The last 2 major vix spike events in Jan 2018 and March 2020 have followed the exact same technical pattern on all 3 metrics - VIX, RSI of VIX and MACD of VIX.
In 2022 and 2023, we are on the exact same trajectory on all 3 metrics. This indicates major vix spike in Nov 2023.
The fundamentals/reasoning behind this -
1. reducing corporate earnings,recession
2. very difficult to finance new spending by corporations
3. large gaping holes in balance sheets of financial institutions because of unrealized losses on bond positions.
In 2022 and 2023, we are on the exact same trajectory on all 3 metrics. This indicates major vix spike in Nov 2023.
The fundamentals/reasoning behind this -
1. reducing corporate earnings,recession
2. very difficult to finance new spending by corporations
3. large gaping holes in balance sheets of financial institutions because of unrealized losses on bond positions.