Accumulation Stage Identifier and Strategy around for TradingIn the psychology of trading at any market condition, there are four stage usually occurs on any tickers.
Stage 1 -> Neglect phase or consolidation phase
It occurs when the company does not produce the expected result and waiting for next result.
It can extend for days, weeks, months and years. Never give entry at this stage though that blue-chip told to be cheaper in price.
Stage 2 -> Accumulation
It occurs when the company's earning and sales consistently grows.
It can extend for days, weeks, months but should not expect the continues increase in price, as there will be potential pull-back which can be considered as opportunity to accumulate.
If the company fundamental is good, just give some space at the time of pullback.
Most of the time, the pullback volume will be low to compare to volume at the time of increase.
Usually, the stock that is going through accumulation stage will definitely trade above 200SMA and short term MA will be greater than long term moving average.
Continues the highest high and highest low along with volume.
Stage 3 -> Distribution
It occurs when the company's earning and sales stagnated due to certain reason.
It can extend for days, weeks while the price and volume highly volatile.
High volume while the price low
Typically, the stock that is going through distribution stage will certainly trade below 200SMA and short term MA will be lesser than long term moving average.
Continues the lowest high and lowest low along with volume.
Stage 4 -> Capitalization
Price reaches the 52W low while volume spikes on big down.
In each stage, the price & volume are perfect indicator to highlight the situation and the trader with proper discipline and patients can certainly reap the fruitful outcome of accumulation stage.
Based on this explanation, here is the strategy that is created with 50,90 & 200 Simple moving average and price volume trends (PVT) indicator applied on MACD to signal whenever the PVT convergence and divergence.
Note:
As the indicator designed to signal on the ticker that trade above 200 moving average, it is good to use this strategy on companies that are fundamental strong.
Whenever, there is pull back happens, the strategy might signal for exit, however, here comes the traders patient based on the conviction on the particular chosen stocks.
White being patient is good, disciplinary in following the strategy also important. Hence, consider the action when the stock goes opposite direction from your expectation.
Hope this strategy would help you find the profit.
Happy investing.
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DIVI Wunder StrategyAs it is known, divergence is a situation we encounter very often on graphs. Various divergencies may occur according to many indicators. MACD divergence, RSI divergence... In the strategy I use only positive divergence. What is positive divergence I will explain on MACD positive divergence A MACD positive divergence is a situation in which the MACD does not reach a new low, despite the fact that the price of the stock reached a new low. This is seen as a bullish trading signal—hence, the term “positive divergence.” So I thought of these divergencies and came up with a new strategy. Combining the divergencies with the VOLPIN strategy I wrote earlier, a great strategy has emerged. When the divergence signals are came from MACD,RSI,CCI,OBV,Chaikin Money Flow, VWmacd and Money Flow Index all these indicators I sent a buy signal until the 40 times completed. ThenI sent to sell signal when the price come to take profit level. In this strategy, you divide your principal into as many parts as you want. For example, let's say that you have 1000 dollars of money and you make purchases by dividing this money into 40 equal parts in the default settings of the indicator. $25 per purchase. After each purchase is made as 25 dollars, you can adjust your profit rate from the profit taking settings. When you look at the results of the strategy, your profit rate will be very high. I usually use this strategy in one hour periods. Of course you change it whatever you want. Also change all settings from panel to get more profit. Have fun :)
Gemini Wyckoff Trend SystemStrategy Name: Gemini Wyckoff-Trend System
1. Core Design Philosophy
This strategy fuses Wyckoff Theory (specifically the "Law of Effort vs. Result") with classic Trend Following principles. Its primary goal is not to catch every minor fluctuation, but to filter out 80% of market noise and fakeouts, ensuring that you only pull the trigger when "Smart Money" enters the market with genuine volume.
It operates on a strict "3-Dimension Verification" logic:
Trend (Context): Never trade against the macro trend.
Structure (Price Action): Identify accumulation zones and wait for the breakout.
Volume (Effort): Require massive volume confirmation to validate the move.
2. The 3-Filter System
Filter 1: The Trend Filter (EMA 200)
Rule: The strategy only looks for Long setups when the price is ABOVE the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Purpose: To strictly prevent "catching falling knives" or counter-trend trading during a bear market.
Filter 2: The Structure Filter (Donchian Channel)
Rule: The script automatically identifies the highest high of the past 20 bars to define the "Accumulation Box." A signal is only possible if the price closes above this resistance level.
Wyckoff Term: This represents "Jumping the Creek" (JTC)—signaling that price is leaving the trading range.
Filter 3: The Volume Filter (RVOL > 1.5)
Rule: The breakout bar must have a volume that is at least 1.5x higher than the average volume of the past 20 bars.
Purpose: To eliminate "Upthrusts" (Fake Breakouts). If price breaks out on low volume, the system ignores it.
3. Visual Guide
Once loaded, here is how to read the chart:
📉 Orange Line (EMA 200): The Bull/Bear divider. If price is below this line, stay in cash.
🌫️ Grey Zone: The "No-Trade Zone" (Accumulation/Consolidation). Do not trade while price is inside this box.
🟢 Lime Green Bar: The Entry Signal. This indicates a valid breakout confirmed by high volume (Smart Money entry).
🪜 Red Step Line: Your Trailing Stop (ATR-based). As long as you hold a position, watch this line. If price closes below it, exit immediately.
📊 Dashboard (Top Right): Monitors market "Heat." If RVOL is Green, volume is significant.
4. Best Practices
Ideal For: Traders who struggle with over-trading or FOMO. This script enforces patience and discipline.
Timeframe: Recommended for 4-Hour (4H) or Daily (1D) charts to catch major crypto trends (e.g., Bitcoin main waves).
Asset Class: Crypto, Stocks, or any asset with high volume liquidity.
5. Risk Warning
This strategy includes a built-in ATR Volatility Stop. The stop-loss level adjusts dynamically based on market volatility. Please adhere strictly to the stop-loss signals to protect your capital.
Trendforduló Radar STRAT v4.1.3Trend Reversal Radar is a proprietary indicator that examines potential turning points in market trends. It combines data from multiple time frames, support and resistance levels, and volume movements to provide visual signals to traders. Its purpose is not to provide trading advice, but to complement technical analysis and provide more confident decision support.- A Trendforduló Radar egy saját fejlesztésű indikátor, amely a piaci trendek lehetséges fordulópontjait vizsgálja. Több idősík adatait, támasz–ellenállás szinteket és volumenmozgásokat kombinálva ad vizuális jelzést a kereskedőnek. A célja nem a kereskedési tanácsadás, hanem hogy kiegészítse a technikai elemzést és magabiztosabb döntéstámogatást adjon.
Trendforduló Radar Trend Reversal Radar is a proprietary indicator that examines potential turning points in market trends. It combines data from multiple time frames, support and resistance levels, and volume movements to provide visual signals to traders. Its purpose is not to provide trading advice, but to complement technical analysis and provide more confident decision support.- A Trendforduló Radar egy saját fejlesztésű indikátor, amely a piaci trendek lehetséges fordulópontjait vizsgálja. Több idősík adatait, támasz–ellenállás szinteket és volumenmozgásokat kombinálva ad vizuális jelzést a kereskedőnek. A célja nem a kereskedési tanácsadás, hanem hogy kiegészítse a technikai elemzést és magabiztosabb döntéstámogatást adjon.
Trio Strategy w EMA Timing Gate, Early Flip, Clouds and Cross AlMomentum Trio Strategy w EMA Timing Gate, Early Flip, Clouds and Cross Alerts
Short title: Trio EMA Strategy
Concept and Originality
This strategy merges three momentum systems – StochRSI, RSI EMA, and MACD – into one coordinated Trio.
It triggers possible entries only (no exits) when all three align within user-defined windows, with an EMA timing gate for precision and an optional early flip feature if the EMA crosses first.
Optional cooldown and filters reduce false signals.
It also shows green and purple markers when all three momentum indicators cross together, and provides alert notifications on every individual and trio crossover event.
StochRSI-based clouds highlight overbought and oversold areas for quick visual context.
Each part has a defined role:
Trio alignment ensures multi-indicator confirmation.
EMA gate refines timing and enables early trend flips.
Cooldown reduces overtrading.
Filters check price, trend, and volume quality.
Clouds visualize momentum extremes.
Markers show where the Trio crosses.
Alerts notify on all key momentum events.
How It Works
Trio confirmation (core):
StochRSI – percent K and D cross within stochGroupWindow.
RSI – RSI crossing its EMA.
MACD – line crossing signal within macdGroupWindow.
When all three cross up, a green marker appears.
When all three cross down, a purple marker appears.
These mark potential entry points only. Exits are not included.
EMA timing gate:
EMA(5) and EMA(9) define short-term trend.
Longs: EMA(5) greater than EMA(9).
Shorts: EMA(5) less than EMA(9).
Early Flip: when EMA crosses before the trio, a one-time flip can trigger after the chosen cooldown.
Cooldown prevents multiple entries in choppy markets.
Filters include:
Price Filter – restricts entries relative to EMA.
Trend Filter – aligns trades with a longer EMA.
Volume Filter – checks for rising volume.
Overbought and Oversold Clouds:
Red cloud when StochRSI is greater or equal to 80 (overbought).
Green cloud when StochRSI is less or equal to 20 (oversold).
Clouds are for context only, not trade signals.
Alerts trigger on every Trio signal and each individual crossover for StochRSI, RSI, and MACD.
Inputs You Can Tune
RSI, StochRSI, and MACD periods and windows.
EMA gate lengths.
Early-flip toggle and cooldown.
Trio cooldowns.
Filters for price, trend, and volume.
Marker visibility (green and purple).
Overbought or oversold cloud display.
Alert toggles for all cross types.
How To Use
1. Apply to any liquid market such as stocks, crypto, or forex.
2. Choose timeframe.
3. Keep default settings first, then fine-tune windows or cooldowns.
4. Use clouds and markers for entry guidance only. Exits are manual or from another strategy.
5. Enable alerts for real-time notifications of indicator and Trio crosses.
Default Properties Used for Publication (Backtest Transparency)
Initial capital: 100,000 USD – necessary for stock testing so one percent sizing produces realistic order size.
Order size: one percent of equity per trade to keep risk small.
Commission: 0.10 percent per side, realistic for brokers and exchanges.
Slippage: 0.05 percent, equal to roughly one to two ticks on stocks.
Pyramiding: 0.
Execution: on close.
Sample dataset: at least 100 trades across multiple timeframes and markets.
The higher initial capital ensures valid fills for stock testing, while risk stays proportional since position size is percentage based.
Why These Components Work Together
Trio confluence confirms momentum alignment.
EMA gate refines entry timing and allows early reversals.
Cooldown and filters reduce false triggers.
Markers confirm when all three indicators cross together.
Clouds and alerts improve awareness and reaction speed.
The result is a robust entry-only framework that adapts to many markets.
Notes and Limitations
Focused on entry detection only. Exits are manual or external.
For educational use only, not financial advice.
Always test with realistic slippage, fees, and several symbols.
Past results do not guarantee future performance.
Attribution
All logic and structure are original to this publication.
Common Pine functions follow official Pine documentation.
Reversal Point Dynamics - Machine Learning⇋ Reversal Point Dynamics - Machine Learning
RPD Machine Learning: Self-Adaptive Multi-Armed Bandit Trading System
RPD Machine Learning is an advanced algorithmic trading system that implements genuine machine learning through contextual multi-armed bandits, reinforcement learning, and online adaptation. Unlike traditional indicators that use fixed rules, RPD learns from every trade outcome , automatically discovers which strategies work in current market conditions, and continuously adapts without manual intervention .
Core Innovation: The system deploys six distinct trading policies (ranging from aggressive trend-following to conservative range-bound strategies) and uses LinUCB contextual bandit algorithms with Random Fourier Features to learn which policy performs best in each market regime. After the initial learning phase (50-100 trades), the system achieves autonomous adaptation , automatically shifting between policies as market conditions evolve.
Target Users: Quantitative traders, algorithmic trading developers, systematic traders, and data-driven investors who want a system that adapts over time . Suitable for stocks, futures, forex, and cryptocurrency on any liquid instrument with >100k daily volume.
The Problem This System Solves
Traditional Technical Analysis Limitations
Most trading systems suffer from three fundamental challenges :
Fixed Parameters: Static settings (like "buy when RSI < 30") work well in backtests but may struggle when markets change character. What worked in low-volatility environments may not work in high-volatility regimes.
Strategy Degradation: Manual optimization (curve-fitting) produces systems that perform well on historical data but may underperform in live trading. The system never adapts to new market conditions.
Cognitive Overload: Running multiple strategies simultaneously forces traders to manually decide which one to trust. This leads to hesitation, late entries, and inconsistent execution.
How RPD Machine Learning Addresses These Challenges
Automated Strategy Selection: Instead of requiring you to choose between trend-following and mean-reversion strategies, RPD runs all six policies simultaneously and uses machine learning to automatically select the best one for current conditions. The decision happens algorithmically, removing human hesitation.
Continuous Learning: After every trade, the system updates its understanding of which policies are working. If the market shifts from trending to ranging, RPD automatically detects this through changing performance patterns and adjusts selection accordingly.
Context-Aware Decisions: Unlike simple voting systems that treat all conditions equally, RPD analyzes market context (ADX regime, entropy levels, volatility state, volume patterns, time of day, historical performance) and learns which combinations of context features correlate with policy success.
