Opening Range Breakout [UkutaLabs]█ OVERVIEW
The Opening Range Breakout is a powerful trading tool that indicates a strong range based on the high and low of the first fifteen or thirty minutes after market open. This range serves as a potential area of Support or Resistance that traders should be aware of during their trading. Because of this, the Opening Range Breakout is a versatile trading tool that can be included in a wide variety of trading strategies.
The aim of this script is to simplify the trading experience of users by automatically identifying and displaying price levels that they should be aware of.
█ USAGE
When the New York Market opens each day, the script will automatically identify and label the opening range in real time. The user can control whether the script measures the first 15 or 30 minutes of each trading day to fit each trader’s trading style.
Because there tends to be a spike in volume during this period, the range that is identified can serve as a powerful indication of overall market strength. Once the price breaks out of this range, it then can be used as an area of support or resistance depending on the direction of the breakout.
█ SETTINGS
Configuration
• Show Labels: Determines whether labels are drawn within the range.
• Display Mode: Determines the number of days the script should load.
Range Settings
• 15 Minute: Determines whether or not the 15 minute range is drawn.
• 15 Minute Color: Determines the color of the 15 minute range and labels.
• 30 Minute: Determines whether or not the 30 minute range is drawn.
• 30 Minute Color: Determines the color of the 30 minute range and labels.
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@tk · fractal rsi levels█ OVERVIEW
This script is an indicator that helps traders to identify the RSI Levels for multiple fractals wherever the current timeframe is. This script was based on RSI Levels, 20-30 & 70-80 by abdomi indicator, that calculates the Relative Strenght Index levels based on the asset's price and plots it into the chart, creating a "wave" style indicator. The core feature of this indicator is the fractal rays, so trader can visualize each of the oversold and overbought levels of multiple timeframe on the current timeframe that he is on. The indicator will plots multiple rays after the chart bars. indicating where is the oversold and overbought levels for others fractals.
█ MOTIVATION
Since the RSI Levels, 20-30 & 70-80 by abdomi indicator helps a lot to identify the possible price levels when the asset is oversold or overbought, I saw myself drawing multiple horizontal lines on these levels in lower timeframes so, in an uptrend or downtrend, I can try to get a pullback of these trends when the asset reaches oversold or overboght levels. So, I get the idea to make those lines visible in multiple timeframes so I don't need to draw it myself manually anymore.
█ CONCEPT
The trading concept to use this indicator is the concept to make entries on uptrend or downtrend pullbacks when the asset price reaches oversold or overbought levels. But this strategy don't works alone. It needs to be aligned together with others indicators like Exponential Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Support and Resistance, and so on... Even more confluences that you have, bigger are your chances to increase the probability for a successful trade. So, don't use this indicator alone. Compose a trading strategy and use it to improve your analysis.
█ CUSTOMIZATION
This indicator allows the trader to customize the following settings:
GENERAL
Text size
Changes the font size of the labels to improve accessibility.
Type: string
Options: `tiny`, `small`, `normal`, `large`.
Default: `small`
RSI LEVELS · SETTINGS
Pre-oversold Level
Changes the RSI Level to calculate the "pre-oversold" price level on the chart.
Type: int
Min: 1
Max: 49
Default: 33
Pre-overbought Level
Changes the RSI Level to calculate the "pre-overbought" price level on the chart.
Type: int
Min: 51
Max: 100
Default: 67
Show "Pre-over" Levels
Enables / Disables the pre-oversold and pre-overbought levels on the chart.
Type: bool
Default: true
FRACTAL RAYS · SETTINGS
Length
Changes the base length for the RSI calculation.
Type: int
Min: 1
Default: 14
Source
Changes the base source for the RSI calculation.
Type: float
Default: close
FRACTAL RAYS · STYLE
Ray Color
Changes the color of all fractal rays and its label.
Type: color
Default: color.rgb(187, 74, 207)
Ray Style
Changes the style of all fractal rays.
Type: string
Options: `line.style_solid`, `line.style_dashed`, `line.style_dotted`
Default: line.style_dotted
Ray Length
Changes the length of all fractal rays.
Type: int
Default: 15
FRACTAL RAYS · OVERSOLD
Oversold Level
Changes the base RSI Level for fractal rays calculation.
Type: int
Min: 1
Default: 30
Oversold Prefix
Customizes the fractal ray label with a prefix text.
Type: string
Default: 🚀
Oversold Suffix
Customizes the fractal ray label with a suffix text.
Type: string
Default: (empty)
FRACTAL RAYS · OVERBOUGHT
Overbought Level
Changes the base RSI Level for fractal rays calculation.
Type: int
Min: 1
Default: 70
Overbought Prefix
Customizes the fractal ray label with a prefix text.
Type: string
Default: 🐻
Overbought Suffix
Customizes the fractal ray label with a suffix text.
Type: string
Default: (empty)
FRACTAL RAYS · VISIBILITY RULES
These rules are applied for each of fractal rays so, the traders can choose what timeframes they wants to show the fractal rays for each of it. The rule will be applied as the following condition: `if timeframe != CURRENT_TIMEFRAME and timeframe <= CHOSEN_OPTION`. Actually, the fractal rays are on the chart but, isn't visible because it was applied a transparent color, so it is visually not on the chart to prevent chart's over polution.
LABELS
Show Labels on Price Scale
Shows labels on price scale.
Type: bool
Default: false
Show Price on Fractal Rays
Shows the RSI Level price on each of fractal rays respectively.
Type: bool
Default: false
█ EXTERNAL LIBRARIES
This script uses the `tk` library to calculate RSI Levels. It is a library that contains various functions that helps pine script developers to calculate RSI Levels.
█ FUNCTIONS
The library contains the following functions:
fn_fractalVisibilityRule(string visibilityRule)
Converts the fractal rays timeframe visibility rule label to timestamp int.
Parameters:
visibilityRule: (string) Fractal ray visibility rule label.
Returns: (int) Fractal ray visibility rule timestamp.
fn_requestFractal(string period, expression)
Converts the fractal rays timeframe visibility rule label to timestamp int.
Parameters:
period: (string) Timeframe period for the desired fractal.
expression: (mixed) Security expression that will be applied for calculation.
Returns: (mixed) A result determined by expression.
fn_plotRay(float y, string label, color color, int length)
Plots ray after chart bars for the current time.
Parameters:
period: (string) Timeframe period for the desired fractal.
expression: (mixed) Security expression that will be applied for calculation.
Returns: (void) This function only plots the elements into the chart
fn_plotRsiLevelRay(simple string period, simple int level, color color)
Plots RSI Levels ray after chart bars for the current time.
Parameters:
period: (simple string) Timeframe period.
level: (simple int) Relative Strength Index level.
color: (color) The color of both, ray and label text.
Returns: (void) This function only plots the elements into the chart
Any Oscillator Underlay [TTF]We are proud to release a new indicator that has been a while in the making - the Any Oscillator Underlay (AOU) !
Note: There is a lot to discuss regarding this indicator, including its intent and some of how it operates, so please be sure to read this entire description before using this indicator to help ensure you understand both the intent and some limitations with this tool.
Our intent for building this indicator was to accomplish the following:
Combine all of the oscillators that we like to use into a single indicator
Take up a bit less screen space for the underlay indicators for strategies that utilize multiple oscillators
Provide a tool for newer traders to be able to leverage multiple oscillators in a single indicator
Features:
Includes 8 separate, fully-functional indicators combined into one
Ability to easily enable/disable and configure each included indicator independently
Clearly named plots to support user customization of color and styling, as well as manual creation of alerts
Ability to customize sub-indicator title position and color
Ability to customize sub-indicator divider lines style and color
Indicators that are included in this initial release:
TSI
2x RSIs (dubbed the Twin RSI )
Stochastic RSI
Stochastic
Ultimate Oscillator
Awesome Oscillator
MACD
Outback RSI (Color-coding only)
Quick note on OB/OS:
Before we get into covering each included indicator, we first need to cover a core concept for how we're defining OB and OS levels. To help illustrate this, we will use the TSI as an example.
The TSI by default has a mid-point of 0 and a range of -100 to 100. As a result, a common practice is to place lines on the -30 and +30 levels to represent OS and OB zones, respectively. Most people tend to view these levels as distance from the edges/outer bounds or as absolute levels, but we feel a more way to frame the OB/OS concept is to instead define it as distance ("offset") from the mid-line. In keeping with the -30 and +30 levels in our example, the offset in this case would be "30".
Taking this a step further, let's say we decided we wanted an offset of 25. Since the mid-point is 0, we'd then calculate the OB level as 0 + 25 (+25), and the OS level as 0 - 25 (-25).
Now that we've covered the concept of how we approach defining OB and OS levels (based on offset/distance from the mid-line), and since we did apply some transformations, rescaling, and/or repositioning to all of the indicators noted above, we are going to discuss each component indicator to detail both how it was modified from the original to fit the stacked-indicator model, as well as the various major components that the indicator contains.
TSI:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
TSI and TSI Signal Line
Color-coded fill for the TSI/TSI Signal lines
Moving Average for the TSI
TSI Histogram
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Default TSI fill color coding:
Green : TSI is above the signal line
Red : TSI is below the signal line
Note: The TSI traditionally has a range of -100 to +100 with a mid-point of 0 (range of 200). To fit into our stacking model, we first shrunk the range to 100 (-50 to +50 - cut it in half), then repositioned it to have a mid-point of 50. Since this is the "bottom" of our indicator-stack, no additional repositioning is necessary.
Twin RSI:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Fast RSI (useful if you want to leverage 2x RSIs as it makes it easier to see the overlaps and crosses - can be disabled if desired)
Slow RSI (primary RSI)
Color-coded fill for the Fast/Slow RSI lines (if Fast RSI is enabled and configured)
Moving Average for the Slow RSI
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Default Twin RSI fill color coding:
Dark Red : Fast RSI below Slow RSI and Slow RSI below Slow RSI MA
Light Red : Fast RSI below Slow RSI and Slow RSI above Slow RSI MA
Dark Green : Fast RSI above Slow RSI and Slow RSI below Slow RSI MA
Light Green : Fast RSI above Slow RSI and Slow RSI above Slow RSI MA
Note: The RSI naturally has a range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformation is done on this indicator. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Stochastic and Stochastic RSI:
These indicators contain the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the RSI (for the Stochastic RSI only), K, and D values
Configurable base price source
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Note: The Stochastic and Stochastic RSI both have a normal range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformations are done on either of these indicators. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast, Middle, and Slow BP/TR components
Mid-line and OB/OS lines
Moving Average for the UO
Color-coded fill for the UO/UO MA lines (if UO MA is enabled and configured)
Default UO fill color coding:
Green : UO is above the moving average line
Red : UO is below the moving average line
Note: The UO naturally has a range of 0 to 100 with a mid-point of 50, so no rescaling or transformation is done on this indicator. The only manipulation done is to properly position it in the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast and Slow moving averages used in the AO calculation
Configurable price source for the moving averages used in the AO calculation
Mid-line
Option to display the AO as a line or pseudo-histogram
Moving Average for the AO
Color-coded fill for the AO/AO MA lines (if AO MA is enabled and configured)
Default AO fill color coding (Note: Fill was disabled in the image above to improve clarity):
Green : AO is above the moving average line
Red : AO is below the moving average line
Note: The AO is technically has an infinite (unbound) range - -∞ to ∞ - and the effective range is bound to the underlying security price (e.g. BTC will have a wider range than SP500, and SP500 will have a wider range than EUR/USD). We employed some special techniques to rescale this indicator into our desired range of 100 (-50 to 50), and then repositioned it to have a midpoint of 50 (range of 0 to 100) to meet the constraints of our stacking model. We then do one final repositioning to place it in the correct position the indicator-stack based on which other indicators are also enabled. For more details on how we accomplished this, read our section "Binding Infinity" below.
MACD:
This indicator contains the following major elements:
Configurable lengths for the Fast and Slow moving averages used in the MACD calculation
Configurable price source for the moving averages used in the MACD calculation
Configurable length and calculation method for the MACD Signal Line calculation
Mid-line
Note: Like the AO, the MACD also technically has an infinite (unbound) range. We employed the same principles here as we did with the AO to rescale and reposition this indicator as well. For more details on how we accomplished this, read our section "Binding Infinity" below.
Outback RSI (ORSI):
This is a stripped-down version of the Outback RSI indicator (linked above) that only includes the color-coding background (suffice it to say that it was not technically feasible to attempt to rescale the other components in a way that could consistently be clearly seen on-chart). As this component is a bit of a niche/special-purpose sub-indicator, it is disabled by default, and we suggest it remain disabled unless you have some pre-defined strategy that leverages the color-coding element of the Outback RSI that you wish to use.
Binding Infinity - How We Incorporated the AO and MACD (Warning - Math Talk Ahead!)
Note: This applies only to the AO and MACD at time of original publication. If any other indicators are added in the future that also fall into the category of "binding an infinite-range oscillator", we will make that clear in the release notes when that new addition is published.
To help set the stage for this discussion, it's important to note that the broader challenge of "equalizing inputs" is nothing new. In fact, it's a key element in many of the most popular fields of data science, such as AI and Machine Learning. They need to take a diverse set of inputs with a wide variety of ranges and seemingly-random inputs (referred to as "features"), and build a mathematical or computational model in order to work. But, when the raw inputs can vary significantly from one another, there is an inherent need to do some pre-processing to those inputs so that one doesn't overwhelm another simply due to the difference in raw values between them. This is where feature scaling comes into play.
