📊 Analysis Overview Based on my custom Intermarket script & Oscillator, we are currently in a range-bound phase, sitting right at the mean where Bitcoin is fairly valued. 📈 Market Context Intermarket analysis suggest a balanced market, with no extreme overvaluation or undervaluation for Bitcoin. Historical cycles indicate that 2017 had a similar extended...
My excess liquidity model is signaling a short-term bearish outlook while suggesting a long-term bullish formation, potentially resembling a cup-bottom structure. Given that excess liquidity is calculated as M2 + CB balance sheets - GDP, adjusted for oil, DXY, US10Y, and CN10Y movements, the interpretation aligns with macroeconomic shifts. Short-Term Bearish...
This indicator helps visualize long-term market dynamics using standard deviation bands and volatility cycles to identify high and low-risk zones. Historically, we see clear periods of expansion and contraction in BTC’s price behavior, often preceding major cycle tops and bottoms. Green zones indicate historically favorable periods, often marking accumulation or...
This indicator I built suggests that we have probably not yet reached the end of Bitcoin’s bull cycle. Looking at the dynamics of past parabolic advances, we find similarities with 2013 and 2017, where the price experienced multiple acceleration phases before reaching its final peak. In this cycle, we might be witnessing a blend of previous patterns, with...
Historically, the "Percentage of Bitcoin Hodlers" metric has been a reliable signal for identifying major market tops in Bitcoin's price cycle. Whenever this metric crosses 1 standard deviation above its mean (overbought level), it has coincided with Bitcoin's price reaching a local or even cycle top. As seen in the chart: 2013, 2017, and 2021: The metric spiked...
bearish divergence and bearish stoch rsi