What the FOMC Means for Stocks

5 may 2022

Stocks rallied despite a Fed hike of 0.5%, the largest hike since 2008. The economic conditions between that time period and now are similar, so keep that in mind for long term investing. We anticipated a rally yesterday, as the hike was fully priced in. Exactly as we predicted yesterday, the S&P 500 is seeing resistance from a relative high at 4306. The Kovach OBV has jumped with the rally, but is leveling off at current levels. We will see if we can muster the strength for another rally. If so, 4364 should provide resistance as it is a relative low. We should have support around 4188, roughly the midpoint of the current range, but if we fall further, we could test lows at 4122 or 4068 as an absolute min. Recall that if we break 4068, there is a vacuum zone to 4009, at the base of the 4K handle.