In the previous week, we witnessed a remarkable 4.6% surge in the Japanese yen, propelling it to a two-month high against the greenback. However, as Friday's trading session unfolded, the U.S. dollar began to edge higher, with traders factoring in the potential end of the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle amid easing inflation.
Softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, reported on Wednesday and Thursday, reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its interest rate-hiking cycle. While markets still anticipate a 25 basis point hike later this month, another hike this year is no longer the base case.
As we shift our focus to the upcoming week, all eyes are on the U.S. retail sales data, a vital indicator of consumer spending in the economy. A high reading is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is perceived as negative.
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
In this video, we provide an in-depth USDJPY technical analysis, dissecting the current market structure. Our attention centers around the key level of 138.800, which also serves as the neckline of a "potential" reversal pattern identified in the 1-hour timeframe. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around the 138.800 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action throughout the upcoming days.
Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines and key levels. Remember, that we place significant emphasis on the importance of the 138.800 level, as a breakout or retest of this zone will validate the potency of the identified reversal pattern. Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week. Get ready for an exciting ride filled with insights and trading opportunities!
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