (ATR(7) < ATR(40))
31 — External condition 1
32 — External condition 2
33 — External condition 3
34 — External condition 4
35 — External condition 5
These constituent conditions fall into three distinct categories:
• Directional pairs : The numbers 1-22 correspond to pairs of opposing upward and downward conditions. For example, if one of the inputs includes "1" in the comma-separated list, that group uses the "RSI above/below threshold" condition pair. In this case, the RSI must be above a high threshold for the group to trigger an upward alert, and the RSI must be below a defined low threshold to trigger a downward alert.
• Non-directional filters : The numbers 23-30 correspond to conditions that do not represent directional information. These conditions act as filters for both upward and downward alerts. Traders often use non-directional conditions to refine trending or mean reversion signals. For instance, if one of the input lists includes "30", that group uses the "Low relative volatility" condition. The group can trigger an upward or downward alert only if the 7-period Average True Range (ATR) is below the 40-period ATR.
• External conditions : The numbers 31-35 correspond to external conditions based on the plots from other indicators on the chart. To set these conditions, use the source inputs in the "External conditions" section near the bottom of the "Settings/Inputs" tab. The external value can represent an upward, downward, or non-directional condition based on the following logic:
▫ Any value above 0 represents an upward condition.
▫ Any value below 0 represents a downward condition.
▫ If the checkbox next to the source input is selected, the condition becomes non-directional . Any group that uses the condition can trigger upward or downward alerts only if the source value is not 0.
To learn more about using plotted values from other indicators, see this article in our Help Center and the Source input section of our Pine Script™ User Manual.
Group markers
Each comma-separated list represents a distinct group , where all the listed conditions must occur to trigger an alert. This script assigns preset markers (names) to each condition group to make the active ensembles easily identifiable in the generated alert messages and labels. The markers assigned to each group use the format "M", where "M" is short for "Marker" and "x" is the group number. The titles of the inputs at the top of the "Settings/Inputs" tab show these markers for convenience.
For upward conditions, the labels and alert messages show group markers with upward triangles (e.g., "M1▲"). For downward conditions, they show markers with downward triangles (e.g., "M1▼").
NOTE: By default, this script populates the "M1" field with a pre-configured list for a mean reversion group ("2,18,24,28"). The other fields are empty. If any "M*" input does not contain a value, the indicator ignores it in the alert calculations.
Custom alert messages
By default, the indicator's alert message text contains the activated markers and their direction as a comma-separated list. Users can override this message for upward or downward alerts with the two text fields at the bottom of the "Settings/Inputs" tab. When the fields are not empty , the alerts use that text instead of the default marker list.
NOTE: This script generates alert triggers, not the alerts themselves. To set up an alert based on this script's conditions, open the "Create Alert" dialog box, then select the "Ensemble Alerts" and "Any alert() function call" options in the "Condition" tabs. See the Alerts FAQ in our Pine Script™ User Manual for more information.
Condition visualization
This script offers organized visualizations of its conditions, allowing users to inspect the behaviors of each condition alongside the specified groups. The key visual features include:
1) Conditional plots
• The indicator plots the history of each individual condition, excluding the external conditions, as circles at different levels. Opposite conditions appear at positive and negative levels with the same absolute value. The plots for each condition show values only on the bars where they occur.
• Each condition's plot is color-coded based on its type. Aqua and orange plots represent opposing directional conditions, and purple plots represent non-directional conditions. The titles of the plots also contain the condition numbers to which they apply.
• The plots in the separate pane can be turned on or off with the "Show plots in pane" checkbox near the top of the "Settings/Inputs" tab. This input only toggles the color-coded circles, which reduces the graphical load. If you deactivate these visuals, you can still inspect each condition from the script's status line and the Data Window.
• As a bonus, the indicator includes "Up alert" and "Down alert" plots in the Data Window, representing the combined upward and downward ensemble alert conditions. These plots are also usable in additional indicator-on-indicator calculations.
2) Dynamic labels
• The indicator draws a label on the main chart pane displaying the activated group markers (e.g., "M1▲") each time an alert condition occurs.
• The labels for upward alerts appear below chart bars. The labels for downward alerts appear above the bars.
NOTE: This indicator can display up to 500 labels because that is the maximum allowed for a single Pine script.
3) Background highlighting
• The indicator can highlight the main chart's background on bars where upward or downward condition groups activate. Use the "Highlight background" inputs in the "Settings/Inputs" tab to enable these highlights and customize their colors.
• Unlike the dynamic labels, these background highlights are available for all chart bars, irrespective of the number of condition occurrences.
█ NOTES
• This script uses Pine Script™ v6, the latest version of TradingView's programming language. See the Release notes and Migration guide to learn what's new in v6 and how to convert your scripts to this version.
• This script imports our new Alerts library, which features functions that provide high-level simplicity for working with complex compound conditions and alerts. We used the library's `compoundAlertMessage()` function in this indicator. It evaluates items from "bool" arrays in groups specified by an array of strings containing comma-separated index lists , returning a tuple of "string" values containing the marker of each activated group.
• The script imports the latest version of the ta library to calculate several technical indicators not included in the built-in `ta.*` namespace, including Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA), Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA), Tilson T3, Awesome Oscillator (AO), Full Stochastic (%K and %D), SuperTrend, and Donchian Channels.
• The script uses the `force_overlay` parameter in the label.new() and bgcolor() calls to display the drawings and background colors in the main chart pane.
• The plots and hlines use the available `display.*` constants to determine whether the visuals appear in the separate pane.
Look first. Then leap.
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Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed [Skyrexio]Overview
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed leverages 3 different periods Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator in conjunction Money Flow Index (MFI) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability setups. Fast period CCI is used for having the high probability to enter in the direction of short term trend, middle and slow period CCI are used for confirmation, if market now likely in the mid and long-term uptrend. MFI is used to confirm trade with the money inflow/outflow with the high probability. EMA is used as an additional trend filter. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Four layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators, MFI and EMA indicators to confirm the signals produced by fast period CCI.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Fast period CCI shall crossover the zero-line.
Slow and Middle period CCI shall be above zero-lines.
Price shall close above the EMA. Crossover is not obligatory
MFI shall be above 50
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 14, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Middle Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
MFI Length (by default = 14, used for calculation MFI
EMA Length (by default = 50, period of EMA, used for trend filtering EMA calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI, MFI and EMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specific period. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of money flowing into and out of a security. It combines price and volume data to assess buying and selling pressure and is often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The formula for MFI involves several steps:
1. Calculate the Typical Price (TP):
TP = (high + low + close) / 3
2. Calculate the Raw Money Flow (RMF):
Raw Money Flow = TP × Volume
3. Determine Positive and Negative Money Flow:
If the current TP is greater than the previous TP, it's Positive Money Flow.
If the current TP is less than the previous TP, it's Negative Money Flow.
4. Calculate the Money Flow Ratio (MFR):
Money Flow Ratio = Sum of Positive Money Flow (over n periods) / Sum of Negative Money Flow (over n periods)
5. Calculate the Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI = 100 − (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
MFI above 80 can be considered as overbought, below 20 - oversold.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. It is widely used in technical analysis to smooth price data and identify trends more quickly than the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Formula:
1. Calculate the multiplier
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1) , Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
This strategy leverages Fast period CCI, which shall break the zero line to the upside to say that probability of short term trend change to the upside increased. This zero line crossover shall be confirmed by the Middle and Slow periods CCI Indicators. At the moment of breakout these two CCIs shall be above 0, indicating that there is a high probability that price is in middle and long term uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term and long-term trends when the short-term trend starts to reverse to the upside.
Additionally strategy uses MFI to have a greater probability that fast CCI breakout is confirmed by this indicator. We consider the values of MFI above 50 as a higher probability that trend change from downtrend to the uptrend is real. Script opens long trades only if MFI is above 50. As you already know from the MFI description, it incorporates volume in its calculation, therefore we have another one confirmation factor.
