Ultimate Seasonality Indicator [SS]Hello everyone,
This is my seasonality indicator. I have been working on it for like 2 months, so hope you like it!
What it does?
The Ultimate Seasonality indicator is designed to provide you, the trader, an in-depth look at seasonality. The indicator gives you the ability to do the following functions:
View the most bearish and bullish months over a user defined amount of years back.
View the average daily change for each respective months over a user defined amount of years back.
See the most closely correlated month to the current month to give potential insights of likely trend.
Plot out areas of High and Low Seasonality.
Create a manual seasonal forecast model by selecting the desired month you would like to model the current month data after.
Have the indicator develop an autoregressive seasonal model based on seasonally lagged variables, using principles of machine learning.
I will go over these functions 1 by 1, its a whopper of an indicator so I will try to be as clear and concise as possible.
Viewing Bullish vs Bearish Months, Average Daily Change & Correlation to Current Month
The indicator will break down the average change, as well as the number of bullish and bearish days by month. See the image below as an example:
In the table to the right, you will see a breakdown of each month over the past 3 years.
In the first column, you will see the average daily change. A negative value, means it was a particularly bearish month, a positive value means it was a particularly bullish month.
The next column over shows the correlation to the current dataset. How this works is the indicator takes the size of the monthly data for each month, and compares it to the last X number of days up until the last trading day. It will then perform a correlation assessment to see how closely similar the past X number of trading days are to the various monthly data.
The last 2 columns break down the number of Bullish and Bearish days, so you can see how many red vs green candles happened in each respective month over your set timeframe. In the example above, it is over the pats 3 years.
Plot areas of High and Low Seasonality
In the chart above, you will see red and green highlighted zones.
Red represents areas of HIGH Seasonality .
Green represents areas of LOW Seasonality .
For this function, seasonality is measured by the autocorrelation function at various lags (12 lags). When there is an average autocorrelation of greater than 0.85 across all seasonal lags, it is considered likely the result of high seasonality/trend.
If the lag is less than or equal to 0.05, it is indicative of very low seasonality, as there is no predominate trend that can be found by the autocorrelation functions over the seasonally lagged variables.
Create Manual Seasonal Forecasts
If you find a month that has a particularly high correlation to the current month, you can have the indicator create a seasonal model from this month, and fit it onto the current dataset (past X days of trading).
If we look at the example below:
We can see that the most similar month to the current data is September. So, we can ask the indicator to create a seasonal forecast model from only September data and fit it to our current month. This is the result:
You will see, using September data, our most likely close price for this month is 450 and our model is y= 1.4305x + -171.67.
We can accept the 450 value but we can use the equation to model the data ourselves manually.
For example, say we have a target price on the month of 455 based on our own analysis. We can calculate the likely close price, should this target be reached, by substituting this target for x. So y = 1.4305x + -171.67 becomes
y = 1.4305(455) +- 171.67
y = 479.20
So the likely close price would be 479.20. No likely, and thus its not likely we are to see 455.
HOWEVER, in this current example, the model is far too statistically insignificant to be used. We can see the correlation is only 0.21 and the R squared is 0.04. Not a model you would want to use!
You want to see a correlation of at least 0.5 or higher and an R2 of 0.5 or higher.
We can improve the accuracy by reducing the number of years we look back. This is what happens when we reduce the lookback years to 1:
You can see reducing to 1 year gives December as the most similar month. However, our R2 value is still far too low to really rely on this data whole-heartedly. But it is a good reference point.
Automatic Autoregressive Model
So this is my first attempt at using some machine learning principles to guide statistical analysis.
In the main chart above, you will see the indicator making an autoregressive model of seasonally lagged variables. It does this in steps. The steps include:
1) Differencing the data over 12, seasonally lagged variables.
2) Determining stationarity using DF test.
3) Determining the highest, autocorrelated lags that fall within a significant stationary result.
4) Creating a quadratic model of the two identified lags that best represents a stationary model with a high autocorrelation.
What are seasonally lagged variables?
Seasonally lagged variables are variables that represent trading months. So a lag of 25 would be 1 month, 50, 2 months, 75, 3 months, etc.
When it displays this model, it will show us what the results of the t-statistic are for the DF test, whether the data is stationary, and the result of the autocorrelation assessment.
It will then display the model detail in the tip table, which includes the equation, the current lags being used, the R2 and the correlation value.
Concluding Remarks
That's the indicator in a nutshell!
Hope you like it!
One final thing, you MUST have your chart set to daily, otherwise you will get a runtime error. This can ONLY be used on the daily timeframe!
Feel free to leave your questions, comments and suggestions below.
Note:
My "ultimate" indicators are made to give the functionality of multiple indicators in one. If you like this one, you may like some of my others:
Ultimate P&L Indicator
Ultimate Customizable EMA/SMA
Thanks for checking out the indicator!
Ciclos
The Ultimate Buy and Sell IndicatorThis indicator should be used in conjunction with a solid risk management strategy that does not over-leverage positions and uses stop-losses. You can not rely 100% on the signals provided by this indicator (or any other for that matter).
With that said, this indicator can provide some excellent signals.
It has been designed with a large number of customization options intended for advanced traders, but you do not HAVE to be an advanced user to simply use the indicator. I have tried to make it easy to understand, and this section will provide you with a better understanding of how to use it.