With this in mind, we implemented 2 of the most common methods of Feature Scaling - Min-Max Normalization (which we call "Normalization" in our settings), and Z-Score Normalization (which we call "Standardization" in our settings). Let's take a look at each of those methods as they have been implemented in this script.
Min-Max Normalization (Normalization)
This is one of the most common - and most basic - methods of feature scaling. The basic formula is: y = (x - min)/(max - min) - where x is the current data sample, min is the lowest value in the dataset, and max is the highest value in the dataset. In this transformation, the max would evaluate to 1, and the min would evaluate to 0, and any value in between the min and the max would evaluate somewhere between 0 and 1.
The key benefits of this method are:
It can be used to transform datasets of any range into a new dataset with a consistent and known range (0 to 1).
It has no dependency on the "shape" of the raw input dataset (i.e. does not assume the input dataset can be approximated to a normal distribution).
But there are a couple of "gotchas" with this technique...
First, it assumes the input dataset is complete, or an accurate representation of the population via random sampling. While in most situations this is a valid assumption, in trading indicators we don't really have that luxury as we're often limited in what sample data we can access (i.e. number of historical bars available).
Second, this method is highly sensitive to outliers. Since the crux of this transformation is based on the max-min to define the initial range, a single significant outlier can result in skewing the post-transformation dataset (i.e. major price movement as a reaction to a significant news event).
You can potentially mitigate those 2 "gotchas" by using a mechanism or technique to find and discard outliers (e.g. calculate the mean and standard deviation of the input dataset and discard any raw values more than 5 standard deviations from the mean), but if your most recent datapoint is an "outlier" as defined by that algorithm, processing it using the "scrubbed" dataset would result in that new datapoint being outside the intended range of 0 to 1 (e.g. if the new datapoint is greater than the "scrubbed" max, it's post-transformation value would be greater than 1). Even though this is a bit of an edge-case scenario, it is still sure to happen in live markets processing live data, so it's not an ideal solution in our opinion (which is why we chose not to attempt to discard outliers in this manner).
Z-Score Normalization (Standardization)
This method of rescaling is a bit more complex than the Min-Max Normalization method noted above, but it is also a widely used process. The basic formula is: y = (x – μ) / σ - where x is the current data sample, μ is the mean (average) of the input dataset, and σ is the standard deviation of the input dataset. While this transformation still results in a technically-infinite possible range, the output of this transformation has a 2 very significant properties - the mean (average) of the output dataset has a mean (μ) of 0 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1.
The key benefits of this method are:
As it's based on normalizing the mean and standard deviation of the input dataset instead of a linear range conversion, it is far less susceptible to outliers significantly affecting the result (and in fact has the effect of "squishing" outliers).
It can be used to accurately transform disparate sets of data into a similar range regardless of the original dataset's raw/actual range.
But there are a couple of "gotchas" with this technique as well...
First, it still technically does not do any form of range-binding, so it is still technically unbounded (range -∞ to ∞ with a mid-point of 0).
Second, it implicitly assumes that the raw input dataset to be transformed is normally distributed, which won't always be the case in financial markets.
The first "gotcha" is a bit of an annoyance, but isn't a huge issue as we can apply principles of normal distribution to conceptually limit the range by defining a fixed number of standard deviations from the mean. While this doesn't totally solve the "infinite range" problem (a strong enough sudden move can still break out of our "conceptual range" boundaries), the amount of movement needed to achieve that kind of impact will generally be pretty rare.
The bigger challenge is how to deal with the assumption of the input dataset being normally distributed. While most financial markets (and indicators) do tend towards a normal distribution, they are almost never going to match that distribution exactly. So let's dig a bit deeper into distributions are defined and how things like trending markets can affect them.
Skew (skewness): This is a measure of asymmetry of the bell curve, or put another way, how and in what way the bell curve is disfigured when comparing the 2 halves. The easiest way to visualize this is to draw an imaginary vertical line through the apex of the bell curve, then fold the curve in half along that line. If both halves are exactly the same, the skew is 0 (no skew/perfectly symmetrical) - which is what a normal distribution has (skew = 0). Most financial markets tend to have short, medium, and long-term trends, and these trends will cause the distribution curve to skew in one direction or another. Bullish markets tend to skew to the right (positive), and bearish markets to the left (negative).
Kurtosis: This is a measure of the "tail size" of the bell curve. Another way to state this could be how "flat" or "steep" the bell-shape is. If the bell is steep with a strong drop from the apex (like a steep cliff), it has low kurtosis. If the bell has a shallow, more sweeping drop from the apex (like a tall hill), is has high kurtosis. Translating this to financial markets, kurtosis is generally a metric of volatility as the bell shape is largely defined by the strength and frequency of outliers. This is effectively a measure of volatility - volatile markets tend to have a high level of kurtosis (>3), and stable/consolidating markets tend to have a low level of kurtosis (<3). A normal distribution (our reference), has a kurtosis value of 3.
So to try and bring all that back together, here's a quick recap of the Standardization rescaling method:
The Standardization method has an assumption of a normal distribution of input data by using the mean (average) and standard deviation to handle the transformation
Most financial markets do NOT have a normal distribution (as discussed above), and will have varying degrees of skew and kurtosis
Q: Why are we still favoring the Standardization method over the Normalization method, and how are we accounting for the innate skew and/or kurtosis inherent in most financial markets?
A: Well, since we're only trying to rescale oscillators that by-definition have a midpoint of 0, kurtosis isn't a major concern beyond the affect it has on the post-transformation scaling (specifically, the number of standard deviations from the mean we need to include in our "artificially-bound" range definition).
Q: So that answers the question about kurtosis, but what about skew?
A: So - for skew, the answer is in the formula - specifically the mean (average) element. The standard mean calculation assumes a complete dataset and therefore uses a standard (i.e. simple) average, but we're limited by the data history available to us. So we adapted the transformation formula to leverage a moving average that included a weighting element to it so that it favored recent datapoints more heavily than older ones. By making the average component more adaptive, we gained the effect of reducing the skew element by having the average itself be more responsive to recent movements, which significantly reduces the effect historical outliers have on the dataset as a whole. While this is certainly not a perfect solution, we've found that it serves the purpose of rescaling the MACD and AO to a far more well-defined range while still preserving the oscillator behavior and mid-line exceptionally well.
The most difficult parts to compensate for are periods where markets have low volatility for an extended period of time - to the point where the oscillators are hovering around the 0/midline (in the case of the AO), or when the oscillator and signal lines converge and remain close to each other (in the case of the MACD). It's during these periods where even our best attempt at ensuring accurate mirrored-behavior when compared to the original can still occasionally lead or lag by a candle.
Note: If this is a make-or-break situation for you or your strategy, then we recommend you do not use any of the included indicators that leverage this kind of bounding technique (the AO and MACD at time of publication) and instead use the Trandingview built-in versions!
We know this is a lot to read and digest, so please take your time and feel free to ask questions - we will do our best to answer! And as always, constructive feedback is always welcome!
DR/IDR Candles [LuxAlgo]This indicator displays defining ranges (DR) and implied defining ranges (IDR) constructed from two user set sessions (RDR/ODR) as graphical candles on the chart. The script introduces additional graphical elements to the original DR/IDR concept and as such can be thought as a graphical method in addition to a technical indicator.
Additionally, this script can display various Fibonacci retracements from the constructed DR/IDR if enabled within the settings.
Settings
Regular Session: Enable/disable regular session's DR/IDR alongside setting the session time. By default, 09:30 - 10:30 am.
Overnight Session: Enable/disable overnight session's DR/IDR alongside setting the session time. By default, 03:00 - 04:00 am.
UTC Offset: UTC offset for the time zone, by default -5 (EST)
Retracements
Reverse: Inverts source range upper/lower value for constructing the retracements.
From: Source range used to construct the retracements, by default DR is used.
By default, the 0.5 retracement (average line) is displayed.
Usage
The used sessions are highlighted by a gray background. DRs are highlighted by dashed lines while IDRs are highlighted by solid ones. The maximum/minimum price between each user set session is highlighted by solid wicks.
The color of the DRs/IDRs/wicks are determined by the price position relative to the DR; if price is above the DR maximum, then a blue color is used. If price is below, then an orange color is used, and if price is within the DR range, then a gray color is used.
Additionally, the area of the DR range is used to highlight the number of time price is located within the DR, with a longer background highlighting a higher number of occurrences. This can help highlight if the DR levels were potentially useful as support/resistance.
When price is outside the IDR range, the area between the price and IDR is highlighted, in blue if price is above the IDR, and orange if it is under.
The original author of the DR/IDR concept describes 3 rules using the price position relative to the DR/IDR levels:
1.) If price on the 5-minute timeframe closes above the DR high after 10:30 AM or 04:00 AM then the DR low will likely be the low of the trading session.
2.) If price on the 5-minute timeframe closes below the DR low after 10:30 AM or 04:00 AM then the DR high will likely be the high of the trading session.
3.) If price closes above the IDR high after 10:30 AM or 04:00 AM it is an early indication that the low of the DR will be the low of the day and vice versa.
We can see that the above rules are cases of conditional probabilities.
There is no significant data supporting or regarding any statistical probability of the above rules to be true, which are more than uncertain given the stochastic nature of prices. The lack of precision of these rules is also a concern (time zone dependance, applicable markets, etc...).
Credits
Credits to trader TheMas7er who originally created the DR/IDR concept in November of 2022. This script was derived from his proposed session times & rules for trading.
Ichimoku Breakout Kumo SWING TRADER (By Insert Cheese)A simple strategy for long spot or long futures (swing traders) based on a basic method of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo strategies.
The strategy is simple:
- Buy when the price breaks the cloud
- Close the trade when the price closes again inside the cloud.
The parameters that work best on this strategy are 10,30,60,30 and 1 for Senkou-Span A
but you can try classic Ichimoku parameters (9,26,52,26,26) or whatever you want like (7,22,44,22,22), (10,30,60,30,30) and others.
-1D chart
I have removed everything from the interface except the cloud to make it visually more aesthetic :D (but if you want to see all the ichimoku indicator you can put in again into the chart)
I have also added several functions for you to do your own backtesting:
- Date range
- TP AND SL method
- Includes long or short trades
The strategy starts with 500 $ and use 100% for trade to make the power of the compounding :P
Remember that this is for only educational porpouse and you must to do your own research and backtested on your usually market..
I hope you like it enjoy and support this indicator :)
Donate (BEP20) 0xC118f1ffB3ac40875C13B3823C182eA2Af344c6d
RSI Trend Heatmap in Multi TimeframesRSI Trend Heatmap in Multi Timeframes
Description
Sometimes you want to look at the RSI Trend across multiple time frames.
You have to waste time browsing through them.
So we've put together every time frame you want to see in one indicator.
We have 10 layers of RSI Trend heatmap available for you.
You can set the timeframe as you want on the Settings page.
Description of Parameter RSI Setting ** You can change it by setting.
RSI Trend Length : (Default 50)
Source : (Default close)
RSI Sideways Length : (Default 2 = RSI between 48 .. 52)
Description of Parameter RSI Timeframe ** You can change it by setting.
""=None,
"M"=1Month, "2W"=2Weeks, "W"=1Week,
"3D"=3Days, "2D"=2Days, "D"=1Day,
"720"=12Hours, "480"=4Hours, "240"=4Hours, "180"=3Hours, "120"=2Hours,
"60"=60Minutes, "30"=30Minutes, "15"=15Minutes, "5"=5Minutes, "1"=1Minute
Default Configurate of RSI Timeframe (for a time frame of 1 hour to 1 day)
"W"= Timeframe 1 month shown in line 90-100 --> Represent Long Trend of RSI
---------------------------------------
"D2"= Timeframe 2 days shown in line 70-80 --> Represent Trend of RSI
"D"= Timeframe 1 day shown in line 60-70 --> Represent Trend of RSI
---------------------------------------
"240"= Timeframe 3 hours shown in line 40-50 --> Represent Signal Up/Signal Down/Divergence of RSI
"120"= Timeframe 2 hours shown in line 30-40 --> Represent Signal Up/Signal Down/Divergence of RSI
"60"= Timeframe 1 hour shown in line 20-30 --> Represent Signal Up/Signal Down/Divergence of RSI
"30"= Timeframe 30 minutes shown in line 10-20 --> Represent Signal Up/Signal Down/Divergence of RSI
"15"= Timeframe 15 minutes shown in line 00-10 --> Represent Signal Up/Signal Down/Divergence of RSI
Description of Colors
Dark Bule = Extreme Uptrend / Overbought / Bull Market (RSI > 67)
Light Bule = Uptrend (RSI between 50-52 .. 67)
Yellow = Sideways Trend / Trend Reversal (RSI between 48 .. 52) ** You can change it by setting.
Light Red = Downtrend (RSI between 33 .. 48-50)
Dark Red = Extreme Downtrend / Oversold / Bear Market (RSI < 33)
How to use
1. You must first know what the main trend of the RSI is (look at the 60-80 line). If it is red, it is a downtrend. and if it's blue shows that it is an uptrend
2. Throughout the period of the main trend There will always be a reversal of the sub-trend. (Can see from the 0-50 line), but eventually will return to follow the main trend.
3. Unless the sub trend persists for a long time until the main trend changes.
ICT Index Futures Session LinesICT Index Futures Session Lines
Description:
The script is based on one of ICT's concepts on trading Index Futures. The script lays out the daily range from an intraday basis.
Range:
00:00 - New York Midnight
08:30 – New York Open (News events come out)
12:00/13:00 - New York Lunch (No trade time period)
13:30 - (Algorithm)
16:30 - Close
* The open, high and low lines are plotted from 00:00 to 08:30
How To Use:
You will need to check the daily bias. Prior to 8:30 you are to look for previous swing points where liquidity may exist. During the open you want to see if a high or low is taken out, and then wait for an energetic break/displacement for a potential FVG/imbalance retracement entry.