Finally, strategy uses EMA an additional trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses another one EMA (by default = 20 period) as a trailing profit level.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.04.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.13%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +5421.21 USDT (+54.21%)
Total Trades: 108 (44.44% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.006
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 777.40 USDT (-7.77%)
Average Profit per Trade: 50.20 USDT (+0.85%)
Average Trade Duration: 44 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Daily Moving Averages on Intraday ChartsThis moving average script displays the chosen 5 daily moving averages on intraday (minute) charts. It automatically adjusts the intervals to show the proper moving averages.
In a day there are 375 trading minutes from 9:15 AM to 3:30PM in Indian market. In 5 days there are 1875 minutes. For other markets adjust this data accordingly.
If 5DMA is chosen on a five minute chart the moving average will use 375 interval values (1875/5 = 375) of 5minute chart to calculate moving average. Same 5DMA on 25minute chart will use 75 interval values (1875/25 = 75).
On a 1minute chart the 5DMA plot will use 1875 interval values to arrive at the moving average.
Since tradingview only allows 5000 intervals to lookback, if a particular daily moving average on intraday chart needs more than 5000 candle data it won't be shown. E.g 200DMA on 5minute chart needs 15000 candles data to plot a correct 200DMA line. Anything less than that would give incorrect moving average and hence it won't be shown on the chart.
MA crossover for the first two MAs is provided. If you want to use that option, make sure you give the moving averages in the correct order.
You can enhance this script and use it in any way you please as long as you make it opensource on TradingView. Feedback and improvement suggestions are welcome.
Special thanks to @JohnMuchow for his moving averages script for all timeframes.
Real Relative Strength Indicator (Multi-Index Comparison)The Real Relative Strength (RRS) indicator implements the "Real Relative Strength" equation, as detailed on the Real Day Trading subreddit wiki. This equation measures whether a stock is outperforming a benchmark (such as SPY or any preferred ETF/index) by calculating price change normalized by the Average True Range (ATR) of both the stock and the indices it’s being compared to.
The RRS metric often highlights potential accumulation by institutional players. For example, in this chart, you can observe accumulation in McDonald’s beginning at 1:25 pm ET on the 5-minute chart and continuing until 2:55 pm ET. When used in conjunction with other indicators or technical analysis, RRS can provide valuable buy and sell signals.
This indicator also supports multi-index analysis, allowing you to plot relative strength against two indices simultaneously—defaulting to SPY and QQQ—to gain insights into the "real relative strength" across different benchmarks. Additionally, this indicator includes an EMA line and background coloring to help automatically identify relative strength trends, providing a clearer visualization than typical Relative Strength Comparison indicators.
Performance Summary and Shading (Offset Version)Modified "Recession and Crisis Shading" Indicator by @haribotagada (Original Link: )
The updated indicator accepts a days offset (positive or negative) to calculate performance between the offset date and the input date.
Potential uses include identifying performance one week after company earnings or an FOMC meeting.
This feature simplifies input by enabling standardized offset dates, while still allowing flexibility to adjust ranges by overriding inputs as needed.
Summary of added features and indicator notes:
Inputs both positive and negative offset.
By default, the script calculates performance from the close of the input date to the close of the date at (input date + offset) for positive offsets, and from the close of (input date - offset) to the close of the input date for negative offsets. For example, with an input date of November 1, 2024, an offset of 7 calculates performance from the close on November 1 to the close on November 8, while an offset of -7 calculates from the close on October 25 to the close on November 1.
Allows user to perform the calculation using the open price on the input date instead of close price
The input format has been modified to allow overrides for the default duration, while retaining the original capabilities of the indicator.
The calculation shows both the average change and the average annualized change. For bar-wise calculations, annualization assumes 252 trading days per year. For date-wise calculations, it assumes 365 days for annualization.
Carries over all previous inputs to retain functionality of the previous script. Changes a few small settings:
Calculates start to end date performance by default instead of peak to trough performance.
Updates visuals of label text to make it easier to read and less transparent.
Changed stat box color scheme to make the text easier to read
Updated default input data to new format of input with offsets
Changed default duration statistic to number of days instead of number of bars with an option to select number of bars.
Potential Features to Add:
Import dataset from CSV files or by plugging into TradingView calendar
Example Input Datasets:
Recessions:
2020-02-01,COVID-19,59
2007-12-01,Subprime mortgages,547
2001-03-01,Dot-com,243
1990-07-01,Oil shock,243
1981-07-01,US unemployment,788
1980-01-01,Volker,182
1973-11-01,OPEC,485
Japan Revolving Door Elections
2006-09-26, Shinzo Abe
2007-09-26, Yasuo Fukuda
2008-09-24, Taro Aso
2009-09-16, Yukio Hatoyama
2010-07-08, Naoto Kan
2011-09-02, Yoshihiko Noda
Hope you find the modified indicator useful and let me know if you would like any features to be added!
EMA Ribbon + ADX MomentumHere's a description for your TradingView indicator publication:
The EMA Ribbon + ADX Momentum indicator combines exponential moving averages (EMA) with the Average Directional Index (ADX) to identify strong trends and potential trading opportunities. This powerful tool offers:
🎯 Key Features:
EMA Ribbon (10, 21, 34, 55) for trend direction
ADX integration for trend strength confirmation
Clear visual signals with color-coded backgrounds
Real-time trend status display
Strength metrics with exact percentage values
📊 How It Works:
EMA Ribbon: Four EMAs form a ribbon pattern that shows trend direction through their stacking order
ADX Integration: Confirms trend strength when above the threshold (default 25)
Visual Signals:
Green background: Strong bullish trend
Red background: Strong bearish trend
Gray background: Neutral or weak trend
📈 Trading Signals:
STRONG BULL: EMAs properly stacked bullish + high ADX + DI+ > DI-
STRONG BEAR: EMAs properly stacked bearish + high ADX + DI- > DI+
BULL/BEAR TREND: Shows regular trend conditions without strength confirmation
NEUTRAL: No clear trend structure
🔧 Customizable Parameters:
ADX Length: Adjust trend calculation period
ADX Threshold: Modify strength confirmation level
ADX Panel Toggle: Show/hide the ADX indicator panel
💡 Best Uses:
Trend following strategies
Entry/exit timing
Trade confirmation
Market structure analysis
Risk management tool
This indicator helps traders identify not just trend direction, but also trend strength, making it particularly useful for both position entry timing and risk management. The clear visual signals and real-time metrics make it suitable for traders of all experience levels.
Note: As with all technical indicators, best results are achieved when used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and proper risk management.
Advanced VWAP [CryptoSea]The Advanced VWAP is a comprehensive volume-weighted average price (VWAP) tool designed to provide traders with a deeper understanding of market trends through multi-layered VWAP analysis. This indicator is ideal for those who want to track price movements in relation to VWAP bands and detect key market levels with greater precision.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe VWAP Bands: Includes multiple VWAP bands with different lookback periods (5, 10, 25, and 50), allowing traders to observe short-term and long-term price behavior.
Smoothed Band Options: Offers optional smoothing of VWAP bands to reduce noise and highlight significant trends more clearly.
Dynamic Median Line Display: Plots the median line of the VWAP bands, providing a reference for price movements and potential reversal zones.
VWAP Trend Strength Calculation: Measures the strength of the trend based on the price's position relative to the VWAP bands, normalized between -1 and 1 for easier interpretation.
In the example below we can see the VWAP Forecastd Cloud, which consists of multiple layers of VWAP bands with varying lookback periods, creating a dynamic forecast visualization. The cloud structure represents potential future price ranges by projecting VWAP-based bands outward, with darker areas indicating higher density and overlap of the bands, suggesting stronger support or resistance zones. This approach helps traders anticipate price movement and identify areas of potential consolidation or breakout as the price interacts with different layers of the forecast cloud.
How it Works
VWAP Calculation: Utilizes multiple VWAP calculations based on various lookback periods to capture a broad range of price behaviors. The indicator adapts to different market conditions by switching between short-term and long-term VWAP references.
Smoothing Algorithms: Provides the ability to smooth the VWAP bands using different moving average types (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) to suit various trading strategies and reduce market noise.
Trend Strength Analysis: Computes the trend strength based on the price's distance from the VWAP bands, with a value range of -1 to 1. This feature helps traders identify the intensity of uptrends and downtrends.
Alert Conditions: Includes alert options for crossing above or below the smoothed median line, as well as touching the smoothed upper or lower bands, providing timely notifications for potential trading opportunities.
