ETH Market Structure — Multi-Timeframe Overview

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ETH is coiling after a strong impulse; higher-highs and higher-lows remain intact. We map the paths, define the sweep zones, and let price confirm. When a condition is met, we decide based on live LTF confluence (15–60m PA, CVD, funding, OI) and post signals in real time for precision.

1W
• Holds near 4.37k after an impulsive ≈2.9k → 4.8k leg.
• Weekly structure bullish (clean HH–HL).
• 4.1–4.2k = first structural defense before next markup.

2D
• Compression between 4.15–4.75k.
• Reclaim > 4.75k → continuation toward 5.0–5.2k liquidity pocket.
• Close < 4.1k → deeper pullback to ≈3.8k mid-range.
• Declining volume = equilibrium before the next impulse.

12H
• Local sweep of 4.6–4.7k highs met rejection with soft OI unwind.
• Short-term structure mildly corrective inside the larger bullish leg.
• POC ≈ 4.37k acts as a magnet.

📈 Orderflow / Derivatives (Binance + Bybit)
• POC: ≈ 4.35k
• OI: ≈ $27B, flat — no cascade risk
• Funding: +0.01–0.02% (neutral/slightly positive)
• CVD: spot bids absorbing shorts
• Liquidation clusters: < 4.25k and > 4.75k
• 3-mo basis: 5.5% → 4.8% — healthy cool-off

⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes

🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — 4.72k → 4.85k
• Liquidity from equal highs + weekly wick confluence.
• 12H close > 4.85k with OI rising and funding > 0.03% = breakout leg to 5.1–5.3k.
• Fast rejection + OI drop = short scalp reversion → 4.35k POC.

🟩 Support Sweep Zone — 4.10k → 4.25k
• Last bullish OB + visible footprint POC.
• 12H close < 4.1k with rising OI = fresh short momentum → 3.75–3.85k liquidity rebuild.
• Hold + delta absorption = reload zone → 4.7k target.

⚫ Deep Liquidity Zone — 3.70k → 3.85k
• Macro support shelf + monthly FVG fill.
• Failure here = macro structure shift → risk toward ≈3.3k.

🧭 Two-Path Playbook
Bullish IF: HTF acceptance > 4.75k (breakout confirmation if 12H > 4.85k with OI↑ & funding > 0.03%) → 5.1–5.3k.
Bearish IF: 12H < 4.1k with OI↑ (fresh shorts) → 3.75–3.85k liquidity rebuild.

Context note: ETHBTC ≈ 0.0358 stabilizing after a multi-month downtrend → green shoots for ETH-ecosystem rotation if BTC.D < 60% persists.

We post signals only when triggers actually fire, using live lower-timeframe confirmation for reliability and precision.

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