PATH Earnings Trade Overview (QS Premium) — 2025-12-03
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 60% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $15.00
Entry Range: $0.91
Target 1: $1.35 (+50%)
Target 2: $1.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $0.54 (-40%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Market Context & Analysis
Katy AI: Neutral, slightly bearish (-3.73%, 50% confidence) → mild downward pressure.
Technical: Pre-earnings rally +7.48%, price near daily high ($14.87/$14.92), MACD bullish, stochastics overbought (82.4).
News: Earnings today; strong fundamentals — 100% beat rate, +41.4% avg surprise, 401% revenue growth.
Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.77, implied move 13.3% ($1.97), some hedging at $16 put.
Risk Level: ELEVATED — high volatility (221% IV), Katy AI conflict, earnings binary event.
Trade Rationale
Edge: Strong fundamental history, earnings beat momentum, pre-market institutional positioning outweighs slight technical overbought and Katy’s bearish signal.
Timing Advantage: Earnings today with large implied move → positioned for post-earnings continuation.
Risk Management: Delta 0.511, tight stop, reduced size (2%) due to conflicting signals and extreme IV.
⚠️ Note: Extremely high volatility; monitor closely during earnings release, scale in/out to manage risk.
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 60% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $15.00
Entry Range: $0.91
Target 1: $1.35 (+50%)
Target 2: $1.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $0.54 (-40%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Market Context & Analysis
Katy AI: Neutral, slightly bearish (-3.73%, 50% confidence) → mild downward pressure.
Technical: Pre-earnings rally +7.48%, price near daily high ($14.87/$14.92), MACD bullish, stochastics overbought (82.4).
News: Earnings today; strong fundamentals — 100% beat rate, +41.4% avg surprise, 401% revenue growth.
Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.77, implied move 13.3% ($1.97), some hedging at $16 put.
Risk Level: ELEVATED — high volatility (221% IV), Katy AI conflict, earnings binary event.
Trade Rationale
Edge: Strong fundamental history, earnings beat momentum, pre-market institutional positioning outweighs slight technical overbought and Katy’s bearish signal.
Timing Advantage: Earnings today with large implied move → positioned for post-earnings continuation.
Risk Management: Delta 0.511, tight stop, reduced size (2%) due to conflicting signals and extreme IV.
⚠️ Note: Extremely high volatility; monitor closely during earnings release, scale in/out to manage risk.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading o de otro tipo proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Más información en Condiciones de uso.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading o de otro tipo proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Más información en Condiciones de uso.