Taking a step back on Gold, we can see how it clearly has been trading within an ascending triangle for many years, often finding resistance and support where we would expect to see it such as on the upper and lower trend lines, as well as the channels equilibrium line in the centre.
Currently Gold remains in the lower half of this trend, and it has room to the upside, or downside (since it currently sits near resistance - the channels equilibrium - ), buying is a risk).
If we take a look at the previous bull run which occurred Aug 2018-Aug 2020, Gold seen a $1,000 change in price during this time, moving from $1,000 to $2,000 per ounce, psychologically both being key levels. Those two levels also imply that Gold achieved a -1 Fibonacci extension from the previous move.
Taking the above into account, and also drawing over the previous moves using with arrow drawings, copying and replacing over the anticipated future direction (starting from the lowest point of the current bull run $1,600, the 50% retracement level in Oct 2022) this too gives us yet another confluence, another perfect line up with regards to all the other analytical reasons why Gold should hit $3,000 and then fall.
We will take a look on a closer more relevant timeframe so we can see what will happen in the coming weeks. Take a look below:
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