China concessions, oil and IMO 2020, BoA list
Yesterday was not that eventful for financial markets.
As for the general background, the Chinese state media that Sino is ready to make concessions to the United States (mainly, it is about importing food from the United States) and is preparing for “personal” negotiations with the United States instead of current telephone diplomacy.
In the oil market, despite the external calm, everything is quite alarming. Theresa May convened an emergency meeting in response to Iran seizure of a British tanker in the Strait of Hormuz that have led to an increase in tension. However, the effect was limited in forcing price levels, as the markets do not want to develop a conflict.
Today we want are writing about the upcoming revolution in the oil market and the IMO 2020 standard. One of the main oil consumers are ships that burn 3 million barrels per day. So from January 1, 2020, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) tightens standards, reducing the maximum sulfur content in marine fuels (from 2.7-3% to 0.5%). Shipowners will begin to reorient their ships to such clean fuels as LNG, which could significantly reduce the oil demand.
And more about the prospects. Bank of America identified the most “overheated” markets and assets, as well as identified positions that look most threatening in case of problems or force majeure. These are US treasury bonds purchases, the US technology sector shares purchases, and purchases of investment-grade bonds. So if you have such positions you should think about whether it’s time to close them or replace.
As for our trading recommendations for today, they are unchanged. We will continue to look for opportunities for selling the dollar, buying the pound against the dollar as well as against the euro, selling oil and the Russian ruble, and also buying the Japanese yen against the dollar. As for gold, considering how high it climbed, for the time being, we will trade it with no clear preference, buying from oversold and selling from overbought zones.
As for the general background, the Chinese state media that Sino is ready to make concessions to the United States (mainly, it is about importing food from the United States) and is preparing for “personal” negotiations with the United States instead of current telephone diplomacy.
In the oil market, despite the external calm, everything is quite alarming. Theresa May convened an emergency meeting in response to Iran seizure of a British tanker in the Strait of Hormuz that have led to an increase in tension. However, the effect was limited in forcing price levels, as the markets do not want to develop a conflict.
Today we want are writing about the upcoming revolution in the oil market and the IMO 2020 standard. One of the main oil consumers are ships that burn 3 million barrels per day. So from January 1, 2020, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) tightens standards, reducing the maximum sulfur content in marine fuels (from 2.7-3% to 0.5%). Shipowners will begin to reorient their ships to such clean fuels as LNG, which could significantly reduce the oil demand.
And more about the prospects. Bank of America identified the most “overheated” markets and assets, as well as identified positions that look most threatening in case of problems or force majeure. These are US treasury bonds purchases, the US technology sector shares purchases, and purchases of investment-grade bonds. So if you have such positions you should think about whether it’s time to close them or replace.
As for our trading recommendations for today, they are unchanged. We will continue to look for opportunities for selling the dollar, buying the pound against the dollar as well as against the euro, selling oil and the Russian ruble, and also buying the Japanese yen against the dollar. As for gold, considering how high it climbed, for the time being, we will trade it with no clear preference, buying from oversold and selling from overbought zones.
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youtube.com/channel/UCYEOurJfasXWyYnrriGwsqQ
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