Machine Learning Architecture: What Makes This "Real" ML
Component 1: Contextual Multi-Armed Bandits (LinUCB)
What Is a Multi-Armed Bandit Problem?
Imagine facing six slot machines, each with unknown payout rates. The exploration-exploitation dilemma asks: Should you keep pulling the machine that's worked well (exploitation) or try others that might be better (exploration)? RPD solves this for trading policies.
Academic Foundation:
RPD implements Linear Upper Confidence Bound (LinUCB) from the research paper "A Contextual-Bandit Approach to Personalized News Article Recommendation" (Li et al., 2010, WWW Conference). This algorithm is used in content recommendation and ad placement systems.
How It Works:
Each policy (AggressiveTrend, ConservativeRange, VolatilityBreakout, etc.) is treated as an "arm." The system maintains:
Reward History: Tracks wins/losses for each policy
Contextual Features: Current market state (8-10 features including ADX, entropy, volatility, volume)
Uncertainty Estimates: Confidence in each policy's performance
UCB Formula: predicted_reward + α × uncertainty
The system selects the policy with highest UCB score , balancing proven performance (predicted_reward) with potential for discovery (uncertainty bonus). Initially, all policies have high uncertainty, so the system explores broadly. After 50-100 trades, uncertainty decreases, and the system focuses on known-performing policies.
Why This Matters:
Traditional systems pick strategies based on historical backtests or user preference. RPD learns from actual outcomes in your specific market, on your timeframe, with your execution characteristics.
Component 2: Random Fourier Features (RFF)
The Non-Linearity Challenge:
Market relationships are often non-linear. High ADX may indicate favorable conditions when volatility is normal, but unfavorable when volatility spikes. Simple linear models struggle to capture these interactions.
Academic Foundation:
RPD implements Random Fourier Features from "Random Features for Large-Scale Kernel Machines" (Rahimi & Recht, 2007, NIPS). This technique approximates kernel methods (like Support Vector Machines) while maintaining computational efficiency for real-time trading.
How It Works:
The system transforms base features (ADX, entropy, volatility, etc.) into a higher-dimensional space using random projections and cosine transformations:
Input: 8 base features
Projection: Through random Gaussian weights
Transformation: cos(W×features + b)
Output: 16 RFF dimensions
This allows the bandit to learn non-linear relationships between market context and policy success. For example: "AggressiveTrend performs well when ADX >25 AND entropy <0.6 AND hour >9" becomes naturally encoded in the RFF space.
Why This Matters:
Without RFF, the system could only learn "this policy has X% historical performance." With RFF, it learns "this policy performs differently in these specific contexts" - enabling more nuanced selection.
Component 3: Reinforcement Learning Stack
Beyond bandits, RPD implements a complete RL framework :
Q-Learning: Value-based RL that learns state-action values. Maps 54 discrete market states (trend×volatility×RSI×volume combinations) to 5 actions (4 policies + no-trade). Updates via Bellman equation after each trade. Converges toward optimal policy after 100-200 trades.
TD(λ) with Eligibility Traces: Extension of Q-Learning that propagates credit backwards through time . When a trade produces an outcome, TD(λ) updates not just the final state-action but all states visited during the trade, weighted by eligibility decay (λ=0.90). This accelerates learning from multi-bar trades.
Policy Gradient (REINFORCE): Learns a stochastic policy directly from 12 continuous market features without discretization. Uses gradient ascent to increase probability of actions that led to positive outcomes. Includes baseline (average reward) for variance reduction.
Meta-Learning: The system learns how to learn by adapting its own learning rates based on feature stability and correlation with outcomes. If a feature (like volume ratio) consistently correlates with success, its learning rate increases. If unstable, rate decreases.
Why This Matters:
Q-Learning provides fast discrete decisions. Policy Gradient handles continuous features. TD(λ) accelerates learning. Meta-learning optimizes the optimization. Together, they create a robust, multi-approach learning system that adapts more quickly than any single algorithm.
Component 4: Policy Momentum Tracking (v2 Feature)
The Recency Challenge:
Standard bandits treat all historical data equally. If a policy performed well historically but struggles in current conditions due to regime shift, the system may be slow to adapt because historical success outweighs recent underperformance.
RPD's Solution:
Each policy maintains a ring buffer of the last 10 outcomes. The system calculates:
Momentum: recent_win_rate - global_win_rate (range: -1 to +1)
Confidence: consistency of recent results (1 - variance)
Policies with positive momentum (recent outperformance) get an exploration bonus. Policies with negative momentum and high confidence (consistent recent underperformance) receive a selection penalty.
Effect: When markets shift, the system detects the shift more quickly through momentum tracking, enabling faster adaptation than standard bandits.
Signal Generation: The Core Algorithm
Multi-Timeframe Fractal Detection
RPD identifies reversal points using three complementary methods :
1. Quantum State Analysis:
Divides price range into discrete states (default: 6 levels)
Peak signals require price in top states (≥ state 5)
Valley signals require price in bottom states (≤ state 1)
Prevents mid-range signals that may struggle in strong trends
2. Fractal Geometry:
Identifies swing highs/lows using configurable fractal strength
Confirms local extremum with neighboring bars
Validates reversal only if price crosses prior extreme
3. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
Analyzes higher timeframe (4× default) for alignment
MTF confirmation adds probability bonus
Designed to reduce false signals while preserving valid setups
Probability Scoring System
Each signal receives a dynamic probability score (40-99%) based on:
Base Components:
Trend Strength: EMA(velocity) / ATR × 30 points
Entropy Quality: (1 - entropy) × 10 points
Starting baseline: 40 points
Enhancement Bonuses:
Divergence Detection: +20 points (price/momentum divergence)
RSI Extremes: +8 points (RSI >65 for peaks, <40 for valleys)
Volume Confirmation: +5 points (volume >1.2× average)
Adaptive Momentum: +10 points (strong directional velocity)
MTF Alignment: +12 points (higher timeframe confirms)
Range Factor: (high-low)/ATR × 3 - 1.5 points (volatility adjustment)
Regime Bonus: +8 points (trending ADX >25 with directional agreement)
Penalties:
High Entropy: -5 points (entropy >0.85, chaotic price action)
Consolidation Regime: -10 points (ADX <20, no directional conviction)
Final Score: Clamped to 40-99% range, classified as ELITE (>85%), STRONG (75-85%), GOOD (65-75%), or FAIR (<65%)
Entropy-Based Quality Filter
What Is Entropy?
Entropy measures randomness in price changes . Low entropy indicates orderly, directional moves. High entropy indicates chaotic, unpredictable conditions.
Calculation:
Count up/down price changes over adaptive period
Calculate probability: p = ups / total_changes
Shannon entropy: -p×log(p) - (1-p)×log(1-p)
Normalized to 0-1 range
Application:
Entropy <0.5: Highly ordered (ELITE signals possible)
Entropy 0.5-0.75: Mixed (GOOD signals)
Entropy >0.85: Chaotic (signals blocked or heavily penalized)
Why This Matters:
Prevents trading during choppy, news-driven conditions where technical patterns may be less reliable. Automatically raises quality bar when market is unpredictable.
Regime Detection & Market Microstructure - ADX-Based Regime Classification
RPD uses Wilder's Average Directional Index to classify markets:
Bull Trend: ADX >25, +DI > -DI (directional conviction bullish)
Bear Trend: ADX >25, +DI < -DI (directional conviction bearish)
Consolidation: ADX <20 (no directional conviction)
Transitional: ADX 20-25 (forming direction, ambiguous)
Filter Logic:
Blocks all signals during Transitional regime (avoids trading during uncertain conditions)
Blocks Consolidation signals unless ADX ≥ Min Trend Strength
Adds probability bonus during strong trends (ADX >30)
Effect: Designed to reduce signal frequency while focusing on higher-quality setups.
Divergence Detection
Bearish Divergence:
Price makes higher high
Velocity (price momentum) makes lower high
Indicates weakening upward pressure → SHORT signal quality boost
Bullish Divergence:
Price makes lower low
Velocity makes higher low
Indicates weakening downward pressure → LONG signal quality boost
Bonus: Adds probability points and additional acceleration factor. Divergence signals have historically shown higher success rates in testing.
Hierarchical Policy System - The Six Trading Policies
1. AggressiveTrend (Policy 0):
Probability Threshold: 60% (trades more frequently)
Entropy Threshold: 0.70 (tolerates moderate chaos)
Stop Multiplier: 2.5× ATR (wider stops for trends)
Target Multiplier: 5.0R (larger targets)
Entry Mode: Pyramid (scales into winners)
Best For: Strong trending markets, breakouts, momentum continuation
2. ConservativeRange (Policy 1):
Probability Threshold: 75% (more selective)
Entropy Threshold: 0.60 (requires order)
Stop Multiplier: 1.8× ATR (tighter stops)
Target Multiplier: 3.0R (modest targets)
Entry Mode: Single (one-shot entries)
Best For: Range-bound markets, low volatility, mean reversion
3. VolatilityBreakout (Policy 2):
Probability Threshold: 65% (moderate)
Entropy Threshold: 0.80 (accepts high entropy)
Stop Multiplier: 3.0× ATR (wider stops)
Target Multiplier: 6.0R (larger targets)
Entry Mode: Tiered (splits entry)
Best For: Compression breakouts, post-consolidation moves, gap opens
4. EntropyScalp (Policy 3):
Probability Threshold: 80% (very selective)
Entropy Threshold: 0.40 (requires extreme order)
Stop Multiplier: 1.5× ATR (tightest stops)
Target Multiplier: 2.5R (quick targets)
Entry Mode: Single
Best For: Low-volatility grinding moves, tight ranges, highly predictable patterns
5. DivergenceHunter (Policy 4):
Probability Threshold: 70% (quality-focused)
Entropy Threshold: 0.65 (balanced)
Stop Multiplier: 2.2× ATR (moderate stops)
Target Multiplier: 4.5R (balanced targets)
Entry Mode: Tiered
Best For: Divergence-confirmed reversals, exhaustion moves, trend climax
6. AdaptiveBlend (Policy 5):
Probability Threshold: 68% (balanced)
Entropy Threshold: 0.75 (balanced)
Stop Multiplier: 2.0× ATR (standard)
Target Multiplier: 4.0R (standard)
Entry Mode: Single
Best For: Mixed conditions, general trading, fallback when no clear regime
Policy Clustering (Advanced/Extreme Modes)
Policies are grouped into three clusters based on regime affinity:
Cluster 1 (Trending): AggressiveTrend, DivergenceHunter
High regime affinity (0.8): Performs well when ADX >25
Moderate vol affinity (0.6): Works in various volatility
Cluster 2 (Ranging): ConservativeRange, AdaptiveBlend
Low regime affinity (0.3): Better suited for ADX <20
Low vol affinity (0.4): Optimized for calm markets
Cluster 3 (Breakout): VolatilityBreakout
Moderate regime affinity (0.6): Works in multiple regimes
High vol affinity (0.9): Requires high volatility for optimal characteristics
Hierarchical Selection Process:
Calculate cluster scores based on current regime and volatility
Select best-matching cluster
Run UCB selection within chosen cluster
Apply momentum boost/penalty
This two-stage process reduces learning time - instead of choosing among 6 policies from scratch, system first narrows to 1-2 policies per cluster, then optimizes within cluster.
Risk Management & Position Sizing
Dynamic Kelly Criterion Sizing (Optional)
Traditional Fixed Sizing Challenge:
Using the same position size for all signal probabilities may be suboptimal. Higher-probability signals could justify larger positions, lower-probability signals smaller positions.
Kelly Formula:
f = (p × b - q) / b
Where:
p = win probability (from signal score)
q = loss probability (1 - p)
b = win/loss ratio (average_win / average_loss)
f = fraction of capital to risk
RPD Implementation:
Uses Fractional Kelly (1/4 Kelly default) for safety. Full Kelly is theoretically optimal but can recommend large position sizes. Fractional Kelly reduces volatility while maintaining adaptive sizing benefits.
Enhancements:
Probability Bonus: Normalize(prob, 65, 95) × 0.5 multiplier
Divergence Bonus: Additional sizing on divergence signals
Regime Bonus: Additional sizing during strong trends (ADX >30)
Momentum Adjustment: Hot policies receive sizing boost, cold policies receive reduction
Safety Rails:
Minimum: 1 contract (floor)
Maximum: User-defined cap (default 10 contracts)
Portfolio Heat: Max total risk across all positions (default 4% equity)
Multi-Mode Stop Loss System
ATR Mode (Default):
Stop = entry ± (ATR × base_mult × policy_mult)
Consistent risk sizing
Ignores market structure
Best for: Futures, forex, algorithmic trading
Structural Mode:
Finds swing low (long) or high (short) over last 20 bars
Identifies fractal pivots within lookback
Places stop below/above structure + buffer (0.1× ATR)
Best for: Stocks, instruments that respect structure
Hybrid Mode (Intelligent):
Attempts structural stop first
Falls back to ATR if:
Structural level is invalid (beyond entry)
Structural stop >2× ATR away (too wide)
Best for: Mixed instruments, adaptability
Dynamic Adjustments:
Breakeven: Move stop to entry + 1 tick after 1.0R profit
Trailing: Trail stop 0.8R behind price after 1.5R profit
Timeout: Force close after 30 bars (optional)
Tiered Entry System
Challenge: Equal sizing on all signals may not optimize capital allocation relative to signal quality.
