OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
BTC -50% Crash to Recovery Zone
General Overview This is a macro-analysis tool designed to visualize the true duration of Bitcoin’s "Suffering & Recovery Cycles." Unlike standard oscillators that only signal oversold conditions, this script highlights the entire timeline required for the market to flush out leverage and return to All-Time Highs (ATH).
Operational Logic The algorithm tracks Bitcoin’s historical All-Time High (ATH).
The Trigger: It activates automatically when the price drops 50% below the last recorded ATH.
The "Recovery Zone": Once triggered, the chart background turns red (indicating a "Drawdown" state). This zone remains active persistently, even during intermediate relief rallies.
The Reset: The zone deactivates only when the price breaks above the previous ATH, marking the official start of a new Price Discovery phase.
How to Read It
Red Background: We are officially in a Bear Market or Recovery Phase. The asset is technically "underwater." For the long-term investor with a low time preference, this visually defines the accumulation window.
Red Horizontal Line: Indicates the "Target." This is the exact price level of the old ATH that Bitcoin must reclaim to close the bearish cycle.
No Background Color: We are in Price Discovery. The market is healthy and pushing for new highs.
The Financial Lesson This indicator visually demonstrates a fundamental market truth: "Price takes the elevator down, but takes the stairs up." It shows that after a halving of value (-50%), Bitcoin may take months or years to recover previous levels, helping investors filter out the noise of short-term pumps that fail to break the macro-bearish structure.
Operational Logic The algorithm tracks Bitcoin’s historical All-Time High (ATH).
The Trigger: It activates automatically when the price drops 50% below the last recorded ATH.
The "Recovery Zone": Once triggered, the chart background turns red (indicating a "Drawdown" state). This zone remains active persistently, even during intermediate relief rallies.
The Reset: The zone deactivates only when the price breaks above the previous ATH, marking the official start of a new Price Discovery phase.
How to Read It
Red Background: We are officially in a Bear Market or Recovery Phase. The asset is technically "underwater." For the long-term investor with a low time preference, this visually defines the accumulation window.
Red Horizontal Line: Indicates the "Target." This is the exact price level of the old ATH that Bitcoin must reclaim to close the bearish cycle.
No Background Color: We are in Price Discovery. The market is healthy and pushing for new highs.
The Financial Lesson This indicator visually demonstrates a fundamental market truth: "Price takes the elevator down, but takes the stairs up." It shows that after a halving of value (-50%), Bitcoin may take months or years to recover previous levels, helping investors filter out the noise of short-term pumps that fail to break the macro-bearish structure.
Script de código abierto
Fiel al espíritu de TradingView, el creador de este script lo ha convertido en código abierto, para que los traders puedan revisar y verificar su funcionalidad. ¡Enhorabuena al autor! Aunque puede utilizarlo de forma gratuita, recuerde que la republicación del código está sujeta a nuestras Normas internas.
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading o de otro tipo proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Más información en Condiciones de uso.
Script de código abierto
Fiel al espíritu de TradingView, el creador de este script lo ha convertido en código abierto, para que los traders puedan revisar y verificar su funcionalidad. ¡Enhorabuena al autor! Aunque puede utilizarlo de forma gratuita, recuerde que la republicación del código está sujeta a nuestras Normas internas.
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading o de otro tipo proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Más información en Condiciones de uso.