Hybrid Triple Exponential Smoothing🙏🏻 TV, I present you HTES aka Hybrid Triple Exponential Smoothing, designed by Holt & Winters in the US, assembled by me in Saint P. I apply exponential smoothing individually to the data itself, then to residuals from the fitted values, and lastly to one-point forecast (OPF) errors, hence 'hybrid'. At the same time, the method is a closed-form solution and purely online, no need to make any recalculations & optimize anything, so the method is O(1).
^^ historical OPFs and one-point forecasting interval plotted instead of fitted values and prediction interval
Before the How-to, first let me tell you some non-obvious things about Triple Exponential smoothing (and about Exponential Smoothing in general) that not many catch. Expo smoothing seems very straightforward and obvious, but if you look deeper...
1) The whole point of exponential smoothing is its incremental/online nature, and its O(1) algorithm complexity, making it dope for high-frequency streaming data that is also univariate and has no weights. Consequently:
- Any hybrid models that involve expo smoothing and any type of ML models like gradient boosting applied to residuals rarely make much sense business-wise: if you have resources to boost the residuals, you prolly have resources to use something instead of expo smoothing;
- It also concerns the fashion of using optimizers to pick smoothing parameters; honestly, if you use this approach, you have to retrain on each datapoint, which is crazy in a streaming context. If you're not in a streaming context, why expo smoothing? What makes more sense is either picking smoothing parameters once, guided by exogenous info, or using dynamic ones calculated in a minimalistic and elegant way (more on that in further drops).
2) No matter how 'right' you choose the smoothing parameters, all the resulting components (level, trend, seasonal) are not pure; each of them contains a bit of info from the other components, this is just how non-sequential expo smoothing works. You gotta know this if you wanna use expo smoothing to decompose your time series into separate components. The only pure component there, lol, is the residuals;
3) Given what I've just said, treating the level (that does contain trend and seasonal components partially) as the resulting fit is a mistake. The resulting fit is level (l) + trend (b) + seasonal (s). And from this fit, you calculate residuals;
4) The residuals component is not some kind of bad thing; it is simply the component that contains info you consciously decide not to include in your model for whatever reason;
5) Forecasting Errors and Residuals from fitted values are 2 different things. The former are deltas between the forecasts you've made and actual values you've observed, the latter are simply differences between actual datapoints and in-sample fitted values;
6) Residuals are used for in-sample prediction intervals, errors for out-of-sample forecasting intervals;
7) Choosing between single, double, or triple expo smoothing should not be based exclusively on the nature of your data, but on what you need to do as well. For example:
- If you have trending seasonal data and you wanna do forecasting exclusively within the expo smoothing framework, then yes, you need Triple Exponential Smoothing;
- If you wanna use prediction intervals for generating trend-trading signals and you disregard seasonality, then you need single (simple) expo smoothing, even on trending data. Otherwise, the trend component will be included in your model's fitted values → prediction intervals.
8) Kind of not non-obvious, but when you put one smoothing parameter to zero, you basically disregard this component. E.g., in triple expo smoothing, when you put gamma and beta to zero, you basically end up with single exponential smoothing.
^^ data smoothing, beta and gamma zeroed out, forecasting steps = 0
About the implementation
* I use a simple power transform that results in a log transform with lambda = 0 instead of the mainstream-used transformers (if you put lambda on 2 in Box-Cox, you won't get a power of 2 transform)
* Separate set of smoothing parameters for data, residuals, and errors smoothing
* Separate band multipliers for residuals and errors
* Both typical error and typical residuals get multiplied by math.sqrt(math.pi / 2) in order to approach standard deviation so you can ~use Z values and get more or less corresponding probabilities
* In script settings → style, you can switch on/off plotting of many things that get calculated internally:
- You can visualize separate components (just remember they are not pure);
- You can switch off fit and switch on OPF plotting;
- You can plot residuals and their exponentially smoothed typical value to pick the smoothing parameters for both data and residuals;
- Or you might plot errors and play with data smoothing parameters to minimize them (consult SAE aka Sum of Absolute Errors plot);
^^ nuff said
More ideas on how to use the thing
1) Use Double Exponential Smoothing (data gamma = 0) to detrend your time series for further processing (Fourier likes at least weakly stationary data);
2) Put single expo smoothing on your strategy/subaccount equity chart (data alpha = data beta = 0), set prediction interval deviation multiplier to 1, run your strat live on simulator, start executing on real market when equity on simulator hits upper deviation (prediction interval), stop trading if equity hits lower deviation on simulator. Basically, let the strat always run on simulator, but send real orders to a real market when the strat is successful on your simulator;
3) Set up the model to minimize one-point forecasting errors, put error forecasting steps to 1, now you're doing nowcasting;
4) Forecast noisy trending sine waves for fun.