Solution:
Tier 1 (40% of size): Enters immediately on all signals
Tier 2 (60% of size): Enters only if probability ≥ Tier 2 trigger (default 75%)
Example:
Calculated optimal size: 10 contracts
Signal probability: 72%
Tier 2 trigger: 75%
Result: Enter 4 contracts only (Tier 1)
Same signal at 80% probability
Result: Enter 10 contracts (4 Tier 1 + 6 Tier 2)
Effect: Automatically scales size to signal quality, optimizing capital allocation.
Performance Optimization & Learning Curve
Warmup Phase (First 50 Trades)
Purpose: Ensure all policies get tested before system focuses on preferred strategies.
Modifications During Warmup:
Probability thresholds reduced 20% (65% becomes 52%)
Entropy thresholds increased 20% (more permissive)
Exploration rate stays high (30%)
Confidence width (α) doubled (more exploration)
Why This Matters:
Without warmup, system might commit to early-performing policy without testing alternatives. Warmup forces thorough exploration before focusing on best-performing strategies.
Curriculum Learning
Phase 1 (Trades 1-50): Exploration
Warmup active
All policies tested
High exploration (30%)
Learning fundamental patterns
Phase 2 (Trades 50-100): Refinement
Warmup ended, thresholds normalize
Exploration decaying (30% → 15%)
Policy preferences emerging
Meta-learning optimizing
Phase 3 (Trades 100-200): Specialization
Exploration low (15% → 8%)
Clear policy preferences established
Momentum tracking fully active
System focusing on learned patterns
Phase 4 (Trades 200+): Maturity
Exploration minimal (8% → 5%)
Regime-policy relationships learned
Auto-adaptation to market shifts
Stable performance expected
Convergence Indicators
System is learning well when:
Policy switch rate decreasing over time (initially ~50%, should drop to <20%)
Exploration rate decaying smoothly (30% → 5%)
One or two policies emerge with >50% selection frequency
Performance metrics stabilizing over time
Consistent behavior in similar market conditions
System may need adjustment when:
Policy switch rate >40% after 100 trades (excessive exploration)
Exploration rate not decaying (parameter issue)
All policies showing similar selection (not differentiating)
Performance declining despite relaxed thresholds (underlying signal issue)
Highly erratic behavior after learning phase
Advanced Features
Attention Mechanism (Extreme Mode)
Challenge: Not all features are equally important. Trading hour might matter more than price-volume correlation, but standard approaches treat them equally.
Solution:
Each RFF dimension has an importance weight . After each trade:
Calculate correlation: sign(feature - 0.5) × sign(reward)
Update importance: importance += correlation × 0.01
Clamp to range
Effect: Important features get amplified in RFF transformation, less important features get suppressed. System learns which features correlate with successful outcomes.
Temporal Context (Extreme Mode)
Challenge: Current market state alone may be incomplete. Historical context (was volatility rising or falling?) provides additional information.
Solution:
Includes 3-period historical context with exponential decay (0.85):
Current features (weight 1.0)
1 bar ago (weight 0.85)
2 bars ago (weight 0.72)
Effect: Captures momentum and acceleration of market features. System learns patterns like "rising volatility with falling entropy" that may precede significant moves.
Transfer Learning via Episodic Memory
Short-Term Memory (STM):
Last 20 trades
Fast adaptation to immediate regime
High learning rate
Long-Term Memory (LTM):
Condensed historical patterns
Preserved knowledge from past regimes
Low learning rate
Transfer Mechanism:
When STM fills (20 trades), patterns consolidated into LTM . When similar regime recurs later, LTM provides faster adaptation than starting from scratch.
Practical Implementation Guide - Recommended Settings by Instrument
Futures (ES, NQ, CL):
Adaptive Period: 20-25
ML Mode: Advanced
RFF Dimensions: 16
Policies: 6
Base Risk: 1.5%
Stop Mode: ATR or Hybrid
Timeframe: 5-15 min
Forex Majors (EURUSD, GBPUSD):
Adaptive Period: 25-30
ML Mode: Advanced
RFF Dimensions: 16
Policies: 6
Base Risk: 1.0-1.5%
Stop Mode: ATR
Timeframe: 5-30 min
Cryptocurrency (BTC, ETH):
Adaptive Period: 20-25
ML Mode: Extreme (handles non-stationarity)
RFF Dimensions: 32 (captures complexity)
Policies: 6
Base Risk: 1.0% (volatility consideration)
Stop Mode: Hybrid
Timeframe: 15 min - 4 hr
Stocks (Large Cap):
Adaptive Period: 25-30
ML Mode: Advanced
RFF Dimensions: 16
Policies: 5-6
Base Risk: 1.5-2.0%
Stop Mode: Structural or Hybrid
Timeframe: 15 min - Daily
Scaling Strategy
Phase 1 (Testing - First 50 Trades):
Max Contracts: 1-2
Goal: Validate system on your instrument
Monitor: Performance stabilization, learning progress
Phase 2 (Validation - Trades 50-100):
Max Contracts: 2-3
Goal: Confirm learning convergence
Monitor: Policy stability, exploration decay
Phase 3 (Scaling - Trades 100-200):
Max Contracts: 3-5
Enable: Kelly sizing (1/4 Kelly)
Goal: Optimize capital efficiency
Monitor: Risk-adjusted returns
Phase 4 (Full Deployment - Trades 200+):
Max Contracts: 5-10
Enable: Full momentum tracking
Goal: Sustained consistent performance
Monitor: Ongoing adaptation quality
Limitations & Disclaimers
Statistical Limitations
Learning Sample Size: System requires minimum 50-100 trades for basic convergence, 200+ trades for robust learning. Early performance (first 50 trades) may not reflect mature system behavior.
Non-Stationarity Risk: Markets change over time. A system trained on one market regime may need time to adapt when conditions shift (typically 30-50 trades for adjustment).
Overfitting Possibility: With 16-32 RFF dimensions and 6 policies, system has substantial parameter space. Small sample sizes (<200 trades) increase overfitting risk. Mitigated by regularization (λ) and fractional Kelly sizing.
Technical Limitations
Computational Complexity: Extreme mode with 32 RFF dimensions, 6 policies, and full RL stack requires significant computation. May perform slowly on lower-end systems or with many other indicators loaded.
Pine Script Constraints:
No true matrix inversion (uses diagonal approximation for LinUCB)
No cryptographic RNG (uses market data as entropy)
No proper random number generation for RFF (uses deterministic pseudo-random)
These approximations reduce mathematical precision compared to academic implementations but remain functional for trading applications.
Data Requirements: Needs clean OHLCV data. Missing bars, gaps, or low liquidity (<100k daily volume) can degrade signal quality.
Forward-Looking Bias Disclaimer
Reward Calculation Uses Future Data: The RL system evaluates trades using an 8-bar forward-looking window. This means when a position enters at bar 100, the reward calculation considers price movement through bar 108.
Why This is Disclosed:
Entry signals do NOT look ahead - decisions use only data up to entry bar
Forward data used for learning only, not signal generation
In live trading, system learns identically as bars unfold in real-time
Simulates natural learning process (outcomes are only known after trades complete)
Implication: Backtested metrics reflect this 8-bar evaluation window. Live performance may vary if:
- Positions held longer than 8 bars
- Slippage/commissions differ from backtest settings
- Market microstructure changes (wider spreads, different execution quality)
Risk Warnings
No Guarantee of Profit: All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Machine learning systems can fail if market structure fundamentally changes or during unprecedented events.
Maximum Drawdown: With 1.5% base risk and 4% max total risk, expect potential drawdowns. Historical drawdowns do not predict future drawdowns. Extreme market conditions can exceed expectations.
Black Swan Events: System has not been tested under: flash crashes, trading halts, circuit breakers, major geopolitical shocks, or other extreme events. Such events can exceed stop losses and cause significant losses.
Leverage Risk: Futures and forex involve leverage. Adverse moves combined with leverage can result in losses exceeding initial investment. Use appropriate position sizing for your risk tolerance.
System Failures: Code bugs, broker API failures, internet outages, or exchange issues can prevent proper execution. Always monitor automated systems and maintain appropriate safeguards.
Appropriate Use
This System Is:
✅ A machine learning framework for adaptive strategy selection
✅ A signal generation system with probabilistic scoring
✅ A risk management system with dynamic sizing
✅ A learning system designed to adapt over time
This System Is NOT:
❌ A price prediction system (does not forecast exact prices)
❌ A guarantee of profits (can and will experience losses)
❌ A replacement for due diligence (requires monitoring and understanding)
❌ Suitable for complete beginners (requires understanding of ML concepts, risk management, and trading fundamentals)
Recommended Use:
Paper trade for 100 signals before risking capital
Start with minimal position sizing (1-2 contracts) regardless of calculated size
Monitor learning progress via dashboard
Scale gradually over several months only after consistent results
Combine with fundamental analysis and broader market context
Set account-level risk limits (e.g., maximum drawdown threshold)
Never risk more than you can afford to lose
What Makes This System Different
RPD implements academically-derived machine learning algorithms rather than simple mathematical calculations or optimization:
✅ LinUCB Contextual Bandits - Algorithm from WWW 2010 conference (Li et al.)
✅ Random Fourier Features - Kernel approximation from NIPS 2007 (Rahimi & Recht)
✅ Q-Learning, TD(λ), REINFORCE - Standard RL algorithms from Sutton & Barto textbook
✅ Meta-Learning - Learning rate adaptation based on feature correlation
✅ Online Learning - Real-time updates from streaming data
✅ Hierarchical Policies - Two-stage selection with clustering
✅ Momentum Tracking - Recent performance analysis for faster adaptation
✅ Attention Mechanism - Feature importance weighting
✅ Transfer Learning - Episodic memory consolidation
Key Differentiators:
Actually learns from trade outcomes (not just parameter optimization)
Updates model parameters in real-time (true online learning)
Adapts to changing market regimes (not static rules)
Improves over time through reinforcement learning
Implements published ML algorithms with proper citations
Conclusion
RPD Machine Learning represents a different approach from traditional technical analysis to adaptive, self-learning systems . Instead of manually optimizing parameters (which can overfit to historical data), RPD learns behavior patterns from actual trading outcomes in your specific market.
The combination of contextual bandits, reinforcement learning, random fourier features, hierarchical policy selection, and momentum tracking creates a multi-algorithm learning system designed to handle non-stationary markets better than static approaches.
After the initial learning phase (50-100 trades), the system achieves autonomous adaptation - automatically discovering which strategies work in current conditions and shifting allocation without human intervention. This represents an approach where systems adapt over time rather than remaining static.
Use responsibly. Paper trade extensively. Scale gradually. Understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and all trading involves risk of loss.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Qullamagi EMA Breakout Autotrade (Crypto Futures L+S)Title: Qullamagi EMA Breakout – Crypto Autotrade
Overview
A crypto-focused, Qullamagi-style EMA breakout strategy built for autotrading on futures and perpetual swaps.
It combines a 5-MA trend stack (EMA 10/20, SMA 50/100/200), volatility contraction boxes, volume spikes and an optional higher-timeframe 200-MA filter. The script supports both long and short trades, partial take profit, trailing MA exits and percent-of-equity position sizing for automated crypto futures trading.
Key Features (Crypto)
Qullamagi MA Breakout Engine – trades only when price is aligned with a strong EMA/SMA trend and breaks out of a tight consolidation range. Longs use: Close > EMA10 > EMA20 > SMA50 > SMA100 > SMA200. Shorts are the mirror condition with all MAs sloping in the trend direction.
Strict vs Loose Modes – Strict (Daily) is designed for cleaner swing trades on 1H–4H (full MA stack, box+ATR and volume filters, optional HTF filter). Loose (Intraday) focuses on 10/20/50 alignment with relaxed filters for more frequent 15m–30m signals.
Volatility & Volume Filters for Crypto – ATR-based box height limit to detect volatility contraction, wide-candle filter to avoid chasing exhausted breakouts, and a volume spike condition requiring current volume to exceed an SMA of volume.
Higher-Timeframe Trend Filter (Optional) – uses a 200-period SMA on a higher timeframe (default: 1D). Longs only when HTF close is above the HTF 200-SMA, shorts only when it is below, helping avoid trading against dominant crypto trends.
Autotrade-Oriented Trade Management – position size as % of equity, initial stop anchored to a chosen MA (EMA10 / EMA20 / SMA50) with optional buffer, partial take profit at a configurable R-multiple, trailing MA exit for the remainder, and an optional cooldown after a full exit.
Markets & Timeframes
Best suited for BTC, ETH and major altcoin futures/perpetuals (Binance, Bybit, OKX, etc.).
Strict preset: 1H–4H charts for classic Qullamagi-style trend structure and fewer fake breakouts.
Loose preset: 15m–30m charts for higher trade frequency and more active intraday trading.
Always retune ATR length, box length, volume multiplier and position size for each symbol and exchange.
Strategy Logic (Quick Summary)
Long (Strict): MA stack in bullish alignment with all MAs sloping up → tight volatility box (ATR-based) → volume spike above SMA(volume) × multiplier → breakout above box high (close or intrabar) → optional HTF close above 200-SMA.
