LIVE#3! THE MOST ACCURATE GOLD FORECAST IN THE WORLD
SUMMARY - This is the 11/27, 15-min bar, 60-hour only partially detailed, CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. Continuing from LIVE #2! and as stated at 3:00 PM ET, my expectation is 2120 by Thursday morning. It is 6:30 PM ET Monday, I expect 2120 (maybe a bit higher) to hit by 6:30 AM ET on Thursday or 60 hours out.
WARNING - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted throughout duration of this forecast to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. As of late, forecasts are once/twice per day to be continuously relevant. However, from here to March 10th, 2024, I will have to play by ear as I have to pay more attention to execution and less to forecasting. As always, when price action disagrees with forecast meaningfully and I do not respond in time, SCRAP THE FORECAST and trade defensively.
HOW TO USE - Read the notes I add, they are continuously updated to be relevant as much as possible. If you are that guy that won't read the notes, follow a guy who doesn't do notes save both of us the headache.
DETAILS - Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them (especially if you are new to us) occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that these forecasts help you cash day in and day out. Ask my readers.
IF MY FORECASTS HELP YOU MAKE REAL MONEY - Want more posts, more accuracy and more updates? Help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY. Word of mouth is the best way to help make this a thing. The more demand I have for this, the more posts on more tickers I will make. The current rates of followers and readership is really not worth it for me to keep going, but I keep trying everyday to make you money. If you don't have friends because your wife say they are too much fun, well then I guess hit the boost/like button.
WARNING - As a precaution, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted throughout duration of this forecast to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. As of late, forecasts are once/twice per day to be continuously relevant. However, from here to March 10th, 2024, I will have to play by ear as I have to pay more attention to execution and less to forecasting. As always, when price action disagrees with forecast meaningfully and I do not respond in time, SCRAP THE FORECAST and trade defensively.
HOW TO USE - Read the notes I add, they are continuously updated to be relevant as much as possible. If you are that guy that won't read the notes, follow a guy who doesn't do notes save both of us the headache.
DETAILS - Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them (especially if you are new to us) occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that these forecasts help you cash day in and day out. Ask my readers.
IF MY FORECASTS HELP YOU MAKE REAL MONEY - Want more posts, more accuracy and more updates? Help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY. Word of mouth is the best way to help make this a thing. The more demand I have for this, the more posts on more tickers I will make. The current rates of followers and readership is really not worth it for me to keep going, but I keep trying everyday to make you money. If you don't have friends because your wife say they are too much fun, well then I guess hit the boost/like button.
Comentarios:
6:49 PM ET 2015.XX, A NOTE ON MULTIPLE ROUTES
a) remember that having multiple outcomes presented visually IS A GOOD THING NOT A BAD THING..
b) it allows to you anticipate what price is doing
c) I have no problem holding opposite ideas in my mind at the same time
d) the most important thing is that my notes on IMMEDIATE EXPECTATIONS ON 12-HOUR OUT deliver accuracy day in day out
a) remember that having multiple outcomes presented visually IS A GOOD THING NOT A BAD THING..
b) it allows to you anticipate what price is doing
c) I have no problem holding opposite ideas in my mind at the same time
d) the most important thing is that my notes on IMMEDIATE EXPECTATIONS ON 12-HOUR OUT deliver accuracy day in day out
Comentarios:
e) and please remember, NO MATTER WHAT CHART AT TOP SAYS...
f) the newest notes ALWAYS SUPERSEDE EVERYTHING ELSE BEFORE IT
f) the newest notes ALWAYS SUPERSEDE EVERYTHING ELSE BEFORE IT
Comentarios:
11/27 7:13 PM ET 2016.XX after tagging '17, consider:
Comentarios:
a) there are no orange bear outcomes ok?
b) it's just how fast up and how much zig zag
b) it's just how fast up and how much zig zag
Comentarios:
c) the small arrow is when next big move should be at about 10:30-11:30 PM ET...
d) this when it moves for 1929...
e) the medium arrow is where the first divergence outcomes start to show up
f) that means different routes
g) the big arrow...
d) this when it moves for 1929...
e) the medium arrow is where the first divergence outcomes start to show up
f) that means different routes
g) the big arrow...
Comentarios:
h) is where the first "mirror image show up"
i) t o sum it up:
i) t o sum it up:
Comentarios:
j) we should hit 2040 Tuesday at 5 AM ET if early 9 AM ET if late
k) it is not knowable at this time if we take fast route (straight through 2040) or ...
l) slow route which may retag....
k) it is not knowable at this time if we take fast route (straight through 2040) or ...
l) slow route which may retag....
