After the opening of the week, spot gold experienced a wave of violent market fluctuations due to the escalation of tensions in the Middle East over the weekend. Gold prices opened in the morning and jumped as high as $2,372.45 per ounce, but then turned around and fell below the $2,350 per ounce mark.
From a technical analysis, the current dividing line between long and short prices is still at the mid-track pressure position near $2,370 per ounce. Although there are buying orders in the market, there are still many short orders at the top. The daily chart shows a long negative line, one of the biggest declines since December. Therefore, despite the bullish news, we still need to be vigilant about the pressure from above. Looking at the broad range, the price repeatedly tested the low of $2,333 per ounce last week, and then stabilized and rose after oscillating around this support position. Therefore, this position is likely to become the bottom, forming a high probability event for market correction. As long as the previous low is not broken, multiple orders can be placed repeatedly around the 2333 support position. However, considering the influence of recent news, the price may break through 2333. At this time, we need to pay attention to the multi-bottom support level of 2320, which is regarded as the extreme position of this round of correction and the bottom line of correction.
The previous high of 2366 is regarded as the top-bottom transition position and is the suppression point in the morning session of the day. It is recommended to participate in short orders around this position. The phenomenon of gapping higher in the morning is partly due to the continuous decline at the end of last week and the lack of corrective actions. On the other hand, the risk aversion stimulus caused by the weekend news led to the emergence of a gap. A large negative line at the top appears on the four-hour chart, indicating a clear bearish trend. This is an evening star pattern that starts from above the moving average and directly breaks through the support line and the moving average.
On the whole, today's short-term gold operation advice is to mainly go short on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top focus is on the 2365-2372 resistance range, and the bottom focus is on the 2318-2333 support range.