Gold Update 13AUG2025: Risk of Sideways Consolidation

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Last Friday, August 8, the price failed to progress above the April top as it closed underneath. Hence, there are two possible scenarios from here:

The price could have just completed the first wave up in a larger wave 5, and we may see a retracement. This setup remains valid as long as the price stays above the last wave E of the Triangle at $3,300.

The large sideways consolidation (WXY) might take shape, potentially retesting the bottom of wave A at $3,123. In this case, the target could drop lower, with potential support in the pink box area between $3,700 and $4,100.

Which one do you think plays out?

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