Comentarios:
m) 2020's in Tuesday afternoon...
n) but if it does move like that, that is a gift for people who are not long
o) you are never get a better signal for $100 move from me in 48 hours or less
n) but if it does move like that, that is a gift for people who are not long
o) you are never get a better signal for $100 move from me in 48 hours or less
Comentarios:
p) meaning 2020 to 2120 from Tuesday 2 PM to Thursday 2 AM...
q) I know I keep saying 11/29 or 11/30...
s) the math keeps favoring 11/29 so there it is
q) I know I keep saying 11/29 or 11/30...
s) the math keeps favoring 11/29 so there it is
Comentarios:
t) smile! you're gonna make real money this week:
Comentarios:
u) in chart above: that was the real arc all along....
v) and it's HUGE...
v) and it's HUGE...
Comentarios:
11/27 9:32 PM ET, TYPO AGAIN FOR NOTE FROM 7:13 PM EARLIER:
a) from note:
>>d) this when it moves for ... 2029 NOT 1929
b) if ever confused by typos, do ask please
c) in a furious environment, sometimes typos are a regular thing
a) from note:
>>d) this when it moves for ... 2029 NOT 1929
b) if ever confused by typos, do ask please
c) in a furious environment, sometimes typos are a regular thing
Comentarios:
11/28 1:18 AM ET, 2016.18 AND NOT MOVING OFF THE TREND LINE...
a) still see this working out?
b) YES!
c) just finally bleeding into 11/30
d) so first:
a) still see this working out?
b) YES!
c) just finally bleeding into 11/30
d) so first:
Comentarios:
Comentarios:
e) the bold trend line at the bottom and the 2 channels it creates above it...
f) dictates when we get get to 2100 (by extension the 2120 stick-save) and 2220
g) I've ran several extrapolations but its a waste of time trying to nail when it's moving off that line
f) dictates when we get get to 2100 (by extension the 2120 stick-save) and 2220
g) I've ran several extrapolations but its a waste of time trying to nail when it's moving off that line
Comentarios:
h) WHEN IT DOES dictates the "rhythm of rally's zig-zag"
i) while the coiling of intermediate trends keep calling for 11/29 high...
j) I don't see how that's realistic
i) while the coiling of intermediate trends keep calling for 11/29 high...
j) I don't see how that's realistic
Comentarios:
k) but what it's basically saying is this:
Comentarios:
l) THE TIGHTER IT HUGS THAT BLUE CURVE...
m) the HIGHER you can call for the 11/29/30 top
m) the HIGHER you can call for the 11/29/30 top
Comentarios:
n) so that curve has 2100 hitting on 11/29 ...
o) the run-away momentum spikes to 2140 BUT...
p) DROPS UNDER 2080 within 4-6 hours of hitting that high..
o) the run-away momentum spikes to 2140 BUT...
p) DROPS UNDER 2080 within 4-6 hours of hitting that high..
Comentarios:
q) we basically just did a mini version of it last 2 days:
Comentarios:
r) that's it for now
s) I will add first thing in the morning
s) I will add first thing in the morning
Comentarios:
BTW - A NOTE ON STOPS AND WHY I SOMETIMES DON'T HAVE THEM
a) for this move, I have 12/01 calls from 2012.5, roughly $10 (so $1000 each)
b) so AT EXACTLY 1:30 PM ET Friday 12/01...
c) if price is at 2022.5 I would BE EVEN AND MAKE NOTHING
d) at 2032.5 I would be up 100% (of however many calls I have)
e) at 2042.5 I would be up 200% and so on...
f) so the decision to be in or out is NOT a magic number like "2012 hard stop or something like that"...
a) for this move, I have 12/01 calls from 2012.5, roughly $10 (so $1000 each)
b) so AT EXACTLY 1:30 PM ET Friday 12/01...
c) if price is at 2022.5 I would BE EVEN AND MAKE NOTHING
d) at 2032.5 I would be up 100% (of however many calls I have)
e) at 2042.5 I would be up 200% and so on...
f) so the decision to be in or out is NOT a magic number like "2012 hard stop or something like that"...
