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#OP/USDT#OP The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.834 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the rise We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 Entry price 0.909 First target 0.939 Second target 0.992 Third target 1.054
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 6, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point reduction in its deposit rate, bringing it to 2.5%. This move aims to stimulate economic growth amid ongoing uncertainties, including trade tensions and fiscal policy shifts.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Thursday, March 6: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health. Forecast: 220K Previous: 215K​ 📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦:This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, offering insight into manufacturing demand. Forecast: -0.5%​ Previous: +1.2%​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
[03/03] SPY GEX Analysis (Until Friday Expiration)Overall Sentiment: Currently, there’s a positive GEX sentiment, suggesting an optimistic start to the week following Friday’s bounce. However, the key Call resistance appears at 600, and it may not break on the first attempt. If optimism remains strong, there’s a chance SPY 0.09%↑ could still push above that zone after some initial back-and-forth. 🟢Upside Levels: 600–605 Zone: This is a major resistance area. Should SPY move decisively through 600/605, the next potential target could be 610. 610: This is currently the largest positive GEX zone for the week. Current option pricing suggests only about a 9% chance of closing at or above 610 by Friday, so it might require a particularly strong move to break through. 🔵 Transition Zone: Roughly 592–599. The gamma flip level is near 592, and staying above that keeps the market in a positive gamma range for now. 🔴 Downside Risk: If 592 Fails (or HVL climbing up during the week, and after that HVL fails…): A drop could accelerate toward 585, which may act as the first take-profit zone for bears. Below that, 580 could be in play if selling intensifies. Lower Support: 575 is the last strong support mentioned, but current option probabilities suggest about an 88% chance of finishing above that level, making a move below 575 less likely—though still possible given the higher put skew. 🟣Volatility & Skew: IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) is quite high on SPY, with a notable put pricing skew (around 173.1%). This heightened put skew indicates the market is pricing in faster, more volatile downward moves compared to upside.
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
1
[02/03] SPX Weekly GEX OutlookSPX shifted into a strong sideways trend after recent market whipsaws, but premarket today saw a sharp sell-off. Now, let’s break down the GEX levels set for Friday’s weekly expiration (first weekly expiry). These are already reflected in today’s GEX data—check them on your indicator! COMMENT: This week, we’ve started updating our seamless GEX & options indicators before the market opens . This has been a long-standing request from users—especially 0DTE traders, who will likely benefit the most. Key GEX Levels for SPX 📍 Highest Positive Call Wall (Call Resistance): 6075 Acted as resistance last Friday, as it often does initially. 📍 Sideways Zone: 6000-6070 (Transition Zone with GAMMA flip) Wide Transition Zone → Expect high volatility or slow drifting within this range. Easy flow between positive and negative GEX profiles, meaning potential sharp moves in either direction. 📍 Put Support (Sum 4DTE): 5900 Very deep support—market is clearly pricing in fear of a potential future drop. 📌Below 6000, there are only negative NetGEX strikes down to 5900, which signals a lack of strong support until that level. What This Means for the Week 📊 SPX opened (gapped down) in negative GEX territory—if buyers don’t reclaim this zone, we are in for a highly volatile week, potentially with a spiking VIX. 🚫 No reason for bullish optimism unless we break above 6070—until then, expect uncertainty and potential downside pressure. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
[02/03] TSLA GEX Outlook for February expiration📌 Key Levels & GEX Insights Gamma Flip Zone: ~400 (until Febr expiration) Tight Transition Zone, Wide Clear Movement Range Above 420 Call Resistance : Every strike has positive Net GEX, meaning a return to this range would likely support further balanced upside or sideways movement. Below 375 : The next PUT support is at 350, so a break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop. There are 3 weeks until expiration. IV and IVR remain high even after earnings. Despite today’s selloff, the high call pricing skew is still attractive if we want to collect credit. In this case, a call butterfly or broken-wing call butterfly could be worth considering—but strictly based on GEX levels. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TanukiTrade
6
[02/03] AAPL GEX Outlook for February expirationWhile iPhone sales faced some challenges, Apple’s diversified revenue streams and high-margin services business continue to showcase the company’s resilience. The stock initially reacted positively after earnings, but the broader market disagreed during open hours, leading to a sell-off on Friday. Now, let’s analyze the GEX chart together. For NASDAQ:AAPL , I’ve chosen the First Monthly Expiration (Febr 21), as multiple high gamma exposure expirations align with this date. Since we trade stocks and ETFs over a broader timeframe, rather than day trading, this is the most relevant perspective. Key GEX Levels & Market Implications 📌 Uncertainty Below 250 Friday’s sell-off and today’s premarket action have weakened the outlook. GAMMA FLIP ZONE: AAPL is currently in the 230-237.5 Transition Zone, meaning price action can shift quickly in either direction. 📌 Break Below 230? A move below 230 would open the door to 220. 📌 Put Support at 220 Implied volatility (IV) remains high, making this an attractive setup for a potential neutral post-earnings trade. With a 220-250 range, we remain well inside the OTM 16-delta zone for March expiration, which is ideal for premium selling strategies for high IV. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TanukiTrade
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-31, for a premium of approximately $5.40. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:IBMLong
by TopgOptions
Kickstart 2025: SPX GEX Outlook & Options InsightsNew Year, Renewed Energy — Critical Levels and Strategies for the Week Critical Levels Se detailed image below: Above 5940 (HVL): Expect some “chop zone” between 5940 and 6000, but with a generally bullish bias based on our Auto-GEX Profiles until friday. Above 6000: A gamma squeeze could ignite by Friday, pulling the index toward the next major resistance. Below 5900: Significant bearish momentum may take hold, targeting around 5800 (PUT support), though this scenario seems less likely right now. Gamma Conditions Short DTE options (0–2 days) exhibit positive gamma, which tends to buoy prices and make steep sell-offs more difficult. There’s notable IV skew in the very near-term expirations (01/08–01/09). Consider focusing on the Friday (01/10) and Monday (01/13) expirations for timespread strategies. Summary Upside: Holding above 5940 supports a move toward the 6000 target. Above 6000: A gamma squeeze could propel the SPX higher. Below 5900: Watch out for a stronger bearish move toward 5800. IV and skew may be erratic this week, but the positive gamma backdrop favors upside momentum. There are several announcements due this week. If price whipsaws around these times, remember it’s often directly tied to those scheduled news releases—try not to panic. Wishing everyone a responsible and successful year of options trading in 2025!
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
4
[GEX] 12/16 Weekly SPX AnalysisNow, let’s take a look at the expected SPX trading range for the week based on the auto GEX levels for TradingView: It’s clear that we’re currently in positive gamma territory , primarily due to the December 20 expiration. However, the mid-week expirations leading up to that date remain in negative gamma territory, a direct result of last week’s bearish moves—though this can change within a single day. Looking ahead to Friday, we expect a range-bound, more predictable trading environment, likely holding above 6045 and below 6100 based on current levels. IVR and IVx remain low, and we don’t anticipate any increase before Christmas unless the market reaches the “total deny zone” between 6025 and 6040. The greatest IV backwardation is present between December 20 and December 23, as average IV ticked up slightly following last week’s bearish action. This makes that particular expiration combination potentially appealing for time spread strategies. Stay alert! The deny zone is near, and a quick move through the HVL could suddenly disrupt what currently appears to be a relatively predictable trading range. Conversely, a breakout above 6100 could spark a permabull end-of-year rally to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2