Gold - Short term neutral/slightly bearish, long term bullish

13 jun 2022

Gold remains resilient against bearish fundamental factors like higher interest rates and economic tightening. Meanwhile, it enjoys support from persistently high inflation. On 15th June 2022, the FED meeting is set to commence. Moreover, the FOMC is expected to raise interest rates in the U.S. by at least 50 basis points. In our opinion, this poses a threat to gold, the stock market, and the cryptocurrency market. However, we do not foresee much downside for XAUUSD from the current price level. With the FOMC approaching, we would not be surprised to see increased volatility in gold and even a possible retest of the support at 1786.785 USD. Despite that, we remain cautious; furthermore, we will monitor the price action closely throughout the week. Our price targets stay at 2100 USD and 2300 USD.

Illustration 1.01

The picture shows a decline in selling pressure reflected in declining volume.

Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic turned bearish just recently. DM+ and DM- produce whipsaws. A relatively low value in the ADX suggests a neutral trend. Overall, the daily time frame is slightly bearish.

Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is very bearish.

Illustration 1.02

The picture shows simple support/resistance levels.

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DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.