Crude oil market analysis
Actualizado
Market performance
Freight rates rose in March and calmed down in May. In June, freight rates from the Middle East to China fell by 0.5 yuan month-on-month. July was also sluggish. At the same time, the gross profit margin of refining fell by 10-30% year-on-year, affecting the enthusiasm of refineries to purchase crude oil.
Market risk analysis
The US election may affect energy policy. The Democratic and Republican parties have different energy policies. In addition, the US Meteorological Corporation predicts that there will be 25 storms in the Atlantic this year, which may affect oil production and transportation
To sum up, my personal analysis shows that the crude oil market will remain low in the second half of the year.
Freight rates rose in March and calmed down in May. In June, freight rates from the Middle East to China fell by 0.5 yuan month-on-month. July was also sluggish. At the same time, the gross profit margin of refining fell by 10-30% year-on-year, affecting the enthusiasm of refineries to purchase crude oil.
Market risk analysis
The US election may affect energy policy. The Democratic and Republican parties have different energy policies. In addition, the US Meteorological Corporation predicts that there will be 25 storms in the Atlantic this year, which may affect oil production and transportation
To sum up, my personal analysis shows that the crude oil market will remain low in the second half of the year.
Nota
The above analysis is purely personal opinion. You can discuss with each other in the comment area
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