Daily Standard Deviation (fadi)

6 mar

The Daily Standard Deviation indicator uses standard deviation to map out daily price movements. Standard deviation measures how much prices stray from their average—small values mean steady trends, large ones mean wild swings. Drawing from up to 20 years of data, it plots key levels using customizable Fibonacci lines tied to that standard deviation, giving traders a snapshot of typical price behavior.

These levels align with a bell curve: about 68% of price moves stay within 1 standard deviation, 95% within roughly 2, and 99.7% within roughly 3. When prices break past the 1 StDev line, they’re outliers—only 32% of moves go that far. Prices often snap back to these lines or the average, though the reversal might not happen the same day.

How Traders Use It

• If prices surge past the 1 StDev line, traders might wait for momentum to fade, then trade the pullback to that line or the average, setting a target and stop.
  
• If prices dip below, they might buy, anticipating a bounce—sometimes a day or two later. It’s a tool to spot overstretched prices likely to revert and/or measure the odds of continuation.
  

Settings
Open Hour: Sets the trading day’s start (default: 18:00 EST).
Show Levels for the Last X Days: Displays levels for the specified number of days.
Based on X Period: Number of days to calculate standard deviation (e.g., 20 years ≈ 5,040 days). Larger periods smooth out daily level changes.
Mirror Levels on the Other Side: Plots symmetric positive and negative levels around the average.
Fibonacci Levels Settings: Defines which levels and line styles to show. With mirroring, negative values aren’t needed.
Overrides: Lets advanced users input custom standard deviations for specific tickers (e.g., NQ1! at 0.01296).

6 mar

Notas de prensa

Update: fix for the daily variable name (internal)