Alpa Cup and Handle Pattern - Bullish

6 jul

### Chart Patterns:
1. **Cup and Handle Pattern**:
- **Cup**: The price action from mid-2021 to mid-2023 resembles a cup formation, with a rounded bottom indicating accumulation.
- **Handle**: Following the cup, the recent price action seems to form a handle, typically characterized by a downward consolidation.

2. **Descending Triangle**:
- There is a descending triangle visible within the handle part of the cup and handle pattern. This is typically a bearish continuation pattern, but in this context, it could be part of the handle formation.

### Volume Profile:
- The volume profile on the right shows the price levels where the most volume has been traded.
- There is a significant volume build-up around the 70-85 level, suggesting a strong support zone.

### Support and Resistance Levels:
- **Support**: Around 65-70 (based on volume profile and historical price action).
- **Resistance**: Around 93-95, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending triangle and the previous highs.

### Indicators:
- **RSI (14)**: The RSI is around 51.48, which is neutral. It indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. The RSI is also showing a slight uptick, suggesting a potential bullish momentum.

### Key Observations:
- The breakout above the descending triangle's upper boundary (~93-95) with strong volume could signal a bullish move.
- The cup and handle pattern generally signals a continuation of the previous uptrend if the price breaks above the handle with strong volume.
- The volume has been increasing, indicating growing interest in the stock.

### Potential Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- A breakout above the 93-95 resistance level with strong volume could lead to a significant upward move, confirming the cup and handle pattern.
- Targets could be around the 110-120 range, aligning with the height of the cup added to the breakout point.

2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- If the price fails to break out and falls below the support zone around 65-70, it might indicate a further downside.
- In such a case, the next support levels would be around 50-55.

### Strategy:
- **Entry**: Consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout above 93-95 with strong volume.
- **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss below the handle's low, around 70, to manage risk.
- **Target**: Aim for the 110-120 range based on the cup and handle pattern projection.

This analysis combines technical patterns, volume profile, and RSI to provide a comprehensive view. Always consider other fundamental and market factors before making a trade decision.