Strategy is for LTF (1 to 15m)
Default time zone is set to America/New_York (UTC New York), so lines will be plotted correctly regardless of user’s local UTC chart setting.
RSI Levels, Multi-TimeframeThe relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. RSI is normally displayed as an oscillator separately from price and can have a reading from 0 to 100. This indicator takes the RSI and plots the 30 & 70 levels onto the price chart so you can see when price is going to meet the 30 or 70 levels. The reason the 30 & 70 levels are important is because many traders (and bots) use those as signals to buy (at 30 RSI) or sell (at 70 RSI). Additionally, this indicator allows you to display not just the RSI levels of your currently viewed timeframe on the chart, but also shows the RSI levels of up to 6 different timeframes on the same chart. This allows you to quickly see if multiple RSI levels are aligning across different timelines, which is an even stronger indication that price is going to change direction when it meets those levels on the chart. There are a lot of nice configuration options, like:
Style customization (color, thickness, size)
Labels on the chart so you can tell which plots are the RSI levels
Optionally display the plot as a horizontal line if all you care about is the RSI level right now
Toggle overbought (RSI 70) or oversold (RSI 30) on/off completely
Hotch v1.02 RSI+Fractals/VWAP Bands/Smoothed Moving Average. In this script the RSI is used the limit number of displayed fractals to only those fractals that are triggered in the RSI Overbought and Oversold areas. This helps keep the chart cleaner looking when combined with other indicators so other icons that are plotted above and below candles are not covered up.
For example if the RSI drops below 30 the next fractal would be displayed.
If the RSI stays below 30 each fractal would be displayed.
If the RSI dips below 30 and returns above 30 before there is a fractal is displayed, the next valid fractal would still be displayed.
With optimization of the RSI values this indicator can be used in confluence with the included VWAP bands and Moving average to find trend reversal entry points for trades. Also recommended is to use a divergence identifying lower indicator as a secondary confirmation of trade entry.
Example of a potential long entry using the displayed chart.
1) RSI under 30
2) Price was recently outside of your chosen VWAP multiple.
3) a fractal was triggered.
Additionaly:
4) Use other indicators or other confluences for a stronger trade signal.
5) Use your preferred method of determining entry price stop loss and take profit.
NOTE: Fractals normally paint two bars behind the current bar. In this code, with the combination of the RSI and Fractal Trigger, the fractal paints an icon on the current bar.
User-Inputed Time Range & FibsGreetings Traders! I have decided to release a few scripts as open-source as I'm sure others can benefit from them and perhaps make them better.(Be sure to check my Profile for the other scripts as well: www.tradingview.com).
This one is called User-Inputed Time Range & Fibs.
The idea behind this script is to record the Range Highs and Lows of a User Defined Period, and plot potential Targets based on either Fibonacci Extensions or a Multiple of the Range Size. I created this originally for use with the US Session Initial Balance(From 9:30-10:30AM EST), however it can be set to any time period.
What is Initial Balance? In simple words, Initial Balance (IB) is the price data, which are formed during the first hour of a trading session. Activity of traders forms the so-called Initial Balance at this time. This concept was introduced for the first time by Peter Steidlmayer when he presented the market profile to traders(atas.net).
The IB is monitored as a break-out area for Range Extension traders. The IB High is also seen as an area of resistance and the IB Low as an area of support until it is broken(www.mypivots.com).
As a note, depending on the Time Zone you are in, you may need to manually add or subtract from the Timed Range to match the desired Time. For example in NY Eastern Time, I have to use 8:30-9:30AM to Capture the 9:30-10-30AM IB for ES and NQ. Similarly, I must use 14:30-15:30PM to Capture the 9:30-10-30AM IB for BTC. You will need to make adjustments based on the Time Zone you are located in.
I wanted to give a Special Thanks to @PineCoders for the Custom Rounding Function from Backtesting/Trading Engine--> (), Pinecoders.com for help with Tracking the Highs/Lows--> (www.pinecoders.com), and @TradeChartist for allowing me to use some of the code for the Fibonacci Extensions from his script here--> ().
If you like User-Inputed Time Range & Fibs, be sure to Like, Follow, and if you have any questions, don't be afraid to drop a comment below.
Realized VolatilityRealized / Historical Volatility
Calculates historical, i.e. realized volatility of any underlying. If frequency is not the daily, but for example 6h, 30min, weeks or months, it scales the initial setting to be suitable for the different time frame.
Examples with default settings (30 day volatility, 365 days per year):
A) Frequency = Daily:
Returns 30 day historical volatility, under the assumption that there are 365 trading days in a year.
B) Frequency = 6h:
Still returns 30 day historical volatility, under the assumption that there are 365 trading days in a year. However, since 6h granularity fits 4 times in 24 hours, it rescales the look back period to rather 30*4 = 120 units to still reflect 30 day historical volatility.
RSI3graf. 3 RSI in one window[wozdux] Three RSI indicator charts in one window. Plus, the resale area (green) and overbought area ( red) are highlighted. Indicator settings are periods of calculation of the RSI indicator (24, 14, 9). The fourth parameter (30) is the critical levels, which are at a distance of 30 units from the edges. If the parameter is 30, then the oversold level is 30 and the overbought level is 70 (100-30).
Ultimate Pattern ScannerSmart Pattern Scanner Pro - Complete Study Guide
The Smart Pattern Scanner Pro is an advanced candlestick pattern recognition indicator that automatically detects over 30 traditional Japanese candlestick patterns across multiple timeframes simultaneously. It combines pattern recognition with volume analysis and trend confirmation to provide traders with comprehensive reversal and continuation signals.
Core Features:
• 30+ Candlestick Patterns: Complete library of traditional patterns
• Multi-Timeframe Scanning: Simultaneous analysis across up to 7 timeframes
• Volume Integration: Buy/sell volume analysis with pattern confirmation
• Trend Filtering: SMA-based trend confirmation for pattern validity
• Real-Time Dashboard: Professional interface with customizable display
• Alert System: Automated notifications when patterns are detected
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Candlestick Pattern Categories
Reversal Patterns (Bullish)
Single Candle Patterns
1. Hammer
o Formation: Small body at top, long lower shadow (2x body size)
o Signal: Bullish reversal after downtrend
o Reliability: High when confirmed with volume
o Entry: Above hammer high with stop below low
2. Inverted Hammer
o Formation: Small body at bottom, long upper shadow
o Signal: Potential bullish reversal (needs confirmation)
o Reliability: Medium (requires next candle confirmation)
o Entry: Confirmed breakout above pattern
3. Dragonfly Doji
o Formation: Open = Close, long lower shadow, no upper shadow
o Signal: Strong bullish reversal signal
o Reliability: High in downtrends
o Entry: Above doji high with tight stop
4. Long Lower Shadow
o Formation: Lower shadow 2x body length
o Signal: Rejection of lower prices, bullish sentiment
o Reliability: Medium to high with volume
o Entry: Above candle high
Multi-Candle Patterns
1. Bullish Engulfing
o Formation: Large white candle completely engulfs previous black candle
o Signal: Strong bullish reversal
o Reliability: Very high with volume confirmation
o Entry: Above engulfing candle high
2. Morning Star
o Formation: 3-candle pattern (down, small, up)
o Signal: Major bullish reversal
o Reliability: Excellent (one of most reliable patterns)
o Entry: Above third candle high
3. Morning Doji Star
o Formation: Like Morning Star but middle candle is doji
o Signal: Strong bullish reversal
o Reliability: Very high
o Entry: Above third candle close
4. Piercing Pattern
o Formation: White candle opens below previous low, closes above midpoint
o Signal: Bullish reversal
o Reliability: High when closing >50% into previous candle
o Entry: Above piercing candle high
5. Bullish Harami
o Formation: Small white candle within previous large black candle
o Signal: Potential bullish reversal
o Reliability: Medium (needs confirmation)
o Entry: Above mother candle high
Reversal Patterns (Bearish)
Single Candle Patterns
1. Shooting Star
o Formation: Small body at bottom, long upper shadow
o Signal: Bearish reversal after uptrend
o Reliability: High with volume confirmation
o Entry: Below shooting star low
2. Hanging Man
o Formation: Like hammer but appears in uptrend
o Signal: Potential bearish reversal
o Reliability: Medium (needs confirmation)
o Entry: Below hanging man low
3. Gravestone Doji
o Formation: Open = Close, long upper shadow, no lower shadow
o Signal: Strong bearish reversal
o Reliability: High in uptrends
o Entry: Below doji low
4. Long Upper Shadow
o Formation: Upper shadow 2x body length
o Signal: Rejection of higher prices
o Reliability: Medium to high
o Entry: Below candle low
Multi-Candle Patterns
1. Bearish Engulfing
o Formation: Large black candle engulfs previous white candle
o Signal: Strong bearish reversal
o Reliability: Very high
o Entry: Below engulfing candle low
2. Evening Star
o Formation: 3-candle pattern (up, small, down)
o Signal: Major bearish reversal
o Reliability: Excellent
o Entry: Below third candle low
3. Dark Cloud Cover
o Formation: Black candle opens above previous high, closes below midpoint
o Signal: Bearish reversal
o Reliability: High when closing <50% into previous candle
o Entry: Below dark cloud low
Continuation Patterns
1. Rising Three Methods
o Formation: White candle, 3 small declining candles, white candle
o Signal: Bullish continuation
o Reliability: High in strong uptrends
2. Falling Three Methods
o Formation: Black candle, 3 small rising candles, black candle
o Signal: Bearish continuation
o Reliability: High in strong downtrends
Indecision Patterns
1. Doji
o Formation: Open = Close (or very close)
o Signal: Market indecision, potential reversal
o Reliability: Context-dependent
2. Spinning Tops
o Formation: Small body with upper and lower shadows
o Signal: Market indecision
o Reliability: Low without confirmation
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Timeframe Hierarchy Strategy
Primary Analysis Flow:
1. Higher Timeframe (Daily/Weekly): Establish overall trend direction
2. Intermediate Timeframe (4H/1H): Identify key support/resistance levels
3. Lower Timeframe (15M/5M): Precise entry and exit timing
Configuration Guidelines:
• Scalping: 1M, 3M, 5M, 15M, 30M
• Day Trading: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H
• Swing Trading: 1H, 4H, 1D, 1W
• Position Trading: 4H, 1D, 1W, 1M
Pattern Confluence Rules:
1. High Probability Setup: Same pattern type appears on 3+ timeframes
2. Trend Alignment: Reversal patterns should align with higher timeframe structure
3. Volume Confirmation: Strong volume on pattern timeframe and higher timeframes
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Volume Analysis Integration
Volume Components:
1. Buy Volume: Volume when close > open (green candles)
2. Sell Volume: Volume when close ≤ open (red candles)
3. Volume Ratio: Current volume / 20-period moving average
4. Progress Indicator: Visual representation of volume strength
Volume Signal Interpretation:
• Ratio >1.5: Strong volume confirmation
• Ratio 1.0-1.5: Moderate volume support
• Ratio <1.0: Weak volume (pattern less reliable)
Volume Analysis Rules:
1. Bullish Patterns: Require strong buy volume for confirmation
2. Bearish Patterns: Require strong sell volume for confirmation
3. Volume Divergence: When pattern and volume disagree, favor volume
4. Volume Spikes: Ratios >2.0 indicate institutional interest
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Live Market Application
Step 1: Dashboard Setup
1. Position Selection: Choose optimal table position for your layout
2. Timeframe Configuration: Set relevant timeframes for your strategy
3. Volume Analysis: Enable for confirmation signals
4. Progress Indicators: Enable for visual signal strength
Step 2: Pattern Identification Process
Real-Time Scanning:
1. Monitor Multiple Timeframes: Check all configured timeframes simultaneously
2. Pattern Priority: Focus on patterns appearing on higher timeframes first
3. Signal Confluence: Look for patterns appearing across multiple timeframes
4. Volume Confirmation: Verify adequate volume support
Pattern Validation:
1. Trend Context: Ensure pattern aligns with overall market structure
2. Support/Resistance: Check if pattern forms at key levels
3. Market Conditions: Consider overall market volatility and sentiment
4. Time of Day: Be aware of session characteristics (open, close, lunch)
Step 3: Entry Decision Matrix
High Probability Entries:
• Pattern on 3+ timeframes
• Strong volume confirmation (ratio >1.5)
• Trend alignment with higher timeframes
• Formation at key support/resistance
Medium Probability Entries:
• Pattern on 2 timeframes
• Moderate volume (ratio 1.0-1.5)
• Partial trend alignment
• Formation in trending market
Low Probability Entries:
• Single timeframe pattern
• Weak volume (ratio <1.0)
• Counter-trend formation
• Choppy/sideways market
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Pattern Reliability Assessment
Tier 1 Patterns (Highest Reliability - 70-80% success rate):
• Morning Star / Evening Star
• Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
• Three White Soldiers / Three Black Crows
• Hammer (in strong downtrend)
• Shooting Star (in strong uptrend)
Tier 2 Patterns (High Reliability - 60-70% success rate):
• Piercing Pattern / Dark Cloud Cover
• Morning/Evening Doji Star
• Harami patterns
• Abandoned Baby
• Kicking patterns
Tier 3 Patterns (Moderate Reliability - 50-60% success rate):
• Doji patterns
• Tweezer Tops/Bottoms
• Window patterns
• Tasuki Gap patterns
• Marubozu patterns
Tier 4 Patterns (Lower Reliability - 40-50% success rate):