^^ nuff said 2
All Good TV ∞
Simple
Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy with Buy/Sell OptionsStrategy Name:
Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy with Buy/Sell Options
Description:
The Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy is a trend-following strategy designed to capitalize on market trends by utilizing the smoothness of Heikin Ashi candles. This strategy provides flexible options for trading, allowing users to choose between Buy Only (long-only), Sell Only (short-only), or using both in alternating conditions based on the Heikin Ashi candle signals. The strategy works on any market, but it performs especially well in markets where trends are prevalent, such as cryptocurrency or Forex.
This script offers customizable parameters for the backtest period, Heikin Ashi timeframe, stop loss, and take profit levels, allowing traders to optimize the strategy for their preferred markets or assets.
Key Features:
Trade Type Options:
Buy Only: Enter a long position when a green Heikin Ashi candle appears and exit when a red candle appears.
Sell Only: Enter a short position when a red Heikin Ashi candle appears and exit when a green candle appears.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Customizable stop loss and take profit percentages allow for flexible risk management.
The default stop loss is set to 2%, and the default take profit is set to 4%, maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Heikin Ashi Timeframe:
Traders can select the desired timeframe for Heikin Ashi candle calculation (e.g., 4-hour Heikin Ashi candles for a 1-hour chart).
The strategy smooths out price action and reduces noise, providing clearer signals for entry and exit.
Inputs:
Backtest Start Date / End Date: Specify the period for testing the strategy’s performance.
Heikin Ashi Timeframe: Select the timeframe for Heikin Ashi candle generation. A higher timeframe helps smooth the trend, which is beneficial for trading lower timeframes.
Stop Loss (in %) and Take Profit (in %): Enable or disable stop loss and take profit, and adjust the levels based on market conditions.
Trade Type: Choose between Buy Only or Sell Only based on your market outlook and strategy preference.
Strategy Performance:
In testing with BTC/USD, this strategy performed well in a 4-hour Heikin Ashi timeframe applied on a 1-hour chart over a period from January 1, 2024, to September 12, 2024. The results were as follows:
Initial Capital: 1 USD
Order Size: 100% of equity
Net Profit: +30.74 USD (3,073.52% return)
Percent Profitable: 78.28% of trades were winners.
Profit Factor: 15.825, indicating that the strategy's profitable trades far outweighed its losses.
Max Drawdown: 4.21%, showing low risk exposure relative to the large profit potential.
This strategy is ideal for both beginner and advanced traders who are looking to follow trends and avoid market noise by using Heikin Ashi candles. It is also well-suited for traders who prefer automated risk management through the use of stop loss and take profit levels.
Recommended Use:
Best Markets: This strategy works well on trending markets like cryptocurrency, Forex, or indices.
Timeframes: Works best when applied to lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) with a higher Heikin Ashi timeframe (e.g., 4-hour candles) to smooth out price action.
Leverage: The strategy performs well with leverage, but users should consider using 2x to 3x leverage to avoid excessive risk and potential liquidation. The strategy's low drawdown allows for moderate leverage use while maintaining risk control.
Customization: Traders can adjust the stop loss and take profit percentages based on their risk appetite and market conditions. A default setting of a 2% stop loss and 4% take profit provides a balanced risk/reward ratio.
Notes:
Risk Management: Traders should enable stop loss and take profit settings to maintain effective risk management and prevent large drawdowns during volatile market conditions.
Optimization: This strategy can be further optimized by adjusting the Heikin Ashi timeframe and risk parameters based on specific market conditions and assets.
Backtesting: The built-in backtesting functionality allows traders to test the strategy across different market conditions and historical data to ensure robustness before applying it to live trading.
How to Apply:
Select your preferred market and chart.
Choose the appropriate Heikin Ashi timeframe based on the chart's timeframe. (e.g., use 4-hour Heikin Ashi candles for 1-hour chart trends).
Adjust stop loss and take profit based on your risk management preference.
Run backtesting to evaluate its performance before applying it in live trading.
This strategy can be further modified and optimized based on personal trading style and market conditions. It’s important to monitor performance regularly and adjust settings as needed to align with market behavior.