NOTE:
While NOT REQUIRED, I would recommend also finding my indicator called, "Ultimate RSI", which is designed to work together with this indicator (visually). They both contain the same settings and allow you to visualize changes made in this indicator that can not be displayed on the main chart.
This indicator creates it's own candles(bars), so you have to go into your main settings and turn off the "body, border and wick" color settings. Using a dark background is also recommended.
How does it work?
The indicator mainly relies on the RSI indicator with Bollinger Bands for signals. (Though not entirely)
First, there are something that I call "Watch Signals", which are various Bollinger Band crossing events. This could be the price crossing Bollinger Bands or the RSI crossing Bollinger Bands.
There are separate watch signals for buys and sells. Buy watch signals are colored orange to match the BUY signal candle color and Fuchsia (kind of a bright purple) to match SELL signal candles.
In order for most buy or sell signals to be created, there must first be a watch signal. There is a lookback period (or length) for watch signals to be used, and after that many candles (bars) have passed, they will be ignored. You can set a length to look back as well as a time to wait before creating any.
What this means is that if there has previously been (for instance) a sell signal. You can tell it to wait 10 bars before creating any buy watch signals. You can then also tell it that it should look back 10 bars from the current one in order to find any buy watch signals. This means that if you had it set up that way 10 to wait and 10 to validate, it would start allowing buy watch signals 11 bars after a sell, and then once you hit 20 bars, it will start leaving a gap (invisible to you) as the 10 bar lookback period starts moving forward with each new bar. This is useful in order to keep signals more spaced apart as some bad signals come quickly after another one.
Example: You may get a sell signal where the Bollinger bands are tight, then the price easily drops down into the lower band creating a buy watch signal, then you get a "fake" or short pump up and it says buy, but then drops dramatically afterwards. The wait period can ensure that the sell stays in effect longer before a buy is considered by blocking any buy watch signals for a period of time.
After you get a watch signal, the system then looks for various other things to happen to create buy or sell signals. This could be the RSI crossing the (slow) RSI Basis line (from its Bollinger bands), it could be the price crossing its basis line, it could be MACD crosses, it could even be RSI crossing certain levels. All of these are options. If you like the MACD strategy and want it to give you buy and sell signals from just MACD crosses, simply select that option for signals.
It is also able to use the first of any of the options that takes place.
I included an option to force alternating buy and sell signals, rather than showing groups of, or subsequent buy, buy, buy signals, for instance.
Moving on....
You can change the moving average that is used to calculate the RSI. The standard moving average for RSI is the RMA (aka SWMA). Changes to this can dramatically change your signals. You also have the option to change the moving average type used in the Bollinger bands calculation. You can change the length of these as well. The same goes for the Bollinger bands over the Price chart. I added an ATR option for the RSI Bollinger bands to play with, as well. You are able to adjust the standard deviation (multiplier) of the bands as well, which will of course affect the signals.
The ways you can play with signals are nearly infinite, so have fun figuring it out.
The indicator allows for moving averages to be shown as well, with a variety of types to choose from. The standard numbers are 5, 10, 20, 50, 100 and 200, with the addition of a custom moving average of your choice. You can also change the color of this one. You can choose to show them all or any of them you want to show, in any combination, although the TYPE of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, etc.) will apply to all of them.
You may also notice the Bollinger Bands over the Price are colored, and become more or less transparent.
The color is derived from the trend of the RSI or the RSI basis (your choice). It looks back at the value however many bars you want and compares the values and that's how it determines if it is trending up or down. Since RSI is a directional momentum indicator, this can be quite useful. If you see the bands are getting darker, this will explain why.
The indicator has a lookback period for determining the widest the bands (which measure volatility) have been over that period of time. This is the baseline. It then will make the bands disappear (by making them more transparent) if the volatility is low. This indicates that a change in volatility is coming and that price isn't really changing much compared to the past (default 500) bars. If they become bright, this is because price has started trending in a direction and volatility is increasing.
I should also note that the candles are colored based on RSI levels.
If you use the Ultimate Companion indicator, you will be able to see the RSI levels (zones) that the colors are based on. As RSI moves into a new range, the candle color will change.
I have created a yellow zone where the candles turn yellow. This is when RSI is between (default) 45 and 55, indicating there is basically no momentum and price is going sideways. This is a good place to get trapped in bad trades, and there is a Yellow RSI Filter to block signals in this area to keep you from entering bad trades.
Green candles indicate values over 55 (getting brighter as RSI rises) and red candles are RSI values under 45 (getting brighter as RSI values get lower). If you see white, this means RSI is either over 80 or under 20. A sharp reversal is almost always imminent at this stage.
When we talk about Buy and Sell Signals, they draw a green or red triangle and it literally says BUY or SELL. There is an option to color the background for added visibility. These signals do not "repaint", what this means is that they can be late. To account for this, I have included a background color that will flash as a warning that a buy or sell could be imminent, although it may fail to break through and set a buy or sell signal. This is simply an advanced warning. The reason is that sometimes a candle may be very large and you won't be told to buy or sell during the candle until the move is completely over and now you're getting in on the next one. That's not a great feeling, so I made it repaint the background color and not repaint the completed signal. You get the best of both worlds.