Short: Mirror logic: bearish MA stack, tight box, volume spike and breakdown below box low with optional HTF downtrend.
Best Practices for Crypto
Backtest on each symbol and timeframe you plan to autotrade, including commissions and slippage.
Start on higher timeframes (1H/4H) to learn the behavior, then move to 15m–30m if you want more signals.
Use the higher-timeframe filter when markets are strongly trending to reduce counter-trend trades.
Keep position-size percentage conservative until you fully understand the drawdowns.
Forward-test / paper trade before connecting to live futures accounts.
Webhook / Autotrade Integration
Designed to work with TradingView webhooks and external crypto trading bots.
Alert messages include structured fields such as: EVENT=ENTRY / SCALE_OUT / EXIT, SIDE=LONG / SHORT, STRATEGY=Qullamagi_MA.
Map each EVENT + SIDE combination to your bot logic (open long/short, partial close, full close, etc.) on your preferred exchange.
Important Notes & Disclaimer
Crypto markets are highly volatile and can change regime quickly. Backtest and forward-test thoroughly before using real capital. Higher timeframes generally produce cleaner MA structures and fewer fake breakouts.
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading leveraged crypto products involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research, manage risk carefully, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Intraday Momentum for Volatile Stocks 29.09The strategy targets intraday momentum breakouts in volatile stocks when the broader market (Nifty) is in an uptrend. It enters long positions when stocks move significantly above their daily opening price with sufficient volume confirmation, then manages the trade using dynamic ATR-based stops and profit targets.
Entry Conditions
Price Momentum Filter: The stock must move at least 2.5% above its daily opening price, indicating strong bullish momentum. This percentage threshold is customizable and targets gap-up scenarios or strong intraday breakouts.
Volume Confirmation: Daily cumulative volume must exceed the 20-day average volume, ensuring institutional participation and genuine momentum. This prevents false breakouts on low volume.
Market Regime Filter: The Nifty index must be trading above its 50-day SMA, indicating a favorable market environment for momentum trades. This macro filter helps avoid trades during bearish market conditions.
Money Flow Index: MFI must be above 50, confirming buying pressure and positive money flow into the stock. This adds another layer of momentum confirmation.
Time Restriction: Trades are only initiated before 3:00 PM to ensure sufficient time for position management and avoid end-of-day volatility.
Exit Management
ATR Trailing Stop Loss: Uses a 3x ATR multiplier for dynamic stop-loss placement that trails higher highs, protecting profits while giving trades room to breathe. The trailing mechanism locks in gains as the stock moves favorably.
Profit Target: Set at 4x ATR above the entry price, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio based on the stock's volatility characteristics. This adaptive approach adjusts targets based on individual stock behavior.
Position Reset: Both stops and targets reset when not in a position, ensuring fresh calculations for each new trade.
Key Strengths
Volatility Adaptation: The ATR-based approach automatically adjusts risk parameters to match current market volatility levels. Higher volatility stocks get wider stops, while calmer stocks get tighter management.
Multi-Timeframe Filtering: Combines intraday price action with daily volume patterns and market regime analysis for robust signal generation.
Risk Management Focus: The strategy prioritizes capital preservation through systematic stop-loss placement and position sizing considerations.
Considerations for NSE Trading
This strategy appears well-suited for NSE intraday momentum trading, particularly for mid-cap and small-cap stocks that exhibit high volatility. The Nifty filter helps align trades with broader market sentiment, which is crucial in the Indian market context where sectoral and index movements strongly influence individual stocks.
The 2.5% threshold above open price is appropriate for volatile NSE stocks, though traders might consider adjusting this parameter based on the specific stocks being traded. The strategy's emphasis on volume confirmation is particularly valuable in the NSE environment where retail participation can create misleading price movements without institutional backin
Grand Master's Candlestick Dominance (ATR Enhanced)### Grand Master's Candlestick Dominance (ATR Enhanced)
**Overview**
Unleash the ancient wisdom of Japanese candlestick charting with a modern twist! This comprehensive Pine Script v5 strategy and indicator scans for over 75 classic and advanced candlestick patterns (bullish, bearish, and neutral), assigning dynamic strength scores (1-10) to each for precise signal filtering. Enhanced with Average True Range (ATR) for volatility-aware body size validation, it dominates the markets by combining timeless pattern recognition with robust confirmation layers. Whether used as a backtestable strategy or visual indicator, it empowers traders to spot high-probability reversals, continuations, and indecision setups with surgical accuracy.
Inspired by Steve Nison's *Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques*, this tool elevates pattern analysis beyond basics—think Hammers, Engulfing patterns, Morning Stars, and rare gems like Abandoned Baby or Concealing Baby Swallow—all consolidated into intelligent arrays for real-time averaging and prioritization.
**Key Features**
- **Extensive Pattern Library**:
- **Bullish (25+ patterns)**: Hammer (8.0), Bullish Engulfing (10.0), Morning Star (7.0), Three White Soldiers (9.0), Dragonfly Doji (8.0), and more (e.g., Rising Three, Unique Three River Bottom).
- **Bearish (25+ patterns)**: Hanging Man (8.0), Bearish Engulfing (10.0), Evening Star (7.0), Three Black Crows (9.0), Gravestone Doji (8.0), and exotics like Upside Gap Two Crows or Stalled Pattern.
- **Neutral/Indecision (34+ patterns)**: Doji variants (Long-Legged, Four Price), Spinning Tops, Harami Crosses, and multi-bar setups like Upside Tasuki Gap or Advancing Block.
Each pattern includes duration tracking (1-5 bars) and ATR-adjusted body/shadow criteria for relevance in volatile conditions.
- **Smart Confirmation Filters** (All Toggleable):
- **Trend Alignment**: 20-period SMA (customizable) ensures entries align with the prevailing trend; optional higher timeframe (e.g., Daily) MA crossover for multi-timeframe confluence.
- **Support/Resistance (S/R)**: Pivot-based levels with 0.01% tolerance to confirm bounces or breaks.
- **Volume Surge**: 20-period volume MA with 1.5x spike multiplier to validate momentum.
- **ATR Body Sizing**: Filters small bodies (<0.3x ATR) and long bodies (>0.8x ATR) for context-aware pattern reliability.
- **Follow-Through**: Ensures post-pattern confirmation via bullish/bearish closes or closes beyond prior bars.
Minimum average strength (default 7.0) and individual pattern thresholds (5.0) prevent weak signals.
- **Entry & Exit Logic**:
- **Long Entry**: Bullish average strength ≥7.0 (outweighing bearish), uptrend, volume spike, near support, follow-through, and HTF alignment.
- **Short Entry**: Mirror for bearish dominance in downtrends near resistance.
- **Exits**: Bearish/neutral shift, or fixed TP (5%) / SL (2%)—pyramiding disabled, 10% equity sizing.
- Backtest range: Jan 1, 2020 – Dec 31, 2025 (editable). Initial capital: $10,000.
- **Interactive Dashboard** (Top-Right Panel):
Real-time insights including:
- Market phase (e.g., "Bullish Phase (Avg Str: 8.2)"), active pattern (e.g., "BULLISH: Bullish Engulfing (Str: 10.0, Bars: 2)"), and trend status.
- Strength breakdowns (Bull/Bear/Neutral counts & averages).
- Filter status (e.g., "Volume: ✔ Spike", "ATR: Enabled (L:0.8, S:0.3)").
- Backtest stats: Total trades, win rate, streak, and last entry/exit details (price & timestamp).
Toggle mode: Strategy (live trades) or Indicator (signals only).
- **Advanced Alerts** (15+ Toggleable Types):
Set up via TradingView's "Any alert() function call" for bar-close triggers:
- Entry/Exit signals with strength & pattern details.
- Strong patterns (≥2 bullish/bearish), neutral indecision, volume spikes.
- S/R breakouts, HTF reversals, high-confidence singles (≥8.0 strength).
- Conflicting signals, MA crossovers, ATR volatility bursts, multi-bar completions.
Example: "STRONG BULLISH PATTERN detected! Strength: 9.5 | Top Pattern: Three White Soldiers | Trend: Up".
**Customization & Usage Tips**
- **Inputs Groups**: Strategy toggles, confirmations, exits, backtest dates, and 15+ alert switches—all intuitively grouped.
- **Optimization**: Tune min strengths for aggressive (lower) or conservative (higher) trading; enable/disable filters to suit your style (e.g., disable S/R for scalping).
- **Best For**: Forex, stocks, crypto on 1H–Daily charts. Test on historical data to refine TP/SL.
- **Limitations**: No external data installs; relies on built-in TA functions. Patterns are probabilistic—combine with your risk management.
Master the candles like a grandmaster. Deploy on TradingView, backtest relentlessly, and let dominance begin! Questions? Drop a comment.
*Version: 1.0 | Updated: September 2025 | Credits: Built on Pine Script v5 with nods to Nison's timeless techniques.*
Dynamic Swing Anchored VWAP STRAT (Zeiierman/PineIndicators)Dynamic Swing Anchored VWAP STRATEGY — Zeiierman × PineIndicators (Pine Script v6)
A pivot-to-pivot Anchored VWAP strategy that adapts to volatility, enters long on bullish structure, and closes on bearish structure. Built for TradingView in Pine Script v6.
Full credits to zeiierman.
Repainting notice: The original indicator logic is repainting. Swing labels (HH/HL/LH/LL) are finalized after enough bars have printed, so labels do not occur in real time. It is not possible to execute at historical label points. Treat results as educational and validate with Bar Replay and paper trading before considering any discretionary use.
Concept
The script identifies swing highs/lows over a user-defined lookback ( Swing Period ). When structure flips (most recent swing low is newer than the most recent swing high, or vice versa), a new regime begins.
At each confirmed pivot, a fresh Anchored VWAP segment is started and updated bar-by-bar using an EWMA-style decay on price×volume and volume.
Responsiveness is controlled by Adaptive Price Tracking (APT) . Optionally, APT auto-adjusts with an ATR ratio so that high volatility accelerates responsiveness and low volatility smooths it.
Longs are opened/held in bullish regimes and closed when the regime turns bearish. No short positions are taken by design.
How it works (under the hood)
Swing detection: Uses ta.highestbars / ta.lowestbars over prd to update swing highs (ph) and lows (pl), plus their bar indices (phL, plL).
Regime logic: If phL > plL → bullish regime; else → bearish regime. A change in this condition triggers a re-anchor of the VWAP at the newest pivot.
Adaptive VWAP math: APT is converted to an exponential decay factor ( alphaFromAPT ), then applied to running sums of price×volume and volume, producing the current VWAP estimate.
Rendering: Each pivot-anchored VWAP segment is drawn as a polyline and color-coded by regime. Optional structure labels (HH/HL/LH/LL) annotate the swing character.
Orders: On bullish flips, strategy.entry("L") opens/maintains a long; on bearish flips, strategy.close("L") exits.
Inputs & controls
Swing Period (prd) — Higher values identify larger, slower swings; lower values catch more frequent pivots but add noise.
Adaptive Price Tracking (APT) — Governs the VWAP’s “half-life.” Smaller APT → faster/closer to price; larger APT → smoother/stabler.
Adapt APT by ATR ratio — When enabled, APT scales with volatility so the VWAP speeds up in turbulent markets and slows down in quiet markets.
Volatility Bias — Tunes the strength of APT’s response to volatility (above 1 = stronger effect; below 1 = milder).
Style settings — Colors for swing labels and VWAP segments, plus line width for visibility.
Trade logic summary
Entry: Long when the swing structure turns bullish (latest swing low is more recent than the last swing high).
Exit: Close the long when structure turns bearish.
Position size: qty = strategy.equity / close × 5 (dynamic sizing; scales with account equity and instrument price). Consider reducing the multiplier for a more conservative profile.
Recommended workflow
Apply to instruments with reliable volume (equities, futures, crypto; FX tick volume can work but varies by broker).
Start on your preferred timeframe. Intraday often benefits from smaller APT (more reactive); higher timeframes may prefer larger APT (smoother).
Begin with defaults ( prd=50, APT=20 ); then toggle “Adapt by ATR” and vary Volatility Bias to observe how segments tighten/loosen.
Use Bar Replay to watch how pivots confirm and how the strategy re-anchors VWAP at those confirmations.
Layer your own risk rules (stops/targets, max position cap, session filters) before any discretionary use.
Practical tips
Context filter: Consider combining with a higher-timeframe bias (e.g., daily trend) and using this strategy as an entry timing layer.
First pivot preference: Some traders prefer only the first bullish pivot after a bearish regime (and vice versa) to reduce whipsaw in choppy ranges.
Deviations: You can add VWAP deviation bands to pre-plan partial exits or re-entries on mean-reversion pulls.
Sessions: Session-based filters (RTH vs. ETH) can materially change behavior on futures and equities.
Extending the script (ideas)
Add stops/targets (e.g., ATR stop below last swing low; partial profits at k×VWAP deviation).
Introduce mirrored short logic for two-sided testing.
Include alert conditions for regime flips or for price-VWAP interactions.
Incorporate HTF confirmation (e.g., only long when daily VWAP slope ≥ 0).
Throttle entries (e.g., once per regime flip) to avoid over-trading in ranges.
Known limitations
Repainting: Swing labels and pivot confirmations depend on future bars; historical labels can look “perfect.” Treat them as annotations, not executable signals.