Double Ribbon [ChartPrime]The Double Ribbon - ChartPrime indicator is a powerful tool that combines two sets of Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) into a visually intuitive ribbon, which helps traders assess market trends and momentum. This indicator features two distinct ribbons: one with a fixed length but changing offset (displayed in gray) and another with varying lengths (displayed in colors). The relationship between these ribbons forms the basis of a trend score, which is visualized as an oscillator. This comprehensive approach provides traders with a clear view of market direction and strength.
◆ KEY FEATURES
Dual Ribbon Visualization : Displays two sets of 11 SMAs—one in a neutral gray color with a fixed length but varying offset, and another in vibrant colors with lengths that increase incrementally.
Trend Score Calculation : The trend score is derived from comparing each SMA in the colored ribbon with its corresponding SMA in the gray ribbon. If a colored SMA is above its gray counterpart, a positive score is added; if below, a negative score is assigned.
// Loop to calculate SMAs and update the score based on their relationships
for i = 0 to length
// Calculate SMA with increasing lengths
sma = ta.sma(src, len + 1 + i)
// Update score based on comparison of primary SMA with current SMA
if sma1 < sma
score += 1
else
score -= 1
// Store calculated SMAs in the arrays
sma_array.push(sma)
sma_array1.push(sma1 )
Dynamic Trend Analysis : The score oscillator provides a dynamic analysis of the trend, allowing traders to quickly gauge market conditions and potential reversals.
Customizable Ribbon Display : Users can toggle the display of the ribbon for a cleaner chart view, focusing solely on the trend score if desired.
◆ USAGE
Trend Confirmation : Use the position and color of the ribbon to confirm the current market trend. When the colored ribbon consistently stays above the gray ribbon, it indicates a strong uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend.
Momentum Assessment : The score oscillator provides insight into the strength of the current trend. Higher scores suggest stronger trends, while lower scores may indicate weakening momentum or a potential reversal.
Strategic Entry/Exit Points : Consider using crossovers between the ribbons and changes in the score oscillator to identify potential entry or exit points in trades.
⯁ USER INPUTS
Length : Sets the base length for the primary SMAs in the ribbons.
Source : Determines the price data used for calculating the SMAs (e.g., close, open).
Ribbon Display Toggle : Allows users to show or hide the ribbon on the chart, focusing on either the ribbon, the trend score, or both.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Double Ribbon indicator offers traders a comprehensive tool for analyzing market trends and momentum. By combining two ribbons with varying SMA lengths and offsets, it provides a clear visual representation of market conditions. The trend score oscillator enhances this analysis by quantifying trend strength, making it easier for traders to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk effectively.
Turn of the Month Strategy [Honestcowboy]The end of month effect is a well known trading strategy in the stock market. Quite simply, most stocks go up at the end of the month. What's even better is that this effect spills over to the next phew days of the next month.
In this script we backtest this theory which should work especially well on SP500 pair.
By default the strategy buys 2 days before the end of each month and exits the position 3 days into the next month.
The strategy is a long only strategy and is extremely simple. The SP500 is one of the #1 assets people use for long term investing due to it's "9.8%" annualised return. However as a trader you want the best deal possible. This strategy is only inside the market for about 25% of the time while delivering a similar return per exposure with a lower drawdown.
Here are some hypothesis why turn of the month effect happens in the stock markets:
Increased inflow from savings accounts to stocks at end of month
Rebalancing of portfolios by fund managers at end of month
The timing of monthly cash flows received by pension funds, which are reinvested in the stock market.
The script also has some inputs to define how many days before end of the month you want to buy the asset and how long you want to hold it into the next month.
It is not possible to buy the asset exactly on this day every month as the market closes on the weekend. I've added some logic where it will check if that day is a friday, saturdady or sunday. If that is the case it will send the buy signal on the end of thursday, this way we enter on the friday and don't lose that months trading opportunity.
The backtest below uses 4% exposure per trade as to show the equity curve more clearly and because of publishing rules. However, most fund managers and investors use 100% exposure. This way you actually risk money to earn money. Feel free to adjust the settings to your risk profile to get a clearer picture of risks and rewards before implementing in your portfolio.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
ATR Percentage ValuesThis indicator is created to give you the daily ATR 2% and 10% values for any product that you are looking at. The way the indicator is designed is to only show the most recent 2 and 10 percent values on any chart and will not show you any other number. If you are hovering over price that occurred in the past it will show zeros on the values. To get the right values, take your mouse off of the chart and it will show you the values.