• Spinning Tops
• Long shadow patterns (single)
• Neutral doji formations
• Single candle continuation patterns
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Trading Strategies
Strategy 1: Multi-Timeframe Reversal
Objective: Catch major trend reversals using high-reliability patterns
Rules:
1. Wait for Tier 1 patterns on Daily + 4H timeframes
2. Require volume ratio >1.5 on both timeframes
3. Enter on 1H confirmation candle
4. Stop loss below/above pattern extreme
5. Target 2:1 or 3:1 risk-reward ratio
Strategy 2: Intraday Scalping
Objective: Quick profits from short-term pattern formations
Rules:
1. Focus on 5M and 15M timeframes
2. Trade only Tier 1 and Tier 2 patterns
3. Require volume confirmation
4. Quick exits (10-30 pip targets)
5. Tight stops (5-15 pips)
Strategy 3: Swing Trading
Objective: Multi-day position holding based on pattern signals
Rules:
1. Use Daily and Weekly timeframes
2. Focus on major reversal patterns
3. Combine with fundamental analysis
4. Wider stops (2-5% of entry price)
5. Hold for 5-20 trading days
Strategy 4: Trend Continuation
Objective: Enter trending markets using continuation patterns
Rules:
1. Identify strong trends on higher timeframes
2. Wait for continuation patterns on lower timeframes
3. Enter in direction of main trend
4. Trail stops using pattern lows/highs
5. Pyramid positions on additional patterns
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Risk Management
Position Sizing Rules:
1. Tier 1 Patterns: Risk up to 2% of account
2. Tier 2 Patterns: Risk up to 1.5% of account
3. Tier 3 Patterns: Risk up to 1% of account
4. Tier 4 Patterns: Risk up to 0.5% of account
Stop Loss Guidelines:
1. Reversal Patterns: Stop beyond pattern extreme + 1 ATR
2. Continuation Patterns: Stop at pattern invalidation level
3. Doji Patterns: Tight stops due to indecision nature
4. Multi-Candle Patterns: Use pattern range for stop placement
Take Profit Strategies:
1. Conservative: 1:1 risk-reward ratio
2. Moderate: 2:1 risk-reward ratio
3. Aggressive: 3:1 risk-reward ratio
4. Trailing: Move stops to breakeven after 1:1 achieved
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Limitations and Considerations
Technical Limitations:
1. Pattern Subjectivity: Slight variations in pattern interpretation
2. Market Context Dependency: Patterns perform differently in various market conditions
3. False Signals: Not all patterns lead to expected price moves
4. Lagging Nature: Patterns are confirmed after formation is complete
Market Condition Considerations:
1. Trending Markets: Continuation patterns more reliable than reversals
2. Range-Bound Markets: Reversal patterns at extremes more effective
3. High Volatility: Patterns may not develop properly
4. News Events: Fundamental factors can override technical patterns
Optimal Usage Conditions:
1. Liquid Markets: Adequate volume and participation
2. Normal Volatility: Not during extreme market stress
3. Clear Market Structure: Defined support and resistance levels
4. Multiple Timeframe Alignment: Confluence across timeframes
When NOT to Trade Patterns:
1. Major News Releases: Economic announcements can invalidate patterns
2. Market Holidays: Reduced participation affects reliability
3. Extreme Volatility: VIX >30 or similar stress indicators
4. Gap Openings: Large gaps can negate pattern significance
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Risk Disclaimer
CRITICAL WARNING FROM aiTrendview
TRADING FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS
This Smart Pattern Scanner Pro indicator ("the Indicator") is provided for educational and analytical purposes only. By using this indicator, you acknowledge and accept the following terms and conditions:
No Financial Advice
• NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: This indicator does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice
• NO RECOMMENDATIONS: Pattern signals are not recommendations to buy or sell any financial instrument
• EDUCATIONAL TOOL: Designed for learning technical analysis concepts and pattern recognition
• INDEPENDENT RESEARCH REQUIRED: Always conduct your own thorough analysis before making trading decisions
Substantial Trading Risks
• CAPITAL LOSS RISK: You may lose some or all of your trading capital
• LEVERAGE DANGERS: Margin trading can amplify losses beyond your initial investment
• MARKET VOLATILITY: Financial markets are inherently unpredictable and can move against any analysis
• PATTERN FAILURE: Candlestick patterns fail frequently and do not guarantee profitable outcomes
• FALSE SIGNALS: The indicator may generate incorrect or misleading signals
Technical Analysis Limitations
• NOT PREDICTIVE: Candlestick patterns analyze past price action, not future movements
• SUBJECTIVE INTERPRETATION: Pattern recognition can vary between traders and market conditions
• CONTEXT DEPENDENT: Patterns must be analyzed within broader market context
• NO GUARANTEE: No technical analysis method guarantees trading success
• STATISTICAL PROBABILITY: Even high-reliability patterns fail 20-30% of the time
User Responsibilities
• SOLE RESPONSIBILITY: You are entirely responsible for all trading decisions and outcomes
• RISK MANAGEMENT: Implement appropriate position sizing and stop-loss strategies
• PROFESSIONAL CONSULTATION: Seek advice from qualified financial professionals
• REGULATORY COMPLIANCE: Ensure compliance with local financial regulations
• CONTINUOUS EDUCATION: Maintain ongoing education in market analysis and risk management
Indicator Limitations
• SOFTWARE BUGS: Technical glitches or calculation errors may occur
• DATA DEPENDENCY: Relies on accurate price and volume data feeds
• PLATFORM LIMITATIONS: Subject to TradingView platform capabilities and restrictions
• VERSION UPDATES: Functionality may change with future updates
• COMPATIBILITY: May not work optimally with all chart configurations
Volume Analysis Limitations
• DATA ACCURACY: Volume data may be incomplete or delayed
• MARKET VARIATIONS: Volume patterns differ across markets and instruments
• INSTITUTIONAL ACTIVITY: Cannot guarantee detection of all institutional trading
• LIQUIDITY FACTORS: Low liquidity markets may produce unreliable volume signals
Multi-Timeframe Considerations
• CONFLICTING SIGNALS: Different timeframes may show contradictory patterns
• TIME SYNCHRONIZATION: Pattern timing may vary across timeframes
• COMPUTATIONAL LOAD: Multiple timeframe analysis may affect performance
• COMPLEXITY RISK: More data does not necessarily mean better decisions
Specific Trading Warnings
Pattern-Specific Risks:
1. Doji Patterns: Indicate indecision, not directional conviction
2. Single Candle Patterns: Generally less reliable than multi-candle formations
3. Continuation Patterns: May signal trend exhaustion rather than continuation
4. Gap Patterns: Subject to overnight and weekend gap risks
Market Condition Risks:
1. News Events: Fundamental factors can invalidate any technical pattern
2. Market Manipulation: Large players can create false pattern signals
3. Algorithmic Trading: High-frequency trading can distort traditional patterns
4. Market Crashes: Extreme events render technical analysis ineffective
Psychological Trading Risks:
1. Overconfidence: Successful patterns may lead to excessive risk-taking
2. Pattern Addiction: Over-reliance on patterns without broader analysis
3. Confirmation Bias: Seeing patterns that don't actually exist
4. Emotional Trading: Fear and greed can override pattern discipline
Legal and Regulatory Disclaimers
Intellectual Property:
• COPYRIGHT PROTECTION: This indicator is protected by copyright law
• AUTHORIZED USE ONLY: Use only as permitted by TradingView terms of service
• NO REDISTRIBUTION: Unauthorized copying or redistribution is prohibited
• MODIFICATION RESTRICTIONS: Code modifications may void any support or warranties
Regulatory Compliance:
• LOCAL LAWS: Ensure compliance with your jurisdiction's financial regulations
• LICENSING REQUIREMENTS: Some jurisdictions require licenses for trading or advisory activities
• TAX OBLIGATIONS: Trading profits/losses may have tax implications
• REPORTING REQUIREMENTS: Some jurisdictions require reporting of trading activities
Limitation of Liability:
• NO LIABILITY: aiTrendview accepts no liability for any losses, damages, or adverse outcomes
• INDIRECT DAMAGES: Not liable for consequential, incidental, or punitive damages
• MAXIMUM LIABILITY: Limited to amount paid for indicator access (if any)
• FORCE MAJEURE: Not responsible for events beyond reasonable control
Final Warnings and Recommendations
Before Using This Indicator:
1. DEMO TRADING: Practice extensively with paper trading before risking real money
2. EDUCATION: Thoroughly understand candlestick pattern theory and market dynamics
3. RISK ASSESSMENT: Honestly assess your risk tolerance and financial situation
4. PROFESSIONAL ADVICE: Consult with qualified financial advisors
5. START SMALL: Begin with minimal position sizes to test strategies
Red Flags - Do NOT Trade If:
• You cannot afford to lose the money you're risking
• You're experiencing financial stress or pressure
• You're trading emotionally or impulsively
• You don't understand the patterns or market mechanics
• You're using borrowed money or credit to trade
• You're treating trading as gambling rather than calculated risk-taking
Emergency Procedures:
• STOP TRADING immediately if experiencing significant losses
• SEEK HELP if trading is affecting your mental health or relationships
• REVIEW STRATEGY after any series of losses
• TAKE BREAKS from trading to maintain perspective
• PROFESSIONAL HELP: Contact financial counselors if needed
Acknowledgment Required
By using the Smart Pattern Scanner Pro indicator, you explicitly acknowledge that:
1. You have read and understood this entire disclaimer
2. You accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes
3. You understand the substantial risks involved in financial trading
4. You will not hold aiTrendview liable for any losses or damages
5. You will use this tool only for educational and personal analysis purposes
6. You will comply with all applicable laws and regulations
7. You will implement appropriate risk management practices
8. You understand that past performance does not predict future results
REMEMBER: The most important rule in trading is capital preservation. No pattern, indicator, or strategy is worth risking your financial well-being.
________________________________________
Disclaimer from aiTrendview.com
The content provided in this blog post is for educational and training purposes only. It is not intended to be, and should not be construed as, financial, investment, or trading advice. All charting and technical analysis examples are for illustrative purposes. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for every individual. Before making any financial decisions, you should consult with a qualified financial professional to assess your personal financial situation.
KAMA Trend Flip with Snap & Follow - SightLing Labs🔭 OVERVIEW
KAMA Snap Follow is a customized adaptation of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) that overlays a trend-tracking line on the chart. It computes an adaptive smoothing constant from the efficiency ratio, then incorporates conditional enhancements: a "snap" mechanism to boost responsiveness on significant counter-trend bars surpassing an ATR-based threshold, and a temporary "follow" mode after trend flips to intensify adaptation for a user-defined number of bars. This allows the line to hug price more closely during early reversal phases before returning to standard smoothing for noise filtration. The line colors green for upward trends (rising KAMA), red for downward (falling KAMA), and gray for neutral, with optional alerts on trend changes. If the structure invalidates (e.g., via excessive lag or unconfirmed flips), no automatic cleanup occurs—users manage via settings tweaks and backtesting.
🔭 CONCEPTS
* Adaptive smoothing core: Builds on KAMA's efficiency ratio to dynamically adjust between fast and slow constants, gliding over minor volatility while aiming to react to directional shifts.
* Snap trigger: Detects potential reversals via large bar changes opposing the prior trend, exceeding a multiplier of ATR; this temporarily amplifies the smoothing constant (capped at 1.0) to pull KAMA toward price.
* Follow mode activation: Post-flip, engages a boosted adaptation phase for a fixed bar count, forcing tighter shadowing in the new direction to reduce lag on true turns, then reverts to absorber mode.
* Trend detection: Simple comparison of current vs. prior KAMA values defines up/down/neutral, with no embedded signals—purely for visual trend context.
* Risk-aware design: No guarantees; focuses on lag reduction in simulations (e.g., 38-54% trough lag cuts on synthetic volatile series), but real-market performance varies—backtest thoroughly.
🔭 FEATURES
* Custom KAMA calculation with manual efficiency ratio and smoothing powers for baseline adaptation.
* ATR-integrated snap for reversal sensitivity, with adjustable multiplier and boost.
* Post-flip follow mode with configurable period and boost to enhance new-trend hugging.
* Trend coloring and flip alerts: Green/red/gray line with conditions for up/down/neutral; alerts on changes.
* User controls:
Source (e.g., close).
Efficiency Ratio Length (pivot-like sensitivity).
Fast/Slow Powers (adaptation speed).
ATR Length (volatility measure).
Snap Multiplier/Boost (reversal threshold/amplification).
Follow Period/Boost (post-flip duration/intensity).
* Efficient execution: Lightweight, no heavy buffers—suitable for intraday charts via backtested tweaks.
🔭 HOW TO USE
* Tune sensitivity: Shorten Efficiency Ratio Length on lower timeframes for quicker reactions; lengthen on higher for smoother trends. Test ATR Length against asset volatility.
* Monitor flips: Use green/red shifts as trend context—combine with your strategy (e.g., crossovers, support/resistance) for potential entries; alerts notify changes.
* Leverage modes: Snap helps catch sharp turns; follow mode tightens tracking post-reversal—observe on historical data to gauge lag reduction (e.g., 30-57% miss cuts on 0.20 moves in tests).
* Apply MTF: Spot broader trends on 5m; refine on 30s/1m near flips. Backtest configurations to avoid over-optimization.
* Integrate confluence: Pair with volume, RSI, or your filters; never rely solely—markets evolve, so validate via simulations and live observation.