Comentarios:
g) it is basically...
h) what the short and intermediate regression curves SAY TOGETHER
i) with these things, I ALWAYS SELL W/ A DECENT SPIKE in my favor
j) so if all sudden I see 2040, THAT'S MY STOP ...
k) not the other way around...
l) bc the calls would be 3x and I would be up 200%, it's STUPID TO NOT GET OUT...
h) what the short and intermediate regression curves SAY TOGETHER
i) with these things, I ALWAYS SELL W/ A DECENT SPIKE in my favor
j) so if all sudden I see 2040, THAT'S MY STOP ...
k) not the other way around...
l) bc the calls would be 3x and I would be up 200%, it's STUPID TO NOT GET OUT...
Comentarios:
m) but that also varies... WHEN THAT 2040 COMES...
n) if it's the next hour, I would be roughly 260%
o) but at expiration it would only be 180%
n) if it's the next hour, I would be roughly 260%
o) but at expiration it would only be 180%
Comentarios:
p) sometimes, IF IT'S TOO SLOW TO MOVE UP...
q) that's my stop
r) to sum it up, it is:
s) "when the reason I have to be in the trade no longer exists"
q) that's my stop
r) to sum it up, it is:
s) "when the reason I have to be in the trade no longer exists"
Comentarios:
2:16 AM ET, this is A STOP, not necessarily THE STOP:
Comentarios:
a) price can get close and hug a bit
b) but CANNOT SLOW DOWN AND CROSOOSOVER
c) that's a big no no here
d) good night
b) but CANNOT SLOW DOWN AND CROSOOSOVER
c) that's a big no no here
d) good night
Comentarios:
11/28 11:18 AM ET 2035.XX FIRST FOR NEWBIES:
a) for those that misunderstood what I wrote RIGHT ABOVE HERE at 2:16 AM ET
b) I said exactly "2:16 AM ET, this is A STOP, not necessarily THE STOP:"
c) followed by the chart above
d) also said, "CANNOT SLOW DOWN AND CROSSOVER" and "that's a big no no"
e) exhibit A:
a) for those that misunderstood what I wrote RIGHT ABOVE HERE at 2:16 AM ET
b) I said exactly "2:16 AM ET, this is A STOP, not necessarily THE STOP:"
c) followed by the chart above
d) also said, "CANNOT SLOW DOWN AND CROSSOVER" and "that's a big no no"
e) exhibit A:
Comentarios:
Comentarios:
f) I can't tell you every 10 minutes what's next ....
g) actually already tried that, and TradingView said I was abusing comments feature
h) so no more of that
i) so when this broke (and it broke three times)...
j) if I was trading with tight risk management: YES ,WOULD'VE BEEN OUT AHEAD OF THE SECOND BREAK...
k) I also would've been back in BEFORE IT BROKE BACK UP...
l) this is not fair bc I have custom indicators that tell me this...
g) actually already tried that, and TradingView said I was abusing comments feature
h) so no more of that
i) so when this broke (and it broke three times)...
j) if I was trading with tight risk management: YES ,WOULD'VE BEEN OUT AHEAD OF THE SECOND BREAK...
k) I also would've been back in BEFORE IT BROKE BACK UP...
l) this is not fair bc I have custom indicators that tell me this...
Comentarios:
m) but THIS IS ALSO TRADING STANDARDS AND BASICS
n) if you need to learn more about this, read more about it...
o) it will make you a more capable trader...
p) and yeah, as said many times by many people across many endeavors and many different ages history....
q) "NO ONE EVER SAID THIS IS GOING TO BE EASY"...
r) so there's that...
n) if you need to learn more about this, read more about it...
o) it will make you a more capable trader...
p) and yeah, as said many times by many people across many endeavors and many different ages history....
q) "NO ONE EVER SAID THIS IS GOING TO BE EASY"...
r) so there's that...
Comentarios:
11:45 AM WIDE RANGE OF OUTCOMES IS NOT THE SAME AS "VOLATILE"
a) if you've read my daily notes since 9/12...
b) at any given point, my view of outcomes HAS A HUGE DIVERGENCE...
c) meaning I can see the "surprise" bull scenario and "surprise" bear scenario at the same time...
d) I have to, to be able to anticipate what '"fits" the price action
e) ultimately, MY DAILY NOTES SUPERSEDE ALL OTHER CHARTS
f) this is bc it has "updated with the newest data
h) this is the notes always do so strong in a 12-hour period
i) and I also but this in the WARNING at top to always follow the notes...
j) HOW ELSE CAN YOU ADAPT TO ALL OF THE MARKET'S MOVES?
k) literally no other way
a) if you've read my daily notes since 9/12...
b) at any given point, my view of outcomes HAS A HUGE DIVERGENCE...