The way this indicator is coded will give you the daily ATR numbers no matter what chart timeframe you are currently looking at. The idea is to save time and make sure you do not make a mistake getting the wrong value.
*** To make this show up on the status line, click on the settings, click on the style box and check the box "VALUES IN STATUS LINE" ****
Average Range LinesThis Average Range Lines indicator identifies high and low price levels based on a chosen time period (day, week, month, etc.) and then uses a simple moving average over the length of the lookback period chosen to project support and resistance levels, otherwise referred to as average range. The calculation of these levels are slightly different than Average True Range and I have found this to be more accurate for intraday price bounces.
Lines are plotted and labeled on the chart based on the following methodology:
+3.0: 3x the average high over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
+2.5: 2.5x the average high over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
+2.0: 2x the average high over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
+1.5: 1.5x the average high over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
+1.0: The average high over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
+0.5: One-half the average high over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
Open: Opening price for the chosen time period.
-0.5: One-half the average low over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
-1.0: The average low over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
-1.5: 1.5x the average low over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
-2.0: 2x the average low over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
-2.5: 2.5x the average low over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
-3.0: 3x the average low over the chosen timeframe and lookback period.
Look for price to find support or resistance at these levels for either entries or to take profit. When price crosses the +/- 2.0 or beyond, the likelihood of a reversal is very high, especially if set to weekly and monthly levels.
This indicator can be used/viewed on any timeframe. For intraday trading and viewing on a 15 minute or less timeframe, I recommend using the 4 hour, 1 day, and/or 1 week levels. For swing trading and viewing on a 30 minute or higher timeframe, I recommend using the 1 week, 1 month, or longer timeframes. I don’t believe this would be useful on a 1 hour or less timeframe, but let me know if the comments if you find otherwise.
Based on my testing, recommended lookback periods by timeframe include:
Timeframe: 4 hour; Lookback period: 60 (recommend viewing on a 5 minute or less timeframe)
Timeframe: 1 day; Lookback period: 10 (also check out 25 if your chart doesn’t show good support/resistance at 10 days lookback – I have found 25 to be useful on charts like SPX)
Timeframe: 1 week; Lookback period: 14
Timeframe: 1 month; Lookback period: 10
The line style and colors are all editable. You can apply a global coloring scheme in the event you want to add this indicator to your chart multiple times with different time frames like I do for the weekly and monthly.
I appreciate your comments/feedback on this indicator to improve. Also let me know if you find this useful, and what settings/ticker you find it works best with!
Also check out my profile for more indicators!
10 MAs Alpha Indicator by MontyThis indicator is a part of the script I coded earlier this month.
The name is to surprise one of our discord member.
I will publish that indicator in a few days as well, but publishing this as a gesture of giving back to the community.
Indicator has:
10 Moving Averages
Adjustable Color, Opacity and Size etc
Shows Labels for each of the MA.
Can be shifted between EMA or SMA
Can be fixed to show a specific TF MA on current Timeframe.
Opening Range with Infinite Price TargetsOpening Range with Infinite Price Targets is an ORB indicator that automatically generates price targets into infinity based on a user-defined % of range.
This indicator includes many nice-to-have features missing from other indicators. Such as:
Price Target Labels with Price tooltip, want to know exactly what price pt3 is at? Hover over it and see.
Custom Defined Range time, Set your Range Start and end time to whatever you need, Doesn't have to be pinned to opening range!. Note: Time is in chart time.
Historical View (Default off), Tired of your chart looking messy with a ton of lines from historical data? No problem! You can choose to view or not view historical data.
Alerts for Range Breaks, First Range Breaks, and Discovery Price Target hits. As well as Exported Values for Range High, Low, and Mean to set your own alerts from custom sources.
Custom Price Targets, set your price targets to a % of the range based on your own strategy.
Last but not Least, Infinitely Generating Price Targets. They just keep building. New Targets will be generated when the price closes above/below the current farthest target.
Enjoy!
MACD strategy + Trailstop indicatorWelcome traveler !
Here is my first indicator I made after 3 days of hardlearning pine code (beginner in coding).
I hope it will please you, if you have any suggestion to enhance this indicator, do not hesitate to give me your thoughts in the comments section or by Private message on trading View !
How does it works ?