This indicator also uses complex logic to handle things.
When there is a buy signal, it enters into a state of having been bought, or a "bought state". The same for sells. If Force alternating signals is off, you could have more than one buy in a bought state, or more than one sell in a sell state. There is an option to color the background green during the full duration of a bought state, or red during the full duration of a sold state.
I have added divergence.
This shows that the lows or highs of RSI and PRICE are different. If RSI is making higher highs but the price is not, then the price is likely to follow this bullish divergence, if the opposite happens, it's bearish. It will draw a line on the chart connecting the highs and lows and call it bearish or bullish. You can adjust this as well.
I have an RSI High/Low filter. If the RSI basis (or average) is very high or low, you can block signal from this area since the price is likely to continue in that direction before actually reversing.
You can change the settings of the MACD if you choose to use it for signals, and if you want to see it, you'll have to run that indicator below the chart and match the settings to see what is going on, just like the RSI.
Going back to Watch Signals. You can also choose to require more than one watch signal if you choose. You can skip watch signals, so it will ignore the first or second one, whatever you want to do. You can color the background to show you where watch signals have been skipped.
Regarding the wait period for creating watch signals after a sell or after a buy, you can also color the background to see where these were blocked by the wait period.
Lastly you can choose which type of watch signals to use, or keep them from being shown on the chart. This allows you to study the history of how the asset you are trading behaves and customize the behavior of signals based on your study of it.
Everything in the settings area has tooltips, which will explain what that thing does to help you along this journey.
I hope this indicator (and perhaps Ultimate RSI alongside this) will help you take your trading to the next level.
Normalized Price VolumeThe Normalized Price Volume (NPV) indicator is a unique tool designed to offer insights into the relationship between price movements and trading volume. By normalizing these factors, NPV helps traders identify potential price trends and reversals with greater precision.
Key Features:
Normalization: NPV leverages the Average True Range (ATR) to normalize price changes, making them comparable across different assets and timeframes.
Price and Volume Ratios: The indicator calculates the ratio of normalized price changes and volume to provide valuable information about the dynamics between price and trading activity.
Sum of Changes: NPV also presents the sum of normalized price changes over a user-defined period, allowing you to gauge the overall trend strength.
Customizable Averages: Adjust the length of the moving averages used in the price and volume ratios to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to your trading strategy.
NPV is a versatile tool that can be used for various trading and investment approaches. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or investor, NPV can help you make more informed decisions by shedding light on the interactions between price and volume in the market.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should be used in conjunction with other analysis techniques and not solely for making trading decisions.
Normalized Detrended Price OscillatorThe Normalized Detrended Price Oscillator (NDPO) is a powerful tool for traders and analysts to understand price trends with greater clarity. This indicator is derived from the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) and offers a normalized perspective to help you assess price movements more effectively.
Key Features:
Length Control: Adjust the indicator's sensitivity to price fluctuations with the customizable length parameter.
Centered or Not: Choose between centered or non-centered calculations for the DPO, allowing you to align the indicator with your specific trading strategy.
Normalized Values: The NDPO normalizes the DPO values by dividing them by the Average True Range (ATR), providing a standardized view of price movements.
The NDPO helps traders identify potential reversals, divergences, and overbought/oversold conditions in the market. It's a valuable addition to your technical analysis toolkit, offering insights into price action that can lead to more informed trading decisions.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should be used in conjunction with other analysis techniques and not solely for making trading decisions.
Bitcoin Halving Cycle ProfitThe Bitcoin Halving Cycle Profit indicator, developed by Kevin Svenson , unveils a consistent and predetermined profit-taking cycle triggered by each Bitcoin halving event. This indicator streamlines the analysis of halving occurrences, providing explicit signals for both profit-taking and Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies.
Following each Bitcoin halving event, a fixed number of weeks consistently mark the period of maximum profitability for profit-taking:
🔄 Halving Cycle Profit Timeline Explained:
• 40 Weeks (Post-Halving) = Start of the optimal profit-taking zone.
• 80 Weeks (Post-Halving) = "Last Call" for profit-taking before the onset of a bear market.
• 125 Weeks (Post-Halving) = The optimal timeframe to begin Dollar-Cost Averaging.
(Bitcoin Weekly Chart using Halving Cycle Profit)
One standout feature of this indicator is its inherent clarity and comprehensive labeling. This quality makes it exceptionally easy to discern the locations of key factors and turning points, enhancing your understanding of the market dynamics it highlights.
(Bitcoin Daily Chart using Halving Cycle Profit)
🚀 This indicator doesn't limit its effectiveness to just Bitcoin; it seamlessly integrates with top blue-chip altcoins like Ethereum and most household names in the crypto industry.
( Ethereum Weekly Chart using Halving Cycle Profit)
🛠️ Customizable display options are availible. Users have the flexibility to toggle/adjust labels, lines, and color fills according to their preferences.
📑 In summary, the Bitcoin Halving Cycle Profit indicator is a versatile and user-friendly tool, offering clarity and customization for traders navigating both Bitcoin and top altcoins.
⚠️ It's important to note that while the Bitcoin Halving Cycle Profit indicator provides historical insights, past performance does not guarantee future results. Timing profitability in the cryptocurrency market involves inherent risks, and this indicator should not be construed as financial advice. Users are encouraged to exercise caution, conduct thorough research, and make informed decisions based on their individual risk tolerance and financial goals.