c) meaning I can see the "surprise" bull scenario and "surprise" bear scenario at the same time...
d) I have to, to be able to anticipate what '"fits" the price action
e) ultimately, MY DAILY NOTES SUPERSEDE ALL OTHER CHARTS
f) this is bc it has "updated with the newest data
h) this is the notes always do so strong in a 12-hour period
i) and I also but this in the WARNING at top to always follow the notes...
j) HOW ELSE CAN YOU ADAPT TO ALL OF THE MARKET'S MOVES?
k) literally no other way
Comentarios:
11:56 AM LOOKS LIKE SESSION TOP AT 2040... not totally sure... but looks like it
Comentarios:
12:17 PM 2041.75... still not sure..
a) if you replay chart at top it's very late for the curve
b) I added the light box in case it went for 1956
a) if you replay chart at top it's very late for the curve
b) I added the light box in case it went for 1956
Comentarios:
12;39 PM ET... GOTTA GO ...
a) it's going to to top some time...
b) the floor as right now is 2028-2035 for next check down
c) the earlier it tops, the higher the odds for a deeper check down...
d) and vice versa.. if takes too long then the floor rises all the way to 2035
e) for overnight check down
a) it's going to to top some time...
b) the floor as right now is 2028-2035 for next check down
c) the earlier it tops, the higher the odds for a deeper check down...
d) and vice versa.. if takes too long then the floor rises all the way to 2035
e) for overnight check down
Comentarios:
12:47 PM ET... LAST ASSESSMENT BEFORE LATE TONIGHT...
a) top should be in..
b) bears have until 4PM ET (end of aftermarket before 1 hour break_ ...
c) to make it to 2028-29
d) if they don't
e) then correction is OVER
a) top should be in..
b) bears have until 4PM ET (end of aftermarket before 1 hour break_ ...
c) to make it to 2028-29
d) if they don't
e) then correction is OVER
Comentarios:
f) typo... 4PM ET IS NY DAY CLOSE..... not aftermarket
Comentarios:
2:58 PM ET ... check down scenario, consider:
Comentarios:
a) so in chart above, we are NOT DOING 28-29 ...
b) we are FAVORED TO SKIP 31-33...
c) so at 2:07 PM ET .. the floor in my assessment...
d) is 2034-35 at the wost, and would come over night ...
b) we are FAVORED TO SKIP 31-33...
c) so at 2:07 PM ET .. the floor in my assessment...
d) is 2034-35 at the wost, and would come over night ...
Comentarios:
e) or in the aftermarket...
f) I bought at 38-39 some just incase
g) WHICH IS ALMOST ALWAYS A BAD MOVE THIS EARLY...
h) but I am trying to move up another 80 to 2120...
i) would also like it to arrive in 34 hours from now or end of Wednesday...
j) I don't mind if I have to buy again at 34-35
f) I bought at 38-39 some just incase
g) WHICH IS ALMOST ALWAYS A BAD MOVE THIS EARLY...
h) but I am trying to move up another 80 to 2120...
i) would also like it to arrive in 34 hours from now or end of Wednesday...
j) I don't mind if I have to buy again at 34-35
Comentarios:
k) so ... it is 2:15 PM ET AND 2040.96
l) if price holds 2040-2042 FOR ANOTHER 15-18 MINUTES
m) so that's 2:33 PM ET.. just don't fall to 38-39 in this window..
n) price will be be VERY FAVORED to close at a THE HIGHER HIGHER THAN 2043
l) if price holds 2040-2042 FOR ANOTHER 15-18 MINUTES
m) so that's 2:33 PM ET.. just don't fall to 38-39 in this window..
n) price will be be VERY FAVORED to close at a THE HIGHER HIGHER THAN 2043
Comentarios:
o) that's a wrap for me until late tonight
Comentarios:
p) one last thing:
1) odds of 2050 close is 1 in 4 and rising...
2) in this scenario, OVERNIGHT FLOOR MOVES TO 2041-43
1) odds of 2050 close is 1 in 4 and rising...