It's a simple MACD strategy as describe here :
Uses of EMA 200 as a trend confirmer,
For sells :
When above Zero line (MACD) and under EMA200, we go on sell (background color is red)
For buys:
When under Zero line (MACD) and above EMA 200, we go on Buy (back ground color is green)
FILTERS !
I haded one filter to reduce noise on the indicator :
Signals aren't taken if one of the 14 last candles closed on the other side of the EMA 14.
What are the green and red lines ?
The green line is equivalent of a potential stop loss as a buyer side, same for the red one on seller side !
To make the space with the price bigger, please use "ATR multiplier" in the input options of the indicator while on your chart !
Is it timeframe specific ?
Hell no it is not timeframe specific ! You can try to use it on every timeframe !
As usual, I like to remind you that the best way to test an indicator is to go backtest it or to paper trade before using it on real market conditions !
If you find an idea of filter for a specific timeframe, do not hesitate to contact me ! I'll try to do my best to enhance this indicator as the time goes !
Is there repainting ?
There is no repainting on confirmation !
There's only a movement that I don't know how to ignore on the current open candle for the trail stop indicator I built, it should not be a problem if you place alerts to automatise your trading on the close of the candle, and not the high or low !
If you know how to resolve this problem with my code, I would be glad to get your tips to enhance the script ! :)
Example of the indicator in market (backtest, as said, no repaint on confirmation) :
Simple LevelsSimple Level provides a (you guessed it) simple user to user level sharing experience, with less boxes, less formatting, and less hassle.
Simply insert your levels into the input box, separated by commas. That's it.
Example: 1,2,3,4,5
The Simple Levels indicator will automatically color your lines based on their position to the current close price.
If the level is crossed, the level line will change color.
This indicator is intended for those who just want to skip filling out boxes or typing in a tricky format, and cut to the chase.
There are additional, nice-to-have settings as well for the "more" technically inclined; however, nothing too complicated.
Enjoy!
Buy and hold strategyA simple buy and hold strategy. A short or a long position can be chosen. The start date will determine the date where your position will start and end date is the date it will end. This works well as a baseline to your other existing strategies since buy and hold is just the simplest strategy available.
SMA RegimeProvides a color coded indicator based upon both the slope of a moving average of choice, and the asset's position in relation to that moving average. If the specified moving average is downward sloping and the asset closes below the moving average the indicator will be red. If the specified moving average is upward sloping and the asset closes above the moving average the indicator will be green. Any other combination of these two factors will color the indicator yellow indicating indecision.
Aggregated Moving AveragesUsers can display moving averages from higher time frame charts and display them on their current chart. This script supports up to 4 moving averages aggregated from a selected time frame. Each plot can be toggled if the user does not wish to have all 4 plots displayed.
Inputs allow user to edit:
Moving average length
Average type
Color
Timeframe input allows user to select which timeframe the moving averages are calculated from.
If you wish to have multiple timeframes across different moving averages, it is recommended you add a separate copies of the indicator for each timeframe you wish to display. Toggle visibility of which plots which you don't need.
consoleLibrary "console"
Simple debug console to print messages from your strategy code.
USAGE :
Make sure your strategy overlay is false
Import the library :
import keio/console/1 as console
init(lines, panes)
Initialise function.
USAGE :
var log = console.init()
Parameters:
lines : Optional. Number of lines to display
panes : Optional. Number of panes to display
Returns: initialised log
print(log)
Prints a message to the console.
USAGE :
log := console.print(log, "message")
Parameters:
log : Mandatory. The log returned from the init() function
Returns: The log
TRADING MADE SIMPLEThis indicator shows market structure. The standard method of using Williams Highs and Lows as pivots, is something of an approximation.
What's original here is that we follow rules to confirm Local Highs and Local Lows, and strictly enforce that a Low can only follow a confirmed High and vice-versa.
-- Highs and Lows
To confirm a candle as a Local High, you need a later candle to Close below its Low. To confirm a Local Low, you need a Close above its High.
A Low can only follow a High (after it's been confirmed). You can't go e.g High, High, Low, Low, only High, Low, High, Low.
When price makes Higher Highs and Higher Lows, market structure is said to be bullish. When price makes Lower Lows and Lower Highs, it's bearish.
I've defined the in-between Highs and Lows as "Ranging", meaning, neutral. They could be trend continuation or reversal.
-- Bullish/Bearish Breaks
A Bullish break in market structure is when the Close of the current candle goes higher than the previous confirmed Local High.
A Bearish Break is when the Close of the current candle goes lower than the most recent confirmed Local Low.