This image below illustrates the use of smoothed VWAP bands, which provide a cleaner representation of the price's relationship to the VWAP by reducing market noise. The smoothed bands create a flowing cloud-like structure, making it easier to observe significant trends and potential reversal points. The circles highlight areas where the price interacts with the smoothed bands, indicating potential key levels for trend continuation or reversal. This setup helps traders focus on meaningful movements and filter out minor fluctuations, improving the identification of strategic entry and exit points based on smoother trend signals.
Application
Strategic Entry and Exit Points: Helps traders identify optimal entry and exit points based on the interaction with VWAP bands and trend strength readings.
Trend Confirmation: Assists in confirming trend strength by analyzing price movements relative to the VWAP bands and detecting significant breaks or touches.
Customized Analysis: Supports a wide range of trading styles by offering adjustable smoothing, band settings, and alert conditions to meet specific trading needs.
The Advanced VWAP by is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, offering versatile features to navigate different market scenarios with confidence. Whether used for day trading or longer-term analysis, this tool enhances decision-making by providing a robust view of price behavior relative to VWAP levels.
Harmony Signal Flow By ArunThis Pine Script strategy, titled "Harmony Signal Flow By Arun," uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator to generate buy and sell signals based on custom thresholds. The script incorporates stop-loss and target management and restricts new trades until the previous position closes. Here's a detailed description:
Custom RSI Metric:
The strategy calculates a 5-period RSI based on the closing price, aiming for a more responsive measure of price momentum.
RSI thresholds are defined:
Lower threshold (30): Indicates oversold conditions, triggering a potential buy.
Upper threshold (70): Indicates overbought conditions, prompting a possible sell.
Entry Conditions:
Buy Signal: The strategy initiates a buy order when the RSI crosses above the lower threshold (30), indicating a shift from oversold conditions.
Sell Signal: A sell order is triggered when the RSI crosses below the upper threshold (70), suggesting an overbought reversal.
Only one order (buy or sell) can be active at a time, ensuring that a new trade begins only when there’s no existing position.
Stop-Loss and Target Management:
For each trade, stop-loss and target conditions are applied to manage risk and secure profits.
For Buy Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points below the entry price.
Target is set 150 points above the entry price.
For Sell Positions:
Stop-loss is set 100 points above the entry price.
Target is 150 points below the entry price.
The strategy closes the trade when either the stop-loss or target is met, marking the trade as "closed" and allowing a new trade entry.
Trade Sequencing:
A new trade (buy or sell) is only permitted after the previous position hits either its stop-loss or target, preventing overlapping trades and ensuring clear trade sequences.
This sequential approach enhances risk management by ensuring only one active position at any time.
End-of-Day Closure:
All open positions are closed automatically at 3:25 PM (Indian market time) to avoid overnight exposure, ensuring the strategy remains strictly intraday.
The flag for trade entry is reset at the end of each day, enabling fresh trades the next day.
Chart Indicators:
The script plots buy and sell signals directly on the chart with visible labels.
It also displays the custom RSI metric with horizontal lines for the lower and upper thresholds, providing visual cues for entry and exit points.
Summary
This strategy is a momentum-based intraday trading approach that uses the RSI for identifying potential reversals and manages trades through predefined stop-loss and target levels. By enforcing trade sequencing and closing positions at the end of the trading day, it prioritizes risk management and seeks to capitalize on short-term trends while avoiding overnight market risks.
Keltner Channel Strategy by Kevin DaveyKeltner Channel Strategy Description
The Keltner Channel Strategy is a volatility-based trading approach that uses the Keltner Channel, a technical indicator derived from the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR). The strategy helps identify potential breakout or mean-reversion opportunities in the market by plotting upper and lower bands around a central EMA, with the channel width determined by a multiplier of the ATR.
Components:
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The EMA smooths price data by placing greater weight on recent prices, allowing traders to track the market’s underlying trend more effectively than a simple moving average (SMA). In this strategy, a 20-period EMA is used as the midline of the Keltner Channel.
2. Average True Range (ATR):
The ATR measures market volatility over a 14-period lookback. By calculating the average of the true ranges (the greatest of the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, or the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close), the ATR captures how much an asset typically moves over a given period.
3. Keltner Channel:
The upper and lower boundaries are set by adding or subtracting 1.5 times the ATR from the EMA. These boundaries create a dynamic range that adjusts with market volatility.
Trading Logic:
• Long Entry Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the closing price falls below the lower Keltner Channel, indicating a potential buying opportunity at a support level.
• Short Entry Condition: The strategy enters a short position when the closing price exceeds the upper Keltner Channel, signaling a potential selling opportunity at a resistance level.
The strategy plots the upper and lower Keltner Channels and the EMA on the chart, providing a visual representation of support and resistance levels based on market volatility.
Scientific Support for Volatility-Based Strategies:
The use of volatility-based indicators like the Keltner Channel is supported by numerous studies on price momentum and volatility trading. Research has shown that breakout strategies, particularly those leveraging volatility bands such as the Keltner Channel or Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing trends and reversals in both trending and mean-reverting markets  .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is a highly respected algorithmic trader, author, and educator, known for his systematic approach to building and optimizing trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience in the markets, Davey has earned a reputation as an expert in quantitative and rule-based trading. He is particularly well-known for winning several World Cup Trading Championships, where he consistently demonstrated high returns with low risk.
Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion by Kevin Davey Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy Description
The Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy is a popular trading approach based on the concept of volatility and market overreaction. The strategy leverages Bollinger Bands, which consist of an upper and lower band plotted around a central moving average, typically using standard deviations to measure volatility. When the price moves beyond these bands, it signals potential overbought or oversold conditions, and the strategy seeks to exploit a reversion back to the mean (the central band).
Strategy Components:
1. Bollinger Bands:
The bands are calculated using a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a multiple (usually 2.0) of the standard deviation of the asset’s price over the same period. The upper band represents the SMA plus two standard deviations, while the lower band is the SMA minus two standard deviations. The distance between the bands increases with higher volatility and decreases with lower volatility.
2. Mean Reversion:
Mean reversion theory suggests that, over time, prices tend to move back toward their historical average. In this strategy, a buy signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Conversely, the position is closed when the price rises back above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
Entry and Exit Logic:
Buy Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, anticipating a mean reversion to the central band (SMA).
Sell Condition: The long position is exited when the price closes above the upper Bollinger Band, implying that the market is likely overbought and a reversal could occur.
This approach uses mean reversion principles, aiming to capitalize on short-term price extremes and volatility compression, often seen in sideways or non-trending markets. Scientific studies have shown that mean reversion strategies, particularly those based on volatility indicators like Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing small but frequent price reversals  .
Scientific Basis for Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger, are widely regarded in both academic literature and practical trading as an essential tool for volatility analysis and mean reversion strategies. Research has shown that Bollinger Bands effectively identify relative price highs and lows, and can be used to forecast price volatility and detect potential breakouts . Studies in financial markets, such as those by Fernández-Rodríguez et al. (2003), highlight the efficacy of Bollinger Bands in detecting overbought or oversold conditions in various assets .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is an award-winning algorithmic trader and highly regarded expert in developing and optimizing systematic trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience, Davey gained significant recognition after winning the prestigious World Cup Trading Championships multiple times, where he achieved triple-digit returns with minimal drawdown. His success has made him a key figure in algorithmic trading education, with a focus on disciplined and rule-based trading systems.
Chande Momentum Oscillator StrategyThe Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Trading Strategy is based on the momentum oscillator developed by Tushar Chande in 1994. The CMO measures the momentum of a security by calculating the difference between the sum of recent gains and losses over a defined period. The indicator offers a means to identify overbought and oversold conditions, making it suitable for developing mean-reversion trading strategies (Chande, 1997).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO):
The CMO formula considers both positive and negative price changes over a defined period (commonly set to 9 days) and computes the net momentum as a percentage.
The formula is as follows:
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)
This approach distinguishes the CMO from other oscillators like the RSI by using both price gains and losses in the numerator, providing a more symmetrical measurement of momentum (Chande, 1997).