2) in this scenario, OVERNIGHT FLOOR MOVES TO 2041-43
Comentarios:
TAKING A MOMENT TO BEG FOR HELP....
a) if this type of analysis works for you...
b) I despite what I call it "best ever blah blah"...
c) it's not for everyone
d) but if it helps you make money, help me out by telling some one you know personally about it
e) bc word of mouth is really the most effective...
f) thank you very much before hand
a) if this type of analysis works for you...
b) I despite what I call it "best ever blah blah"...
c) it's not for everyone
d) but if it helps you make money, help me out by telling some one you know personally about it
e) bc word of mouth is really the most effective...
f) thank you very much before hand
Comentarios:
2:47 PM ET
a) 2041.67.. right now 1 in 3 chance for a move for 1956 BEFORE CORRECTING AGAIN
b) there is a 1/4 or 1/5 chance of hitting that BEFORE AFTERMARKET CLOSES at 5 PM ET
c) in which case it would be A TOP NOT THE TOP
d) in this scenario floor would be likely be 2043
a) 2041.67.. right now 1 in 3 chance for a move for 1956 BEFORE CORRECTING AGAIN
b) there is a 1/4 or 1/5 chance of hitting that BEFORE AFTERMARKET CLOSES at 5 PM ET
c) in which case it would be A TOP NOT THE TOP
d) in this scenario floor would be likely be 2043
Comentarios:
e) 2043 for overnight low if 2056 hits first
Comentarios:
3:15 PM ET 2040.26
a) floor rose from 2016 morning... to
b) what looks like to me is 2034-36 now
c) all scenarios considered
a) floor rose from 2016 morning... to
b) what looks like to me is 2034-36 now
c) all scenarios considered
Comentarios:
3:40 PM ET 20 MIN FROM NY CLOSE HER'E'S WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE:
Comentarios:
a) in chart above there are two routes, the quick has bottom in and 2045 AT 7:15 PM ET
b) the slow one has bottom at 2036 at 8 PM ET and...
c) 2045 at 9:30 PM ET
b) the slow one has bottom at 2036 at 8 PM ET and...
c) 2045 at 9:30 PM ET
Comentarios:
d) NOOO scratch 9:30 PM ... 2045 at 11:30 PM ET
Comentarios:
e) the OVERALL behavior of the rally suggests slower route hence I have it darker
f) in theory, it should be favored...
g) my instincts (WHICH ARE THE WORST IN THE WORLD), thinks its the faster one...
h) but that's how I am..
i) I always think price should take the first route available... which is wrong...
j) gonna work on that (but this time it took the 6th route.. I don't know if that's on me)
k) meanwhile, I still think we hit 2120 inside 11/29 (tomorrow PM), but odds now strongly favor 11/30 (Thursday AM)
f) in theory, it should be favored...
g) my instincts (WHICH ARE THE WORST IN THE WORLD), thinks its the faster one...
h) but that's how I am..
i) I always think price should take the first route available... which is wrong...
j) gonna work on that (but this time it took the 6th route.. I don't know if that's on me)
k) meanwhile, I still think we hit 2120 inside 11/29 (tomorrow PM), but odds now strongly favor 11/30 (Thursday AM)
Comentarios:
3:57 PM ET: ONCE AGAIN, REPLAY ##2 HERE AND CONSIDER THE MIRROR IMAGE:
a) for chart above
b) for those that are new, that's #2!, the previous post
c) see how price moved as A MIRROR IMAGE TO ORANGE HILIGHT...
d) other-wise it was not too far off from bear scenario...
e) but the mirror imaging of the orange route made me reconsider...
f) bc it has done so so many times in the past when the forecast was off or completely wrong
g) that's a major repeating theme in price forecasting
b) for those that are new, that's #2!, the previous post
c) see how price moved as A MIRROR IMAGE TO ORANGE HILIGHT...
d) other-wise it was not too far off from bear scenario...
e) but the mirror imaging of the orange route made me reconsider...
f) bc it has done so so many times in the past when the forecast was off or completely wrong
g) that's a major repeating theme in price forecasting
Comentarios:
h) yesterday I gave you this chart and explained in detail how the blue route would start:
Comentarios:
Comentarios:
i) but he whole point was...
j) WHY??? WHEN BEARS WERE SO CLOSE TO CEMENTING BEAR ROUTE...
k) did they not shut the door on the bulls's comeback...
l) my reasoning goes like this:
m) it's that they didn't try to ... whatever it took to shut that door...
n) the bears did not have it
o) so that's also a major theme of my forecasting
p) AT CRITICAL SPOTS... which ever side is says they are strong HAVE TO WIN THAT BATTLE
q) otherwise it's almost like a turnover in football with 2 minutes left.. but you were only up by 3...
j) WHY??? WHEN BEARS WERE SO CLOSE TO CEMENTING BEAR ROUTE...
k) did they not shut the door on the bulls's comeback...
l) my reasoning goes like this:
m) it's that they didn't try to ... whatever it took to shut that door...
n) the bears did not have it
o) so that's also a major theme of my forecasting
p) AT CRITICAL SPOTS... which ever side is says they are strong HAVE TO WIN THAT BATTLE
q) otherwise it's almost like a turnover in football with 2 minutes left.. but you were only up by 3...
