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Institutional Valuation Suite

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Standard volatility indicators often fail on long-term growth charts because they measure volatility in dollars rather than percentages. This causes bands to break or become irrelevant during exponential price moves (e.g., Bitcoin going from $1,000 to $100,000).

The Institutional Valuation Suite solves this by utilising Geometric (Log-Normal) Standard Deviation. This allows the model to adapt to the asset's price scale, providing accurate valuation zones regardless of price magnitude.

The model functions as a mean-reversion tool, visualizing price as an elastic band anchored to a "Fair Value" baseline. It identifies when the asset is statistically overextended (Bubble/FOMO) or undervalued (Deep Discount).

Key Features

1. Log-Normal Math Engine

Geometric Mode (Default): Calculates volatility in percentage terms. Essential for Crypto and Growth Stocks.

Arithmetic Mode: Available for Forex or range-bound assets where linear standard deviation is preferred.

2. Sentiment Heat map

Visualises valuation directly on the candles to remove interpretation bias.
GREEN: Deep Value / Accumulation Zone (< -0.5σ).
ORANGE: Overvalued / FOMO Zone (> 2.0σ).
RED: Speculative Bubble Zone (> 3.0σ).

3. Reversion Signals

"VALUE RECLAIM": Triggers when price re-enters the bottom band from below, filtering out "falling knife" scenarios.
"TOP EXIT": Triggers when price breaks down from the speculative top zone.

4. Statistical Dashboard

Displays the real-time Z-Score to quantify how "stretched" the price is relative to its baseline.
> 3.0: Statistical Anomaly (Top).
< -0.5: Statistical Discount (Bottom).

Optimisation Cheat Sheet

The "Cycle Length" input determines the lookback period for the baseline. Recommended settings:

Crypto Macro: 200 (Approx. 4 Years).
Altcoins: 100 (Approx. 2 Years).
Stocks (S&P 500): 50 (1 Year Trend).
Day Trading: Set "Timeframe Lock" to "Chart".

Technical Note
This indicator uses strict offset logic (`barmerge.lookahead_on`) to ensure historical consistency. The signals displayed on historical bars match exactly what would have appeared in real-time.

*Disclaimer: This script provides statistical analysis based on historical volatility and does not constitute financial advice.*
Notas de prensa
Standard volatility indicators often fail on long-term growth charts because they measure volatility in dollars rather than percentages. This causes bands to break or become irrelevant during exponential price moves (e.g., Bitcoin going from $1,000 to $100,000).

The Institutional Valuation Suite solves this by utilising Geometric (Log-Normal) Standard Deviation. This allows the model to adapt to the asset's price scale, providing accurate valuation zones regardless of price magnitude.

The model functions as a mean-reversion tool, visualizing price as an elastic band anchored to a "Fair Value" baseline. It identifies when the asset is statistically overextended (Bubble/FOMO) or undervalued (Deep Discount).

Key Features

1. Log-Normal Math Engine

Geometric Mode (Default): Calculates volatility in percentage terms. Essential for Crypto and Growth Stocks.

Arithmetic Mode: Available for Forex or range-bound assets where linear standard deviation is preferred.

2. Sentiment Heat map

Visualises valuation directly on the candles to remove interpretation bias.
GREEN: Deep Value / Accumulation Zone (< -0.5σ).
ORANGE: Overvalued / FOMO Zone (> 2.0σ).
RED: Speculative Bubble Zone (> 3.0σ).

3. Reversion Signals

"VALUE RECLAIM": Triggers when price re-enters the bottom band from below, filtering out "falling knife" scenarios.
"TOP EXIT": Triggers when price breaks down from the speculative top zone.

4. Statistical Dashboard

Displays the real-time Z-Score to quantify how "stretched" the price is relative to its baseline.
> 3.0: Statistical Anomaly (Top).
< -0.5: Statistical Discount (Bottom).

Optimisation Cheat Sheet

The "Cycle Length" input determines the lookback period for the baseline. Recommended settings:

Crypto Macro: 200 (Approx. 4 Years).
Altcoins: 100 (Approx. 2 Years).
Stocks (S&P 500): 50 (1 Year Trend).
Day Trading: Set "Timeframe Lock" to "Chart".

Technical Note
This indicator uses strict offset logic (`barmerge.lookahead_on`) to ensure historical consistency. The signals displayed on historical bars match exactly what would have appeared in real-time.

*Disclaimer: This script provides statistical analysis based on historical volatility and does not constitute financial advice.*

Exención de responsabilidad

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.