USOIL: Oil prices rose sharply due to a storm in the Black Sea

Oil prices soared as storms in the Black Sea region disrupted oil exports from Kazakhstan and Russia, raising concerns about tight supply as investors awaited a major OPEC+ decision.
Severe storms in the Black Sea region have disrupted oil exports of up to 2 million barrels a day from Kazakhstan and Russia, state and port authorities said. The Ministry of Energy announced that Kazakhstan's largest oil field will see a 56% decline in total daily oil production by November 27.
Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a division of Nissan Securities, said:

“Investors are locking up short positions ahead of the OPEC+ meeting amid concerns about supply disruptions from Kazakhstan.”
“Attention is focused on OPEC+ policy and demand outlook for the second half of this year, and unless OPEC+ makes significant production adjustments, WTI is expected to remain around $76 in the short term and fluctuate above and below $5. .”
OPEC+ is scheduled to hold an online ministerial meeting on Thursday to discuss production targets for 2024, after postponing its Nov. 26 meeting. Four OPEC+ officials said negotiations would be difficult and there was a possibility of an extension of the previous agreement rather than deeper production cuts. A weak dollar and a decline in US crude oil inventories also supported crude oil prices. The dollar fell near a three-month low as market expectations grew that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates early next year. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 817,000 barrels last week, market sources said, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute. On average, eight analysts polled by Reuters expected oil inventories to fall by about 900,000 barrels in the week ending Nov. 24. The US government's weekly oil inventory statistics will be released this evening.

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