ridethepig

ridethepig | USDMXN Market Commentary 2020.07.19

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FOREXCOM:USDMXN   Dólar estadounidense/Peso mexicano
Ok let's get started with the next round of important chart packs and fundamental updates

📍 On the fundamental side in USDMXN - as strange as it sounds all eyes are on the other side of the Atlantic. Once again politics in Europe is getting in the way, with discussions on the recovery fund coming to a close this weekend and looking like we are going to see this delayed till September with one more round of sabre rattling from the frugal four. With Covid still in play, any risks to more free money will add to a continuation of worries and anxiety. This can cap the highs in EURUSD for those tracking the flows:


We cleared the first macro target on time; although any push higher will be difficult without the official ✅ from the EC. Without that, risk is broadly exposed and the only way to defend against this in USDMXN is by sacrificing the MXN. Buyers have held the 61.8% after a hard battle; see the end of the previous chapter, from last year.


📌 Manoeuvring in these waters is difficult even for the most experienced speculators.

This position from the Technical game. The cramped sellers is glaring weakness here. And buyers should be considered as ready also. But buyer's own weakness on the soft horizontal resistance line should also be considered as a pivot also. A certain amount of restraint can be expected, although the space is there now to operate the impulsive wave. There are going to be plenty of chances for us to open up the H4 charts for those wanting to position for the micro flows, as well as those more passive traders waiting to take advantage of the momentum.

As usual thanks all for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
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