Comentarios:
r) and they comeback... all the way back...
s) but I will catch it before it happens.. that I know I can do
s) but I will catch it before it happens.. that I know I can do
Comentarios:
t) that was just 25 hours ago... see what I mean
u) but you have to understand my reasoning for favoring bear route before that move happened...
v) because price WAS ANNOUNCING BEAR ROUTE UNLESS BULLS STOPPED THEM
w) that's not "volatile" forecasting
x) that is just understanding the whole realm of possible moves
y) plus after skipping 5 WINDOWS FOR IT.... why would I favor THE 6TH WINDOW...until it was obvious
z) so that's the final answer to the "binary medium term outlook" (it has to be that way)
u) but you have to understand my reasoning for favoring bear route before that move happened...
v) because price WAS ANNOUNCING BEAR ROUTE UNLESS BULLS STOPPED THEM
w) that's not "volatile" forecasting
x) that is just understanding the whole realm of possible moves
y) plus after skipping 5 WINDOWS FOR IT.... why would I favor THE 6TH WINDOW...until it was obvious
z) so that's the final answer to the "binary medium term outlook" (it has to be that way)
Comentarios:
6:37 PM ET JUST SW 43-44 MINUTES AGO AND ON MY PHONE DRIVING;
a) raw assessment from phone (not reliable, but NOT WORTHLESS)
b) 2080 by midnight ET
a) raw assessment from phone (not reliable, but NOT WORTHLESS)
b) 2080 by midnight ET
Comentarios:
7:23 PM ET 2043.88 IMPORTANT NOTES
a) I see 2056 by 10:30 PM ET...
b) I actually see it an hour AHEAD of that..
c) but this period between 6 PM ET AND 11 PM ET always F-
d) -ing disappoint .. so I added an extra hour to be safe
a) I see 2056 by 10:30 PM ET...
b) I actually see it an hour AHEAD of that..
c) but this period between 6 PM ET AND 11 PM ET always F-
d) -ing disappoint .. so I added an extra hour to be safe
Comentarios:
e) a correction is VERY LIKELY AFTER '56.. but how big.. who knows?
f) but if we get 7-10 correction and move to 2080 next, THIS IMPLIES TOP FOR THIS RALLY IS 2140 NOT 2120...
g) that is frankly unknowable at this time...
h) but I will say this:
f) but if we get 7-10 correction and move to 2080 next, THIS IMPLIES TOP FOR THIS RALLY IS 2140 NOT 2120...
g) that is frankly unknowable at this time...
h) but I will say this:
Comentarios:
i) the link for LIVE #1! is right below here...
j) this was when I thought the move was moving early...
k) replay shows we are going to be on time for the second box after missing the first..
l) but IN THEORY...
m) we should MOVE HIGHER TO MAKE UP FOR IT, for being late...
n) who/what decides it's late or not??
o) it's the way the regressions twist and curl during wave compression ahead of the rally...
m) it's almost mechanical/emotional in nature bc it has curl/coil for so long
n) so all that is saying
o) WATCH 2056-2080 price action to know if the high should be 2120 or 2140
p) again 11/29 on time, 11/30 late
j) this was when I thought the move was moving early...
k) replay shows we are going to be on time for the second box after missing the first..
l) but IN THEORY...
m) we should MOVE HIGHER TO MAKE UP FOR IT, for being late...
n) who/what decides it's late or not??
o) it's the way the regressions twist and curl during wave compression ahead of the rally...
m) it's almost mechanical/emotional in nature bc it has curl/coil for so long
n) so all that is saying
o) WATCH 2056-2080 price action to know if the high should be 2120 or 2140
p) again 11/29 on time, 11/30 late
Comentarios:
8:05 PM ET, 2048.XX from almost '52... hm...
a) just a mini-mean reversion sell off
b) we fine
a) just a mini-mean reversion sell off
b) we fine
Comentarios:
c) but at 47.xx it has V potential with 43 floor
d) meaning if it drops to 43, buy it...
d) meaning if it drops to 43, buy it...