Entry Condition:
The strategy opens a long position when the CMO value falls below -50, signaling an oversold condition where the price may revert to the mean. Research in mean-reversion, such as by Poterba and Summers (1988), supports this approach, highlighting that prices often revert after sharp movements due to overreaction in the markets.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy closes the long position when:
The CMO rises above 50, indicating that the price may have become overbought and may not provide further upside potential.
Alternatively, the position is closed 5 days after the buy signal is triggered, regardless of the CMO value, to ensure a timely exit even if the momentum signal does not reach the predefined level.
This exit strategy aligns with the concept of time-based exits, reducing the risk of prolonged exposure to adverse price movements (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages the well-known phenomenon of mean-reversion in financial markets. According to research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), prices tend to revert to their mean over short periods following strong movements, creating opportunities for traders to profit from temporary deviations.
The CMO captures this mean-reversion behavior by monitoring extreme price conditions. When the CMO reaches oversold levels (below -50), it signals potential buying opportunities, whereas crossing overbought levels (above 50) indicates conditions for selling.
Market Efficiency and Overreaction:
The strategy takes advantage of behavioral inefficiencies and overreactions, which are often the drivers behind sharp price movements (Shiller, 2003). By identifying these extreme conditions with the CMO, the strategy aims to capitalize on the market’s tendency to correct itself when price deviations become too large.
Optimization and Parameter Selection:
The 9-day period used for the CMO calculation is a widely accepted timeframe that balances responsiveness and noise reduction, making it suitable for capturing short-term price fluctuations. Studies in technical analysis suggest that oscillators optimized over such periods are effective in detecting reversals (Murphy, 1999).
Performance and Backtesting:
The strategy's effectiveness is confirmed through backtesting, which shows that using the CMO as a mean-reversion tool yields profitable opportunities. The use of time-based exits alongside momentum-based signals enhances the reliability of the strategy by ensuring that trades are closed even when the momentum signal alone does not materialize.
Conclusion:
The Chande Momentum Oscillator Trading Strategy combines the principles of momentum measurement and mean-reversion to identify and capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. By using a widely tested oscillator like the CMO and integrating a systematic exit approach, the strategy effectively addresses both entry and exit conditions, providing a robust method for trading in diverse market environments.
References:
Chande, T. S. (1997). The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging into the Latest Indicators. John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Ultimate Oscillator Trading StrategyThe Ultimate Oscillator Trading Strategy implemented in Pine Script™ is based on the Ultimate Oscillator (UO), a momentum indicator developed by Larry Williams in 1976. The UO is designed to measure price momentum over multiple timeframes, providing a more comprehensive view of market conditions by considering short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends simultaneously. This strategy applies the UO as a mean-reversion tool, seeking to capitalize on temporary deviations from the mean price level in the asset’s movement (Williams, 1976).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
The UO combines price action over three different periods (short-term, medium-term, and long-term) to generate a weighted momentum measure. The default settings used in this strategy are:
Short-term: 6 periods (adjustable between 2 and 10).
Medium-term: 14 periods (adjustable between 6 and 14).
Long-term: 20 periods (adjustable between 10 and 20).
The UO is calculated as a weighted average of buying pressure and true range across these periods. The weights are designed to give more emphasis to short-term momentum, reflecting the short-term mean-reversion behavior observed in financial markets (Murphy, 1999).
Entry Conditions:
A long position is opened when the UO value falls below 30, indicating that the asset is potentially oversold. The value of 30 is a common threshold that suggests the price may have deviated significantly from its mean and could be due for a reversal, consistent with mean-reversion theory (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the current close price exceeds the previous day’s high. This rule captures the reversal and price recovery, providing a defined point to take profits.
The use of previous highs as exit points aligns with breakout and momentum strategies, as it indicates sufficient strength for a price recovery (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages two well-established phenomena in financial markets: momentum and mean-reversion. Momentum, identified in earlier studies like those by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), describes the tendency of assets to continue in their direction of movement over short periods. Mean-reversion, as discussed by Poterba and Summers (1988), indicates that asset prices tend to revert to their mean over time after short-term deviations. This dual approach aims to buy assets when they are temporarily oversold and capitalize on their return to the mean.
Multi-timeframe Analysis:
The UO’s incorporation of multiple timeframes (short, medium, and long) provides a holistic view of momentum, unlike single-period oscillators such as the RSI. By combining data across different timeframes, the UO offers a more robust signal and reduces the risk of false entries often associated with single-period momentum indicators (Murphy, 1999).
Trading and Market Efficiency:
Studies in behavioral finance, such as those by Shiller (2003), show that short-term inefficiencies and behavioral biases can lead to overreactions in the market, resulting in price deviations. This strategy seeks to exploit these temporary inefficiencies, using the UO as a signal to identify potential entry points when the market sentiment may have overly pushed the price away from its average.
Strategy Performance:
Backtests of this strategy show promising results, with profit factors exceeding 2.5 when the default settings are optimized. These results are consistent with other studies on short-term trading strategies that capitalize on mean-reversion patterns (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). The use of a dynamic, multi-period indicator like the UO enhances the strategy’s adaptability, making it effective across different market conditions and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The Ultimate Oscillator Trading Strategy effectively combines momentum and mean-reversion principles to trade on temporary market inefficiencies. By utilizing multiple periods in its calculation, the UO provides a more reliable and comprehensive measure of momentum, reducing the likelihood of false signals and increasing the profitability of trades. This aligns with modern financial research, showing that strategies based on mean-reversion and multi-timeframe analysis can be effective in capturing short-term price movements.
References:
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Williams, L. (1976). Ultimate Oscillator. Market research and technical trading analysis.
Scalping Strategy By TradingConTotoScript Description: "Scalping Strategy By TradingConToto"
This scalping strategy is designed to trade in volatile markets, taking advantage of rapid price movements. It uses pivots to identify key entry and exit points, along with exponential moving averages (EMAs) to determine the overall trend.
Key Features:
Dynamic Pivots: Calculates pivot highs and lows to identify support and resistance zones, improving entry accuracy.
Market Trend Analysis: Utilizes a 100-period EMA for long-term trend analysis and a 25-period EMA for short-term trends, facilitating informed decision-making.
Automated Entry and Exit: Generates buy and sell signals based on EMA crossovers and specific market conditions, ensuring you don't miss opportunities.
Risk Management: Allows you to set take profit and stop loss levels tailored to market volatility, using the ATR for effective risk management.
User-Friendly Interface: Easily customize strategy parameters such as pivot range, stop loss and take profit pips, and spread.
Requirements:
Ideal for use on short time frames during high activity sessions, like the configured scalping session.
Activate buy and sell options according to your preference and analyze performance using TradingView’s tools.
Note:
This script is a tool and does not guarantee results. It is recommended to test in a simulated environment before applying it to real accounts.
Optimize your scalping operations and enhance your market performance with this effective strategy!
[3Commas] Signal BuilderSignal Builder is a tool designed to help traders create custom buy and sell signals by combining multiple technical indicators. Its flexibility allows traders to set conditions based on their specific strategy, whether they’re into scalping, swing trading, or long-term investing. Additionally, its integration with 3Commas bots makes it a powerful choice for those looking to automate their trades, though it’s also ideal for traders who prefer receiving alerts and making manual decisions.
🔵 How does Signal Builder work?
Signal Builder allows users to define custom conditions using popular technical indicators, which, when met, generate clear buy or sell signals. These signals can be used to trigger TradingView alerts, ensuring that you never miss a market opportunity. Additionally, all conditions are evaluated using "AND" logic, meaning signals are only activated when all user-defined conditions are met. This increases precision and helps avoid false signals.
🔵 Available indicators and recommended settings:
Signal Builder provides access to a wide range of technical indicators, each customizable to popular settings that maximize effectiveness:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): An oscillator that measures the relative strength of price over a specific period. Traders typically configure it with 14 periods, using levels of 30 (oversold) and 70 (overbought) to identify potential reversals.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A key indicator tracking the crossover between two moving averages. Common settings include 12 and 26 periods for the moving averages, with a 9-period signal line to detect trend changes.
Ultimate Oscillator: Combines three different time frames to offer a comprehensive view of buying and selling pressure. Popular settings are 7, 14, and 28 periods.
