SPX - turnaround Tuesday and Oil - ready to move higher

Actualizado
Both discussed in the video. The SPX resistance level of 4340 is an area where an objective short can be tried. It may go higher but I don't think by much. Oil is almost done consolidating for a bigger move to the upside. Possible cup and handle target would be $120

Good luck!
Nota
no selling yet - QQQ looks like it wants to get to 372, then we'll see.... imagen
Nota
OIl still consolidating. imagen
Nota
to me the count looks like this - sideways B and we're in the middle of C another wave up on C makes sense but not too much higher. The whole correction looks like WXY imagen
Nota
false breakdown on oil - to take out stops I assume - may breakout today. imagen
Nota
Good morning, we may have topped yesterday, I'm not sure. PPI this morning and FOMC minutes at 2pm so it may be a wild day. I'm watching this channel, we are now on top of it, back into it would be bearish but we could go back to the top of it again. That retest may be a short opp. Also strong support at 4340 should not be ignored. imagen
Nota
OIl looks to be breaking down, so it should be a strong move down from here unless they save it soon. imagen
Nota
the channel could also be like this - in which case, they may sell it here at 830. imagen
Nota
2nd stab at channel, short opp imagen
Nota
Oil double bottom - may reverse here - over 86 and it looks better for bulls. nothing decided yet. imagen
Nota
watch for a potential break and fail. imagen
Nota
price is compressing with low rsi on small time frames, a breakout and a higher high is certainly possible into 2pm fomc minutes. imagen
Nota
SPX appears to be in a triangle, or something like that - probably into FOMC minutes at 2pm. imagen
Nota
looks like a tradable top, a bounce with the fomc minutes will likely get sold, imagen
Nota
RTY coming into a support level. Objective long especially here I think. Still cold be more upside in this rally. Never underestimate the buy the dip crowd when it works. Lately it has. imagen
Nota
gap at 4400 level on spx cash still not filled, could be a target if a rally sticks. imagen
Nota
should continue higher to fill the gap on SPX
Nota
imagen
Nota
back to the channel by end of day. It could be a trap - note the hourly bearish divergence here. We'll see tomorrow.... imagen
Nota
nq resistance area imagen
Nota
us oil gap fill, not sure what to make of it I got stopped out. imagen
Nota
IWM was weak today compared to other indices, sometimes a leading indicator. Stopped at it's daily18ma imagen
Nota
IWM still has not made it's target of 165 (head and shoulders) i think it does by November. imagen
Nota
us.econoday.com/byweek.asp CPI today at 830
Nota
market keeps pushing against the channel. A break above with CPI and continuation into 930 (to take out shorts) is possible. usually these kinds of patterns have a "blow off top" moment. I do think today the market will turn down regardless of how high it gets first.

imagen
Nota
soxx back to channel resistance imagen
Nota
qqq to 372 area - channel resistance imagen
Nota
ES (futures) suggest 4450 area as possible target. imagen
Nota
15 minute rsi too low again, expecting higher imagen
Nota
after open I still expect a short squeeze, RSI is hinting at it. I could be wrong, but here it is. imagen
Nota
looks correct, imagen
Nota
current count - imagen
Nota
support level here - if it can hold it probably goes higher. Feels like a bear trap - again. imagen
Nota
lost support, looks like the top may be in. test of that 4376 - 80 level may hold it back. imagen
Nota
we have an expanding channel here - which may prove to be the bottom before a final rally. Just best to be careful. imagen
Nota
this channel is acting as support. one more high would not surprise me in the least bit. RSI extremely oversold on small and mid time frames imagen
Nota
q's gap at 376 area, may be what's driving the tech move. imagen
Nota
resistance of 4380 still holds. if it breaks it's bullish. imagen
Nota
secondary resistance here. so far looks bullish but it may stop around here. imagen
Nota
secondary channel structure reached, but it looks like it's going to crack. imagen
Nota
if they break the channel (blue) any test of it is an objective short. If they hold and test the yellow trendline which held earlier, that now should be resistance. imagen
Nota
ok we're bearish imagen
Nota
Larger structure still looks like a channel. Wave 5 down starting i think. imagen
Nota
coming back to test the channel. I'm not sure what's going to happen here but they will keep everyone guessing into the close I'm sure. Above 4370 tomorrow and it's going to make another high. imagen
Nota
how the day ended - imagen
Nota
New Video - I will update there - enjoy
Chart PatternsTechnical IndicatorsS&P 500 (SPX500)Wave Analysis

También en:

Publicaciones relacionadas

Exención de responsabilidad