New York Sessions Morning, Lunch and afternoon. AMKDescription
The script is designed to highlight the New York Stock Exchange's trading day, broken down into three specific sub-sessions: morning, lunchtime, and afternoon. Each sub-session is color-coded to provide an immediate visual cue about which portion of the trading day is currently active. Additionally, this script allows the user to adjust the time zone offset, making it adaptable for traders in different time zones around the world.
Originality
While there are scripts that highlight the entire trading day or specific market hours, this script adds granularity by breaking down the New York trading session into its typical behavioral parts: the morning rush, the lunchtime lull, and the afternoon action. The addition of an adjustable time zone offset is a unique feature that makes the tool more versatile and accommodating to a global user base.
Usefulness
The ability to visualize these different trading sessions can be valuable for various types of traders:
Day Traders: The script helps to immediately identify which session they are in, aiding in their trading strategy as market behavior can vary between these periods.
Swing Traders: They may use these sub-sessions to time their entries or exits, especially if they're based in different time zones.
Market Analysts: The color-coded sessions provide a quick way to analyze the historical performance and volatility of an asset during different trading periods.
Global Traders: The time zone adjustment feature makes it easy for traders outside of the Eastern Time Zone to customize the script according to their local time, increasing its utility across different markets.
Educational Purpose: For new traders, this could serve as an educational tool to understand the typical behavior of the stock market at different times of the day.
So, whether you're timing an intraday entry or looking for patterns tied to specific market sessions, this script offers a straightforward, visual way to keep track of where you are in the trading day.
Cycle OscillatorThe Cycle Oscillator is a tool developed to help traders analyze market cycles thanks to a simplified version of the Hurst theory and the easy visualization provided by the detrended cycle.
This indicator has two functions:
- The first one is the plotting of a line that oscillates above and below the zero line, which can be used to find the cycle direction and momentum
- The second feature is the next-cycle bottom forecaster, useful for estimating the timing of the future pivot low based on the pivot low of the oscillator.
This last feature shows graphically the period in which the next low will probably happen, using as a calculation method the timing of the previous indicator's lows.
Additionally, the user can choose to modify the cycle length to analyze bigger or smaller price movements.
This indicator can be greatly used in combination with other Cycle Indicators to gain more confluence in the plotted time areas.
Cycle IndicatorThe Cycle Indicator is a tool developed to help traders analyze market cycles thanks to a simplified version of the Hurst theory.
This indicator has two functions:
- The first one is the plotting of a line that can be used to find the cycle direction and momentum
- The second feature is the next-cycle bottom forecaster, useful for estimating the timing of the future pivot low.
This last feature shows graphically the period in which the next low will probably happen, using as a calculation method the timing of the previous lows.
Additionally, the user can choose to extend this time zone or to limit them to the range between the last pivot high and low.
Previous Day High and Low + Separators Daily/WeeklyPrevious Day High and Low + Separators Daily/Weekly is an indicator based on separators of days and weeks and at the same time points out the previous highs and lows, everything is marked by lines, it consists of creating a clean graph and separated by the different trading days, referring to the extreme points created the previous day.
USEAGE
Point to each day of the week at the top of the chart to get a time location in your trading week and day sparation determined by 00:00 of any timezone.
The reference of the previous day's higs and LOWS is vitally important to understand which direction is most likely for the next day, either continuation or reversal.
DETAILS
As you can see you will be able to adapt these lines according to your chart design and with the desired intensity of appearance.
SETTINGS
UTC OFFSET: Determine your TIMEZONE in this section.
DAILY SEPARATOR: You have the option to change the color, style, width and text color.
WEEKLY SEPARATOR: You have the option to change the color, style, width and text color.
PREVIOUS HIGS & LOWS: You have the option to change the color, style, width and text color.
Stablecoin DominanceStablecoin Dominance Indicator
The Stablecoin Dominance Indicator is a powerful tool designed to analyze the relative dominance of stablecoins within the cryptocurrency market. It utilizes a combination of regression analysis and standard deviation to provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential turning points. This indicator is particularly useful for traders and investors looking to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies.
How to Read the Indicator:
The Stablecoin Dominance Indicator comprises three key lines, each serving a specific purpose:
Middle Line (Regression Line):
The middle line represents the Regression Line of stablecoin dominance, acting as a baseline showing the average or mean dominance of stablecoins in the market.
When the stablecoin dominance hovers around this middle line, it suggests a relatively stable market sentiment with no extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Upper Line (2 Standard Deviations Above Mean):
The upper line, positioned 2 standard deviations above the Regression Line, indicates a significant deviation from the mean.
When stablecoin dominance approaches or surpasses this upper line, it may imply that the cryptocurrency market is experiencing oversold conditions, potentially signaling a market bottom. This is an opportune time for traders to consider increasing their exposure to cryptocurrencies.
Lower Line (2 Standard Deviations Below Mean):
The lower line, positioned 2 standard deviations below the Regression Line, shows a significant deviation in the opposite direction, indicating overbought conditions.
When stablecoin dominance approaches or falls below this lower line, it suggests overbought conditions in the market, possibly indicating a market top. Traders may consider reducing their cryptocurrency holdings or taking profits during this phase.
