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Yield Curve Percent Inverted Indicator
This indicator will check all fifty-five Treasury Bond Yield spreads - every combination from
1-month up to 30-year - and then graph the percentage of spreads which are inverted.
Yield curve inversion occurs when the longer-duration bond pays a lower yield than the shorter-
duration bond. Longer-dated bonds normally pay a higher yield because the investor's money is
committed for a longer period of time. Inversion occurs when investors have little confidence
in the near-term economy and demand higher rates for short-term investments.
Historically, a few months ahead of a recession this percent-inverted value will spike up into
the 60%-70% range - you can see this behavior in 1989, 2000, 2007, and 2019. (Note that there
is no data available on Trading View prior to 1987.)
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Yield Curve Percent Inverted Indicator
This indicator will check all fifty-five Treasury Bond Yield spreads - every combination from
1-month up to 30-year - and then graph the percentage of spreads which are inverted.
Yield curve inversion occurs when the longer-duration bond pays a lower yield than the shorter-
duration bond. Longer-dated bonds normally pay a higher yield because the investor's money is
committed for a longer period of time. Inversion occurs when investors have little confidence
in the near-term economy and demand higher rates for short-term investments.
Historically, a few months ahead of a recession this percent-inverted value will spike up into
the 60%-70% range - you can see this behavior in 1989, 2000, 2007, and 2019. (Note that there
is no data available on Trading View prior to 1987.)
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Notas de prensa
Yield Curve Percent Inverted IndicatorThis indicator checks all seventy-eight Treasury Bond Yield spreads - every combination from
1-month up to 30-year - and then graph the percentage of spreads which are inverted.
Yield curve inversion occurs when the longer-duration bond pays a lower yield than the shorter-
duration bond. Longer-dated bonds normally pay a higher yield because the investor's money is
committed for a longer period of time. Inversion occurs when investors have little confidence
in the near-term economy and demand higher rates for short-term investments.
Historically, a few months ahead of a recession this percent-inverted value will spike up into
the 60%-70% range - you can see this behavior throughout the 1960's and 1970's, as well as in
1989, 2000, 2007, and 2019/2020. As of 2023-2024 the Yield Curve has been very inverted for
quite a while but no recession yet.
Jan 2024 update
- Convert to PineScript v5
- Include 4-month and 20-year bonds
- Replace tedious expressions with array and nested for loop
Script de código abierto
Siguiendo fielmente el espíritu de TradingView, el creador de este script lo ha publicado en código abierto, permitiendo que otros traders puedan revisar y verificar su funcionalidad. ¡Enhorabuena al autor! Puede utilizarlo de forma gratuita, pero tenga en cuenta que la publicación de este código está sujeta a nuestras Normas internas.
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones que ofrecemos, no implican ni constituyen un asesoramiento financiero, ni de inversión, trading o cualquier otro tipo de consejo o recomendación emitida o respaldada por TradingView. Puede obtener información adicional en las Condiciones de uso.
Script de código abierto
Siguiendo fielmente el espíritu de TradingView, el creador de este script lo ha publicado en código abierto, permitiendo que otros traders puedan revisar y verificar su funcionalidad. ¡Enhorabuena al autor! Puede utilizarlo de forma gratuita, pero tenga en cuenta que la publicación de este código está sujeta a nuestras Normas internas.
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones que ofrecemos, no implican ni constituyen un asesoramiento financiero, ni de inversión, trading o cualquier otro tipo de consejo o recomendación emitida o respaldada por TradingView. Puede obtener información adicional en las Condiciones de uso.