I chose to use Close rather than High to reduce edge case weirdness. The breaking candle often ends up being a big one, thus the close of that candle can be a poor entry.
You can get live warnings by setting the alert to Options: Only Once, because during a candle, the current price is taken as the Close.
Breaks are like early warnings of a change in market bias, because you're not waiting for a High or Low to be formed and confirmed.
Buy The Dip / Sell The Rally
Buy The Dip is a label I gave to the first Higher Low in a bullish market structure. Sell The Rally is the first Lower High in a bearish market structure.
These *might* be good buying/selling opportunities, but you still need to do your own analysis to confirm that.
== USAGE ==
The point of knowing market structure is so you don't make bullish bets in a bearish market and vice versa -
or if you do at least you're aware that that's what you're doing, and hopefully have some overwhelmingly good reason to do so.
These are not signals to be traded on their own. You still need a trade thesis. Use with support & resistance and your other favourite indicators.
Works on any market on any timeframe. Be aware that market structure will be different on different timeframes.
IMPORTANT: If you're not seeing what you expect, check your settings and re-read this entire description carefully. Confirming Highs and Lows can get deceptively complex.
EMA Oscilator [Azzrael]Just one more simple and useless Oscilator based on EMA. I've used Standard Deviation of (close - ema) to show overheated zones.
CRC.i Golden Death CrossThis is a simple reproduction of a common indicator used for analyzing the current momentum trend.
Golden Cross => 50 day simple moving average (sma) crosses over the 200 sma
Death Cross => 50 day simple moving average (sma) crosses under the 200 sma
Forecasting used in this indicator is a simple moving average, considering the price sma with length of (sma period - future bar count).
More articles at
mirror.xyz
medium.com
34 EMA BandsThis is quite a simple script, just plotting a 34EMA on high's and low's of candles. Appears to work wonders though, so here it is.
There is some //'d code which I haven't finished working on, but it looks to be quite similar to Bollinger Bands, just using different math rather than standard deviations from the mean.
The bands itself is pretty self explanatory, price likes to use it as resistance when under it, it can trade inside it and it can use the upper EMA as support when in a strong upward trend.
Ehlers Simple Window Indicator [CC]The Simple Window Indicator was created by John Ehlers (Stocks and Commodities Sep 2021) and this is the last of the 4 new indicators that he published in the latest issue of Stocks & Commodities. Since these are all part of a series, the idea behind each indicator is the exact same. The only difference is of course the calculation for each indicator. This script is different mostly because it is extremely noisy in comparison so I had to smooth it twice to provide clear buy and sell signals. Window functions are used in digital signal processing to filter out noise and the end result is an oscillator that centers around the 0 line. The easy way to understand these indicators that I will be publishing and those are that when they are above 0, it usually means an uptrend and below 0 then a downtrend. For more immediate signals, I have included both normal and strong buy and sell signals so darker colors for strong signals and lighter colors for normal signals. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like me to publish!
Simple Buy/Sell StrategyThis is the strategy version of the original 'Simple Buy/Sell Indicator' by @Shizaru .
The original indicator description explains the logic behind the strategy:
"The original script was posted on ProRealCode by user Doctrading.
This little and simple code allows you to draw an indicator, which show you when buy or sell conditions are met.
For "buy" conditions, I did just set :
close > MM200
close > Parabolic SAR
MACD > 0
RSI7 > 50
For "sell" conditions : the opposite.
Of course, you can set what you want, in order to test your strategies.
Of course, to be profitable, you must also set your trading rules (entry, stop loss, trailing stop, take profit, etc.)
It's only an indicator, which doesn't show entry or exit rules."
Hope this helps someone!
Ehlers Simple Clip Indicator [CC]The Simple Clip Indicator was created by John Ehlers (Stocks and Commodities June 2021 pg 10) and this is obviously very similar to the previous indicator I published ( Ehlers Simple Deriv Indicator ) so I would recommend to try both out and see what you prefer. This is a new momentum indicator that is extremely responsive to price changes and when the indicator is above 0 then this means the stock is in a long term uptrend and when it is below 0 then it is in a long term downtrend. I have color coded the indicator line to show you both strong buy and sell signals and normal buy and sell signals. Dark colors are strong signals and of course green means a buy signal and red means a sell signal. I did change the original buy and sell signals that Ehlers included in his scripts because I didn't find that they worked very well so let me know what you think of my changes.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