🔭 CONCLUSION
KAMA Snap Follow evolves standard KAMA by adding snap and follow mechanics to combat reversal lag while filtering bumps, offering a visual tool for trend analysis in volatile intraday setups. Developed to address traditional adaptive averages' delays without introducing excessive whipsaw (e.g., zero added in noisy flats per tests), it provides adjustable parameters for customization. No performance promises—results hinge on backtesting and market fit; use as a framework for scenario evaluation, not automated trading.
Example Configurations (derived from synthetic tests on SOFI-like intraday volatility; backtest and adjust):
- For 30s charts (high noise, rapid shifts): Efficiency Ratio Length=20, Fast Power=1, Slow Power=15, ATR Length=10, Snap Multiplier=1.2, Snap Boost=2.0, Follow Period=5, Follow Boost=2.5—yields ~40% lag reduction on turns, filtering 85% of <0.01 fluctuations.
- For 1m charts (moderate volatility): Efficiency Ratio Length=30, Fast Power=2, Slow Power=20, ATR Length=14, Snap Multiplier=1.5, Snap Boost=2.5, Follow Period=8, Follow Boost=3.0—achieves ~30% lower reversal misses (e.g., 0.08 vs. 0.12 on 0.20 swings), stable in 50-bar chops.
- For 5m charts (trendier flows): Efficiency Ratio Length=50, Fast Power=3, Slow Power=40, ATR Length=20, Snap Multiplier=1.8, Snap Boost=3.0, Follow Period=12, Follow Boost=3.5—boosts post-flip hug by 25%, ignoring 90% of ±0.05 noise across 100 bars.
Smart Money Precision Structure [BullByte]Smart Money Precision Structure
Advanced Market Structure Analysis Using Institutional Order Flow Concepts
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OVERVIEW
Smart Money Precision Structure (SMPS) is a comprehensive market analysis indicator that combines six analytical frameworks to identify high-probability market structure patterns. The indicator uses multi-dimensional scoring algorithms to evaluate market conditions through institutional order flow concepts, providing traders with professional-grade market analysis.
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PURPOSE AND ORIGINALITY
Why This Indicator Was Developed
• Addresses the gap between retail and institutional analysis methods
• Consolidates multiple analysis techniques that professionals use separately
• Automates complex market structure evaluation into actionable insights
• Eliminates the need for multiple indicators by providing comprehensive analysis
What Makes SMPS Original
• Six-Layer Confluence System - Unique combination of market regime, structure, volume flow, momentum, price action, and adaptive filtering
• Institutional Pattern Recognition - Identifies smart money accumulation and distribution patterns
• Adaptive Intelligence - Parameters automatically adjust based on detected market conditions
• Real-Time Market Scoring - Proprietary algorithm rates market quality from 0-100%
• Structure Break Detection - Advanced pivot analysis identifies trend reversals early
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HOW IT WORKS - TECHNICAL METHODOLOGY
1. Market Regime Analysis Engine
The indicator evaluates five core market dimensions:
• Volatility Score - Measures current volatility against 50-period historical baseline
• Trend Score - Analyzes alignment between 8, 21, and 50-period EMAs
• Momentum Score - Combines RSI divergence with MACD signal alignment
• Structure Score - Evaluates pivot point formation clarity
• Efficiency Score - Calculates directional movement efficiency ratio
These scores combine to classify markets into five regimes:
• TRENDING - Strong directional movement with aligned indicators
• RANGING - Sideways movement with mixed directional signals
• VOLATILE - Elevated volatility with unpredictable price swings
• QUIET - Low volatility consolidation periods
• TRANSITIONAL - Market shifting between different regimes
2. Market Structure Analysis
Advanced pivot point analysis identifies:
• Higher Highs and Higher Lows for bullish structure
• Lower Highs and Lower Lows for bearish structure
• Structure breaks when established patterns fail
• Dynamic support and resistance from recent pivot points
• Key level proximity detection using ATR-based buffers
3. Volume Flow Decoding
Institutional activity detection through:
• Volume surge identification when volume exceeds 2x average
• Buy versus sell pressure analysis using price-volume correlation
• Flow strength measurement through directional volume consistency
• Divergence detection between volume and price movements
• Institutional threshold alerts when unusual volume patterns emerge
4. Multi-Period Momentum Synthesis
Weighted momentum calculation across four timeframes:
• 1-period momentum weighted at 40%
• 3-period momentum weighted at 30%
• 5-period momentum weighted at 20%
• 8-period momentum weighted at 10%
Result smoothed with 6-period EMA for noise reduction.
5. Price Action Quality Assessment
Each bar evaluated for:
• Range quality relative to 20-period average
• Body-to-range ratio for directional conviction
• Wick analysis for rejection pattern identification
• Pattern recognition including engulfing and hammer formations
• Sequential price movement analysis
6. Adaptive Parameter System
Parameters automatically adjust based on detected regime:
• Trending markets reduce sensitivity and confirmation requirements
• Volatile markets increase filtering and require additional confirmations
• Ranging markets maintain neutral settings
• Transitional markets use moderate adjustments
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COMPLETE SETTINGS GUIDE
Section 1: Core Analysis Settings
Analysis Sensitivity (0.3-2.0)
• Default: 1.0
• Lower values require stronger price movements
• Higher values detect more subtle patterns
• Scalpers use 0.8-1.2, swing traders use 1.5-2.0
Noise Reduction Level (2-7)
• Default: 4
• Controls filtering of false patterns
• Higher values reduce pattern frequency
• Increase in volatile markets
Minimum Move % (0.05-0.50)
• Default: 0.15%
• Sets minimum price movement threshold
• Adjust based on instrument volatility
• Forex: 0.05-0.10%, Stocks: 0.15-0.25%, Crypto: 0.20-0.50%
High Confirmation Mode
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Requires all technical conditions to align
• Reduces frequency but increases reliability
• Disable for more aggressive pattern detection
Section 2: Market Regime Detection
Enable Regime Analysis
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Activates market environment evaluation
• Essential for adaptive features
• Keep enabled for best results
Regime Analysis Period (20-100)
• Default: 50 bars
• Determines regime calculation lookback
• Shorter for responsive, longer for stable
• Scalping: 20-30, Swing: 75-100
Minimum Market Clarity (0.2-0.8)
• Default: 0.4
• Quality threshold for pattern generation
• Higher values require clearer conditions
• Lower for more patterns, higher for quality
Adaptive Parameter Adjustment
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Enables automatic parameter optimization
• Adjusts based on market regime
• Highly recommended to keep enabled
Section 3: Market Structure Analysis
Enable Structure Validation
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Validates patterns against support/resistance
• Confirms trend structure alignment
• Essential for reliability
Structure Analysis Period (15-50)
• Default: 30 bars
• Period for structure pattern analysis
• Affects support/resistance calculation
• Match to your trading timeframe
Minimum Structure Alignment (0.3-0.8)
• Default: 0.5
• Required structure score for valid patterns
• Higher values need stronger structure
• Balance with desired frequency
Section 4: Analysis Configuration
Minimum Strength Level (3-5)
• Default: 4
• Minimum confirmations for pattern display
• 5 = Maximum reliability, 3 = More patterns
• Beginners should use 4-5
Required Technical Confirmations (4-6)
• Default: 5
• Number of aligned technical factors
• Higher = fewer but better patterns
• Works with High Confirmation Mode
Pattern Separation (3-20 bars)
• Default: 8 bars
• Minimum bars between patterns
• Prevents clustering and overtrading
• Increase for cleaner charts
Section 5: Technical Filters
Momentum Validation
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Requires momentum alignment
• Filters counter-trend patterns
• Essential for trend following
Volume Confluence Analysis
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Requires volume confirmation
• Identifies institutional participation
• Critical for reliability
Trend Direction Filter
• Default: True (Enabled)
• Only shows patterns with trend
• Reduces counter-trend signals
• Disable for reversal hunting
Section 6: Volume Flow Analysis
Institutional Activity Threshold (1.2-3.5)
• Default: 2.0
• Multiplier for unusual volume detection
• Lower finds more institutional activity
• Stock: 2.0-2.5, Forex: 1.5-2.0, Crypto: 2.5-3.5
Volume Surge Multiplier (1.8-4.5)
• Default: 2.5
• Defines significant volume increases
• Adjust per instrument characteristics
• Higher for stocks, lower for forex
Volume Flow Period (12-35)
• Default: 18 bars
• Smoothing for volume analysis
• Shorter = responsive, longer = smooth
• Match to timeframe used
Section 7: Analysis Frequency Control
Maximum Analysis Points Per Hour (1-5)
• Default: 3
• Limits pattern frequency
• Prevents overtrading
• Scalpers: 4-5, Swing traders: 1-2
Section 8: Target Level Configuration
Target Calculation Method
• Default: Market Adaptive
• Three modes available:
- Fixed: Uses set point distances
- Dynamic: ATR-based calculations
- Market Adaptive: Structure-based levels
Minimum Target/Risk Ratio (1.0-3.0)
• Default: 1.5
• Minimum acceptable reward vs risk
• Higher filters lower probability setups
• Professional standard: 1.5-2.0
Fixed Mode Settings:
• Fixed Target Distance: 50 points default
• Fixed Invalidation Distance: 30 points default
• Use for consistent instruments
Dynamic Mode Settings:
• Dynamic Target Multiplier: 1.8x ATR default
• Dynamic Invalidation Multiplier: 1.0x ATR default
• Adapts to volatility automatically
Market Adaptive Settings:
• Use Structure Levels: True (default)
• Structure Level Buffer: 0.1% default
• Places levels at actual support/resistance
Section 9: Visual Display Settings
Color Theme Options
• Professional (Teal/Red)
- Bullish: Teal (#26a69a)
- Bearish: Red (#ef5350)
- Neutral: Gray (#78909c)
- Best for: Traditional traders, clean appearance
• Dark (Neon Green/Pink)
- Bullish: Neon Green (#00ff88)
- Bearish: Hot Pink (#ff0044)
- Neutral: Dark Gray (#333333)
- Best for: Dark theme users, high contrast
• Light (Green/Red Classic)
- Bullish: Green (#4caf50)
- Bearish: Red (#f44336)
- Neutral: Light Gray (#9e9e9e)
- Best for: Light backgrounds, traditional colors
• Vibrant (Cyan/Magenta)
- Bullish: Cyan (#00ffff)
- Bearish: Magenta (#ff00ff)
- Neutral: Medium Gray (#888888)
- Best for: High visibility, modern appearance
Dashboard Position
• Options: Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right, Middle Left, Middle Right
• Default: Top Right
• Choose based on chart layout preference
Dashboard Size
• Full: Complete information display (desktop)
• Mobile: Compact view for small screens
• Default: Full
Analysis Display Style
• Arrows : Simple directional markers
• Labels : Detailed text information
• Zones : Colored areas showing pattern regions
• Default: Labels (most informative)
Display Options:
• Display Analysis Strength: Shows star rating
• Display Target Levels: Shows target/invalidation lines
• Display Market Regime: Shows regime in pattern labels
---
HOW TO USE SMPS - DETAILED GUIDE
Understanding the Dashboard
Top Row - Header
• SMPS Dashboard title
• VALUE column: Current readings
• STATUS column: Condition assessments
Market Regime Row
• Shows: TRENDING, RANGING, VOLATILE, QUIET, or TRANSITIONAL
• Color coding: Green = Favorable, Red = Caution
• Status: FAVORABLE or CAUTION trading conditions
Market Score Row
• Percentage from 0-100%
• Above 60% = Strong conditions
• 40-60% = Moderate conditions
• Below 40% = Weak conditions
Structure Row
• Direction: BULLISH, BEARISH, or NEUTRAL
• Status: INTACT or BREAK
• Orange BREAK indicates structure failure
Volume Flow Row
• Direction: BUYING or SELLING
• Intensity: STRONG or WEAK
• Color indicates dominant pressure
Momentum Row
• Numerical momentum value
• Positive = Upward pressure
• Negative = Downward pressure
Volume Status Row
• INST = Institutional activity detected
• HIGH = Above average volume
• NORM = Normal volume levels
Adaptive Mode Row
• ACTIVE = Parameters adjusting
• STATIC = Fixed parameters
• Shows required confirmations
Analysis Level Row
• Minimum strength level setting
• Pattern separation in bars
Market State Row
• Current analysis: BULLISH, BEARISH, NEUTRAL
• Shows analysis price level when active
T:R Ratio Row
• Current target to risk ratio
• GOOD = Meets minimum requirement
• LOW = Below minimum threshold
Strength Row
• BULL or BEAR dominance
• Numerical strength value 0-100
Price Row
• Current price
• Percentage change
Last Analysis Row
• Previous pattern direction
• Bars since last pattern
Reading Pattern Signals
Bullish Structure Pattern
• Upward triangle or "Bullish Structure" label
• Star rating shows strength (★★★★★ = strongest)
• Green line = potential target level
• Red dashed line = invalidation level
• Appears below price bars
Bearish Structure Pattern
• Downward triangle or "Bearish Structure" label
• Star rating indicates reliability
• Green line = potential target level
• Red dashed line = invalidation level
• Appears above price bars
Pattern Strength Interpretation
• ★★★★★ = 6 confirmations (exceptional)
• ★★★★☆ = 5 confirmations (strong)
• ★★★☆☆ = 4 confirmations (moderate)
• ★★☆☆☆ = 3 confirmations (minimum)
• Below minimum = filtered out
Visual Elements on Chart
Lines and Levels:
• Gray Line = 21 EMA trend reference
• Green Stepline = Dynamic support level
• Red Stepline = Dynamic resistance level
• Green Solid Line = Active target level
• Red Dashed Line = Active invalidation level
Pattern Markers:
• Triangles = Arrow display mode
• Text Labels = Label display mode
• Colored Boxes = Zone display mode
Target Completion Labels:
• "Target" = Price reached target level
• "Invalid" = Pattern invalidated by price
---
RECOMMENDED USAGE BY TIMEFRAME
1-Minute Charts (Scalping)
• Sensitivity: 0.8-1.2
• Noise Reduction: 3-4
• Pattern Separation: 3-5 bars
• High Confirmation: Optional
• Best for: Quick intraday moves
5-Minute Charts (Precision Intraday)
• Sensitivity: 1.0 (default)
• Noise Reduction: 4 (default)
• Pattern Separation: 8 bars
• High Confirmation: Enabled
• Best for: Day trading
15-Minute Charts (Short Swing)
• Sensitivity: 1.0-1.5
• Noise Reduction: 4-5
• Pattern Separation: 10-12 bars
• High Confirmation: Enabled
• Best for: Intraday swings
30-Minute to 1-Hour (Position Trading)
• Sensitivity: 1.5-2.0
• Noise Reduction: 5-7
• Pattern Separation: 15-20 bars
• Regime Period: 75-100
• Best for: Multi-day positions
Daily Charts (Swing Trading)
• Sensitivity: 1.8-2.0
• Noise Reduction: 6-7
• Pattern Separation: 20 bars
• All filters enabled
• Best for: Long-term analysis
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MARKET-SPECIFIC SETTINGS
Forex Pairs
• Minimum Move: 0.05-0.10%
• Institutional Threshold: 1.5-2.0
• Volume Surge: 1.8-2.2
• Target Mode: Dynamic or Market Adaptive
Stock Indices (ES, NQ, YM)
• Minimum Move: 0.10-0.15%
• Institutional Threshold: 2.0-2.5
• Volume Surge: 2.5-3.0
• Target Mode: Market Adaptive
Individual Stocks
• Minimum Move: 0.15-0.25%
• Institutional Threshold: 2.0-2.5
• Volume Surge: 2.5-3.5
• Target Mode: Dynamic
Cryptocurrency
• Minimum Move: 0.20-0.50%
• Institutional Threshold: 2.5-3.5
• Volume Surge: 3.0-4.5
• Target Mode: Dynamic
• Increase noise reduction
---
PRACTICAL APPLICATION EXAMPLES
Example 1: Strong Trending Market
Dashboard Reading:
• Market Regime: TRENDING
• Market Score: 75%
• Structure: BULLISH, INTACT
• Volume Flow: BUYING, STRONG
• Momentum: +0.45
Interpretation:
• Strong uptrend environment
• Institutional buying present
• Look for bullish patterns as continuation
• Higher probability of success
• Consider using lower sensitivity
Example 2: Range-Bound Conditions
Dashboard Reading:
• Market Regime: RANGING
• Market Score: 35%
• Structure: NEUTRAL
• Volume Flow: SELLING, WEAK
• Momentum: -0.05
Interpretation:
• No clear direction
• Low opportunity environment
• Patterns are less reliable
• Consider waiting for regime change
• Or switch to a range-trading approach
Example 3: Structure Break Alert
Dashboard Reading:
• Previous: BULLISH structure
• Current: Structure BREAK
• Volume: INST flag active
• Momentum: Shifting negative
Interpretation:
• Trend reversal potentially beginning
• Institutional participation detected
• Watch for bearish pattern confirmation
• Adjust bias accordingly
• Increase caution on long positions
Example 4: Volatile Market
Dashboard Reading:
• Market Regime: VOLATILE
• Market Score: 45%
• Adaptive Mode: ACTIVE
• Confirmations: Increased to 6
Interpretation:
• Choppy conditions
• Parameters auto-adjusted
• Fewer but higher quality patterns
• Wider stops may be needed
• Consider reducing position size
Below are a few chart examples of the Smart Money Precision Structure (SMPS) indicator in action.
