Exponential MA Channel, Daily Timeframe (Crypto)

15 sept 2021

Moving averages are some of the most common tools for traders. Some of the most widely used ones are simple moving averages (e.g. 20SMA, 50 SMA, 100 SMA, 200SMA,...). There are endless combinations of moving averages that can be used. I prefer to use exponential moving averages because they react more quickly to price data (essentially they filter back through the data over a discrete number of timesteps, with more recent history receiving the highest weighting in the final calculation).

This script uses a combination of the 21EMA, 53 EMA, and 100EMA. The idea of this script is to provide insight into when an asset might be close to a local top/bottom by monitoring price within the middle channel (yellow, blue, and orange lines), as well as identifying longer timeframe opportunities to buy/sell by examining the upper (green) and lower (red) bands. Disclaimer: this is not a guarantee that if price enters a region, that it will be a top or bottom, it is simply an indicator to get an idea based on price history.

As far as I know, this particular combination of exponential moving averages has not yet been published. I do not have an infinite amount of time to check through the entire library of published scripts. If someone else has already done this, I was unaware. Numerical computations were performed on ETHBTC price data in order to find the coefficients used in this script. Essentially, each EMA has a multiplier of either 1, a fraction of 1, or a number larger than 1 (these are the numbers in the script being multiplied by 'out1', 'out2', 'out3'; feel free to change these and see how this changes the indicator). I have found it to be useful for myself, and hope other people can tinker with this idea. My only wish is to allow other people to use this starting point to explore for themselves. I hope that I am allowed to publish this script without it being taken down so that others can freely use it.

Recommendations: although this was fit specifically for ETHBTC, it appears useful for many crypto pairs, specifically alt-BTC pairs and crypto-USD pairs. For example, I have found it useful for BTCUSD, ETHUSD, LINKUSD, LINKBTC, ETHBTC, ADABTC, etc. Only use on the DAILY timeframe.