Bollinger Bands %B: Provides insight into where the price is relative to its upper and lower bands. Standard settings include a 20-period moving average and a standard deviation of 2.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures the strength of a trend. Values above 25 typically indicate a strong trend, while values below suggest weak or sideways movement.
Stochastic Oscillator: A momentum indicator comparing the closing price to its range over a defined period. Popular configurations include 14 periods for %K and 3 for %D smoothing.
Parabolic SAR: Ideal for identifying trend reversals and entry/exit points. Commonly configured with a 0.02 step and a 0.2 maximum.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Similar to RSI but incorporates volume into the calculation. Standard settings use 14 periods, with levels of 20 and 80 as oversold and overbought thresholds.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Measures the deviation of price from its average. Traders often use a 20-period setting with levels of +100 and -100 to identify extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles smooth out price fluctuations to show clearer trends. Commonly used in trend-following strategies to filter market noise.
🔵 How to use Signal Builder:
Configure indicators: Select the indicators that best fit your strategy and adjust their settings as needed. You can combine multiple indicators to define precise entry and exit conditions.
Define custom signals: Create buy or sell conditions that trigger when your selected indicators meet the criteria you’ve set. For example, configure a buy signal when RSI crosses above 30 and MACD confirms with a bullish crossover.
TradingView alerts: Set up alerts in TradingView to receive real-time notifications when the conditions you’ve defined are met, allowing you to react quickly to market opportunities without constantly monitoring charts.
Monitor with the panel: Signal Builder includes a visual panel that shows active conditions for each indicator in real time, helping you keep track of signals without manually checking each indicator.
🔵 3Commas integration:
In addition to being a valuable tool for any trader, Signal Builder is optimized to work seamlessly with 3Commas bots through Webhooks. This allows you to automate your trades based on the signals you’ve configured, ensuring that no opportunity is missed when your defined conditions are met. If you prefer automation, Signal Builder can send buy or sell signals to your 3Commas bots, enhancing your trading process and helping you manage multiple trades more efficiently.
🔵 Example of use:
Imagine you trade in volatile markets and want to trigger a sell signal when:
Stochastic Oscillator indicates overbought conditions with the %K value crossing below 80.
Bollinger Bands %B shows the price has surpassed the upper band, suggesting a potential reversal.
ADX is below 20, indicating that the trend is weak and could be about to change.
With Signal Builder , you can configure these conditions to trigger a sell signal only when all are met simultaneously. Then, you can set up a TradingView alert to notify you as soon as the signal is activated, giving you the opportunity to react quickly and adjust your strategy accordingly.
👨🏻💻💭 If this tool helps your trading strategy, don’t forget to give it a boost! Feel free to share in the comments how you're using it or if you have any questions.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Price Action UltimateThe Price Action Ultimate indicator is an innovative tool designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of price action based on either volume or touches. By default, the indicator displays touches, offering a unique perspective on price levels that have been frequently interacted with by the market.
At its core, the indicator divides the price range of a specified lookback period into a number of rows (default 25). For each row, it calculates either the volume traded or the number of times the price touched that level. This data is then visualized in two ways: as a histogram and as horizontal lines on the chart.
The histogram, displayed on the right side of the chart, represents the distribution of touches (or volume) across different price levels. Each bar in the histogram shows the number of touches and the percentage of total touches for that price level. The color of the bars ranges from a user-defined low activity color to a high activity color, providing a quick visual reference for the most active price levels.
The horizontal lines drawn across the chart represent the most significant levels based on touches (or volume). By default, the indicator displays the top 3 levels, but this can be adjusted. The thickness of these lines corresponds to the relative importance of each level - thicker lines indicate more touches or higher volume. This feature allows traders to quickly identify key support and resistance levels based on historical price action.
One of the most innovative aspects of this indicator is the option to fade older levels over time. When enabled, this feature gradually increases the transparency of lines as they age, with newer levels appearing more prominently. This helps traders focus on the most recent and relevant price action while still maintaining awareness of older, potentially significant levels.
The indicator offers flexibility in its display options. Users can choose to show levels based on volume, touches, or both. This allows traders to compare and contrast different perspectives on price action. Additionally, the indicator includes options to display a volume profile and a background fill for the analysis range, further enhancing its visual appeal and informational content.
What makes this indicator particularly valuable is its ability to provide a clear, uncluttered view of key price levels without relying on complex calculations or multiple indicators. It distills price action down to its essence - where price has spent the most time or where the most trading activity has occurred. This can be incredibly useful for identifying potential support and resistance levels, areas of consolidation, or possible breakout points.
For traders focused on price action strategies, this indicator offers a powerful tool to enhance their analysis. It provides a data-driven approach to identifying significant price levels, which can be used to inform entry and exit decisions, set stop losses, or anticipate potential market reactions.
This indicator is a tool to aid in market analysis and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine multiple forms of analysis and practice proper risk management when trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Support Resistance ImportanceThe Support Resistance Importance indicator is designed to highlight key price levels based on the relationship between fractal occurrences and volume distribution within a given price range. By dividing the range into bins, the indicator calculates the total volume traded at each fractal level and normalizes the values for easy visualization. The normalized values represent an "importance score" for each price range, helping traders identify critical support and resistance levels where price action might react.
Key Features:
Fractal Detection:
The indicator detects Williams Fractals, which are specific price patterns representing potential market reversals. It identifies both upward fractals (potential resistance) and downward fractals (potential support).
Price Range Binning:
The price range is divided into a user-defined number of bins (default is 20). Each bin represents a segment of the total price range, allowing the indicator to bucket price action and track fractal volumes in each bin.
Volume-Based Importance Calculation:
For each bin, the indicator sums up the volume traded at the time a fractal occurred. The volumes are then normalized to reflect their relative importance.
The importance score is calculated as the relative volume in each bin, representing the potential influence of that price range. Higher scores indicate stronger support or resistance levels.
Normalization:
The volume data is normalized to allow for better comparison across bins. This normalization ensures that the highest and lowest volumes are scaled between 0 and 1 for visualization purposes. The smallest volume value is used to scale the rest, ensuring meaningful comparisons.
Visualization:
The indicator provides a table-based visualization showing the price range and the corresponding importance score for each bin.
Each bin is color-coded based on the normalized importance score, with blue or greenish shades indicating higher importance levels. The current price range is highlighted to help traders quickly identify relevant areas of interest.
Trading Utility:
Traders can use the importance scores to identify price levels where significant volume has accumulated at fractals. A higher importance score suggests a stronger likelihood of the price reacting to that level.
If a price moves towards a bin with a high score and the bins above it have much smaller values, it suggests that the price may "pump" up to the next high-scored range, similar to how price drops can occur.
Example Use Case:
Suppose the price approaches a bin with an importance score of 25, and the bins above have much smaller values. This suggests that price may break higher towards the next significant level of resistance, offering traders an opportunity to capitalize on the move by entering long positions or adjusting their stop losses.
This indicator is particularly useful for support and resistance trading, where understanding key levels of price action and volume can improve decision-making in anticipating market reactions.
Leonid's Bitcoin Sharpe RatioThe Sharpe ratio is an old formula used to value the risk-adjusted return of an asset. It was developed by Nobel Laureate William F. Sharpe. In this case, I have applied it to Bitcoin with an adjustable look-back date.
The Sharpe Ratio shows you the average return earned after subtracting out the risk-free rate per unit of volatility (I've defaulted this to 0.02 ).
Volatility is a measure of the price fluctuations of an asset or portfolio. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows you to understand what the extra returns are for taking the risk.
If the indicator is flashing red, Bitcoin is temporarily overbought (expensive).
If the indicator is flashing green, Bitcoin is temporarily oversold (cheap).
The goal of this indicator is to signal out local tops & bottoms. It can be adjusted as far as the lookback time but I have found 25-26 days to be ideal.
Monthly Breakout StrategyThis Monthly High/Low Breakout Strategy is designed to take long or short positions based on breakouts from the high or low of the previous month. Users can select whether they want to go long at a breakout above the previous month’s high, short at a breakdown below the previous month’s low, or use the reverse logic. Additionally, it includes a month filter, allowing trades to be executed only during user-specified months.