• Example 1 – Bullish Structure Detection on SOLUSD 5m
• Example 2 – Bearish Structure Detected with Strong Confluence on SOLUSD 5m
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TROUBLESHOOTING GUIDE
No Patterns Appearing
Check these settings:
• High Confirmation Mode may be too restrictive
• Minimum Strength Level may be too high
• Market Clarity threshold may be too high
• Regime filter may be blocking patterns
• Try increasing sensitivity
Too Many Patterns
Adjust these settings:
• Enable High Confirmation Mode
• Increase Minimum Strength Level to 5
• Increase Pattern Separation
• Reduce Sensitivity below 1.0
• Enable all technical filters
Dashboard Shows "CAUTION"
This indicates:
• Market conditions are unfavorable
• Regime is RANGING or QUIET
• Market score is low
• Consider waiting for better conditions
• Or adjust expectations accordingly
Patterns Not Reaching Targets
Consider:
• Market may be choppy
• Volatility may have changed
• Try Dynamic target mode
• Reduce target/risk ratio requirement
• Check if regime is VOLATILE
---
ALERTS CONFIGURATION
Alert Message Format
Alerts include:
• Pattern type (Bullish/Bearish)
• Strength rating
• Market regime
• Analysis price level
• Target and invalidation levels
• Strength percentage
• Target/Risk ratio
• Educational disclaimer
Setting Up Alerts
• Click Alert button on TradingView
• Select SMPS indicator
• Choose alert frequency
• Customize message if desired
• Alerts fire on pattern detection
---
DATA WINDOW INFORMATION
The Data Window displays:
• Market Regime Score (0-100)
• Market Structure Bias (-1 to +1)
• Bullish Strength (0-100)
• Bearish Strength (0-100)
• Bull Target/Risk Ratio
• Bear Target/Risk Ratio
• Relative Volume
• Momentum Value
• Volume Flow Strength
• Bull Confirmations Count
• Bear Confirmations Count
---
BEST PRACTICES AND TIPS
For Beginners
• Start with default settings
• Use High Confirmation Mode
• Focus on TRENDING regime only
• Paper trade first
• Learn one timeframe thoroughly
For Intermediate Users
• Experiment with sensitivity settings
• Try different target modes
• Use multiple timeframes
• Combine with price action analysis
• Track pattern success rate
For Advanced Users
• Customize per instrument
• Create setting templates
• Use regime information for bias
• Combine with other indicators
• Develop systematic rules
---
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
• This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only
• Not financial advice or a trading system
• Past performance does not guarantee future results
• Trading involves substantial risk of loss
• Always use appropriate risk management
• Verify patterns with additional analysis
• The author is not a registered investment advisor
• No liability accepted for trading losses
---
VERSION NOTES
Version 1.0.0 - Initial Release
• Six-layer confluence system
• Adaptive parameter technology
• Institutional volume detection
• Market regime classification
• Structure break identification
• Real-time dashboard
• Multiple display modes
• Comprehensive settings
## My Final Thoughts
Smart Money Precision Structure represents an advanced approach to market analysis, bringing institutional-grade techniques to retail traders through intelligent automation and multi-dimensional evaluation. By combining six analytical frameworks with adaptive parameter adjustment, SMPS provides comprehensive market intelligence that single indicators cannot achieve.
The indicator serves as an educational tool for understanding how professional traders analyze markets, while providing practical pattern detection for those seeking to improve their technical analysis. Remember that all trading involves risk, and this tool should be used as part of a complete analysis approach, not as a standalone trading system.
- BullByte
DYNAMIC TRADING DASHBOARDStudy Material for the "Dynamic Trading Dashboard"
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is designed as an educational tool within the TradingView environment. It compiles commonly used market indicators and analytical methods into one visual interface so that traders and learners can see relationships between indicators and price action. Understanding these indicators, step by step, can help traders develop discipline, improve technical analysis skills, and build strategies. Below is a detailed explanation of each module.
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1. Price and Daily Reference Points
The dashboard displays the current price, along with percentage change compared to the day’s opening price. It also highlights whether the price is moving upward or downward using directional symbols. Alongside, it tracks daily high, low, open, and daily range.
For traders, daily levels provide valuable reference points. The daily high and low are considered intraday support and resistance, while the median price of the day often acts as a pivot level for mean reversion traders. Monitoring these helps learners see how price oscillates within daily ranges.
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2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
VWAP is calculated as a cumulative average price weighted by volume. The dashboard compares the current price with VWAP, showing whether the market is trading above or below it.
For traders, VWAP is often a guide for institutional order flow. Price trading above VWAP suggests bullish sentiment, while trading below VWAP indicates bearish sentiment. Learners can use VWAP as a training tool to recognize trend-following vs. mean reversion setups.
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3. Volume Analysis
The system distinguishes between buy volume (when the closing price is higher than the open) and sell volume (when the closing price is lower than the open). A progress bar highlights the ratio of buying vs. selling activity in percentage.
This is useful because volume confirms price action. For instance, if prices rise but sell volume dominates, it can signal weakness. New traders learning with this tool should focus on how volume often precedes price reversals and trends.
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4. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures price strength on a scale from 0 to 100. The dashboard classifies RSI readings into overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral zones and adds visual progress bars.
RSI helps learners understand momentum shifts. During training, one should notice how trending markets can keep RSI extended for longer periods (not immediate reversal signals), while range-bound markets react more sharply to RSI extremes. It is an excellent tool for practicing trend vs. range identification.
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5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD indicator involves a fast EMA, slow EMA, and signal line, with focus on crossovers. The dashboard shows whether a “bullish cross” (MACD above signal line) or “bearish cross” (MACD below signal line) has occurred.
MACD teaches traders to identify trend momentum shifts and divergence. During practice, traders can explore how MACD signals align with VWAP trends or RSI levels, which helps in building a structured multi-indicator analysis.
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6. Stochastic Oscillator
This indicator compares the current close relative to a range of highs and lows over a period. Displayed values oscillate between 0 and 100, marking zones of overbought (>80) and oversold (<20).
Stochastics are useful for students of trading to recognize short-term momentum changes. Unlike RSI, it reacts faster to price volatility, so false signals are common. Part of the training exercise can be to observe how stochastic “flips” can align with volume surges or daily range endpoints.
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7. Trend & Momentum Classification
The dashboard adds simple labels for trend (uptrend, downtrend, neutral) based on RSI thresholds. Additionally, it provides quick momentum classification (“bullish hold”, “bearish hold”, or neutral).
This is beneficial for beginners as it introduces structured thinking: differentiating long-term market bias (trend) from short-term directional momentum. By combining both, traders can practice filtering signals instead of trading randomly.
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8. Accumulation / Distribution Bias
Based on RSI levels, the script generates simplified tags such as “Accumulate Long”, “Accumulate Short”, or “Wait”.
This is purely an interpretive guide, helping learners think in terms of accumulation phases (when markets are low) and distribution phases (when markets are high). It reinforces the concept that trading is not only directional but also involves timing.
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9. Overall Market Status and Score
Finally, the dashboard compiles multiple indicators (VWAP position, RSI, MACD, Stochastics, and price vs. median levels) into a Market Score expressed as a percentage. It also labels the market as Overbought, Oversold, or Normal.
This scoring system isn’t a recommendation but a learning framework. Students can analyze how combining different indicators improves decision-making. The key training focus here is confluence: not depending on one indicator but observing when several conditions align.
Extended Study Material with Formulas
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1. Daily Reference Levels (High, Low, Open, Median, Range)
• Day High (H): Maximum price of the session.
DayHigh=max(Hightoday)DayHigh=max(Hightoday)
• Day Low (L): Minimum price of the session.
DayLow=min(Lowtoday)DayLow=min(Lowtoday)
• Day Open (O): Opening price of the session.
DayOpen=OpentodayDayOpen=Opentoday
• Day Range:
Range=DayHigh−DayLowRange=DayHigh−DayLow
• Median: Mid-point between high and low.
Median=DayHigh+DayLow2Median=2DayHigh+DayLow
These act as intraday guideposts for seeing how far the price has stretched from its key reference levels.
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2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
VWAP considers both price and volume for a weighted average:
VWAPt=∑i=1t(Pricei×Volumei)∑i=1tVolumeiVWAPt=∑i=1tVolumei∑i=1t(Pricei×Volumei)
Here, Price_i can be the average price (High + Low + Close) ÷ 3, also known as hlc3.
• Interpretation: Price above VWAP = bullish bias; Price below = bearish bias.
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3. Volume Buy/Sell Analysis
The dashboard splits total volume into buy volume and sell volume based on candle type.
• Buy Volume:
BuyVol=Volumeif Close > Open, else 0BuyVol=Volumeif Close > Open, else 0
• Sell Volume:
SellVol=Volumeif Close < Open, else 0SellVol=Volumeif Close < Open, else 0
• Buy Ratio (%):
VolumeRatio=BuyVolBuyVol+SellVol×100VolumeRatio=BuyVol+SellVolBuyVol×100
This helps traders gauge who is in control during a session—buyers or sellers.
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4. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI measures strength of momentum by comparing gains vs. losses.
Step 1: Compute average gains (AG) and losses (AL).
AG=Average of Upward Closes over N periodsAG=Average of Upward Closes over N periodsAL=Average of Downward Closes over N periodsAL=Average of Downward Closes over N periods
Step 2: Calculate relative strength (RS).
RS=AGALRS=ALAG
Step 3: RSI formula.
RSI=100−1001+RSRSI=100−1+RS100
• Used to detect overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral momentum zones.
