NQ Short (10-27-25, Week 5)

ayer

NAZ with O/N Gap open to lock in the Long chase and clean out the short stops. Regarding Friday short, I always go flat into the close. The O/N continues be used to lift it with ease. This may be blow off top day into balance of Friday - Monday Long Play. Netflix had the -10% move and has not recovered, NAZ is using the off session to Rig it up. Drop may not be until Tuesday, yellow arrow is range for retest should upper stall out. Current gap fill likely either way. Pump/Dump into Open, Gap up in O/N and expect some Tweets. When this stalls, look short. AP on Friday, voided by Gap.

ayer

Nota

The Friday O/N session, primarily the majority of the move was the (circle) 200 point 1 minute move. This was then followed up with a flat reg session Friday. Next we have a Gap Up 270 point open O/N session on Sunday. Basically 1 way at record speed, 1 minute move and a Gap (no time) move. 770 is level to watch near Open of Reg Session.

ayer

Nota

Drop offset in play for any trade talks or Fed Day problems. Netflix is only up 1% and still lower 9% since the drop. All Gap an O/N looking for Reg Session reaction with some balance or selling volume. IDS27, NAZ will not go below either MA and keeps bouncing off. Upside down indicators that usually lead to a major drop. While NAZ is clearly approaching the upper 7 Week Target, I just do not like in which the way this has lifted up. Off Session and low volume.

ayer

Nota

Since bounce off KL 24,900 the 30M candles are stacking perfectly (except for circle). Look for stacking to slow or stop when shorting set up, pull back, drop tests and sideways. All this with lower volume and major (short time moves).

ayer

Nota

Slight divergence developing on IDS75. May not be until Tuesday should Monday lift play out from F-M Long Play. Reg Session reaction is key today.

ayer

Nota

850 drop test Short to 770. 1st attempt with 50 point stop. Scalp any hold on drop and let stops play out.

ayer

Nota

850 - 900 TZ

ayer

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Buying on red valleys should flip to selling on white peaks. Again, huge move in record speed and lower volume.

ayer

Nota

Just a weak or strange breakout of the Churn Zone of past 4 weeks. May be wrong and this is the new price action of a Bull, mentioned that it just seemed off last week. That could be it, sticking with the idea that normal historical cause/effect to resurface. If this continues, Hedge Funds will close their doors, trading firms will move to BTD/FOMO shops and indexing with Vanguard will be the strategy.

ayer

Nota

Drop test target here. Just watch the 30M Candles for the turn.

hace 20 horas

Nota

850 showing resistance, gave 50 point scalp and back up.

hace 19 horas

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Scalping Short from 850 with 770 and under break, Netflix is flat.

hace 19 horas

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May see sideways all day just like Friday, until the O/N. Why not, it works.

hace 19 horas

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Lower 30M candles, may see Diablo develop. FYI, if you are or were Long you did well pay 2-3 days. If you are trading, you have had not much to play with as the moves have happened in basically a few minutes. We need to see the NAZ explode up or this is coming back.

hace 19 horas

Nota

Hammer Short under 850, again same stop.

hace 19 horas

Nota

Needs to get under 800 1st then 775 and maybe it goes.

hace 19 horas

Nota

885 has to reject or going up. Head fake or pop here.

hace 18 horas

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Stacking is back, looking for 790 retest and reaction.

hace 18 horas

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AP below needs to break lower.

hace 18 horas

Nota

Stop at 950 and adding at 885 Short

hace 18 horas

Nota

NAZ should fall into 100 lower sideways range or Blast UPWARD here at 25890.

hace 18 horas

Nota

IDS75 Divergence, letting it ride, points to play with.

hace 17 horas

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NAZ appears to be in Slow Motion gear and moving like an inchworm higher, almost invisible. This looks like Holiday PA and not sure if it can even fit the Bullish/strong description. 950 is TZ, Original was 900. Drop test has to show up or traders may surrender and come back tomorrow. Even if you go Long, it is not going anywhere.

hace 17 horas

Nota

PA so slow that if you want to trade this you have to go to a 10 Bar on the chart. If you are trading a minute chart, go to 1-3 minute range. IDS10 is below.

hace 16 horas

Nota

Update of 9/29 Review Post, Click to view.

hace 14 horas

Nota

We have some seriously low volume so for through the day. Still looking at IDS75 Divergence and may add to the Short or close and reload after the next O/N session.

hace 14 horas

Nota

Target on Drop Test and move be biggest move of day. If Hit, look for reaction back up quick or weak bounce.

hace 14 horas

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Biggest move of Reg Session (above call). For those that were following me a few years ago, the NO Strength NAZ is back. NS NAZ is very hard to trade since it moves like a sloth, but will get higher. When the Sloth stops you can barley see it and then it drops like a rock. What I am looking for here (scalp) prior to going in the Pump/Dump O/N.

hace 13 horas

Nota

YTD NDX, 2 specks are Friday and today. Not 1 but 2 gaps to fill and usually will happen.

hace 13 horas

Nota

So the volume today will be the lowest day of past 20. When a true Bull is running it usually will have high volume in the Reg Session. Something is off or in the works as this continues to play out. Sticking with the Short side as this plays out. Stopped at 950, will add in O/N if opportunity.