Price & Volume Breakout Fibonacci Probability [TradeDots]📝 OVERVIEW
The "Price & Volume Breakout Fibonacci Probability" indicator is designed to detect the probability of the maximum run-up and drawdown of each breakout trade on an asset, assisting traders in optimizing their take profit and stop loss strategies.
🧮 CALCULATIONS
The algorithm detects price and volume breakouts to activate the Fibonacci levels displayed on the chart. It calculates these levels using the period pivot high and low, with the close price of the breakout bar as the reference price.
The indicator then forward-tests within an user-selected number of bars, detecting the maximum run-up and drawdown during that period. Consequently, it calculates the probability of the price hitting either side of the Fibonacci levels, showing the likelihood of reaching take profit and stop loss targets for each breakout trade.
📊 EXAMPLE
The above example shows two breakout trades, circled within the yellow rectangle zone.
The first trade has a maximum run-up above the +0.382 Fibonacci level zone and a maximum drawdown below the -0.618 Fibonacci level zone.
When the price reaches the maximum run-up, it only has a ~45% probability of moving further upward into the last two zones (25% + 19.44%). This indicates that setting a take profit at a higher level may have less than a 50% chance of success.
Conversely, when the price reaches its maximum drawdown, there is only an ~8% probability of moving further downward into the last drawdown zone. This could indicate a potential reversal.
⚙️ SETTINGS
Breakout Condition: Determines the type of breakout condition to track: "Price", "Volume", "Price & Volume".
Backtest Period: The maximum run-up and drawdown are detected within this bar period.
Price Breakout Period: Specifies the number of bars the price needs to break out from.
Volume Breakout Period: Specifies the number of bars the volume needs to break out from.
Trendline Confirmation: Confirms that the close price needs to be above the trendline.
📈 HOW TO USE
By understanding the probabilities of price movements to both the upside and downside, traders can set take profit and stop loss targets with greater accuracy.
For instance, placing a stop loss order below the zone with the highest probability minimizes the chances of being stopped out of a profitable trade. Conversely, setting a take profit target at the zone with the highest probability increases the win rate.
Additionally, if the price breaches multiple Fibonacci levels during the breakout period, it may indicate an abnormal state, signaling a potential reversal or pullback. This can help traders exit trades in a timely manner.
Traders can adjust their take profit and stop loss levels based on their individual risk tolerance.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Pricebreakout
Price Percentage Shaded CandlesDescription:
The Price Percentage Shaded Candles indicator (P%SC) is a technical analysis tool designed to represent price candles on a chart with shading intensity based on the percentage change between the open and close prices. This overlay indicator enhances visual analysis by providing a visual representation of price movement intensity.
How it Works:
The P%SC indicator calculates the percentage change between the open and close prices of each candle. It then determines the shading intensity of the price candles based on this percentage change. Higher percentage changes result in darker shading, while lower percentage changes result in lighter shading.
Usage:
To effectively utilize the Price Percentage Shaded Candles indicator, follow these steps:
1. Apply the Price Percentage Shaded Candles indicator to your chart by adding it from the available indicators.
2. Configure the indicator's inputs:
- Specify the color for bullish candles using the "Bullish Color" input.
- Specify the color for bearish candles using the "Bearish Color" input.
3. Observe the shaded candles on the chart:
- Bullish candles are colored with the specified bullish color and shaded according to the percentage change.
- Bearish candles are colored with the specified bearish color and shaded according to the percentage change.
4. Interpret the shaded candles:
- Darker shading indicates a higher percentage change and stronger price movement during the corresponding candle.
- Lighter shading indicates a lower percentage change and weaker price movement during the corresponding candle.
5. Combine the analysis of shaded candles with other technical analysis tools, such as trend lines, support and resistance levels, or candlestick patterns, to identify potential trade setups.
6. Implement appropriate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders and position sizing, to manage your trades effectively and protect your capital.
Note: The Price Percentage Shaded Candles indicator provides insights into the shading intensity of price candles based on percentage changes. However, it is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and perform thorough analysis before making trading decisions.
Price Percentage Breakout by Time PeriodDescription:
The Price Percentage Breakout by Time Period (P%BTP) indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential breakout signals based on the percentage change in price over a specified lookback period. It helps traders identify significant price movements that exceed a user-defined threshold, indicating potential trading opportunities.
How it Works:
The P%BTP indicator calculates the percentage change between the open and close prices of each candle. It compares this percentage change to the highest percentage change observed over the specified lookback period. When the percentage change exceeds or equals this highest value, it indicates a potential breakout signal. The indicator colors the bars on the chart based on whether it's a bullish or bearish breakout.