Breakout strategies, particularly those based on monthly highs and lows, aim to capitalize on price momentum. These systems rely on the assumption that once a significant price level is breached (such as the previous month's high or low), the market is likely to continue moving in the same direction due to increased volatility and trend-following behaviors by traders. Studies have demonstrated the potential effectiveness of breakout strategies in financial markets.
Scientific Evidence Supporting Breakout Strategies:
Momentum in Financial Markets:
Research on momentum-based strategies, which include breakout trading, shows that securities breaking key levels of support or resistance tend to continue their price movement in the direction of the breakout. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that stocks with strong performance over a given period tend to continue performing well in subsequent periods, a principle also applied to breakout strategies.
Behavioral Finance:
The psychological factor of herd behavior is one of the driving forces behind breakout strategies. When prices break out of a key level (such as a monthly high), it triggers increased buying or selling pressure as traders join the trend. Barberis, Shleifer, and Vishny (1998) explained how cognitive biases, such as overconfidence and sentiment, can amplify price trends, which breakout strategies attempt to exploit.
Market Efficiency:
While markets are generally efficient, periods of inefficiency can occur, particularly around the breakouts of significant price levels. These inefficiencies often result in temporary price trends, which breakout strategies can exploit before the market corrects itself (Fama, 1970).
Risk Considerations:
Despite the potential for profit, the Monthly Breakout Strategy comes with several risks:
False Breakouts:
One of the most common risks in breakout strategies is the occurrence of false breakouts. These happen when the price temporarily moves above (or below) a key level but quickly reverses direction, causing losses for traders who entered positions too early. This is particularly risky in low-volatility environments.
Market Volatility:
Monthly breakout strategies rely on momentum, which may not be consistent across different market conditions. During periods of low volatility, price breakouts might lack the follow-through required for the strategy to succeed, leading to poor performance.
Whipsaw Risk:
The strategy is vulnerable to whipsaw markets, where prices oscillate around key levels without establishing a clear direction. This can result in frequent entry and exit signals that lead to losses, especially if trading costs are not managed properly.
Overfitting to Past Data:
If the month-selection filter is overly optimized based on historical data, the strategy may suffer from overfitting—performing well in backtests but poorly in real-time trading. This happens when strategies are tailored to past market conditions that may not repeat.
Conclusion:
While monthly breakout strategies can be effective in markets with strong momentum, they are subject to several risks, including false breakouts, volatility dependency, and whipsaw behavior. It is crucial to backtest this strategy thoroughly and ensure it aligns with your risk tolerance before implementing it in live trading.
References:
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (1998). A Model of Investor Sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 307-343.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Ehlers Band-Pass FilterHeyo,
This indicator is an original translation from Ehlers' book "Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced".
First, I describe the indicator as usual and later you can find a very insightful quote of the book.
Key Features
Signal Line: Represents the output of the band-pass filter, highlighting the dominant cycle in the data.
Trigger Line: A leading indicator derived from the signal line, providing early signals for potential market reversals.
Dominant Cycle: Measures the dominant cycle period by counting the number of bars between zero crossings of the band-pass filter output.
Calculation:
The band-pass filter is implemented using a combination of high-pass and low-pass filters.
The filter's parameters, such as period and bandwidth, can be adjusted to tune the filter to specific market cycles.
The signal line is normalized using an Automatic Gain Control (AGC) to provide consistent amplitude regardless of price swings.
The trigger line is derived by applying a high-pass filter to the signal line, creating a leading
waveform.
Usage
The indicator is effective in identifying peaks and valleys in the market data.
It works best in cyclic market conditions and may produce false signals during trending periods.
The dominant cycle measurement helps traders understand the prevailing market cycle length, aiding in better decision-making.
Quoted from the Book
Band-Pass Filters
“A little of the data narrowly passed,” said Tom broadly.
Perhaps the least appreciated and most underutilized filter in technical analysis is the band-pass filter. The band-pass filter simultaneously diminishes the amplitude at low frequencies, qualifying it as a detrender, and diminishes the amplitude at high frequencies, qualifying it as a data smoother.
It passes only those frequency components from input to output in which the trader is interested. The filtering produced by a band-pass filter is superior because the rejection in the stop bands is related to its bandwidth. The degree of rejection of undesired frequency components is called selectivity. The band-stop filter is the dual of the band-pass filter. It rejects a band of frequency components as a notch at the output and passes all other frequency components virtually unattenuated. Since the bandwidth of the deep rejection in the notch is relatively narrow and since the spectrum of market cycles is relatively broad due to systemic noise, the band-stop filter has little application in trading.
Measuring the Cycle Period
The band-pass filter can be used as a relatively simple measurement of the dominant cycle.
A cycle is complete when the waveform crosses zero two times from the last zero crossing. Therefore, each successive zero crossing of the indicator marks a half cycle period. We can establish the dominant cycle period as twice the spacing between successive zero crossings.
When we measure the dominant cycle period this way, it is best to widen the pass band of the band-pass filter to avoid distorting the measurement simply due to the selectivity of the filter. Using an input bandwidth of 0.7 produces an octave-wide pass band. For example, if the center period of the filter is 20 and the relative bandwidth is 0.7, the bandwidth is 14. That means the pass band of the filter extends from 13-bar periods to 27-bar periods.
That is, roughly an octave exists because the longest period is twice the shortest period of the pass band. It is imperative that a high-pass filter is tuned one octave below the half-bandwidth edge of the band-pass filter to ensure a nominal zero mean of the filtered output. Without a zero mean, the zero crossings can have a substantial error.
Since the measurement of the dominant cycle can vary dramatically from zero crossing to zero
crossing, the code limits the change between measurements to be no more than 25 percent.
While measuring the changing dominant cycle period via zero crossings of the band-pass waveform is easy, it is not necessarily the most accurate method.
Best regards,
simwai
Good Luck with your trading! 🙌
IMI and MFI CombinedFor a strategy using the combined IMI (Intraday Momentum Index), MFI (Money Flow Index), and Bollinger Bands on a 1-minute chart of Bank NIFTY (Bank Nifty Index), here's how you can interpret the indicators and define a sell signal strategy:
Strategy Explanation:
IMI (Intraday Momentum Index):
IMI measures the ratio of upward price changes to downward price changes over a specified period, indicating momentum.
In the script, IMI is plotted with a range from 0 to 100. Levels above 75 are considered overbought, and levels below 25 are oversold.
Strategy Condition: A sell signal can be considered when IMI is above 75, indicating a potentially overbought market condition.
MFI (Money Flow Index):
MFI measures the strength of money flowing in and out of a security, using price and volume.
In the script, MFI is plotted with levels at 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold).
Strategy Condition: A sell signal can be considered when MFI is above 80, suggesting an overbought condition in the market.
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (SMA) and upper/lower bands representing volatility levels around the price.
In the script, Bollinger Bands are plotted with a length of 20 and a standard deviation multiplier of 2.
Strategy Condition: While not explicitly used for generating sell signals in this script, Bollinger Bands can help confirm price volatility and potential reversals when combined with other indicators.
Sell Signal Criteria:
IMI Sell Signal: Look for instances where IMI rises above 75. This indicates that the recent upward price momentum may be reaching an unsustainable level, potentially signaling a reversal or a pullback in prices.
MFI Sell Signal: Look for MFI rising above 80. This suggests that the market has experienced strong buying pressure, possibly leading to an overbought condition where a price correction or reversal might occur.
Implementation Considerations:
Confirmation: Consider waiting for both IMI and MFI to confirm the overbought condition simultaneously before entering a sell trade. This can increase the reliability of the signal.
Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders to manage risk in case the market moves against the anticipated direction after the sell signal is triggered.
Timeframe: This strategy is tailored for a 1-minute chart, meaning signals should be interpreted and acted upon quickly due to the rapid nature of price movements in intraday trading.
By combining these indicators and interpreting their signals, you can develop a systematic approach to identifying potential sell opportunities in the Bank NIFTY index on a 1-minute timeframe. Adjustments to indicator parameters and additional technical analysis may further refine the strategy based on your trading preferences and risk tolerance.
