WILL THE MONEY SUPPLY REALLY COME DOWN?

31 jul 2023

Yes, it is possible that the total money supply will decrease.

= The total money supply in an economy is affected by various factors such as monetary policy, banking system dynamics, and economic conditions.


Here are some scenarios in which the total money supply may decrease:

• CONTRACTIONIST MONETARY POLICY
  Central banks have the ability to control the money supply through their monetary policies. When they pursue contractionary monetary policy, they take steps to reduce the money supply in order to control inflation. This can include selling government securities, increasing reserve requirements for banks, or raising interest rates, which can lead to a decrease in the money supply.

• BANK CRASHES OR BANK RUNS
  When multiple banks fail or experience a bank run, it can lead to a decrease in the money supply. When banks fail, the money that customers have deposited in those banks may be lost, resulting in a decrease in the overall money supply.

• ECONOMIC DOWNTURN
  During economic downturns, such as recessions or depressions, businesses and individuals may reduce their borrowing and spending, leading to a decline in the demand for credit and money. As a result, the supply of money may shrink.

• CONTRACTION OF CASH OR DEMONETIZATION
  Governments may withdraw certain denominations of cash from circulation or demonetize them altogether. This can be done for a variety of reasons, including combating counterfeiting, promoting digital payments, or curbing black market activity. In such cases, the total money supply would decrease as the currency withdrawn from circulation became invalid.

• DEVALUATION OR DEFLATION
  When there is a significant decline in the value of a country's currency (devaluation) or a sustained decline in the general level of prices for goods and services (deflation), the total money supply can effectively decline in terms of its purchasing power.

While these scenarios can lead to a decline in the total money supply, it is important to note that in modern economies, the money supply is generally controlled by central banks, which strive to maintain stable and predictable monetary conditions to promote economic growth and stability.

A significant and prolonged contraction in the money supply can have a detrimental effect on economic activity, so central banks generally seek to avoid abrupt contractions in the money supply.

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3 ago 2023

Nota

MONEY SUPPLY - Definitions: 

The money supply refers to the total amount of money in circulation within an economy. Economists often divide the money supply into different categories, such as M0, M1, M2, and M3, each representing varying degrees of liquidity and types of money.

M0 (Base Money): Also known as the monetary base or narrow money, M0 represents the physical currency in circulation and the reserves held by commercial banks at the central bank.

M1 (Narrow Money): M1 includes M0 (physical currency and reserves) and demand deposits, such as checking accounts, that can be quickly converted into cash.

M2 (Broad Money): M2 encompasses M1 and adds savings accounts, time deposits, and other relatively liquid assets.

M3 (Broadest Money): M3 is the broadest measure of the money supply, including M2 and large time deposits, institutional money market funds, and other large liquid assets.