Metals markets analyst Steve St. Angelo estimates that in the first half of 2024, the total weighted average cost of production among the leading silver miners rose to at least $26 per ounce.
Silver prices have surged over 6%, surpassing $33.6 per ounce. This rise poses a risk of significant financial losses for five U.S. banks holding large short positions in the metal. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reports that open interest in silver futures has reached 141,580 contracts, each representing 5,000 ounces. This totals about 707.9 million ounces, nearly matching a year’s global silver production, concentrated among these five banks.(Source: yahoo)
so if the banks decided to cover short, then the silver will explode.
Green energy means more silver demand. Europe expects to install 260 GW of new wind power capacity over 2024-2030. The EU-27 should install 200 GW of this – 29 GW a year on average. (Source: Windeurope) which will have 50% more capacity in 2023, and the demand for silver will continue to rise since atypical wind turbines may contain around 0.5 to 1 kilogram (500 to 1,000 grams) of silver for its electrical components, including brushes and other conductive parts.
EVs mean more silver demand. Average vehicle silver loadings, estimated at 15-28 grams (g) per internal combustion engine (ICE) light vehicle, have risen over the past few decades. Silver use is higher in hybrid cars at around 18-34g per light vehicle, while battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are believed to consume 25-50g of silver per vehicle. It is estimated that nearly 90 million ounces (Moz) of silver will be absorbed annually into the automotive industry by 2025.
Technical a round bottom, looking for silver to test 50 and likely surpass the resistance.
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