Hello Golden heart people
Sorry I am not bringing a good news for GOLD/GLD. The chart pattern seems to be replicating itself from 2011 - 2015. Description in the chart should be self explanatory, here are few points to make it clear.
This is a monthly chart, so please do not hold me for the daily bounce. I am taking this opportunity to short at the better price. What are you doing?
Moving average I have used is 34 because it is at least respecting that average, and currently it is below 34 monthly moving average and is turning down. I will change my mind only when it closes above this monthly moving average.
If you know me, my monthly fib levels are in red and the price is below 23%, the minimum target is 38% which is 135
I have used Anchored VWAP since inception of GLD and now it is finally below 1 standard deviation and if mean reversion has started then the target is 125 and to capitulate it has to go below 110
One thing I have learnt is, longer trend works BUT the only condition is you should be able to ignore the losses short term
I will keep updating this idea as and when there are big moves or if there are any questions.
This is my opinion, I would like to know yours as well if you do not agree with this.