Execution realism: Strategy includes commission and slippage fields, yet actual fills differ by venue/liquidity.
No guarantees: Past behavior does not imply future results. This publication is for research/education only and not financial advice.
Defaults (backtest environment)
Initial capital: 10,000
Commission value: 0.01
Slippage: 1
Overlay: true
Max bars back: 5000; Max labels/polylines set for deep swing histories
Quick checklist
Add to chart and verify that the instrument has volume.
Use defaults, then tune APT and Volatility Bias with/without ATR adaptation.
Observe how each pivot re-anchors VWAP and how regime flips drive entries/exits.
Paper trade across several symbols/timeframes before any discretionary decisions.
Attribution & license
Original indicator concept and logic: Zeiierman — please credit the author.
Strategy wrapper and publication: PineIndicators .
License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 (Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike). Respect the license when forking or publishing derivatives.
Intraday Alpha Pro - ORB + Trend/MomentumOverview
This is a pure intraday trading strategy designed for active traders seeking to capitalize on short-term price movements using two complementary modules: Opening Range Breakout (ORB) and Trend/Momentum. The strategy operates strictly within a user-defined trading session, automatically flattening all positions at session end to avoid overnight carry. It employs a points-based exit system with a trailing stop that activates only after the target is reached, ensuring disciplined risk management. Optional Martingale position sizing is included for users who prefer aggressive scaling after losses.Key Features Pure Intraday, No Carry: Trades are confined to a user-defined session (default: 9:15 AM–3:25 PM, Monday–Sunday). All positions are closed at session end.
Non-Repainting: Entries are evaluated only on confirmed bar closes (barstate.isconfirmed), ensuring no lookahead or repainting.
Dual Signal Modules: Opening Range Breakout (ORB): Captures breakouts above/below the high/low of a user-defined opening range (default: 9:15 AM–9:30 AM).
Trend/Momentum: Combines EMA (9/21) crossovers, RSI filters, volume confirmation, and an optional 200-period MA trend filter for robust trend-following signals.
Points-Based Exits: Uses fixed stop-loss (slPoints, default 16 points) and take-profit (tpPoints, default 32 points) distances. Once the take-profit level is reached, a trailing stop (trailDistPts, default 10 points) activates, ratcheting monotonically to lock in gains.
Martingale Sizing (Optional): Allows position size increases after losses (up to maxQtyInput) with a reset option after wins.
Cooldown Period: Prevents immediate re-entries after exits using a configurable cooldown (cooldownBars).
Flexible Inputs: Toggle long/short entries, enable/disable ORB or Trend/Momentum modules, and customize all parameters (e.g., MA lengths, RSI thresholds, volume multiplier).
Visuals & Alerts: Plots ORB high/low lines and moving averages (9, 21, 200). Includes alerts for long/short entries and end-of-day flattening.
How It Works Session Management: Trades only within the specified tradeSes (default: 9:15 AM–3:25 PM). The ORB module uses a separate orbSes (default: 9:15 AM–9:30 AM) to calculate breakout levels. Positions are closed automatically at session end.
Entry Conditions: ORB: Long when price closes above the ORB high after the ORB session ends; short when price closes below the ORB low.
Trend/Momentum: Long on fast MA (default EMA 9) crossing above slow MA (default EMA 21), with RSI above rsiBuy (default 55), volume exceeding volMult (default 1.5x prior bar), and price above the 200-period MA (if enabled). Shorts use the inverse.
Exit Logic: Stop-loss is set at entry price ± slPoints.
Take-profit is monitored using a running high/low since entry. Once price moves tpPoints in profit, the stop trails at trailDistPts behind the current price, adjusting only in the favorable direction (never loosening).
Exits use strategy.exit with stop only (no limit orders).
Position Sizing: Default size is baseQtyInput (minimum 1 contract). With useMartingale enabled, size increases by martingaleFactor after a loss, capped at maxQtyInput. If resetOnWin is true, size resets to baseQtyInput after a winning trade.
Cooldown: After an exit, no new trades are allowed for cooldownBars to prevent overtrading.
Futures-Safe Volume: Volume filter accommodates markets with missing or zero volume data (e.g., futures), ensuring signals aren’t blocked unnecessarily.
Inputs Trading Session: tradeSes (e.g., "0915-1525:1234567") and orbSes (e.g., "0915-0930:1234567").
Toggles: enableLong, enableShort, useORB, useTrendMom, useTrendFilter (200-MA).
Trend/Momentum: maType (EMA/SMA), fastLen (9), slowLen (21), trendLen (200), rsiLen (14), rsiBuy (55), rsiSell (45), volMult (1.5).
Exits: slPoints (16), tpPoints (32), trailDistPts (10).
Martingale: useMartingale, baseQtyInput, maxQtyInput, martingaleFactor, resetOnWin.
Cooldown: cooldownBars (1).
Legacy (Ignored): tp1RR, tp2RR, tp3RR, tp1Pct, tp2Pct, tp3Pct, stepTrail for backward compatibility.
Usage Notes Best suited for liquid, intraday markets (e.g., futures like ES, NQ, or forex pairs).
Adjust slPoints, tpPoints, and trailDistPts to match instrument volatility.
Use useMartingale cautiously, as it increases risk after losses.
Ensure tradeSes and orbSes align with your market’s trading hours.
Alerts can be set for long/short entries and EOD flattening.
The strategy avoids lookahead and repainting, ensuring reliability in live trading.
Risk Warning
Trading involves significant risk. Backtest thoroughly and use appropriate risk management. The Martingale option can amplify losses if not carefully monitored. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Auction Market Theory: Value Area & VWAP Fade - DashboardAn "Auction Market Theory" dashboard is a visual summary of the market's state according to the principles of Auction Market Theory. It consolidates key metrics like the Value Area (VA), Point of Control (POC), and Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) into a single, easy-to-read panel on your chart.
What a Dashboard Shows
The purpose of the dashboard is to give traders a quick, real-time snapshot of the market's auction process. It helps you answer critical questions like:
Where is the market's "fair value"? This is shown by the Value Area (VA) range.
Where is the most volume concentrated? This is the Point of Control (POC), the price that acts as a gravitational center.
How are market participants currently positioned? The VWAP provides a measure of the average price paid, weighted by volume. Price trading above VWAP suggests a bullish volume bias, while price below suggests a bearish bias.
Is the market in a state of balance or imbalance? The relationship between the current price and these key levels helps to quickly determine if the market is accepting a price range (balance) or rejecting it (imbalance/trend).
How to Interpret the Dashboard
Value Area (VA) & Point of Control (POC)
These metrics are derived from a volume profile and are the foundation of the auction theory dashboard. The dashboard displays the VA's low and high, as well as the POC. These levels define the market's "accepted" price range for a given period.
VWAP
VWAP acts as a real-time moving average that is more responsive to volume than a standard moving average. It's often used as an intraday anchor. When price is significantly stretched from the VWAP (and its standard deviation bands), it's a signal of a potential over-extension and a target for a mean-reversion trade.
Dashboard's Role in Trading
The dashboard is not an entry signal itself, but a contextual tool. It provides the framework for your trading decisions. For a "fade the edge" strategy, you would use the dashboard to:
Identify the edges: See the exact price levels of the VA and VWAP bands.
Wait for the stretch: Look for price to move beyond those edges.
Confirm the reversal: Only then would you look at other indicators (like RSI or volume spikes) for an entry signal.
Manage the trade: Use the POC as a potential take-profit target, as price has a high probability of returning to this point of volume consensus.
RCI 2 Dashboards ✅ Strategy: RCI 2 Dashboards BY Sonu JAIN
This advanced strategy is built around the Rank Correlation Index (RCI), a unique momentum oscillator, and combines it with a comprehensive suite of powerful indicators to identify high-probability trading opportunities. The strategy’s core strength lies in its ability to filter signals using up to 12 different conditions for both long and short trades.
To make the decision-making process clear and intuitive, the strategy features two dynamic, customizable dashboards right on your chart. The first dashboard gives you a live, detailed breakdown of which conditions are met, while the second provides a real-time overview of the strategy’s performance.
How It Works
The strategy generates entry signals based on RCI crossovers and crossunders. These signals are then filtered by a customizable combination of other indicators to confirm the trade.
Long Entry:
The RCI crosses over its moving average.
All enabled long-side filters are met.
Short Entry:
The RCI crosses under its moving average.
All enabled short-side filters are met.
Key Features
RCI Crossover Logic: The core of the strategy is an RCI crossover/crossunder with a customizable moving average (MA). You can choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, or VWMA.
12 Optional Filters: This strategy goes far beyond a simple RCI signal. You can enable or disable a wide range of filters to refine your entries. These include:
Trend: Supertrend, Parabolic SAR (SAR), and Vortex Indicator.
Volatility: Keltner Channels (KC) and Bollinger Bands (BB).
Momentum: Woodies CCI, Money Flow Index (MFI), and Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Volume: On-Balance Volume (OBV) and simple Volume analysis.
Directional Strength: Average Directional Index (ADX).
Timing: A time-of-day filter to trade only during specific market hours.
Dual Dashboards:
Detailed Condition Dashboard: This dashboard shows you exactly which of the 12 filters are currently met with a simple ✓ or ✗. This provides instant clarity on why a trade is or isn't being considered.
Performance Dashboard: This dashboard displays key performance metrics in real-time, including net profit, win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, and current/max winning and losing streaks. It also provides details on the most recent trade, such as entry, stop-loss, and exit prices.
Customizable Stop Loss: The strategy includes a fixed percentage-based stop loss for both long and short positions, which you can easily configure in the settings.
Trade Direction Control: You can choose to trade "Long Only," "Short Only," or "Long & Short," giving you complete control over your trading bias.
This strategy is a powerful tool for traders who want to build a robust, multi-filtered system. The included dashboards make it an excellent educational tool for understanding how different indicators work together to form a complete trading plan. You can use it to backtest and optimize your own unique combination of indicators to find the perfect setup for your market and timeframe.
DVPOOverview
The DVPO (Dynamic Volume Profile Oscillator) Strategy is a comprehensive and highly customizable trading tool designed for precision and control. It is built around a unique, volume-driven oscillator that identifies potential market entries by analyzing the relationship between price, volume, and volatility.
This strategy is not just another signal generator; it's a complete framework that includes dynamic entry logic, adaptive risk management (ATR Stop Loss and R:R-based Take Profit), and a powerful dashboard of 10+ optional confirmation filters to help you tailor the strategy to your specific instrument, timeframe, and trading style.
The Core Concept: The DVPO Oscillator
The heart of this strategy is the DVPO oscillator. Unlike standard oscillators like RSI or Stochastics, the DVPO's primary goal is to quantify how far the current price has deviated from its recent volume-weighted "fair value."
Here’s how it works conceptually:
Micro Volume Profile: The indicator first analyzes a recent period of bars (defined by Lookback Period) to build a mini-profile of price and volume.
Volume-Weighted Mean: From this profile, it calculates a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) and the average deviation from that mean. This establishes the central point of value for the recent period.
Deviation Measurement: The oscillator's value is derived from how far the current price is from this calculated mean, scaled by the observed price deviation and a user-defined Sensitivity. A value above the midline suggests the price is trading at a premium, while a value below suggests it's at a discount.
Adaptive Volatility Zones: Instead of using fixed overbought/oversold levels (e.g., 70/30), the DVPO calculates dynamic upper and lower zones using the standard deviation of the oscillator itself. These zones expand and contract based on recent market volatility.
An entry signal is triggered not just when the oscillator is "overbought" or "oversold," but when it breaks out of these adaptive volatility zones, signaling that a statistically significant price movement is underway.
📈 Long Entry Condition : The oscillator crosses above the dynamic upper zone.
📉 Short Entry Condition : The oscillator crosses below the dynamic lower zone.
Integrated Risk & Trade Management
A signal is useless without proper risk management. This strategy has professional-grade risk management built directly into its logic.
Stop Loss (ATR-Based): The Stop Loss is not a fixed percentage. It is calculated using the Average True Range (ATR), allowing it to adapt automatically to the market's current volatility. In volatile periods, the stop will be wider; in quiet periods, it will be tighter.
Take Profit (Risk/Reward Ratio): The Take Profit level is calculated based on a user-defined Risk/Reward Ratio. If you set a ratio of 2.0, the Take Profit target will be placed at twice the distance of the Stop Loss from your entry price.
Dynamic Position Sizing: The strategy can automatically calculate the trade quantity for you. It determines the position size based on your specified Capital Size and the % Risk Per Trade you are willing to accept, ensuring disciplined risk control on every trade.
The Filter Dashboard : Enhance Your Signal Quality
To help reduce false signals and adapt to different market conditions, the strategy includes a comprehensive dashboard of optional confirmation filters. An entry signal will only be executed if it aligns with all the filters you have activated.
Trend & Momentum Filters :
T3, VMA, & VWAP Trend Filters: Utilize a suite of advanced moving averages (T3, Variable Moving Average, and a session-based VWAP) to ensure your trades are aligned with the dominant trend.
ADX Filter: Confirms that the market has sufficient directional strength for a trend-following trade, helping to avoid entries during choppy conditions.
Kaufman Efficiency Filter: Uses the Kaufman Efficiency Ratio to measure market noise. It only allows trades when the market is trending efficiently.