It's important to note that the Stablecoin Dominance Indicator should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools and strategies.
By understanding and applying the insights provided by this indicator, traders and investors can make more informed decisions in the ever-changing cryptocurrency landscape, potentially enhancing their trading strategies and risk management practices.
(Log Regression code made by @rumpypumpydumpy)
Confluence Buy-Sell Indicator with Fibonacci The script is a "Confluence Indicator with Fibonacci" designed to work on the TradingView platform. This indicator combines multiple technical analysis strategies to generate buy and sell signals based on user-defined confluence criteria. Here's a breakdown of its features:
Confluence Criteria: Users can enable or disable various strategies like MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, Divergence, Fibonacci, and Moving Average. The number of strategies that need to align for a signal to be generated can be set by the user.
Strategies Included:
MACD Strategy: Uses the Moving Average Convergence Divergence method to identify buy/sell opportunities.
RSI Strategy: Utilizes the Relative Strength Index to detect overbought or oversold conditions.
Bollinger Bands Strategy: Incorporates Bollinger Bands to identify volatility and potential buy/sell signals.
Divergence Strategy: A basic implementation that detects bullish and bearish divergences using the RSI.
Fibonacci Strategy: Uses Fibonacci retracement levels to determine potential support and resistance levels.
Moving Average Strategy: Employs a crossover system between the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages.
Additional Features:
Support & Resistance: Identifies major support and resistance levels from the last 50 bars.
Pivot Points: Calculates pivot points to determine potential turning points.
Stop Loss Levels: Automatically calculates and plots stop-loss levels for buy and sell signals.
NYC Midnight Level: Option to display the New York City midnight price level.
Visualization: Plots buy and sell signals on the chart with green and red markers respectively.
Adequate Category:
"Technical Analysis Indicators & Overlays" or "Strategy & Scripting Tools".
3x MTF MACD v3.0MACD's on 3 different Time Frames
Indicator Information
- Each Time Frame shows start of Trend and end of trend of the MACD vs the Signal Cross
- They are labled 1,2,3 with respective up or down triangle for possible direction.
User Inputs
- configure the indicator by specifying various inputs. These inputs include colors for bullish
and bearish conditions, the time frame to use, whether to show a Simple Moving Average
(SMA) line, and other parameters.
- Users can choose time frames for analysis (like 30 minutes, 1 hour, etc.)
but they must be in mintues.
- The code also allows users to customize how the indicator looks on the chart by providing
options for position and color.
Main Calculations
- The script calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) based on the user-defined time
frame.
- It then determines the color of the plot (line) based on certain conditions, such as whether
the SMA is rising or falling. These conditions help users quickly identify market trends.
Label Creation
- The code creates labels that can be displayed on the chart.
These labels indicate whether there's a bullish or bearish signal.
Level Detection
- The script determines and labels key levels or points of interest in the chart based on
certain conditions.
- It can show labels like "①" and "▲" for bullish conditions and "▼" for bearish conditions.
Table Display
- There's an option to show a table on the chart that displays information about the MACD
indicator Chosen and the NUmber Bubble assocated with that time frame
- The table can include information like which time frame is being analyzed, whether the SMA
line is shown, and other relevant data.
Plotting on the Chart
- The script plots the Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the chart. The color of this line
changes based on the calculated trend conditions.
ATR (Average True Range)
- The script also plots the Average True Range (ATR) on the chart. ATR is used to measure
market volatility.
"In essence, this script is a highly customizable MACD and SMA indicator for traders. It assists traders in comprehending market trends, offering insights into different MACD cycles concerning various timeframes.
Users can configure it to match their trading strategies, and it presents information in a user-friendly manner with colors, labels, and tables.
This simplifies market analysis, allowing traders to make more informed decisions without the distraction of multiple indicators."
Bitcoin Is Dead (BID/Weekly)Shows two consecutive weekly Bitcoin drops of X% both indicating capitulation which may be relevant to crypto markets, risk-on/risk-off and possibly tech markets.
Suggested usage: set the drop % and apply to weekly charts. Can be used on any chart, not just Bitcoin, but calculates indicator specifically for Bitcoin pricing.
Can be used for entertainment or technical analysis.
3 TIMEFRAMES BOXES3 boxes, with their recent high/low and their respective open/close, and the 50% line of the high/low. All adjustable for preferred timeframes, colour and thickness.
My personal preference is previous week 00:00 to 00:00, yesterday 00:00 to 00:00, and the day before 00:00 to 00:00 (NY timezone). Another could be the London, NY, and Asian sessions (which you have to manually place the timeframes for). As said, you can adjust it completely to your own liking. Enjoy!
Leading Economic Indicator (LEI)The Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) is a groundbreaking technical indicator designed to serve as a comprehensive measure of the prevailing direction of economic trends in the United States. This unique index combines two key economic indicators: the Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
The OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is a globally recognized indicator that assesses the future direction of economic trends by analyzing various leading economic factors. The ISM PMI, on the other hand, provides insights into the business activities of both the manufacturing and services sectors. LEI merges these critical indicators into a single, holistic indicator that empowers traders and investors to grasp the broader economic outlook and the performance of essential economic sectors simultaneously.