Comentarios:
e) for the record, I'm not trading in and out right now....
f) I'm it's 56, or 80 before I break
f) I'm it's 56, or 80 before I break
Comentarios:
g) just saying if you needed an opening, 43 is a good one... if you get it
Comentarios:
8:21 PM ET... some wrote 2084 in the comments...
a) so I REALLY SEE 2080 AHEAD OF MIDNIGHT NOW...
b) barring random shenanigans of course...
c) but how you get 2084?
d) we're splitting hairs here, but that's a bit strange...
a) so I REALLY SEE 2080 AHEAD OF MIDNIGHT NOW...
b) barring random shenanigans of course...
c) but how you get 2084?
d) we're splitting hairs here, but that's a bit strange...
Comentarios:
e) my math says: 2080 or 83 or 87... but not 84...
f) just saying...
f) just saying...
Comentarios:
g) just got signal #3 we hit 2080 before midnight...
h) it's a not a sure thing .. but the more I see.. the more likely...
i) it's almost "minority favorite" territory (favorite vs everything else separately, or favorite less BUT STILL less than 50%)
h) it's a not a sure thing .. but the more I see.. the more likely...
i) it's almost "minority favorite" territory (favorite vs everything else separately, or favorite less BUT STILL less than 50%)
Comentarios:
9:15 PM 48.XX it's getting ready to do this move again:
Comentarios:
a) for chart above, we need 56 by 10:30 and above it by 11:00
b) once that happens 80 by midnight if low, 87 if high
c) then rug pull to whatever before next rally
b) once that happens 80 by midnight if low, 87 if high
c) then rug pull to whatever before next rally
Comentarios:
d) "whatever" looks like 1968...
e) so there's that to gauge price action..
f) be back in a hour or two
e) so there's that to gauge price action..
f) be back in a hour or two
Comentarios:
g) critical price action just pushed this pact 3 hours:
Comentarios:
h) so looking for a 2-3 am top
Comentarios:
i) 9:39 PM ET, I think it's going to slide right between those two hilights ...
j) we will see..
j) we will see..
Comentarios:
10:07 PM Dragging a bit but we are getting there and here are the two fractals it closely resembles right now:
Comentarios:
a) chart above is gold in summer and winter 2019 into 2020
b) the labels indicate where we are in that fractal...
c) I dont know yet which one it will be...
d) even though intermediate curves look like the right side
e) price action is saying left side
f) meaning after 1-2 am 2080 high...
g) take that money and buy a ticket to sideways city ...
h) so Wed night should feature the last rally into 2110-2120
i) but Thursday should bring 2140 high (which is what I am suspecting)
b) the labels indicate where we are in that fractal...
c) I dont know yet which one it will be...
d) even though intermediate curves look like the right side
e) price action is saying left side
f) meaning after 1-2 am 2080 high...
g) take that money and buy a ticket to sideways city ...
h) so Wed night should feature the last rally into 2110-2120
i) but Thursday should bring 2140 high (which is what I am suspecting)
Comentarios:
j) 10/23 PM ET, 2044.xx, all the curves together say the top will be MORE LIKE the right side...
k) we are waiting for 1 more stair case and it will pick up
k) we are waiting for 1 more stair case and it will pick up
Comentarios:
l) TYPO... MORE LIKE THE LEFT SIDE... everything agrees it's the left fractal..
m) so there it is...
m) so there it is...
Comentarios:
11:25 PM 2043.XX, DIP IS TOO LOW AND TOO LONG.
a) we are going to 2080...
b) the problem is how?
c) this dip has taken too long to make a smooth route up favorable
d) it's possible but unlikely...
e) so this situation favors MODERATE TO HIGH 2-WAY VOL AS IT GOES UP
a) we are going to 2080...
b) the problem is how?
c) this dip has taken too long to make a smooth route up favorable
d) it's possible but unlikely...
e) so this situation favors MODERATE TO HIGH 2-WAY VOL AS IT GOES UP
Comentarios:
f) I am trying to get the right pattern for this wave set
Comentarios:
12:09 PM ... nice spike to almost 49.. but gold is trapped in trend rotation ...
a) here give me a second, I'll show you how
a) here give me a second, I'll show you how
Comentarios:
b) consider:
Comentarios:
b) in chart above... it's not going to be smooth because it CANNOT BE...
c) the the waves are all "out of position"
d) to get back in position .. .it will involve some zig zag ...
e) and that line will definitely reject first attempt now...
c) the the waves are all "out of position"
d) to get back in position .. .it will involve some zig zag ...
e) and that line will definitely reject first attempt now...