Volume & Market State Filters :
Volume Flow (VFI): A sophisticated volume-based filter that confirms whether volume is supporting the price move.
TDFI (Trader's Dynamic Index): A market state indicator designed to identify when the market is primed for a strong, directional move.
Flat Market Detector: A unique filter that identifies and avoids trading in sideways or ranging markets where trend strategies typically underperform.
Trade Condition Filters :
Min TP / Max SL %: Filter out trades where the risk/reward profile doesn't meet your minimum requirements (e.g., ignore a trade if the ATR-based stop loss is more than 10% away from the price).
Session Filters: Allows you to enable or disable trading on specific days of the week and to set a Cooldown Period (a set number of bars to wait after a trade closes before looking for a new entry).
How To Use This Strategy
Start with the Core: Begin by configuring the DVPO Oscillator settings (Lookback Period, Sensitivity, Zone Width) and your Risk Management parameters (ATR Multiplier, RR Ratio, % Risk Per Trade). These form the foundation of the strategy.
Backtest and Observe: Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to see how the core signals perform on your chosen asset and timeframe.
Layer Filters Intelligently: Enable the confirmation filters one by one and re-run your backtest. Observe how each filter impacts performance (e.g., does the T3 filter increase profitability but reduce the number of trades?). The goal is to find the optimal balance between signal quality and frequency.
Visualize and Analyze: Use the Show Risk/Reward Area option to plot your entry, stop loss, and take profit levels directly on the chart for every trade, providing a clear visual representation of your trade plan.
Disclaimer: This strategy is provided for educational and analytical purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own thorough backtesting and analysis before deploying any strategy in a live market.
Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine ProDskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro:
Buckle up for the Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro, is a strategy that’s your ultimate edge for conquering futures markets like ES, MES, NQ, and MNQ. This isn’t just another script—it’s a quant-grade powerhouse, crafted with precision to adapt to market regimes, deliver multi-factor signals, and protect your capital with futures-tuned risk management. With its shimmering DAFE visuals, dual dashboards, and glowing watermark, it turns your charts into a cyberpunk command center, making trading as thrilling as it is profitable.
Unlike generic scripts clogging up the space, the Adaptive Regime is a DAFE original, built from the ground up to tackle the chaos of futures trading. It identifies market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) using ADX, Bollinger Bands, and HTF indicators, then fires trades based on a weighted scoring system that blends candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and more. Add in dynamic stops, trailing exits, and a 5% drawdown circuit breaker, and you’ve got a system that’s as safe as it is aggressive. Whether you’re a newbie or a prop desk pro, this strat’s your ticket to outsmarting the markets. Let’s break down every detail and see why it’s a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a gauntlet—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional traps that punish the unprepared. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with low-effort scripts that recycle old ideas with zero innovation. The Adaptive Regime stands tall, offering:
Adaptive Intelligence: Detects market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) to optimize signals, unlike one-size-fits-all scripts.
Multi-Factor Precision: Combines candlestick patterns, MA trends, RSI, MACD, volume, and HTF confirmation for high-probability trades.
Futures-Optimized Risk: Calculates position sizes based on $ risk (default: $300), with ATR or fixed stops/TPs tailored for ES/MES.
Bulletproof Safety: 5% daily drawdown circuit breaker and trailing stops keep your account intact, even in chaos.
DAFE Visual Mastery: Pulsing Bollinger Band fills, dynamic SL/TP lines, and dual dashboards (metrics + position) make signals crystal-clear and charts a work of art.
Original Craftsmanship: A DAFE creation, built with community passion, not a rehashed clone of generic code.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, adaptive system that blends quant smarts, user-friendly design, and DAFE flair. It’s your edge to trade with confidence, cut through market noise, and leave the copycats in the dust.
Strategy Components
1. Market Regime Detection
The strategy’s brain is its ability to classify market conditions into five regimes, ensuring signals match the environment.
How It Works:
Trending (Regime 1): ADX > 20, fast/slow EMA spread > 0.3x ATR, HTF RSI > 50 or MACD bullish (htf_trend_bull/bear).
Range (Regime 2): ADX < 25, price range < 3% of close, no HTF trend.
Volatile (Regime 3): BB width > 1.5x avg, ATR > 1.2x avg, HTF RSI overbought/oversold.
Quiet (Regime 4): BB width < 0.8x avg, ATR < 0.9x avg.
Other (Regime 5): Default for unclear conditions.
Indicators: ADX (14), BB width (20), ATR (14, 50-bar SMA), HTF RSI (14, daily default), HTF MACD (12,26,9).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Regime detection adapts signals to market context, boosting win rates in trending or volatile conditions.
HTF RSI/MACD add a big-picture filter, rare in basic scripts.
Visualized via gradient background (green for Trending, orange for Range, red for Volatile, gray for Quiet, navy for Other).
2. Multi-Factor Signal Scoring
Entries are driven by a weighted scoring system that combines candlestick patterns, trend, momentum, and volume for robust signals.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish: Engulfing (0.5), hammer (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), morning star (0.2), piercing (0.2), double bottom (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near support (low ≤ 1.01x 20-bar low) with volume spike (>1.5x 20-bar avg).
Bearish: Engulfing (0.5), shooting star (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), evening star (0.2), dark cloud (0.2), double top (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near resistance (high ≥ 0.99x 20-bar high) with volume spike.
Logic: Patterns are weighted higher in specific regimes (e.g., hammer in Range, double bottom in Volatile).
Additional Factors:
Trend: Fast EMA (20) > slow EMA (50) + 0.5x ATR (trend_bull, +0.2); opposite for trend_bear.
RSI: RSI (14) < 30 (rsi_bull, +0.15); > 70 (rsi_bear, +0.15).
MACD: MACD line > signal (12,26,9, macd_bull, +0.15); opposite for macd_bear.
Volume: ATR > 1.2x 50-bar avg (vol_expansion, +0.1).
HTF Confirmation: HTF RSI < 70 and MACD bullish (htf_bull_confirm, +0.2); RSI > 30 and MACD bearish (htf_bear_confirm, +0.2).
Scoring:
bull_score = sum of bullish factors; bear_score = sum of bearish. Entry requires score ≥ 1.0.
Example: Bullish engulfing (0.5) + trend_bull (0.2) + rsi_bull (0.15) + htf_bull_confirm (0.2) = 1.05, triggers long.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Multi-factor scoring ensures signals are confirmed by multiple market dynamics, reducing false positives.
Regime-specific weights make patterns more relevant (e.g., hammers shine in Range markets).
HTF confirmation aligns with the big picture, a quant edge over simplistic scripts.
3. Futures-Tuned Risk Management
The risk system is built for futures, calculating position sizes based on $ risk and offering flexible stops/TPs.
Position Sizing:
Logic: Risk per trade (default: $300) ÷ (stop distance in points * point value) = contracts, capped at max_contracts (default: 5). Point value = tick value (e.g., $12.5 for ES) * ticks per point (4) * contract multiplier (1 for ES, 0.1 for MES).
Example: $300 risk, 8-point stop, ES ($50/point) → 0.75 contracts, rounded to 1.
Impact: Precise sizing prevents over-leverage, critical for micro contracts like MES.
Stops and Take-Profits:
Fixed: Default stop = 8 points, TP = 16 points (2:1 reward/risk).
ATR-Based: Stop = 1.5x ATR (default), TP = 3x ATR, enabled via use_atr_for_stops.
Logic: Stops set at swing low/high ± stop distance; TPs at 2x stop distance from entry.
Impact: ATR stops adapt to volatility, while fixed stops suit stable markets.
Trailing Stops:
Logic: Activates at 50% of TP distance. Trails at close ± 1.5x ATR (atr_multiplier). Longs: max(trail_stop_long, close - ATR * 1.5); shorts: min(trail_stop_short, close + ATR * 1.5).
Impact: Locks in profits during trends, a game-changer in volatile sessions.
Circuit Breaker:
Logic: Pauses trading if daily drawdown > 5% (daily_drawdown = (max_equity - equity) / max_equity).
Impact: Protects capital during black swan events (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES slippage).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Futures-specific inputs (tick value, multiplier) make it plug-and-play for ES/MES.
Trailing stops and circuit breaker add pro-level safety, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
Flexible stops (ATR or fixed) suit different trading styles.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
Entries and exits are precise, driven by bull_score/bear_score and protected by drawdown checks.
Entry Conditions:
Long: bull_score ≥ 1.0, no position (position_size <= 0), drawdown < 5% (not pause_trading). Calculates contracts, sets stop at swing low - stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Short: bear_score ≥ 1.0, position_size >= 0, drawdown < 5%. Stop at swing high + stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Logic: Tracks entry_regime for PNL arrays. Closes opposite positions before entering.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Hits stop or TP (strategy.exit).
Trailing Stop: Activates at 50% TP, trails by ATR * 1.5.
Emergency Exit: Closes if price breaches stop (close < long_stop_price or close > short_stop_price).
Reset: Clears stop/TP prices when flat (position_size = 0).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Score-based entries ensure multi-factor confirmation, filtering out weak signals.
Trailing stops maximize profits in trends, unlike static exits in basic scripts.
Emergency exits add an extra safety layer, critical for futures volatility.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending function with cyberpunk flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Shimmering Bollinger Band Fill:
Display: BB basis (20, white), upper/lower (green/red, 45% transparent). Fill pulses (30–50 alpha) by regime, with glow (60–95 alpha) near bands (close ≥ 0.995x upper or ≤ 1.005x lower).
Purpose: Highlights volatility and key levels with a futuristic glow.
Visuals make complex regimes and signals instantly clear, even for newbies.
Pulsing effects and regime-specific colors add a DAFE signature, setting it apart from generic scripts.
BB glow emphasizes tradeable levels, enhancing decision-making.
Chart Background (Regime Heatmap):
Green — Trending Market: Strong, sustained price movement in one direction. The market is in a trend phase—momentum follows through.
Orange — Range-Bound: Market is consolidating or moving sideways, with no clear up/down trend. Great for mean reversion setups.
Red — Volatile Regime: High volatility, heightened risk, and larger/faster price swings—trade with caution.
Gray — Quiet/Low Volatility: Market is calm and inactive, with small moves—often poor conditions for most strategies.
Navy — Other/Neutral: Regime is uncertain or mixed; signals may be less reliable.
Bollinger Bands Glow (Dynamic Fill):
Neon Red Glow — Warning!: Price is near or breaking above the upper band; momentum is overstretched, watch for overbought conditions or reversals.
Bright Green Glow — Opportunity!: Price is near or breaking below the lower band; market could be oversold, prime for bounce or reversal.
Trend Green Fill — Trending Regime: Fills between bands with green when the market is trending, showing clear momentum.
Gold/Yellow Fill — Range Regime: Fills with gold/aqua in range conditions, showing the market is sideways/oscillating.
Magenta/Red Fill — Volatility Spike: Fills with vivid magenta/red during highly volatile regimes.
Blue Fill — Neutral/Quiet: A soft blue glow for other or uncertain market states.
Moving Averages:
Display: Blue fast EMA (20), red slow EMA (50), 2px.
Purpose: Shows trend direction, with trend_dir requiring ATR-scaled spread.
Dynamic SL/TP Lines:
Display: Pulsing colors (red SL, green TP for Trending; yellow/orange for Range, etc.), 3px, with pulse_alpha for shimmer.
Purpose: Tracks stops/TPs in real-time, color-coded by regime.
6. Dual Dashboards
Two dashboards deliver real-time insights, making the strat a quant command center.
Bottom-Left Metrics Dashboard (2x13):
Metrics: Mode (Active/Paused), trend (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral), ATR, ATR avg, volume spike (YES/NO), RSI (value + Oversold/Overbought/Neutral), HTF RSI, HTF trend, last signal (Buy/Sell/None), regime, bull score.
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Purpose: Consolidates market context and signal strength.
Top-Right Position Dashboard (2x7):
Metrics: Regime, position side (Long/Short/None), position PNL ($), SL, TP, daily PNL ($).
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (lime for Long, red for Short).
Purpose: Tracks live trades and profitability.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Dual dashboards cover market context and trade status, a rare feature.
Color-coding and concise metrics guide beginners (e.g., green “Buy” = go).
Real-time PNL and SL/TP visibility empower disciplined trading.
7. Performance Tracking
Logic: Arrays (regime_pnl_long/short, regime_win/loss_long/short) track PNL and win/loss by regime (1–5). Updated on trade close (barstate.isconfirmed).
Purpose: Prepares for future adaptive thresholds (e.g., adjust bull_score min based on regime performance).
Why It’s Brilliant: Lays the groundwork for self-optimizing logic, a quant edge over static scripts.
Key Features
Regime-Adaptive: Optimizes signals for Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet markets.
Futures-Optimized: Precise sizing for ES/MES with tick-based risk inputs.
Multi-Factor Signals: Candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and HTF confirmation for robust entries.
Dynamic Exits: ATR/fixed stops, 2:1 TPs, and trailing stops maximize profits.
Safe and Smart: 5% drawdown breaker and emergency exits protect capital.
DAFE Visuals: Shimmering BB fill, pulsing SL/TP, and dual dashboards.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min ES/MES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Set instrument (ES/MES), tick value ($12.5/$1.25), multiplier (1/0.1), risk ($300 default). Enable ATR stops for volatility.