By taking into account the CLI and PMI, LEI offers a distinctive perspective, enabling a more accurate assessment of the potential direction of US financial markets.
Usage:
To utilize LEI effectively, it is recommended to apply it on a monthly timeframe (TF Monthly). This extended timeframe is particularly beneficial for investors with a medium to long-term horizon. By focusing on longer-term trends and market stability, LEI becomes an invaluable tool in your investment strategy.
One of the primary applications of LEI is to gauge the risk of market corrections in US financial markets, including the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones indices. Analysts often observe the crossing of the 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) with the 10-period SMA. When the 5-period SMA falls below the 10-period SMA, it serves as a potential warning signal for an impending market correction. This feature provides traders with an opportunity to exercise caution and make well-informed investment decisions.
LEI, with its unique blend of the OECD CLI and ISM PMI, provides a reliable tool for assessing the US economic climate, identifying trends, and making informed decisions in the financial markets. It stands as a reference indicator, capturing the essence of economic trends and providing valuable insights to traders and investors.
Sources:
- OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI): www.data.oecd.org
- Purchasing Managers' Index: ISM Report on Business (PMI) www.ismworld.org
Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is a widely recognized economic indicator that provides crucial insights into the health and performance of an economy's manufacturing and services sectors. This index is a vital tool for anticipating economic developments and trends, offering an early warning system for changes in these sectors.
The PMI is calculated based on surveys conducted among purchasing managers in various businesses and organizations. These managers are asked about their perceptions of current business conditions and their expectations for future economic activity within their sectors. The responses are then compiled and used to calculate the PMI value.
A PMI value above 50 typically indicates that the manufacturing or services sector is expanding, suggesting a positive economic outlook. Conversely, a PMI value below 50 suggests contraction, which may be an early indication of economic challenges or a potential recession.
In summary, the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is an essential economic indicator that assesses the health of manufacturing and services sectors by surveying purchasing managers' opinions. It serves as an early warning system for changes in economic activity and is a valuable tool for forecasting economic trends and potential crises.
This code combines the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data with two Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and some visual elements.
Let's break down how this indicator works:
1. Loading PMI Data:
The indicator loads data for the "USBCOI" symbol, which represents the PMI data. It fetches the monthly closing prices of this symbol.
2. Calculating Moving Averages:
Two Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) are calculated based on the PMI data. The first SMA, sma_usbcoi, has a length defined by the input parameter (default: 2). The second SMA, sma2_usbcoi, has a different length defined by the second input parameter (default: 14).
3. Color Coding and Thresholds:
The line color of the PMI plot is determined based on the value of the PMI. If the PMI is above 52, the color is teal; if it's below 48, the color is red; otherwise, it's gray. These threshold values are often used to identify specific conditions in the PMI data.
4. Crossing Indicator:
A key feature of this indicator is to determine if the PMI crosses the first SMA (sma_usbcoi) from top to bottom while also being above the value of 52. This is indicated by the crossedUp variable. This condition suggests a specific situation where the PMI crosses a short-term moving average while indicating strength (above 52).
5. Visual Elements:
A "💀" skull emoji is defined as skullEmoji.
The PMI is plotted on the chart with color coding based on its value, as described earlier.
The two SMAs are also plotted on the chart.
When the crossedUp condition is met (PMI crosses the first SMA from top to bottom while above 52), a skull emoji (indicating potential danger) is plotted at the top of the indicator window.
US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI)The US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI), normalized for the United States, closely mirrors the Conference Board "Leading Economic Index" (LEI). It offers unique insights into economic and financial dynamics.
The Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is an economic tool designed to anticipate economic developments. It is created by aggregating and normalizing a wide range of economic and financial data from various sources.
The normalized data is then aggregated, and a composite indicator is calculated by taking a weighted average of individual indicators.
The CLI is used to provide early insights into the state of the economy and to anticipate future economic trends. It is particularly valuable for predicting economic downturns, including recessions.
The CLI is an essential tool for economists, governments, businesses, and investors seeking to understand economic trends and make informed decisions.
Key Features:
1. Early Warning: Just like its counterpart, the CLI indicator excels at offering early warnings about significant economic events, particularly economic crises. This makes it an indispensable asset for analysts and investors.
2. Recession Indicators: The moving average serves as an early warning system for potential economic recessions. When it crosses the indicator line from the bottom to the top while surpassing a predefined threshold (e.g., 101), it signals a potential crisis.
3. Market Impact: The CLI indicator provides valuable insights into the performance of financial markets, offering cues about indices such as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and more.
Why It Matters:
Understanding the US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) indicator, normalized for the United States, is crucial for anticipating economic shifts and preparing for changes in financial markets. By analyzing a diverse array of economic factors, it provides a holistic view of economic well-being. Whether you're an investor or economist, this indicator can be an invaluable resource for staying informed about market trends and major economic developments.
Source:
www.data.oecd.org
New Tradability by hajiIntroduction:
The New Tradability Indicator is a state-of-the-art, meticulously coded tool designed for traders on TradingView. Crafted with precision and an in-depth understanding of market dynamics, this indicator offers a comprehensive insight into market tradability across various time frames. By leveraging the core metrics of Trend Area and Quality, it aims to empower traders with the right information to make informed decisions, mitigate FOMO, and maximize profitability.
