If I were you, I wouldn't go long or short until we leave the support/resistance zone that is quite large because of market volatility. We are not in a full bear market, but in bear mode, so a long position is riskier than a short position.
What can push prices up?
- Stock buybacks
- The story of the everlasting bull market
- Change in FED's opinion to defer next rate hike (return to dovish monetary policy)
- A consensus in the trade agreements between US and China, EU and GB
- Strong global economy due to positive consumer sentiment
What can push prices down?
- Rising interest rates and bond yields
- Escalation of the trade war (more tariffs)
- Budget spending clash in Europe
- Ongoing currency devaluation in the emerging markets
- A flattening economy