Monitor Dashboards: Bottom-left for regime/signals, top-right for position/PNL.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare regimes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see regime shifts and stops.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtest results may differ from live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Slippage: 3
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro is more than a strategy—it’s a revolution. Crafted with DAFE’s signature precision, it rises above generic scripts with adaptive regimes, quant-grade signals, and visuals that make trading a thrill. Whether you’re scalping MES or swinging ES, this system empowers you to navigate markets with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s dominate the futures game!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Vinicius Setup ATR
Description:
This script is a strategy based on the Supertrend indicator combined with volume analysis, candle strength, and RSI. Its goal is to identify potential entry points for buy and sell trades based on technical criteria, without promising profitability or guaranteed results.
Script Components:
Supertrend: Used as the main trend compass. When the trend is positive (direction = 1), buy signals are considered; when negative (direction = -1), sell signals are considered.
Volume: Entries are only validated if the volume is above the average of the last 20 candles, adjusted with a 1.2 multiplier.
Candle Body: The candle body must be larger than a certain percentage of the ATR, ensuring sufficient strength and volatility.
RSI: Used as a filter to avoid trades in extreme overbought or oversold zones.
Support and Resistance: Identified based on simple pivots (5 periods before and after).
Customizable Parameters:
ATR Length and Multiplier: Controls the sensitivity of the Supertrend.
RSI Period: Adjusts the relative strength filter.
Minimum Volume and Candle Body: Settings to validate entry signals.
Entry Conditions:
Buy: Positive trend + strong candle + high volume + RSI below 70.
Sell: Negative trend + strong candle + high volume + RSI above 30.
Exit Conditions:
The trade is closed upon the appearance of an opposite signal.
Notes:
This is a technical system with no profit guarantees.
It is recommended to test with realistic capital values and parameters suited to your risk management.
The script is not optimized for specific profitability, but rather to support study and the construction of setups with objective criteria.
Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision
This cutting‐edge futures trading strategy built to thrive in rapidly changing market conditions. Developed for high-frequency futures trading on instruments such as the CME Mini MNQ, this strategy leverages a matrix of sophisticated moving averages combined with ATR-based filters to pinpoint high-probability entries and exits. Its unique combination of adaptable technical indicators and multi-timeframe trend filtering sets it apart from standard strategies, providing enhanced precision and dynamic responsiveness.
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Core Functional Components
1. Advanced Moving Averages
A distinguishing feature of the DAFE strategy is its robust, multi-choice moving averages (MAs). Clients can choose from a wide array of MAs—each with specific strengths—in order to fine-tune their trading signals. The code includes user-defined functions for the following MAs:
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Hull Moving Average (HMA):
The hma(src, len) function calculates the HMA by using weighted moving averages (WMAs) to reduce lag considerably while smoothing price data. This function computes an intermediate WMA of half the specified length, then a full-length WMA, and finally applies a further WMA over the square root of the length. This design allows for rapid adaptation to price changes without the typical delays of traditional moving averages.
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA):
Implemented via tema(src, len), TEMA uses three consecutive exponential moving averages (EMAs) to effectively cancel out lag and capture price momentum. The final formula—3 * (ema1 - ema2) + ema3—produces a highly responsive indicator that filters out short-term noise.
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA):
Through the dema(src, len) function, DEMA calculates an EMA and then a second EMA on top of it. Its simplified formula of 2 * ema1 - ema2 provides a smoother curve than a single EMA while maintaining enhanced responsiveness.
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA):
With vwma(src, len), this MA accounts for trading volume by weighting the price, thereby offering a more contextual picture of market activity. This is crucial when volume spikes indicate significant moves.
Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA):
The zlema(src, len) function applies a correction to reduce the inherent lag found in EMAs. By subtracting a calculated lag (based on half the moving average window), ZLEMA is exceptionally attuned to recent price movements.
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA):
The alma(src, len, offset, sigma) function introduces ALMA—a type of moving average designed to be less affected by outliers. With parameters for offset and sigma, it allows customization of the degree to which the MA reacts to market noise.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA):
The custom kama(src, len) function is noteworthy for its adaptive nature. It computes an efficiency ratio by comparing price change against volatility, then dynamically adjusts its smoothing constant. This results in an MA that quickly responds during trending periods while remaining smoothed during consolidation.
Each of these functions—integrated into the strategy—is selectable by the trader (via the fastMAType and slowMAType inputs). This flexibility permits the tailored application of the MA most suited to current market dynamics and individual risk management preferences.
2. ATR-Based Filters and Risk Controls
ATR Calculation and Volatility Filter:
The strategy computes the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined period (atrPeriod). ATR is then used to derive both:
Volatility Assessment: Expressed as a ratio of ATR to closing price, ensuring that trades are taken only when volatility remains within a safe, predefined threshold (volatilityThreshold).
ATR-Based Entry Filters: Implemented as atrFilterLong and atrFilterShort, these conditions ensure that for long entries the price is sufficiently above the slow MA and vice versa for shorts. This acts as an additional confirmation filter.
Dynamic Exit Management:
The exit logic employs a dual approach:
Fixed Stop and Profit Target: Stops and targets are set at multiples of ATR (fixedStopMultiplier and profitTargetATRMult), helping manage risk in volatile markets.
Trailing Stop Adjustments: A trailing stop is calculated using the ATR multiplied by a user-defined offset (trailOffset), which captures additional profits as the trade moves favorably while protecting against reversals.
3. Multi-Timeframe Trend Filtering
The strategy enhances its signal reliability by leveraging a secondary, higher timeframe analysis:
15-Minute Trend Analysis:
By retrieving 15-minute moving averages (fastMA15m and slowMA15m) via request.security, the strategy determines the broader market trend. This secondary filter (enabled or disabled through useTrendFilter) ensures that entries are aligned with the prevailing market direction, thereby reducing the incidence of false signals.
4. Signal and Execution Logic
Combined MA Alignment:
The entry conditions are based primarily on the alignment of the fast and slow MAs. A long condition is triggered when the current price is above both MAs and the fast MA is above the slow MA—complemented by the ATR filter and volume conditions. The reverse applies for a short condition.
Volume and Time Window Validation:
Trades are permitted only if the current volume exceeds a minimum (minVolume) and the current hour falls within the predefined trading window (tradingStartHour to tradingEndHour). An additional volume spike check (comparing current volume to a moving average of past volumes) further filters for optimal market conditions.
Comprehensive Order Execution:
The strategy utilizes flexible order execution functions that allow pyramiding (up to 10 positions), ensuring that it can scale into positions as favorable conditions persist. The use of both market entries and automated exits (with profit targets, stop-losses, and trailing stops) ensures that risk is managed at every step.
5. Integrated Dashboard and Metrics
For transparency and real-time analysis, the strategy includes:
On-Chart Visualizations:
Both fast and slow MAs are plotted on the chart, making it easy to see the market’s technical foundation.
Dynamic Metrics Dashboard:
A built-in table displays crucial performance statistics—including current profit/loss, equity, ATR (both raw and as a percentage), and the percentage gap between the moving averages. These metrics offer immediate insight into the health and performance of the strategy.
Input Parameters: Detailed Breakdown
Every input is meticulously designed to offer granular control:
Fast & Slow Lengths:
Determine the window size for the fast and slow moving averages. Smaller values yield more sensitivity, while larger values provide a smoother, delayed response.
Fast/Slow MA Types:
Choose the type of moving average for fast and slow signals. The versatility—from basic SMA and EMA to more complex ones like HMA, TEMA, ZLEMA, ALMA, and KAMA—allows customization to fit different market scenarios.
ATR Parameters:
atrPeriod and atrMultiplier shape the volatility assessment, directly affecting entry filters and risk management through stop-loss and profit target levels.
Trend and Volume Filters:
Inputs such as useTrendFilter, minVolume, and the volume spike condition help confirm that a trade occurs in active, trending markets rather than during periods of low liquidity or market noise.
Trading Hours:
Restricting trade execution to specific hours (tradingStartHour and tradingEndHour) helps avoid illiquid or choppy markets outside of prime trading sessions.
Exit Strategies:
Parameters like trailOffset, profitTargetATRMult, and fixedStopMultiplier provide multiple layers of risk management and profit protection by tailoring how exits are generated relative to current market conditions.
Pyramiding and Fixed Trade Quantity:
The strategy supports multiple entries within a trend (up to 10 positions) and sets a predefined trade quantity (fixedQuantity) to maintain consistent exposure and risk per trade.
Dashboard Controls:
The resetDashboard input allows for on-the-fly resetting of performance metrics, keeping the strategy’s performance dashboard accurate and up-to-date.
Why This Strategy is Truly Exceptional
Multi-Faceted Adaptability:
The ability to switch seamlessly between various moving average types—each suited to particular market conditions—enables the strategy to adapt dynamically. This is a testament to the high level of coding sophistication and market insight infused within the system.
Robust Risk Management:
The integration of ATR-based stops, profit targets, and trailing stops ensures that every trade is executed with well-defined risk parameters. The system is designed to mitigate unexpected market swings while optimizing profit capture.
Comprehensive Market Filtering:
By combining moving average crossovers with volume analysis, volatility thresholds, and multi-timeframe trend filters, the strategy only enters trades under the most favorable conditions. This multi-layered filtering reduces noise and enhances signal quality.
-Final Thoughts-
The Dskyz Adaptive Futures Elite (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision strategy is not just another trading algorithm—it is a multi-dimensional, fully customizable system built on advanced technical principles and sophisticated risk management techniques. Every function and input parameter has been carefully engineered to provide traders with a system that is both powerful and transparent.
For clients seeking a state-of-the-art trading solution that adapts dynamically to market conditions while maintaining strict discipline in risk management, this strategy truly stands in a class of its own.
****Please show support if you enjoyed this strategy. I'll have more coming out in the near future!!
-Dskyz
Caution
DAFE is experimental, not a profit guarantee. Futures trading risks significant losses due to leverage. Backtest, simulate, and monitor actively before live use. All trading decisions are your responsibility.
Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge (DAFE)imgur.com/a/igj9lFj
Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge (DAFE) is a futures trading strategy designed to adapt dynamically to market volatility and price action using a blend of technical indicators. The strategy combines adaptive moving averages, optional RSI filtering, candlestick pattern recognition, and multi-timeframe trend analysis to generate long and short trade signals. It incorporates robust risk management techniques including ATR-based stop-losses and trailing stops, ensuring trades are sized and managed within sustainable risk limits.
Key Components and Logic
-Adaptive Moving Averages
Dynamic Calculation: Fast and slow Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) adapt to changing volatility, making them sensitive to high-momentum shifts and smoothing during quieter price action.
Signal Generation: Entry signals are triggered when the fast SMA crosses the slow SMA in conjunction with price direction confirmation (e.g., price above both for long positions).
-RSI Filtering (Optional)
Momentum Confirmation: The RSI filter provides momentum confirmation to avoid overextended entries. It can be toggled on or off for both long and short conditions.
User Control: Adjustable parameters such as lookback period, oversold/overbought thresholds, and enable/disable switches give full control over its influence.
-Candlestick Pattern Recognition
Engulfing Logic: Recognizes strong bullish or bearish engulfing patterns with configurable strength criteria like range and volume. Patterns are filtered by trend direction and strength for confirmation.
Signal Conflict Handling: When both bullish and bearish engulfing patterns occur within the lookback window, the strategy avoids entry to reduce whipsaws in indecisive markets.
-Multi-Timeframe Trend Filter
Higher Timeframe Filtering: Incorporates 15-minute trend direction as a macro-level filter to align intrabar trades with larger trend momentum.
Smoothed Entry Logic: Prevents entering trades that go against the broader market structure, reducing false signals in choppy or low-conviction moves.
-Trade Execution and Risk Management
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Entry Logic
Priority System: Users can define whether moving average signals or candlestick patterns should take priority when both are present.
Volume & Volatility Checks: Ensures sufficient market participation and action before entering a position, improving the odds of reliable follow-through.
Stop-Loss and Trailing Exit
ATR-Based Initial Stops: Dynamically adjusts stop-loss distance based on market volatility using a multiple of ATR (Average True Range), keeping risk proportional to price swings.
Trailing Stop: Protects open profits and enables winners to run by following price action at a set distance (also ATR-based).
-Cooldown Period & Minimum Bar Hold (Trade Discipline Logic)
Cooldown Bars: After an exit, the strategy imposes a mandatory pause before opening a new position.
Why: This avoids rapid-fire re-entries triggered by minor fluctuations that could lead to overtrading and degradation of profitability.
Minimum Bar Hold: A trade must be held for a minimum number of bars before it can be exited.
Why: This prevents the strategy from immediately exiting trades due to fleeting volatility spikes, which previously caused premature exits that often reversed back in favor of the original signal. This ensures trades have adequate time to develop, filtering out noise from true reversals.
-Visual Elements and Transparency Tools
Chart Overlays: Moving averages, RSI values, and trade entry/exit points are shown directly on the chart for complete visibility.
Dashboard UI: Displays critical live metrics—current position, PnL, time held, ATR values, etc.
Debug Logs: Optional toggles allow verbose condition tracking for deep inspection into why a trade occurred (or didn't), useful for both live optimization and debugging.
-Input Parameter Reference Guide
Input Name Function & Suggested Use
Use RSI Filter - Enables or disables RSI-based entry confirmation. Disable if price action alone is desired for entry decisions.