Core Features:
Three-tiered Time Frame Analysis:
Macro Time Frame: This captures the overarching market movement by analyzing long-term trends. It gives a bird's-eye view of the market's direction and momentum, ideal for position and swing traders.
Normal Time Frame: This is aligned with the current chart time frame. It offers real-time insights for those who trade more frequently, such as day traders or those who base their decisions on hourly or daily charts.
Micro Time Frame: Tailored for scalpers and short-term traders, this captures the minutiae of market fluctuations by focusing on smaller time frames.
Dual-metric Analysis:
Trend Area: This metric delves deep into the market's current trend strength. Whether bullish or bearish, it provides a quantified representation of the trend's vigor and possible continuation. A higher percentage indicates a more pronounced trend, offering traders clarity on potential breakout or reversal scenarios.
Quality: Designed to combat one of the trader's arch-nemeses, FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), this metric evaluates the aptness of entering a trade. A high-quality score signifies a ripe opportunity, suggesting that it's an optimal time to enter the market. Conversely, a low-quality score can act as a warning sign, indicating that the prime entry point might have passed, thus cautioning traders against making hasty decisions.
Tradability Bar: The culmination of the indicator's insights is reflected in the Tradability Bar. This holistic bar synthesizes data from all metrics and time frames to present traders with a singular, easy-to-read percentage. The higher the percentage, the more favorable the market conditions are deemed for trading.
Usage Guidelines:
For optimal results, traders are advised to:
Use the Tradability Bar as an initial reference point. A high percentage suggests promising trading conditions.
Dive deeper by analyzing individual metrics (Trend Area & Quality) and respective time frames to validate or refine their trading strategies.
Always consider external market news, events, and other technical analysis tools in conjunction with this indicator for a more rounded decision-making process.
Conclusion:
The New Tradability Indicator for TradingView stands as a beacon for traders navigating the tumultuous seas of the financial markets. By distilling complex market dynamics into actionable insights, it seeks to be an indispensable ally in a trader's journey towards consistent profitability. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this tool is tailored to provide clarity, confidence, and a competitive edge in the trading arena. Welcome to the future of informed trading.
Old Tradability by Kiersten & HajiIntroduction:
The "Old Tradability" is a meticulously crafted indicator designed exclusively for TradingView users. It brings together the power of various well-respected indicators, offering traders a comprehensive tool to gauge market conditions and make informed decisions. Whether you're a novice trader looking for a reliable indicator or a seasoned professional seeking to add another layer to your analytical toolbox, Old Tradability is tailored to provide actionable insights.
Core Features:
Dual Level Analysis:
Long-Term Trend Analysis: At its core, Old Tradability emphasizes the identification of prevailing long-term market trends. To achieve this, it leverages the capabilities of some of the most recognized indicators in the trading world, such as:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Known for its reliability in spotting trend changes and momentum.
MFI (Money Flow Index): A valuable tool to evaluate the flow of money into and out of an asset, often used to predict overbought or oversold conditions.
Heikin Ashi: A unique form of candlestick charting that filters market noise, helping traders understand the market sentiment and trend direction more clearly.
Short-Term Analysis Using MinMax Normalization: The indicator doesn't stop at just identifying the long-term trend. Recognizing the importance of short-term price movements, Old Tradability applies MinMax Normalization on shorter time frames. This technique adjusts the scale of data, making it easier to spot potential reversals or continuation patterns.
Strategic Trading Recommendations:
The principle is simple yet effective. When the long-term trend is bullish and the short-term analysis places the asset in the bottom 20%, it presents a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, if the long-term trend is bearish and the short-term places the asset in the top 20%, traders might consider it as a selling signal.
Integrated Risk Management Alerts:
One of the standout features of Old Tradability is its built-in risk management system. This feature ensures that traders are not only informed about potential trade setups but also about the inherent risks associated.
The system sends out timely alerts for what it deems as "perfect setups," allowing traders to act swiftly and decisively. This minimizes the chance of missing out on lucrative trades while also providing an extra layer of security by notifying users about unfavorable conditions.
Conclusion:
The Old Tradability Indicator is more than just a tool; it's a comprehensive trading companion. Its dual-level analysis ensures that traders have a holistic view of the market, while its integrated risk management alerts keep them one step ahead. If you're looking for a dependable, detailed, and actionable indicator on TradingView, Old Tradability might just be the perfect addition to your trading strategy. Happy trading!
Session highlighter [Digit23]This Pine Script indicator, crafted by Digit23, serves as a session highlighter to enrich your TradingView trading experience. It offers a visual representation of a specified trading session, aiding traders in identifying and concentrating on pivotal time intervals.
Key Features:
User-Defined Session: Tailor the trading session by setting specific start and end times, allowing traders to align the indicator with their preferred timeframes.
Day of Week Filter: Optionally, refine the highlighted session by selecting a specific day of the week, providing flexibility to accommodate diverse trading strategies.
Visual Clarity: The indicator employs a customizable background color during the defined trading session, ensuring quick recognition and differentiation of the highlighted timeframe.
How to Use:
Session Configuration: Adjust the start and end times to define your preferred trading session.
Day of Week Filter (Optional): Fine-tune the indicator by specifying a particular day of the week to apply the session highlight.