Uptrick: FVG Market Zones**Uptrick: FVG Market Zones**
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### Introduction
**Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** is a cutting-edge technical analysis tool designed to identify and visualize Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) within financial markets. This indicator focuses on pinpointing critical price levels where significant gaps occur, which can act as potential support and resistance zones. By integrating advanced volatility analysis and user-configurable parameters, the **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** provides traders with a robust framework for understanding market dynamics and making informed trading decisions.
### Purpose and Functionality
The primary purpose of the **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator is to detect and highlight Fair Value Gaps, which are areas on a price chart where there is a significant price movement without any trading activity in between. These gaps can provide critical insights into market behavior, as they often indicate areas where the market has not fully accounted for the supply and demand dynamics. Traders use these zones to anticipate potential reversals, breakouts, or consolidations, making this tool highly valuable for both short-term and long-term trading strategies.
### Unique Features and Originality
The **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator is distinguished by its focus on FVGs and its ability to integrate this concept into a broader market analysis framework. Unlike other indicators that may offer generalized support and resistance levels, this tool specifically identifies and visualizes gaps based on volatility-adjusted criteria. This precision allows traders to focus on the most relevant market zones, improving their ability to anticipate market movements.
One of the standout features of this indicator is its user-configurable settings, which provide a high degree of customization. This flexibility ensures that traders can tailor the indicator to suit their specific trading style and the particular market they are analyzing. Additionally, the indicator's visualization capabilities are enhanced with customizable colors and gap-filling options, making it easier for traders to interpret and act on the information presented.
### Inputs and Configurations
**Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** comes with several user inputs that allow traders to customize the indicator's behavior and appearance. Each input plays a crucial role in determining how the indicator identifies and visualizes FVGs on the chart. Here’s a detailed breakdown of each input:
1. **FVG Analysis Period (fvgPeriod):**
- **Description:** This input determines the period over which the indicator analyzes the chart for identifying FVGs. By adjusting this value, traders can control how far back in time the indicator looks to detect significant gaps.
- **Default Value:** 25
- **Purpose:** A shorter period may focus on more recent market activity, making the indicator more sensitive to recent price movements. In contrast, a longer period allows the indicator to identify gaps that have remained unfilled for an extended time, potentially acting as stronger support or resistance levels.
2. **Analysis Mode (mode):**
- **Description:** The Analysis Mode input allows traders to choose between different methods of analyzing the chart for FVGs.
- **Options:** "Recent Gaps" and "Extended View"
- **Default Option:** "Recent Gaps"
- **Purpose:**
- **Recent Gaps:** Focuses on the latest significant gaps, providing traders with up-to-date information on the most relevant market zones.
- **Extended View:** Considers a broader range of gap patterns, which can be useful in markets where historical gaps may still influence current price action.
3. **Volatility Sensitivity (volatilityFactor):**
- **Description:** This input adjusts the sensitivity of the indicator to market volatility. It is used in calculating the threshold for identifying FVGs.
- **Default Value:** 0.3
- **Step Size:** 0.1
- **Purpose:** A higher sensitivity will cause the indicator to detect smaller gaps, which might be more frequent but less significant. Lower sensitivity focuses on larger, more impactful gaps, which are less frequent but potentially more powerful in predicting market behavior.
4. **Highlight Market Gaps (showGaps):**
- **Description:** A boolean input that determines whether the identified FVGs should be highlighted on the chart.
- **Default Value:** True
- **Purpose:** This input allows traders to toggle the visualization of FVGs. When enabled, the indicator highlights gaps using colored boxes, making them visually prominent on the chart.
5. **Bullish Highlight Color (bullColor):**
- **Description:** Sets the color used to highlight bullish FVGs (gaps that may indicate support).
- **Default Value:** #00FF7F (a shade of green)
- **Purpose:** The color choice is crucial for quickly distinguishing bullish zones from bearish ones. Green is typically associated with upward price movement, making it intuitive for traders to identify potential support areas.
6. **Bearish Highlight Color (bearColor):**
- **Description:** Sets the color used to highlight bearish FVGs (gaps that may indicate resistance).
- **Default Value:** #FF4500 (a shade of red)
- **Purpose:** Red is commonly associated with downward price movement, making it easy for traders to identify potential resistance areas. This color coding helps in quickly assessing the chart.
7. **Fill Gap Areas (fillGaps):**
- **Description:** A boolean input that determines whether the FVGs should be filled with a color on the chart.
- **Default Value:** True
- **Purpose:** Filling the gap areas provides a more solid visual cue for traders. It enhances the visibility of the gaps, making it easier to spot these zones during fast-paced trading sessions.
8. **Hidden Color (hidden):**
- **Description:** A color input that is used when certain elements should be hidden from the chart.
- **Default Value:** color.rgb(0,0,0,100) (a semi-transparent black)
- **Purpose:** This input is useful for controlling the visibility of certain plots or elements on the chart, ensuring that the indicator remains clean and uncluttered.
### Market Gap Detection
The core functionality of the **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator lies in its ability to detect Fair Value Gaps. These gaps occur when the price makes a significant jump from one level to another without any trading activity in between. The indicator uses a combination of price action analysis and volatility thresholds to identify these gaps.
- **Volatility Measurement:** The indicator begins by measuring market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR). This volatility measurement is then adjusted by the user-defined sensitivity factor, which determines the threshold for identifying significant gaps.
- **Gap Identification:** The indicator checks for instances where the current low is higher than the high two bars ago (bullish gap) or where the current high is lower than the low two bars ago (bearish gap). These conditions signify a potential FVG.
- **Gap Storage and Management:** Once a gap is identified, it is stored in an array. The indicator also manages the size of these arrays based on the selected analysis mode, ensuring that only the most relevant gaps are considered in the analysis.
### Visualization
Visualization is a key component of the **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator. By providing clear and customizable visual cues, the indicator ensures that traders can quickly and easily interpret the information it provides.
- **Gap Highlighting:** When enabled, the indicator highlights the identified FVGs on the chart using colored boxes. Bullish gaps are highlighted in green, while bearish gaps are highlighted in red. This color coding helps traders instantly recognize potential support and resistance zones.
- **Gap Filling:** The indicator can also fill the identified gaps with a semi-transparent color. This option enhances the visibility of the gaps, making them more prominent on the chart. Filled gaps are particularly useful for traders who want to keep track of these zones over multiple trading sessions.
- **Gap Averages:** The indicator calculates the average level of the identified gaps and plots these averages as lines on the chart. These lines represent the general area of support or resistance based on the detected gaps, providing traders with a reference point for setting their stop losses or profit targets.
- **Text Labels:** The indicator also labels each FVG with the text "FVG" inside the highlighted area. This feature ensures that traders can easily identify these zones even in charts with dense price action.
### Practical Applications
The **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator is versatile and can be applied to a wide range of trading strategies across different markets and timeframes. Here are a few examples of how this indicator can be used in practice:
1. **Support and Resistance Trading:**
- Traders can use the identified FVGs as dynamic support and resistance levels. By placing their trades based on these levels, they can take advantage of potential reversals or continuations at key market zones.
2. **Gap Filling Strategy:**
- Some traders focus on the concept of gap filling, where the market eventually returns to "fill" the gap created by rapid price movements. The **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator can
help identify such gaps and anticipate when the market might return to these levels.
3. **Breakout Trading:**
- The indicator can be used to identify breakouts from significant gaps. When the price moves beyond the identified FVGs, it may signal a strong trend continuation, providing an opportunity for breakout traders.
4. **Reversal Trading:**
- By monitoring the signals generated by the indicator, traders can identify potential market reversals. A sell signal after a prolonged uptrend or a buy signal after a downtrend may indicate a reversal, allowing traders to position themselves accordingly.
5. **Risk Management:**
- The average levels of the FVGs can be used to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. By aligning these levels with the FVG zones, traders can improve their risk management practices and enhance their trading discipline.
### Customization and Flexibility
One of the standout features of the **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator is its high level of customization. Traders can adjust various parameters to tailor the indicator to their specific needs and preferences.
- **Customizable Colors:** The indicator allows traders to choose their preferred colors for highlighting bullish and bearish gaps. This flexibility ensures that the indicator can be integrated seamlessly into any trading setup, regardless of the trader's color scheme preferences.