RSI Length - RSI lookback period. Lower values (e.g., 7–14) are more responsive; higher values reduce false signals.
Overbought / Oversold Levels - Used to detect exhaustion zones. E.g., avoid long entries above 70 or short entries below 30.
Use Candlestick Patterns - Enable detection of bullish/bearish engulfing patterns as trade signals. Disable to rely only on trend/MA.
Pattern Strength Thresholds (Range, Volume) - Filters out weak engulfing signals. Higher values require stronger patterns to trigger.
Use 15min Trend Filter - Adds multi-timeframe trend confirmation. Recommended for filtering entries against larger trend direction.
Fast MA - Base Length for fast adaptive moving average. Suggested: 10–25.
Slow MA - Base length for slow adaptive moving average. Suggested: 30–60.
Volatility Sensitivity Multiplier - Multiplies volatility adjustments for adaptive MA length. Higher = more reactive to volatility.
Entry Volume Filter - Filters out trades during low volume. Recommended to prevent entries in illiquid conditions.
ATR Length - Lookback period for ATR calculation. Suggested: 14.
Trailing Stop ATR Offset - Defines how far the stop-loss is from entry. 1.5–2.5 is typical for medium-volatility environments.
Trailing Stop ATR Multiplier - Determines trailing stop distance. 1.5 is tight; 3+ gives more room for trending trades.
Cooldown Bars After Exit - Prevents immediate re-entries. Suggested: 3–10 bars depending on timeframe.
Minimum Bars to Hold Trade - Ensures trades are held long enough to avoid knee-jerk exits. Suggested: 5–10 for intraday strategies.
Trading Hours (Start / End) - Sets the window of allowed trading. Prevents entries outside key session times (e.g., avoid pre-market).
Enable Logging / Debugging - Shows internal trade decision data for tuning and understanding the logic.
Compliance with TradingView Regulations
Realistic Backtesting: The strategy uses proper initial capital, fixed trade quantities, and risk parameters to reflect realistic scenarios.
Transparent Trade Logic: Every condition used for signal generation is documented and controllable by the user. Users can view each signal's rationale.
Risk Mitigation: Cooldown bars, ATR stops, and minimum trade duration ensure the strategy behaves predictably and prevents reckless trade behavior.
Customization: Full control over each module (MA, RSI, Candlestick, Trend, etc.) gives users the ability to tailor the strategy to suit various futures contracts or timeframes.
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Summary
DAFE was built for high-stakes micro futures trading environments such as the MNQ, where milliseconds of volatility matter. This strategy's modular architecture, adaptive logic, and advanced risk controls make it an ideal framework for scalpers and swing traders alike.
BTCUSDT.P
Backtesting: www.dropbox.com
Deep Backtesting:
www.dropbox.com
****Currently testing on a prop account.
Caution Statement
This strategy is designed for educational and experimental purposes and should not be considered financial advice or a guaranteed method of profitability. While the DAFE (Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge) strategy incorporates advanced filters, adaptive logic, and volatility-based risk management, its performance is subject to market conditions, data accuracy, and user configuration.
Futures trading involves substantial risk, and the leverage inherent in futures contracts can amplify both gains and losses. This strategy may execute trades rapidly and frequently under certain conditions—particularly when filters are disabled or thresholds are set too tightly—potentially leading to increased slippage, commissions, or unanticipated losses.
Users are strongly advised to:
Backtest thoroughly across various market regimes.
Adjust parameters responsibly and understand the implication of each input.
Paper trade in a simulated environment before going live.
Monitor trades actively and use discretion when market volatility increases.
-By using this strategy, you accept all risks and responsibility for any trading decisions made based on its output.
ETH/USDT EMA Crossover Strategy - OptimizedStrategy Name: EMA Crossover Strategy for ETH/USDT
Description:
This trading strategy is designed for the ETH/USDT pair and is based on exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers combined with momentum and volatility indicators. The strategy uses multiple filters to identify high-probability signals in both bullish and bearish trends, making it suitable for traders looking to trade in trending markets.
Strategy Components
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages):
EMA 200: Used to identify the primary trend. If the price is above the EMA 200, it is considered a bullish trend; if below, a bearish trend.
EMA 50: Acts as an additional filter to confirm the trend.
EMA 20 and EMA 50 Short: These short-term EMAs generate entry signals through crossovers. A bullish crossover (EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50 Short) is a buy signal, while a bearish crossover (EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50 Short) is a sell signal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is used to avoid overbought or oversold conditions. Long trades are only taken when the RSI is above 30, and short trades when the RSI is below 70.
ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is used as a volatility filter. Trades are only taken when there is sufficient volatility, helping to avoid false signals in quiet markets.
Volume:
A volume filter is used to confirm sufficient market participation in the price movement. Trades are only taken when volume is above average.
Strategy Logic
Long Trades:
The price must be above the EMA 200 (bullish trend).
The EMA 20 must cross above the EMA 50 Short.
The RSI must be above 30.
The ATR must indicate sufficient volatility.
Volume must be above average.
Short Trades:
The price must be below the EMA 200 (bearish trend).
The EMA 20 must cross below the EMA 50 Short.
The RSI must be below 70.
The ATR must indicate sufficient volatility.
Volume must be above average.
How to Use the Strategy
Setup:
Add the script to your ETH/USDT chart on TradingView.
Adjust the parameters according to your preferences (e.g., EMA periods, RSI, ATR, etc.).
Signals:
Buy and sell signals will be displayed directly on the chart.
Long trades are indicated with an upward arrow, and short trades with a downward arrow.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss and take-profit orders in all trades.
Consider a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Backtesting:
Test the strategy on historical data to evaluate its performance before using it live.
Advantages of the Strategy
Trend-focused: The strategy is designed to trade in trending markets, increasing the probability of success.
Multiple filters: The use of RSI, ATR, and volume reduces false signals.
Adaptability: It can be adjusted for different timeframes, although it is recommended to test it on 5-minute and 15-minute charts for ETH/USDT.
Warnings
Sideways markets: The strategy may generate false signals in markets without a clear trend. It is recommended to avoid trading in such conditions.
Optimization: Make sure to optimize the parameters according to the market and timeframe you are using.
Risk management: Never trade without stop-loss and take-profit orders.
Author
Jose J. Sanchez Cuevas
Version
v1.0
FVG Breakout Lite by tradingbauhausExplanation of "FVG Breakout Lite by tradingbauhaus"
This script is a trading strategy built for TradingView that helps you spot and trade "Fair Value Gaps" (FVGs)—price areas where the market moved quickly, leaving a gap that might act as support or resistance later. It’s designed to catch breakout opportunities when the price moves strongly in one direction, with extra filters to make trades more reliable. Here’s how it works and how you can use it:
What It Does
1. Finds Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
A "Bullish FVG" happens when the price jumps up quickly, leaving a gap below where it didn’t trade much (e.g., today’s low is higher than the high from two bars ago).
A "Bearish FVG" is the opposite: the price drops fast, leaving a gap above (e.g., today’s high is lower than the low from two bars ago).
The script draws colored boxes on your chart to show these gaps: green for bullish, red for bearish.
2. Spots Breakouts:
It looks for "strong" FVGs by comparing them to a trend (based on the highest highs and lowest lows over a set period).
If a bullish gap forms above the recent highs, or a bearish gap below the recent lows, it’s marked as a breakout opportunity.
3. Adds a Volume Check:
Trades only happen if the market’s volume is higher than usual (e.g., 1.2x the average volume over the last 20 bars). This helps ensure the breakout has real momentum behind it.
4. Trades Automatically:
Long Trades (Buy): If a bullish breakout FVG forms and volume is high, it buys at the current price.
Short Trades (Sell): If a bearish breakout FVG forms with high volume, it sells short.
Each trade comes with a stop loss (to limit losses) and a take profit (to lock in gains), both adjustable by you.
5. Shows Mitigation Lines (Optional):
If you turn on "Display Mitigation Zones," it draws lines at the edge of each breakout FVG. These lines show where the price might return to "fill" the gap later, helping you see key levels.
6. Includes Webull Costs:
The script factors in real trading fees from Webull, like tiny SEC and FINRA fees for selling, and a daily margin cost if you’re borrowing money to trade. These don’t show up on the chart but affect the strategy’s performance in backtesting.
How to Use It
1. Add to Your Chart:
Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor, click "Add to Chart," and it’ll start drawing FVGs and running the strategy.
2. Customize Settings:
Trend Period (Default: 25): How many bars it looks back to define the trend. Longer periods mean fewer but stronger signals.
Volume Lookback (Default: 20) & Volume Threshold (Default: 1.2): Adjust how it measures "high volume." Increase the threshold for stricter trades.
Stop Loss % (Default: 1.5%) & Take Profit % (Default: 3%): Set how much you’re willing to lose or aim to gain per trade.
Margin Rate % (Default: 8.74%): Webull’s rate for borrowing money—lower it if your account qualifies for a better rate.
Display Mitigation Zones (Default: On): Toggle this to see or hide the gap lines.
Colors: Change the green (bullish) and red (bearish) shades to suit your chart.
3. Backtest It:
Go to the "Strategy Tester" tab in TradingView to see how it performs on past data. It’ll show trades, profits, losses, and Webull fees included.
4. Watch It Work:
Green boxes mean bullish FVGs; red boxes mean bearish FVGs. If volume spikes and the price breaks out, you’ll see trades happen automatically.
What to Expect
Visuals: You’ll see colored boxes for FVGs and optional lines showing where they start. These help you spot key price zones even if you’re not trading.
Trades: It’s selective—only trades when FVGs align with a breakout and volume confirms it. Expect fewer trades but with higher potential.
Risk: The stop loss keeps losses in check, while the take profit aims for a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio by default (3% gain vs. 1.5% loss).
Costs: Webull’s fees are small but baked into the results, so you’re seeing a realistic picture of profits.
Tips for Users
Test it on a small timeframe (like 5-minute charts) for day trading or a larger one (like daily) for swing trading.
Play with the volume threshold—if you get too few trades, lower it (e.g., 1.1); if too many, raise it (e.g., 1.5).
Watch how price reacts to the mitigation lines—they’re often support or resistance zones traders target.
This strategy is lightweight, focused, and built for traders who like breakouts with a bit of confirmation. It’s not foolproof (no strategy is!), but it gives you a clear way to trade FVGs with some smart filters.
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Bollinger Breakout Strategy with Direction Control [4H crypto]Bollinger Breakout Strategy with Direction Control - User Guide
This strategy leverages Bollinger Bands, RSI, and directional filters to identify potential breakout trading opportunities. It is designed for traders looking to capitalize on significant price movements while maintaining control over trade direction (long, short, or both). Here’s how to use this strategy effectively:
How the Strategy Works
Indicators Used:
Bollinger Bands:
A volatility-based indicator with an upper and lower band around a simple moving average (SMA). The bands expand or contract based on market volatility.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Measures momentum to determine overbought or oversold conditions. In this strategy, RSI is used to confirm breakout strength.
Trade Direction Control:
You can select whether to trade:
Long only: Buy positions.
Short only: Sell positions.
Both: Trade in both directions depending on conditions.
Breakout Conditions:
Long Trade:
The price closes above the upper Bollinger Band.
RSI is above the midline (50), confirming upward momentum.
The "Trade Direction" setting allows either "Long" or "Both."
Short Trade:
The price closes below the lower Bollinger Band.
RSI is below the midline (50), confirming downward momentum.
The "Trade Direction" setting allows either "Short" or "Both."
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss:
Long trades: Set at 2% below the entry price.
Short trades: Set at 2% above the entry price.
Take-Profit:
Calculated using a Risk/Reward Ratio (default is 2:1).
Adjust this in the strategy settings.
Inputs and Customization
Key Parameters:
Bollinger Bands Length: Default is 20. Adjust based on the desired sensitivity.
Multiplier: Default is 2.0. Higher values widen the bands; lower values narrow them.
RSI Length: Default is 14, which is standard for RSI.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Default is 2.0. Increase for more aggressive profit targets, decrease for conservative exits.
Trade Direction:
Options: "Long," "Short," or "Both."
Example: Set to "Long" in a bullish market to focus only on buy trades.
How to Use This Strategy
Adding the Strategy:
Paste the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor and add it to your chart.
Setting Parameters:
Adjust the Bollinger Band settings, RSI, and Risk/Reward Ratio to fit the asset and timeframe you're trading.
Analyzing Signals:
Green line (Upper Band): Signals breakout potential for long trades.
Red line (Lower Band): Signals breakout potential for short trades.
Blue line (Basis): Central Bollinger Band (SMA), helpful for understanding price trends.
Testing the Strategy:
Use the Strategy Tester in TradingView to backtest performance on your chosen asset and timeframe.
Optimizing for Assets:
Forex pairs, cryptocurrencies (like BTC), or stocks with high volatility are ideal for this strategy.
Works best on higher timeframes like 4H or Daily.
Best Practices
Combine with Volume: Confirm breakouts with increased volume for higher reliability.
Avoid Sideways Markets: Use additional trend filters (like ADX) to avoid trades in low-volatility conditions.
Optimize Parameters: Regularly adjust the Bollinger Bands multiplier and RSI settings to match the asset's behavior.
By utilizing this strategy, you can effectively trade breakouts while maintaining flexibility in trade direction. Adjust the parameters to match your trading style and market conditions for optimal results!