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5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
• Fast EMA:
EMAfast=EMA(Close,length=fast)EMAfast=EMA(Close,length=fast)
• Slow EMA:
EMAslow=EMA(Close,length=slow)EMAslow=EMA(Close,length=slow)
• MACD Line:
MACD=EMAfast−EMAslowMACD=EMAfast−EMAslow
• Signal Line:
Signal=EMA(MACD,length=signal)Signal=EMA(MACD,length=signal)
• Histogram:
Histogram=MACD−SignalHistogram=MACD−Signal
Crossovers between MACD and Signal are used in studying bullish/bearish phases.
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6. Stochastic Oscillator
Stochastic compares the current close against a range of highs and lows.
%K=Close−LowestLowHighestHigh−LowestLow×100%K=HighestHigh−LowestLowClose−LowestLow×100
Where LowestLow and HighestHigh are the lowest and highest values over N periods.
The %D line is a smooth version of %K (using a moving average).
%D=SMA(%K,smooth)%D=SMA(%K,smooth)
• Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold.
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7. Trend and Momentum Classification
This dashboard generates simplified trend/momentum logic using RSI.
• Trend:
• RSI < 40 → Downtrend
• RSI > 60 → Uptrend
• In Between → Neutral
• Momentum Bias:
• RSI > 70 → Bullish Hold
• RSI < 30 → Bearish Hold
• Otherwise Neutral
This is not predictive, only a classification framework for educational use.
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8. Accumulation/Distribution Bias
Based on extreme RSI values:
• RSI < 25 → Accumulate Long Bias
• RSI > 80 → Accumulate Short Bias
• Else → Wait/No Action
This helps learners understand the idea of accumulation at lows (strength building) and distribution at highs (profit booking).
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9. Overall Market Status and Score
The tool adds up 5 bullish conditions:
1. Price above VWAP
2. RSI > 50
3. MACD > Signal
4. Stochastic > 50
5. Price above Daily Median
BullishScore=ConditionsMet5×100BullishScore=5ConditionsMet×100
Then it categorizes the market:
• RSI > 70 or Stoch > 80 → Overbought
• RSI < 30 or Stoch < 20 → Oversold
• Else → Normal
This encourages learners to think in terms of probabilistic conditions instead of single-indicator signals.
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⚠️ Warning:
• Trading financial markets involves substantial risk.
• You can lose more money than you invest.
• Past performance of indicators does not guarantee future results.
• This script must not be copied, resold, or republished without authorization from aiTrendview.
By using this material or the code, you agree to take full responsibility for your trading decisions and acknowledge that this is not financial advice.
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⚠️ Disclaimer and Warning (From aiTrendview)
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is created strictly for educational and research purposes on the TradingView platform. It does not provide financial advice, buy/sell recommendations, or guaranteed returns. Any use of this tool in live trading is completely at the user’s own risk. Markets are inherently risky; losses can exceed initial investment.
The intellectual property of this script and its methodology belongs to aiTrendview. Unauthorized reproduction, modification, or redistribution of this code is strictly prohibited. By using this study material or the script, you acknowledge personal responsibility for any trading outcomes. Always consult professional financial advisors before making investment decisions.
VWAP For Loop [BackQuant]VWAP For Loop
What this tool does—in one sentence
A volume-weighted trend gauge that anchors VWAP to a calendar period (day/week/month/quarter/year) and then scores the persistence of that VWAP trend with a simple for-loop “breadth” count; the result is a clean, threshold-driven oscillator plus an optional VWAP overlay and alerts.
Plain-English overview
Instead of judging raw price alone, this indicator focuses on anchored VWAP —the market’s average price paid during your chosen institutional period. It then asks a simple question across a configurable set of lookback steps: “Is the current anchored VWAP higher than it was i bars ago—or lower?” Each “yes” adds +1, each “no” adds −1. Summing those answers creates a score that reflects how consistently the volume-weighted trend has been rising or falling. Extreme positive scores imply persistent, broad strength; deeply negative scores imply persistent weakness. Crossing predefined thresholds produces objective long/short events and color-coded context.
Under the hood
• Anchoring — VWAP using hlc3 × volume resets exactly when the selected period rolls:
Day → session change, Week → new week, Month → new month, Quarter/Year → calendar quarter/year.
• For-loop scoring — For lag steps i = , compare today’s VWAP to VWAP .
– If VWAP > VWAP , add +1.
– Else, add −1.
The final score ∈ , where N = (end − start + 1). With defaults (1→45), N = 45.
• Signal logic (stateful)
– Long when score > upper (e.g., > 40 with N = 45 → VWAP higher than ~89% of checked lags).
– Short on crossunder of lower (e.g., dropping below −10).
– A compact state variable ( out ) holds the current regime: +1 (long), −1 (short), otherwise unchanged. This “stickiness” avoids constant flipping between bars without sufficient evidence.
Why VWAP + a breadth score?
• VWAP aggregates both price and volume—where participants actually traded.
• The breadth-style count rewards consistency of the anchored trend, not one-off spikes.
• Thresholds give you binary structure when you need it (alerts, automation), without complex math.
What you’ll see on the chart
• Sub-pane oscillator — The for-loop score line, colored by regime (long/short/neutral).
• Main-pane VWAP (optional) — Even though the indicator runs off-chart, the anchored VWAP can be overlaid on price (toggle visibility and whether it inherits trend colors).
• Threshold guides — Horizontal lines for the long/short bands (toggle).
• Cosmetics — Optional candle painting and background shading by regime; adjustable line width and colors.
Input map (quick reference)
• VWAP Anchor Period — Day, Week, Month, Quarter, Year.
• Calculation Start/End — The for-loop lag window . With 1→45, you evaluate 45 comparisons.
• Long/Short Thresholds — Default upper=40, lower=−10 (asymmetric by design; see below).
• UI/Style — Show thresholds, paint candles, background color, line width, VWAP visibility and coloring, custom long/short colors.
Interpreting the score
• Near +N — Current anchored VWAP is above most historical VWAP checkpoints in the window → entrenched strength.
• Near −N — Current anchored VWAP is below most checkpoints → entrenched weakness.
• Between — Mixed, choppy, or transitioning regimes; use thresholds to avoid reacting to noise.
Why the asymmetric default thresholds?
• Long = score > upper (40) — Demands unusually broad upside persistence before declaring “long regime.”
• Short = crossunder lower (−10) — Triggers only on downward momentum events (a fresh breach), not merely being below −10. This combination tends to:
– Capture sustained uptrends only when they’re very strong.
– Flag downside turns as they occur, rather than waiting for an extreme negative breadth.
Tuning guide
Choose an anchor that matches your horizon
– Intraday scalps : Day anchor on intraday charts.
– Swing/position : Month or Quarter anchor on 1h/4h/D charts to capture institutional cycles.
Pick the for-loop window
– Larger N (bigger end) = stronger evidence requirement, smoother oscillator.
– Smaller N = faster, more reactive score.
Set achievable thresholds
– Ensure upper ≤ N and lower ≥ −N ; if N=30, an upper of 40 can never trigger.
– Symmetric setups (e.g., +20/−20) are fine if you want balanced behavior.
Match visuals to intent
– Enabling VWAP coloring lets you see regime directly on price.
– Background shading is useful for discretionary reading; turn it off for cleaner automation displays.
Playbook examples
• Trend confirmation with disciplined entries — On Month anchor, N=45, upper=38–42: when the long regime engages, use pullbacks toward anchored VWAP on the main pane for entries, with stops just beyond VWAP or a recent swing.
• Downside transition detection — Keep lower around −8…−12 and watch for crossunders; combine with price losing anchored VWAP to validate risk-off.
• Intraday bias filter — Day anchor on a 5–15m chart, N=20–30, upper ~ 16–20, lower ~ −6…−10. Only take longs while score is positive and above a midline you define (e.g., 0), and shorts only after a genuine crossunder.
Behavior around resets (important)
Anchored VWAP is hard-reset each period. Immediately after a reset, the series can be young and comparisons to pre-reset values may span two periods. If you prefer within-period evaluation only, choose end small enough not to bridge typical period length on your timeframe, or accept that the breadth test intentionally spans regimes.
Alerts included
• VWAP FL Long — Fires when the long condition is true (score > upper and not in short).
• VWAP FL Short — Fires on crossunder of the lower threshold (event-driven).
Messages include {{ticker}} and {{interval}} placeholders for routing.
Strengths
• Simple, transparent math — Easy to reason about and validate.
• Volume-aware by construction — Decisions reference VWAP, not just price.
• Robust to single-bar noise — Needs many lags to agree before flipping state (by design, via thresholds and the stateful output).
Limitations & cautions
• Threshold feasibility — If N < upper or |lower| > N, signals will never trigger; always cross-check N.
• Path dependence — The state variable persists until a new event; if you want frequent re-evaluation, lower thresholds or reduce N.
• Regime changes — Calendar resets can produce early ambiguity; expect a few bars for the breadth to mature.
• VWAP sensitivity to volume spikes — Large prints can tilt VWAP abruptly; that behavior is intentional in VWAP-based logic.
Suggested starting profiles
• Intraday trend bias : Anchor=Day, N=25 (1→25), upper=18–20, lower=−8, paint candles ON.
• Swing bias : Anchor=Month, N=45 (1→45), upper=38–42, lower=−10, VWAP coloring ON, background OFF.
• Balanced reactivity : Anchor=Week, N=30 (1→30), upper=20–22, lower=−10…−12, symmetric if desired.
Implementation notes
• The indicator runs in a separate pane (oscillator), but VWAP itself is drawn on price using forced overlay so you can see interactions (touches, reclaim/loss).
• HLC3 is used for VWAP price; that’s a common choice to dampen wick noise while still reflecting intrabar range.
• For-loop cap is kept modest (≤50) for performance and clarity.
How to use this responsibly
Treat the oscillator as a bias and persistence meter . Combine it with your entry framework (structure breaks, liquidity zones, higher-timeframe context) and risk controls. The design emphasizes clarity over complexity—its edge is in how strictly it demands agreement before declaring a regime, not in predicting specific turns.
Summary
VWAP For Loop distills the question “How broadly is the anchored, volume-weighted trend advancing or retreating?” into a single, thresholded score you can read at a glance, alert on, and color through your chart. With careful anchoring and thresholds sized to your window length, it becomes a pragmatic bias filter for both systematic and discretionary workflows.
NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner# NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner
## 🎯 Overview
The NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner analyzes the top-weighted stocks in the NASDAQ-100 index to provide real-time bullish/bearish sentiment signals that can help predict NAS100 price movements. This indicator combines multiple technical analysis methods to give traders a comprehensive view of underlying market sentiment.
## 📊 How It Works
The indicator calculates sentiment scores for major NASDAQ-100 components (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, AVGO, COST, NFLX) using:
- **RSI Analysis**: Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
- **Moving Average Trends**: Compares fast vs slow MA positioning
- **Volume Confirmation**: Validates moves with volume thresholds
- **Price Momentum**: Analyzes recent price direction
- **Market Cap Weighting**: Uses actual NASDAQ-100 weightings for accuracy
## 🚀 Key Features
### Real-Time Sentiment Analysis
- Weighted composite score based on individual stock analysis
- Color-coded sentiment line (Green = Bullish, Red = Bearish)
- Dynamic background coloring for strong signals
### Interactive Data Table
- Shows individual stock scores and signals
- Bullish/Bearish stock count summary
- Customizable position and size
### Smart Signal System
- **Bullish Signals**: Green triangle up when sentiment crosses threshold
- **Bearish Signals**: Red triangle down when sentiment falls below threshold
- **Alert Conditions**: Automatic notifications for signal changes
## ⚙️ Customization Options
### Technical Analysis Settings
- **RSI Period**: Adjust lookback period (default: 14)
- **RSI Levels**: Set overbought/oversold thresholds
- **Moving Averages**: Configure fast/slow MA periods
- **Volume Threshold**: Set volume confirmation multiplier
### Signal Thresholds
- **Bullish/Bearish Levels**: Customize trigger points
- **Strong Signal Levels**: Set extreme sentiment thresholds
- Fine-tune sensitivity to market conditions
### Display Options
- **Toggle Table**: Show/hide sentiment data table
- **Table Position**: 6 position options (Top/Bottom/Middle + Left/Right)
- **Table Size**: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large
- **Background Colors**: Enable/disable signal backgrounds
- **Signal Arrows**: Show/hide buy/sell indicators
### Stock Selection
- **Individual Control**: Enable/disable any of the 10 major stocks
- **Dynamic Weighting**: Automatically adjusts calculations based on selected stocks
- **Flexible Analysis**: Focus on specific sectors or market leaders
## 📈 How to Use
### 1. Basic Setup
1. Add the indicator to your NAS100 chart
2. Default settings work well for most traders
3. Observe the sentiment line and signals
### 2. Signal Interpretation
- **Score > 30**: Bullish bias for NAS100
- **Score > 50**: Strong bullish signal
- **Score -30 to 30**: Neutral/consolidation
- **Score < -30**: Bearish bias for NAS100
- **Score < -50**: Strong bearish signal
### 3. Trading Strategies
**Trend Following:**
- Buy NAS100 when bullish signals appear
- Sell/short when bearish signals trigger
- Use background colors for quick visual confirmation
**Divergence Trading:**
- Watch for sentiment/price divergences
- Strong sentiment with weak NAS100 price = potential breakout
- Weak sentiment with strong NAS100 price = potential reversal
**Consensus Trading:**
- Monitor bullish/bearish stock counts in table
- 8+ stocks aligned = strong directional bias
- Mixed signals = wait for clearer consensus
### 4. Advanced Usage
- Combine with your existing NAS100 trading strategy
- Use multiple timeframes for confirmation
- Adjust thresholds based on market volatility
- Focus on specific stocks by disabling others
## 🔔 Alert Setup
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions:
1. Go to TradingView Alerts
2. Select "NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner"
3. Choose from available alert types:
- NAS100 Bullish Signal
- NAS100 Bearish Signal
- Strong Bullish Consensus
- Strong Bearish Consensus
## 💡 Pro Tips
### Optimization
- **High Volatility**: Increase signal thresholds (±40, ±60)
- **Low Volatility**: Decrease thresholds (±20, ±40)
- **Day Trading**: Use smaller table, focus on real-time signals
- **Swing Trading**: Enable background colors, larger thresholds
### Best Practices
- Don't use as a standalone system - combine with price action
- Check individual stock table for context
- Monitor during market open for most reliable signals
- Consider earnings seasons for individual stock impacts
### Market Conditions
- **Trending Markets**: Higher accuracy, use with trend following
- **Ranging Markets**: Watch for false signals, increase thresholds
- **News Events**: Individual stock news can skew sentiment temporarily
## 🎨 Visual Guide
- **Green Line Above Zero**: Bullish sentiment building
- **Red Line Below Zero**: Bearish sentiment building
- **Background Color Changes**: Strong signal confirmation
- **Triangle Arrows**: Entry/exit signal points
- **Table Colors**: Quick sentiment overview
## ⚠️ Important Notes
- This indicator analyzes component stocks, not NAS100 directly
- Market cap weightings approximate real NASDAQ-100 weightings
- Sentiment can change rapidly during volatile periods
- Always use proper risk management
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
## 🔧 Troubleshooting
- **No signals**: Check if thresholds are too extreme
- **Too many signals**: Increase threshold sensitivity
- **Table not showing**: Ensure "Show Sentiment Table" is enabled
- **Missing stocks**: Verify individual stock toggles in settings
---
**Suitable for**: Day traders, swing traders, NAS100 specialists, index traders
**Best Timeframes**: 5min, 15min, 1H, 4H
**Market Sessions**: US market hours for highest accuracy
Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5.1Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5
User Manual (Pine Script v6)
What this tool does (in one line)
A compact, on-chart table that scores the current chart symbol (or an optional override) using momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pattern checks—so you can quickly decide UP, DOWN, or WAIT.