Visual Enhancement: The indicator visually highlights the specified trading session, offering a clear and intuitive representation on your TradingView chart.
Compatibility:
This indicator seamlessly integrates with all markets and timeframes available on TradingView, providing versatility for traders across different instruments.
Note:
Use this indicator alongside other technical analysis tools for a comprehensive trading strategy.
This indicator is shared for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and it's crucial to conduct thorough research and analysis before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer: This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and it is essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making trading decisions.
IPDA Standard Deviations [DexterLab x TFO x toodegrees]> Introduction and Acknowledgements
The IPDA Standard Deviations tool encompasses the Time and price relationship as studied by @TraderDext3r .
I am not the creator of this Theory, and I do not hold the answers to all the questions you may have; I suggest you to study it from Dexter's tweets, videos, and material.
This tool was born from a collaboration between @TraderDext3r, @tradeforopp and I, with the objective of bringing a comprehensive IPDA Standard Deviations tool to Tradingview.
> Tool Description
This is purely a graphical aid for traders to be able to quickly determine Fractal IPDA Time Windows, and trace the potential Standard Deviations of the moves at their respective high and low extremes.
The disruptive value of this tool is that it allows traders to save Time by automatically adapting the Time Windows based on the current chart's Timeframe, as well as providing customizations to filter and focus on the appropriate Standard Deviations.
> IPDA Standard Deviations by TraderDext3r
The underlying idea is based on the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm's lookback windows on the daily chart as taught by the Inner Circle Trader:
IPDA looks at the past three months of price action to determine how to deliver price in the future.
Additionally, the ICT concept of projecting specific manipulation moves prior to large displacement upwards/downwards is used to navigate and interpret the priorly mentioned displacement move. We pay attention to specific Standard Deviations based on the current environment and overall narrative.
Dexter being one of the most prominent Inner Circle Trader students, harnessed the fractal nature of price to derive fractal IPDA Lookback Time Windows for lower Timeframes, and studied the behaviour of price at specific Deviations.
For Example:
The -1 to -2 area can initiate an algorithmic retracement before continuation.
The -2 to -2.5 area can initiate an algorithmic retracement before continuation, or a Smart Money Reversal.
The -4 area should be seen as the ultimate objective, or the level at which the displacement will slow down.
Given that these ideas stem from ICT's concepts themselves, they are to be used hand in hand with all other ICT Concepts (PD Array Matrix, PO3, Institutional Price Levels, ...).
> Fractal IPDA Time Windows
The IPDA Lookbacks Types identified by Dexter are as follows:
Monthly – 1D Chart: one widow per Month, highlighting the past three Months.
Weekly – 4H to 8H Chart: one window per Week, highlighting the past three Weeks.
Daily – 15m to 1H Chart: one window per Day, highlighting the past three Days.
Intraday – 1m to 5m Chart: one window per 4 Hours highlighting the past 12 Hours.
Inside these three respective Time Windows, the extreme High and Low will be identified, as well as the prior opposing short term market structure point. These represent the anchors for the Standard Deviation Projections.
> Tool Settings
The User is able to plot any type of Standard Deviation they want by inputting them in the settings, in their own line of the text box. They will always be plotted from the Time Windows extremes.
As previously mentioned, the User is also able to define their own Timeframe intervals for the respective IPDA Lookback Types. The specific Timeframes on which the different Lookback Types are plotted are edge-inclusive. In case of an overlap, the higher Timeframe Lookback will be prioritized.
Finally the User is able to filter and remove Standard Deviations in two ways:
"Remove Once Invalidated" will automatically delete a Deviation once its outer anchor extreme is traded through.
Manual Toggles will allow to remove the Upward or Downward Deviation of each Time Window at the discretion of the User.
Major shoutout to Dexter and TFO for their Time, it was a pleasure to collaborate and create this tool with them.
GLGT!
Astro: Planetary Aspects v2.0I have updated the excellent script originally written by @BarefootJoey with additional functionality as listed below the script's original description:
@BarefootJoey:
In astrology, planetary aspects refer to the angles formed between two or more planets in a horoscope or birth chart. These angles are created by the positions of the planets in the sky and are thought to represent a particular energy or influence that can impact events on Earth.
The most common planetary aspects are the conjunction (when two planets are in the same position in the zodiac), the opposition (when two planets are direct across from each other in the zodiac), the trine (when two planets are 120 degrees apart in the zodiac), and the square (when two planets are 90 degrees apart in the zodiac).
This oscillator plots the current geocentric/heliocentric aspect for up to two planets and features a customizable precision of degree (up to +/- 15 degrees) for each aspect.
Additional functionality added in by @Yevolution:
1. Overlay the indicator plot on top of the main chart, with the indicator's scale placed on the left - I found it easier to spot price reactions at a given planetary aspect vs seeing the plot in a separate frame
2. Add options to plot a vertical bar for every occurrence of chosen aspects
The script source code has remained open and additional comments have been added by me to explain the changes where relevant.
When I get some more spare time I will add a function to enable future planetary aspect events to also be displayed on the chart to make forecasting using this data easier.
Highlight Day of WeekA simple indicator that highlights certain days of the week by changing the background color of the chart to a specified color. Each day can be highlighted its own respective color.
This can be used to visually search for patterns based on day of the week.