- **Adjustable Periods and Sensitivity:** By allowing traders to adjust the analysis period and volatility sensitivity, the indicator can be fine-tuned to suit different market conditions. For example, a trader might use a shorter analysis period and higher sensitivity in a volatile market, while opting for a longer period and lower sensitivity in a more stable market.
- **Toggling Visual Elements:** Traders can choose to enable or disable various visual elements of the indicator, such as gap highlighting, gap filling, and text labels. This level of control allows traders to declutter their charts and focus on the information that is most relevant to their trading strategy.
### Advantages and Benefits
The **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator offers several key advantages that make it a valuable tool for traders:
1. **Precision:** By focusing on Fair Value Gaps, the indicator provides highly precise levels of support and resistance, which are often more reliable than traditional horizontal levels.
2. **Clarity:** The clear visual representation of FVGs, along with the text labels and color coding, ensures that traders can quickly interpret the indicator's signals and incorporate them into their trading decisions.
3. **Adaptability:** The indicator's customizable settings allow it to be adapted to different markets, timeframes, and trading styles. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator can be tailored to meet your needs.
4. **Enhanced Decision-Making:** The trading signals generated by the indicator provide actionable insights that can help traders make more informed decisions. By aligning their trades with the identified FVG zones, traders can improve their chances of success.
5. **Risk Management:** The use of FVG zones as reference points for stop-loss and take-profit levels enhances risk management practices, helping traders protect their capital while maximizing their profit potential.
### Conclusion
The **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator is a powerful and versatile tool for traders seeking to enhance their market analysis and improve their trading outcomes. By focusing on Fair Value Gaps and providing a high level of customization, this indicator offers a unique blend of precision, clarity, and adaptability. Whether you are looking to identify key market zones, generate trading signals, or improve your risk management practices, the **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** indicator is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit.
With its innovative approach to market analysis and user-friendly design, **Uptrick: FVG Market Zones** stands out as an essential tool for traders who want to stay ahead of the market and make more informed trading decisions. Whether you are trading stocks, forex, commodities, or cryptocurrencies, this indicator provides the insights you need to navigate the markets with confidence and success.
CNN Fear and Greed Index JD modified from minusminusCNN Fear and Greed Index - www.cnn.com
Modified from minusminus -
See Documentation from CNN's website
CNN's Fear and Greed index is an attempt to quantitatively score the Fear and Greed in the SPX using 7 factors:
Market Momentum- S&P 500 (SPX) and its 125-day moving average
Stock Price Strength -Net new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE
Stock Price Breadth - McClellan Volume Summation Index
Put and Call options - 5-day average put/call ratio
Market Volatility - VIX and its 50-day moving average
Safe Haven Demand - Difference in 20-day stock and bond returns
Junk Bond Demand - Yield spread: junk bonds vs. investment grade
Each Factor has a weight input for the final calculation initially set to a weight of 1. The final calculation of the index is a weighted average of each factor.
3 Factors have separate functions for calculation : See Code for Clarity
SPX Momentum : difference between the Daily CBOE:SPX index value and it's 125 Day Simple moving average.
Stock Price Strength : Net New 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE.
Function calculates a measure of Net New 52-week highs by:
NYSE 52-week highs (INDEX:MAHN) - all new NYSE Highs (INDEX:HIGH)
measure of Net New 52-week lows by:
NYSE 52-week lows (INDEX:MALN) - all new NYSE Lows (INDEX:LOWN)
Then calculate a ratio of Net New 52-week Highs and Lows over Total Highs and Lows then takes a 5-day moving average of that ratio-See Code
Stock Price Breadth is the McClellan Volume Summation Index :
First Calculate the McClellan Oscillator
Second Calculate the Summation Index
4 Factors are Straight data requests
5 Day Simple Moving Average of the Put-Call Ratio on SPY
50 Day Simple Moving Average of the SPX VIX
Difference between 20 Day Simple Moving Average of SPX Daily Close and 20 Day Simple Moving Average of 10Y Constant Maturity US Treasury Note
Yield Spread between ICE BofA US High Yield Index and ICE BofA US Investment Grade Corporate Yield Index
The Fear and Greed Index is a weighted average of these factors - which is then normalized to scale from 0 to 100 using the past 25 values - length parameter.
3 Zones are Shaded: Red for Extreme Fear, Grey for normal jitters, Green for Extreme Greed.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are just my ideas, and I am not an investment advisor or investment professional. This code is for informational purposes only and do your own analysis before making any investment decisions. This is an attempt to replicate in spirt an index CNN publishes on their website and in no way shape or form infringes on their content, calculations or proprietary information.
From CNN: www.cnn.com
FEAR & GREED INDEX FAQs
What is the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index?
The Fear & Greed Index is a way to gauge stock market movements and whether stocks are fairly priced. The theory is based on the logic that excessive fear tends to drive down share prices, and too much greed tends to have the opposite effect.
How is Fear & Greed Calculated?
The Fear & Greed Index is a compilation of seven different indicators that measure some aspect of stock market behavior. They are market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand. The index tracks how much these individual indicators deviate from their averages compared to how much they normally diverge. The index gives each indicator equal weighting in calculating a score from 0 to 100, with 100 representing maximum greediness and 0 signaling maximum fear.
How often is the Fear & Greed Index calculated?
Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available.
How to use Fear & Greed Index?
The Fear & Greed Index is used to gauge the mood of the market. Many investors are emotional and reactionary, and fear and greed sentiment indicators can alert investors to their own emotions and biases that can influence their decisions. When combined with fundamentals and other analytical tools, the Index can be a helpful way to assess market sentiment.
Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Reversal StrategyOverview
The Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Strategy utilizes hull moving average (HMA) in conjunction with two commodity channel index (CCI) indicators: the slow and fast to increase the probability of entering when the short and mid-term uptrend confirmed. The main idea is to wait until the price breaks the HMA while both CCI are showing that the uptrend has likely been already started. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Double trade setup confirmation: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators to confirm the breakouts of HMA.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Short-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Long-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Price shall cross the HMA and candle close above it with the same candle
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
Hull MA Length (by default = 34, period of HMA, which shall be broken to open trade)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI and HMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator used in trading to measure a security's price relative to its average price over a given period. Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980, the CCI is primarily used to identify cyclical trends in a security, helping traders to spot potential buying or selling opportunities.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a type of moving average that was developed by Alan Hull to improve upon the traditional moving averages by reducing lag while maintaining smoothness. The goal of the HMA is to create an indicator that is both quick to respond to price changes and less prone to whipsaws (false signals).
How the Hull Moving Average is Calculated?
The Hull Moving Average is calculated using the following steps:
Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The HMA starts by calculating the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of the price data over a period square root of n (sqrt(n))
Speed Adjustment: A WMA is then calculated for half of the period n/2, and this is multiplied by 2 to give more weight to recent prices.
Lag Reduction: The WMA of the full period n is subtracted from the doubled n/2 WMA.
Final Smoothing: To smooth the result and reduce noise, a WMA is calculated for the square root of the period n.
The formula can be represented as:
HMA(n) = WMA(WMA(n/2) × 2 − WMA(n), sqrt(n))
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent data points, making it more responsive to recent price changes than a Simple Moving Average (SMA). In a WMA, each data point within the selected period is multiplied by a weight, with the most recent data receiving the highest weight. The sum of these weighted values is then divided by the sum of the weights to produce the WMA.
This strategy leverages HMA of user given period as a critical level which shall be broken to say that probability of trend change to the upside increased. HMA reacts faster than EMA or SMA to the price change, that’s why it increases chances to enter new trade earlier. Long-term period CCI helps to have an approximation of mid-term trend. If it’s above 0 the probability of uptrend increases. Short-period CCI allows to have an approximation of short-term trend reversal from down to uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term trend when the short-term trend starts to reverse.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses HMA to enter the trade, but for trailing it leverages EMA. It’s used because EMA has no such fast reaction to price move which increases probability not to be stopped out from any significant uptrend move.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.07.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 100%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.67%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +14897.94 USDT (+148.98%)
Total Trades: 104 (36.54% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.312
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1302.66 USDT (-9.58%)
Average Profit per Trade: 143.25 USDT (+0.96%)
Average Trade Duration: 34 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
