Ronin_trader

STRA: Short Trade (Dying Demand)

Corto
Ronin_trader Actualizado   
BATS:STRA   Strategic Education, Inc.
Dying Demand:
  • Since 27 Jul, we have seen buying strength bring price up towards key levels only for it to be brought down.
  • There is a KL at 77.67 and price has been unable to sustain the breakthrough only to be brought down very quickly

Compression zone: Price since 6 Sep has moved into a compression range.
  • 4H price has been moving with the 100EMA
  • D1 price has shown price below the 100EMA with it unable to break the 100EMA line.

Hypothesis
  • This trade falls nicely in my Student Loan hypothesis where we should see some impact or negative sentiment on consumer related categories where consumption is a "Want" instead of a "Need"

Resistance/Support
  • With the dying demand and key resistance all above price, I entered it short
  • D1 EMA100 line is also nicely above
  • 4H EMA100 line is being threaded and while it is not optimal, I think we can take some risk on this due price being below D1 EMA100

Broad Market Momentum
  • SPX is on a downwards movement

Trade Risk/Reward
  • Planned R/R is 5% to 14.39%

What I need to work on
  • I need to work on my exit plan, I think the current exit might be too simplistic and I might need to work on how I can portion it up and decrease the risk if the trade moves towards my directions
Operación cerrada: precio stop alcanzado:
When the entire market dropped and STRA still held strong, I should have noticed that the opposite would be that an upside move could result is price spiking like it has.
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