Quick Start (90 seconds)
Add the indicator to any chart and timeframe (1m…1M).
Leave “Override chart symbol” = OFF to auto-use the chart’s symbol.
Choose your layout:
Row (wide horizontal strip), or Grid (title + labeled cells).
Pick a size preset (Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile).
Optional: turn on “Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50)” and set HTF Multiplier (e.g., 4 ⇒ if chart is 15m, HTF is 60m).
Watch the table:
DIR (↑/↓/→), ROC%, MOM, VOL, EMA stack, HTF, REV, SCORE, ACT.
Add an alert if you want: the script fires when |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
What to expect
A small table appears on the chart corner you choose, updating each bar (or only at bar close if you keep default smart-update).
The ACT cell shows 🔥 (strong), 👀 (medium), or ⏳ (weak).
Panels & Settings (every option explained)
Core
Momentum Period: Lookback for rate-of-change (ROC%). Shorter = more reactive; longer = smoother.
ROC% Threshold: Minimum absolute ROC% to call direction UP (↑) or DOWN (↓); otherwise →.
Require Volume Confirmation: If ON and VOL ≤ 1.0, the SCORE is forced to 0 (prevents low-volume false positives).
Override chart symbol + Custom symbol: By default, the indicator uses the chart’s symbol. Turn this ON to lock to a specific ticker (e.g., a perpetual).
Higher TF
Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50): Compares EMA20 vs EMA50 on a higher timeframe.
HTF Multiplier: Higher TF = (chart TF × multiplier).
Example: on 3H chart with multiplier 2 ⇒ HTF = 6H.
Volatility & Oscillators
ATR Length: Used to show ATR% (ATR relative to price).
RSI Length: Standard RSI; colors: green ≤30 (oversold), red ≥70 (overbought).
Stoch %K Length: With %D = SMA(%K, 3).
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD values; we display Line, Signal, Histogram (L/S/H).
ADX Length (Wilder): Wilder’s smoothing (internal derivation); also shows +DI / −DI if you enable the ADX column.
EMAs / Trend
EMA Fast/Mid/Slow: We compute EMA(20/50/200) by default (editable).
EMA Stack: Bull if Fast > Mid > Slow; Bear if Fast < Mid < Slow; Flat otherwise.
Benchmark (optional, OFF by default)
Show Relative Strength vs Benchmark: Displays RS% = ROC(symbol) − ROC(benchmark) over the Momentum Period.
Benchmark Symbol: Ticker used for comparison (e.g., BTCUSDT as a market proxy).
Columns (show/hide)
Toggle which fields appear in the table. Hiding unused fields keeps the layout clean (especially on mobile).
Display
Layout Mode:
Row = a single two-row strip; each column is a metric.
Grid = a title row plus labeled pairs (label/value) arranged in rows.
Size Preset: Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile change text size and the grid density.
Table Corner: Where the panel sits (e.g., Top Right).
Opaque Table Background: ON = dark card; OFF = transparent(ish).
Update Every Bar: ON = update intra-bar; OFF = smart update (last bar / real-time / confirmed history).
Action threshold (|score|): The cutoff for 🔥 and alert firing (default 70).
How to read each field
CHART: The active symbol name (or your custom override).
DIR: ↑ (ROC% > threshold), ↓ (ROC% < −threshold), → otherwise.
ROC%: Rate of change over Momentum Period.
Formula: (Close − Close ) / Close × 100.
MOM: A scaled momentum score: min(100, |ROC%| × 10).
VOL: Volume ratio vs 20-bar SMA: Volume / SMA(Volume,20).
1.5 highlights as yellow (significant participation).
ATR%: (ATR / Close) × 100 (volatility relative to price).
RSI: Colored for extremes: ≤30 green, ≥70 red.
Stoch K/D: %K and %D numbers.
MACD L/S/H: Line, Signal, Histogram. Histogram color reflects sign (green > 0, red < 0).
ADX, +DI, −DI: Trend strength and directional components (Wilder). ADX ≥ 25 is highlighted.
EMA 20/50/200: Current EMA values (editable lengths).
STACK: Bull/Bear/Flat as defined above.
VWAP%: (Close − VWAP) / Close × 100 (premium/discount to VWAP).
HTF: ▲ if HTF EMA20 > EMA50; ▼ if <; · if flat/off.
RS%: Symbol’s ROC% − Benchmark ROC% (positive = outperforming).
REV (reversal):
🟢 Eng/Pin = bullish engulfing or bullish pin detected,
🔴 Eng/Pin = bearish engulfing or bearish pin,
· = none.
SCORE (absolute shown as a number; sign shown via DIR and ACT):
Components:
base = MOM × 0.4
volBonus = VOL > 1.5 ? 20 : VOL × 13.33
htfBonus = use_mtf ? (HTF == DIR ? 30 : HTF == 0 ? 15 : 0) : 0
trendBonus = (STACK == DIR) ? 10 : 0
macdBonus = 0 (placeholder for future versions)
scoreRaw = base + volBonus + htfBonus + trendBonus + macdBonus
SCORE = DIR ≥ 0 ? scoreRaw : −scoreRaw
If Require Volume Confirmation and VOL ≤ 1.0 ⇒ SCORE = 0.
ACT:
🔥 if |SCORE| ≥ threshold
👀 if 50 < |SCORE| < threshold
⏳ otherwise
Practical examples
Strong long (trend + participation)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +3.2, MOM ≈ 32, VOL = 1.9, STACK = Bull, HTF = ▲, REV = 🟢
SCORE: base(12.8) + volBonus(20) + htfBonus(30) + trend(10) ≈ 73 → ACT = 🔥
Action idea: look for longs on pullbacks; confirm risk with ATR%.
Weak long (no volume)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +1.0, but VOL = 0.8 and Require Volume Confirmation = ON
SCORE forced to 0 → ACT = ⏳
Action: wait for volume > 1.0 or turn off confirmation knowingly.
Bearish reversal warning
DIR = →, REV = 🔴 (bearish engulfing), RSI = 68, HTF = ▼
SCORE may be mid-range; ACT = 👀
Action: watch for breakdown and rising VOL.
Alerts (how to use)
The script calls alert() whenever |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
To receive pop-ups, sounds, or emails: click “⏰ Alerts” in TradingView, choose this indicator, and pick “Any alert() function call.”
The alert message includes: symbol, |SCORE|, DIR.
Layout, Size, and Corner tips
Row is best when you want a compact status ribbon across the top.
Grid is clearer on big screens or when you enable many columns.
Size:
Mobile = one pair per row (tall, readable)
Micro/Small = dense; good for many fields
Large = presentation/screenshots
Corner: If the table overlaps price, change the corner or set Opaque Background = OFF.
Repaint & timeframe behavior
Default smart update prefers stability (last bar / live / confirmed history).
For a stricter, “close-only” behavior (less repaint): turn Update Every Bar = OFF and avoid Heikin Ashi when you want raw market OHLC (HA modifies price inputs).
HTF logic is derived from a clean, integer multiple of your chart timeframe (via multiplier). It works with 3H/4H and any TF.
Performance notes
The script analyzes one symbol (chart or override) with multiple metrics using efficient tuple requests.
If you later want a multi-symbol grid, do it with pages (10–15 per page + rotate) to stay within platform limits (recommended future add-on).
Troubleshooting
No table visible
Ensure the indicator is added and not hidden.
Try toggling Opaque Background or switch Corner (it might be behind other drawings).
Keep Columns count reasonable for the chosen Size.
If you turned ON Override, verify the Custom symbol exists on your data provider.
Numbers look different on HA candles
Heikin Ashi modifies OHLC; switch to regular candles if you need raw price metrics.
3H/4H issues
Use integer HTF Multiplier (e.g., 2, 4). The tool builds the correct string internally; no manual timeframe strings needed.
Power user tips
Volume gating: keeping Require Volume Confirmation = ON filters most fake moves; if you’re a scalper, reduce strictness or turn it off.
Action threshold: 60–80 is typical. Higher = fewer but stronger signals.
Benchmark RS%: great for spotting leaders/laggards; positive RS% = outperformance vs benchmark.
Change policy & safety
This version doesn’t alter your historical logic you tested (no radical changes).
Any future “radical” change (score weights, HTF logic, UI hiding data) will ship with a toggle and an Impact Statement so you can keep old behavior if you prefer.
Glossary (quick)
ROC%: Percent change over N bars.
MOM: Scaled momentum (0–100).
VOL ratio: Volume vs 20-bar average.
ATR%: ATR as % of price.
ADX/DI: Trend strength / direction components (Wilder).
EMA stack: Relationship between EMAs (bullish/bearish/flat).
VWAP%: Premium/discount to VWAP.
RS%: Relative strength vs benchmark.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
VWAP CALENDARThe VWAP CALENDAR indicator plots up to 20 anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) lines on your chart, each starting from a user-defined date and time (e.g., April 20, 2024). Designed for simplicity, it helps traders visualize VWAPs for key events or dates, with customizable labels and colors. The indicator is optimized for crypto markets (e.g., BTC/USD) but works with any symbol providing volume data.
Features: Multiple VWAPs: Configure up to 20
independent VWAPs, each with a custom anchor date and time.
Dynamic Labels: Labels update in real-time, aligning precisely with each VWAP line’s price level, positioned to the right of the chart for clarity.
Customizable Settings: Adjust label text (e.g., “Event A”), line colors, line widths (1–5 pixels), text colors, and text sizes (8–40 points, default 22).
Bubble or No-Background Labels: Choose between bubble-style labels (with colored backgrounds) or plain text labels without backgrounds.
Timeframe Support: Accurate on daily, 4-hour, 1-hour, and 30-minute charts for anchors within ~1.5 years (e.g., April 20, 2024, from August 2025).
Limitations: VWAP accuracy for anchors like April 20, 2024 (~477 days back) is reliable on 1-hour and larger timeframes. Below 30-minute (e.g., 15-minute, 24-minute), VWAPs may start later or be unavailable due to TradingView’s 5,000-bar historical data limit. For distant anchors, use 4-hour or daily charts to ensure accuracy.
Requires sufficient chart history (e.g., premium account or deep exchange data) for older anchors on 1-hour or 30-minute charts.
Usage Notes: Set anchor dates via the indicator settings (e.g., “2024-04-20 00:00”).
Enable/disable individual VWAPs as needed.
Zoom out to load maximum chart history for best results, especially on 1-hour or 30-minute timeframes.
Ideal for crypto symbols with continuous trading data, but verify data availability for other markets.
Disclaimer:
This is a free indicator provided as-is
GOLD_30MIN_ALLINONEA comprehensive 30 minute trading tool for XAUUSD trading.
Use in combination of the indicator: 1 minute Easy Scalping Sys v3.0 (by BulltradingAM).
Rules:
1. A solid break out (measure breakout strength from the other indicator mentioned above) from the London session high or low (Orange Boxes), during the first 3 30Min candles of NYC session (Blue Boxes).
2. open position in the direction of the break out, set SL on London session high/low and TP on 1:1 RR or Bollinger Band outer line (for trending trades) and Bollinger Band Base line (for pullbacks and trend reversal trades).
3. No long trades in Bollinger red section and no short trades in Bollinger green section.
More Information:
You need the indicator only for the breakout candle momentum strength with the following indicator settings:
Timeframe 1: 1 Day
Timeframe 2: 30 Minutes
Timeframe 3: 30 Minutes
Timeframe 4: 30 Minutes
and set the week candles fill to blank for easy identification.
You will not need ATRs or Hulls lines or anything else from the other indicator.
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