Usage:
To effectively utilize the Price Percentage Breakout by Time Period indicator, follow these steps:
1. Apply the P%BTP indicator to your chart by adding it from the available indicators.
2. Customize the input settings to suit your preferences. You can define the lookback period, which determines the number of bars used for calculating the percentage change, as well as choose colors for bullish and bearish breakouts.
3. Observe the bars on the chart:
- Bars highlighted in the bullish color indicate potential bullish breakout signals.
- Bars highlighted in the bearish color indicate potential bearish breakout signals.
4. Interpret the breakout signals:
- A bullish breakout signal occurs when the percentage change in price exceeds or equals the highest percentage change observed over the lookback period, indicating a potential upward movement.
- A bearish breakout signal occurs when the percentage change in price exceeds or equals the highest percentage change observed over the lookback period, indicating a potential downward movement.
5. Consider additional analysis:
- Combine the breakout signals from the P%BTP indicator with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, trend lines, or candlestick patterns, to confirm potential trade setups.
6. Implement appropriate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders and position sizing, to manage your trades effectively and protect your capital.
Note: The Price Percentage Breakout by Time Period indicator provides insights into potential breakout signals based on the percentage change in price over a specified lookback period. However, it is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and perform thorough analysis before making trading decisions.
Price Percentage Breakout by Chosen PercentageDescription:
The Price Percentage Breakout indicator (P%B) is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential breakout signals based on percentage changes in price. It helps traders identify significant price movements that exceed a specified threshold, indicating potential trading opportunities.
How it Works:
The Price Percentage Breakout indicator calculates the percentage change between the open and close prices of each candle. It compares this percentage change to a user-defined threshold to determine if a breakout has occurred. When the percentage change exceeds the threshold, indicating a significant price movement, the indicator highlights the breakout on the chart. Additionally alerts can be created by the user that display the percentage of the breakout.
Usage:
To effectively utilize the Price Percentage Breakout indicator, follow these steps:
1. Apply the P%B indicator to your chart by adding it from the available indicators.
2. Customize the input settings to suit your preferences. You can choose the color for highlighting the breakout and set the percentage threshold for detecting breakouts.
3. Observe the bars on the chart:
- Bars highlighted in the chosen color indicate potential breakout signals.
4. Interpret the breakout signals:
- A breakout signal occurs when the percentage change in price exceeds the specified threshold. This suggests a significant price movement.
5. Consider additional analysis:
- Combine the breakout signals from the Price Percentage Breakout indicator with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, trend lines, or candlestick patterns, to confirm potential trade setups.
6. Implement appropriate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders and position sizing, to manage your trades effectively and protect your capital.
Note: The Price Percentage Breakout indicator provides insights into potential breakout signals based on percentage changes in price. However, it is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and perform thorough analysis before making trading decisions.
Price ActionFirst, you have to know price action, RTM price action Handbook could help you
this indicator shows you base and momentum candles
base candles could be zones of trade that show you fighting of bulls and bears, and momentum candles could show the power of those zones.
Base candles are white in the chart, and you can place your order at the good zone.
Rally candles and drop candles are momentum candles, and bold rally and bold drop show that it is more powerful than its before candle.
Zigzag compression is one way that shows the compression in trend.
it looks like the Wedges pattern at classic technical that shows pending orders are closed, so the target zone could be powerful to reverse the trend.
Black background of candle means that candle doesn't reach its before candle and so it is poor candle, I named it domination.
It is better to do not trade at poor candles.
At the end, I find Price action the best way to trade, and it makes you free of other indicator, even volume indicator.
This indicator is good for those who use price action strategy to trade and those who want to learn the price action.
It could be so helpful and reliable way to find the zones, and place buy or sell order and the target, specially for scalping.
Breakout Labels and Alert For Price And VolumeThe indicator is developped for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, whose price and volume changes heavily within minutes. For the other Asset Classes, you may need to adjust the parameters.
Benefits:
1. Since a breakout of price or volume often means the start of a trend, this indicator alerts and displays a label when there is a breakout in price or volume.
2. The indicator prints labels on the chart, which helps people to study the relationship between a breakout and the trend.
3. The volume change is compared to a SMA of volume, instead of the last bar, which can reflect the change compared to a certain period.
4. You can set an alert for breakouts of both price and volume, instead of do it two times.
Settings:
SMA Length for volume: is the length to calculator volume SMA, default:108.
Toggle on/off to display or hide labels for price or volume breakout.
Customize the alert threshhold for price or volume breakout in different time period:3m,5m,15m,30m,60m and other
Use percentageGapForSlopeshape to adjust the relative position of labels.
Style - color settings: Orange for Volume Down, Blue for Volume Up, Red for Price Down, Green for Price Up.