Comentarios:
f) BY NO MEANS BEARISH...
g) just real annoying considering its previous positioning...
h) if it moves for 43-44 again BUY WITH BOTH HANDS!
g) just real annoying considering its previous positioning...
h) if it moves for 43-44 again BUY WITH BOTH HANDS!
Comentarios:
i) I mean it's 46.xx so we're right there...
Comentarios:
j) BUT THERE' IS ONE SMOOTH ROUTE UP....OK?
k) but it involves getting REAL OVERSOLD.. to like 40 or even 38 ...
l) IN THIS SPECIFIC SCENARIO... the hard wing WILL BE SMOOTH...
k) but it involves getting REAL OVERSOLD.. to like 40 or even 38 ...
l) IN THIS SPECIFIC SCENARIO... the hard wing WILL BE SMOOTH...
Comentarios:
m) like this:
Comentarios:
o) so a bit less vol than that royal blue.. but you get the idea... it would be 2100 at least before it stops.. ....
p) so I am kinda rooting for that right now...
p) so I am kinda rooting for that right now...
Comentarios:
q) 12:35 AM 11/29 ... IT'S TRYING TO MOVE THERE!!!.
r) so I sold the spike of course...
s) I am buying here wherever this lands..
r) so I sold the spike of course...
s) I am buying here wherever this lands..
Comentarios:
t) WOULD REALLY LOVE TO BUY 38, it's such a sweet spot
Comentarios:
u) 12:38 AM ET.. 44.82 ODDS OF HITTING 38 1 in 3 AT LEAST!
Comentarios:
v) 12:49 bought 44.xx
Comentarios:
w) 1:12 AM bought 43.xx right now
Comentarios:
11/29 1:23 AM 45.XX and moving on up...
a) I can't tell if that's enough slow down smooth out the move up or not
b) I lean no...which means be prepared for big zig zags on the way up...
a) I can't tell if that's enough slow down smooth out the move up or not
b) I lean no...which means be prepared for big zig zags on the way up...
Comentarios:
1:47 AM ET... man dragging.. this better work now or I'm going to bed:
Comentarios:
a) so finally a notable setup, for 58-62 by 4:00 AM ET
b) and if it don't work..
c) I'm going to bed, gotta take mom to dr tomorrow and early too..
b) and if it don't work..
c) I'm going to bed, gotta take mom to dr tomorrow and early too..
Operación cerrada manualmente:
1:51 AM ET.. THIS POST HAS ENDED BC I CANNOT UPDATE IT THIS OFTEN...SIGH...
a) or I get banned...
b) it's Tradingview rules, I just got another warning about this
c) so to wrap it this up:
1) I see longs for a while...
2) only issue is how much zig and zag
3) I will just have to move on with new posts..
4) and have a good one
a) or I get banned...
b) it's Tradingview rules, I just got another warning about this
c) so to wrap it this up:
1) I see longs for a while...
2) only issue is how much zig and zag
3) I will just have to move on with new posts..
4) and have a good one
Orden cancelada:
11/29 8:07 AM ET, THIS IS DEAD...
a) where to?
b) DEATH OF GOLD again...
c) yeah, it is what it is..
d) in the meantime, I'm also tired of the rules that limits updates
e) BECAUSE THAT'S THE WHOLE POINT!!
f) anything higher than 2043 is super dangerous..
g) have a good one
a) where to?
b) DEATH OF GOLD again...
c) yeah, it is what it is..
d) in the meantime, I'm also tired of the rules that limits updates
e) BECAUSE THAT'S THE WHOLE POINT!!
f) anything higher than 2043 is super dangerous..
g) have a good one
Comentarios:
h) I see 2000 again by end of Friday
Operación cerrada manualmente:
12:22 PM ET 11/29... 2043.xx LAST SECOND ROUTE
a) working on it
b) whatever's left there is still half of today and tomorrow
c) it's not favored, but it's not dead
d) I will post something soon:
a) working on it
b) whatever's left there is still half of today and tomorrow
c) it's not favored, but it's not dead
d) I will post something soon:
Operación cerrada manualmente:
AND HERE IS NEXT POST - #001 GOLD 12-HOUR EXTRAPOLATION
www.tradingview...-EXTRAPOLATION/?social_toa...
www.tradingview...-EXTRAPOLATION/?social_toa...
Comentarios:
Ideas relacionadas
a) the overall shape of the move is above with more boxes for the vague part
b) I will simply add what I see coming 12 hours out here
c) but I will update it at least 14-15 times from here to Thursday morning
d) I will add the first one soon